Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Lake Charles, LA

126 
WGUS74 KLCH 261919
FFSLCH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
219 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

TXC199-241-245-351-361-262245-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170826T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson TX-Newton TX-Hardin TX-Orange TX-Jasper TX-
219 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
JEFFERSON...SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON...HARDIN...ORANGE AND SOUTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES...

At 213 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
that heavy rain was falling over the area. Various amounts of rain 
have fallen so far with two to six inches having already occurred 
across Orange, Jasper and Hardin counties with one to three inches 
of rain have fallen in Jefferson County. Flash flooding has already 
been reported in Orange and Jasper Counties. The heaviest rains are 
just now beginning to move into Jefferson County.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches,
Lumberton, Vidor, Bridge City, Silsbee, West Orange, Kountze, Sour
Lake, Nome, Evadale, Central Gardens, Sabine Pass, Hamshire, Wildwood
and Mauriceville.

Additional rainfall amounts of two to five inches are possible 
through 6 PM with locally higher amounts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9454 3052 9374 3034 9376 3002 9375
      2998 9383 2999 9386 2997 9384 2986 9393
      2984 9392 2984 9395 2981 9393 2981 9395
      2968 9385 2967 9406 2956 9436 2989 9436
      2989 9443 3011 9445 3011 9448 3049 9456

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1100 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Regional 88Ds show scattered convection along the outer fringes of
Hurricane Harvey...now meandering across the cntl TX coastal plain
near KVCT...developing and moving nwwd across primarily swrn 1/2
of the forecast area. Meanwhile a rather impressive feeder band is
noted just to our west, producing ridiculous 3+ in/hour rainfall
rates. This band appears to be drifting slowly ewd toward our wrn
zones...POPs were already categorical across much of the area, but
nudged them up to 100 to account for this ewd drift.

Quick note to users across sern TX/swrn LA...FFA will be expanded
with the afternoon forecast package (details to come later).

Elsewhere inherited grids/zones look good as is.

Update out shortly.
25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 719 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017/

AVIATION...A weakening Hurricane Harvey will meander over
southeast Texas for the next several days. This will maintain
considerable rains for the area, especially southeast Texas and
southwest Louisiana. Have transitioned BPT and LCH from early TEMPO
groups for SHRA into prevailing through the remainder of the day.
Will carry tempo groups for SHRA only at AEX, LFT and ARA through
the afternoon during max heating. MVFR sky cover will be common
for BPT, while the remaining sites should prevail within VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 534 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Harvey moved onshore last night along the central Texas coast.
Latest radar has Harvey moving slowly inland. The outer bands of
Harvey are moving through southeast Texas counties of Jefferson...
Hardin and Orange with some showers noted in southern Louisiana
on the very extreme fringe. Tides along the coast have been
running about a foot or two above normal and a Coastal Flood
Advisory will continue as winds will pile up waters along the
coast and into the bays over the weekend.

The movement of Harvey today and into tomorrow... meandering might
be the best way to describe the movement that is expected. Since
the storm is inland winds have dropped to around 100 mph. Rains
will be heavy at times today and into tomorrow as bands sweep out
of the gulf and rapidly across the region. Heaviest rains are
expected though down along the central Texas coast and into the
Houston area.

This event will continue to be very slow in its evolution with
flooding the main issue for southeast Texas and portions of
southwest Louisiana.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  87  73  82  70 /  60  50  70  60
LCH  83  75  81  72 /  90  70  80  80
LFT  88  75  85  72 /  80  50  80  80
BPT  80  76  79  73 / 100  80  90  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Sunday for LAZ052>054-073-
     074.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Sunday for TXZ215.

     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for TXZ201-215-216-261-
     262.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Sunday for GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution through Sunday afternoon for GMZ430-
     432-435.

&&

PUBLIC...04

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
271030-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Harvey made landfall last night and has moved inland very slowly.
The majority of the rainbands continue across the central Texas
coast with this region this morning getting brushed but the outer
bands. A Tornado Watch continues for Jefferson... Hardin... and
Orange counties in southeast Texas. Rains will continue through
the day and into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Harvey is expected to bring bands of showers and isolated
thunderstorms across the region through the weekend and into next
week. Rainfall will be heavy at times and flooding of some
locations is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-271030-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Small Craft Advisory is in effect through tomorrow as winds and
waves will continue from Hurricane Harvey. Stronger winds should
be expected in the offshore waters where waves heights will range
from 7 to 10 feet. Storms will move from the southeast to the
northwest.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Strong winds and heavy seas along with rains will be the main
issue in the coastal waters as Harvey moves around the central
Texas coast through the rest of the weekend and into next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...