Alert archive / Puerto Rico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 90, NWS JSJ

September 20, 2017

NWS JSJ issued this flash flood warning at Sep 20, 2017, 9:29 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2017, 9:29 PM CDT (02:29 UTC)
Expired
Sep 21, 2017, 2:30 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS JSJ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The text

As transmitted.

796 
WGCA52 TJSJ 210229
FFWSJU
PRC009-021-033-041-045-047-051-105-135-137-143-210730-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0090.170921T0229Z-170921T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service San Juan PR
Issued by National Weather Service Miami FL
1029 PM AST WED SEP 20 2017

The National Weather Service in San Juan has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Comerio Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Naranjito Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  East central Vega Alta Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Dorado Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Northwestern Bayamon Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Northeastern Corozal Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  West central Cidra Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Toa Baja Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  West central Catano Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Northern Aibonito Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Toa Alta Municipality in Puerto Rico...

* Until 330 AM AST

* At 1028 PM AST, satellite estimates and rain gauges indicated
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Flash
  flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Toa Alta, Sabana Seca, Toa Baja, Comerio, Naranjito, Dorado, Vega
  Alta, Campanilla, San Antonio, Ingenio, Rio Lajas, San Jose, H.
  Rivera Colon, Galateo, Pajaros, Candelaria, Levittown, Candelaria
  Arenas and Mucarabones.

Excessive rainfall over the warned area will cause mud slides near
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and
other loose materials.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6618 1847 6616 1848 6614 1842 6617
      1842 6620 1830 6621 1821 6618 1819 6621
      1817 6621 1817 6627 1818 6625 1819 6624
      1819 6626 1822 6627 1824 6627 1824 6628
      1833 6628 1838 6631 1847 6631 1850 6634

$$

MFL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 20, 7:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 7:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
818 PM AST Wed Sep 20 2017

.AVIATION...
Hurricane Maria will slowly move away from the region, allowing
wind speeds to very gradually diminish. The forecast is for strong
wind to continue for most of the night and improve tomorrow.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect all TAF sites
and MVFR down to LIFR conditions will continue to be possible.
With few observations available, no amendments are scheduled for
any TAF sites through the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1209 PM AST Wed Sep 20 2017/

UPDATE...Major Hurricane Maria producing widespread and dangerous
flash flooding across Puerto Rico. Major flooding occurring along
the Rio Grande de Loiza, Rio Grande de Manati and La Plata basins.
Dangerous winds will continue through this evening across mainland
PR. The center of Maria should be exiting the north coast of
Puerto Rico shortly and the strongest hurricane storm force winds
should spread along the north central and northwest portions of
Puerto Rico through late this afternoon. Although, tropical storm
force winds could diminish this evening across the USVI and
portions of southeastern PR...outer bands of Maria with strong
thunderstorms will move across these areas. Currently, scattered
thunderstorms with frequent lighting are being observed along the
eastern coastal waters of the USVI.

MARINE...Tropical storm force winds will likely continue across
the Caribbean waters through this afternoon and Hurricane force
winds across the Atlantic waters through late tonight. There is no
chance of a successful passage through this storm.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 721 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2017/

SYNOPSIS...CORE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MARIA MOVING
OVER PUERTO RICO.

Discussion...Hurricane force winds will likely continue across
the USVI, Vieques and Culebra through the afternoon hours; and
across Puerto Rico through tonight. These winds will bring
catastrophic damage. Severe injury is possible in less than a
strong structure. Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from
the storm.

Rainfall associated with Hurricane Maria will continue to lead to
rapid rises along all streams and rivers at the U.S. Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico. Mudslides are also expected. Any homes in
low- lying areas near rivers and streams will be flooded and
flooding may leave residents with no avenue of escape. Those in
coastal areas may have streams and rivers backed up from storm
surge created by the hurricane.

MARINE...Hurricane force winds will likely continue across the
Anegada passage and the Caribbean waters through this afternoon,
and across the Atlantic coastal waters through tonight. There is
no chance of a successful passage through this storm.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  75  91  77  92 /  80  80  20  60
STT  82  85  81  86 /  80  80  60 100

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...Hurricane Warning for Central Interior-Culebra-Eastern Interior-
     Mayaguez and Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-
     Ponce and Vicinity-San Juan and Vicinity-Southeast-
     Southwest-Vieques-Western Interior.

     Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for Central Interior-
     Culebra-Eastern Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-North
     Central-Northeast-Northwest-Ponce and Vicinity-San Juan and
     Vicinity-Southeast-Southwest-Vieques-Western Interior.

VI...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for St Croix-
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Thursday for St.Thomas...St.
     John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Hurricane Warning for Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI
     from 10 NM to 19.5N-Coastal Waters OF Northwestern Puerto
     Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters OF Southwestern Puerto Rico
     out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Mona
     Passage Southward to 17N.

     Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for Coastal Waters OF
     Southwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern
     USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Thursday for Anegada Passage
     Southward to 17N-Caribbean Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM
     to 17N-Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10
     NM-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern
     Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 5:22 AM CDT, 16 hours 7 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre condiciones peligrosas del tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-201115-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-
Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-
Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

Un Aviso de Huracan significa que condiciones de huracan es esperan
en algun sector dentro del area bajo aviso. Preparaciones para
protejer vida y propiedad deberan ser completados lo mas pronto
posible.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-201115-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

Un Aviso de Huracan significa que condiciones de huracan es esperan
en algun sector dentro del area bajo aviso. Preparaciones para
protejer vida y propiedad deberan ser completados lo mas pronto
posible.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

The office that day

Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 7:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 9:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 9:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:40 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJSJ3 hr
Sep 20, 10:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ9 hr
Sep 20, 10:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:59 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryJSJ52 hr
Sep 20, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 11:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 1:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 2:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 2:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 2:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 3:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 3:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 21, 3:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 21, 3:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 4:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 6:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 7:00 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 7:58 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 8:30 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ2 hr
Sep 21, 10:20 AM CDTTropical Storm WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 10:27 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ63 min
Sep 21, 11:30 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ90 min
Sep 21, 12:55 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ2 hr
Sep 21, 1:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 1:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 2:01 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 4:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Puerto Rico, 2017Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.