Alert archive / Puerto Rico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 106, NWS JSJ

September 21, 2017

NWS JSJ issued this flash flood warning at Sep 21, 2017, 3:53 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2017, 3:53 AM CDT (08:53 UTC)
Expired
Sep 21, 2017, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS JSJ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The text

As transmitted.

593 
WGCA52 TJSJ 210853
FFWSJU
PRC015-029-037-053-057-069-085-089-095-103-109-119-129-151-211200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0106.170921T0853Z-170921T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service San Juan PR
Issued by National Weather Service Miami FL
453 AM AST THU SEP 21 2017

The National Weather Service in San Juan has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Rio Grande Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Fajardo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Naguabo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Arroyo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  East central Guayama Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Yabucoa Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Luquillo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Maunabo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Southern San Lorenzo Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Humacao Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Northern Canovanas Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Eastern Las Piedras Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Patillas Municipality in Puerto Rico...
  Ceiba Municipality in Puerto Rico...

* Until 800 AM AST

* At 453 AM AST, satellite estimates indicated heavy rain across the
  warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Fajardo, Arroyo, Naguabo, Vieques, Humacao, Maunabo, Yabucoa,
  Ceiba, Luquillo, Rio Grande, Patillas, Emajagua, Roosevelt Roads,
  Anton Ruiz, Palmas, Aguas Claras, Luis M. Cintron, Playita, Ramos
  and Hato Candal.

Excessive rainfall over the warned area will cause mud slides near
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and
other loose materials.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 1842 6576 1838 6569 1838 6561 1829 6562
      1820 6560 1817 6572 1804 6582 1800 6584
      1794 6606 1806 6609 1811 6605 1810 6601
      1808 6601 1809 6594 1812 6593 1812 6588
      1820 6583 1826 6582 1829 6585 1845 6588

$$

JDW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 21, 12:36 AM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 21, 12:36 AM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
Issued by National Weather Service MIAMI FL
136 AM AST Thu Sep 21 2017

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1209 PM AST Wed Sep 20 2017/

UPDATE...Major Hurricane Maria producing widespread and dangerous
flash flooding across Puerto Rico. Major flooding occurring along
the Rio Grande de Loiza, Rio Grande de Manati and La Plata basins.
Dangerous winds will continue through this evening across mainland
PR. The center of Maria should be exiting the north coast of
Puerto Rico shortly and the strongest hurricane storm force winds
should spread along the north central and northwest portions of
Puerto Rico through late this afternoon. Although, tropical storm
force winds could diminish this evening across the USVI and
portions of southeastern PR...outer bands of Maria with strong
thunderstorms will move across these areas. Currently, scattered
thunderstorms with frequent lighting are being observed along the
eastern coastal waters of the USVI.

&&

.AVIATION...
Hurricane Maria will gradually pull away to the northeast through
Thursday with conditions slowly improving. Still widespread MVFR
with IFR/LIFR likely in heavier showers, especially across the
Puerto Rico terminals. Winds gusting to 40 kts at times will ease
and much lighter wind speeds expected by Thursday evening. USVI
terminals will see conditions improving more rapidly with more
scattered showers possible through the period. AMD NOT SKED
remains for all terminals, continue to check with authorities for
airport closures.

&&

MARINE...Tropical storm force winds will likely continue across
the Caribbean waters through this afternoon and Hurricane force
winds across the Atlantic waters through late tonight. There is no
chance of a successful passage through this storm.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  91  77  92  77 /  40  20  20  30
STT  85  81  86  80 /  80  80 100  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for Central Interior-
     Culebra-Eastern Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-North
     Central-Northeast-Northwest-Ponce and Vicinity-San Juan and
     Vicinity-Southeast-Southwest-Vieques-Western Interior.

VI...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for St Croix-
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST this afternoon for
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for Coastal Waters OF
     Southwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern
     USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST this afternoon for Anegada
     Passage Southward to 17N-Caribbean Waters of Puerto Rico
     from 10 NM to 17N-Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and
     Culebra out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern Puerto Rico
     out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and
     Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Hurricane Warning for Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI
     from 10 NM to 19.5N-Coastal Waters OF Northwestern Puerto
     Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters OF Southwestern Puerto Rico
     out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-
     Mona Passage Southward to 17N.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 5:22 AM CDT, 22 hours 31 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre condiciones peligrosas del tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-201115-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central-
Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-
Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

Un Aviso de Huracan significa que condiciones de huracan es esperan
en algun sector dentro del area bajo aviso. Preparaciones para
protejer vida y propiedad deberan ser completados lo mas pronto
posible.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-201115-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
610 AM AST miercoles 20 de septiembre de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

Un Aviso de Huracan significa que condiciones de huracan es esperan
en algun sector dentro del area bajo aviso. Preparaciones para
protejer vida y propiedad deberan ser completados lo mas pronto
posible.

...Un Aviso de Huracan esta en efecto...

The office that day

Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 7:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 7:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 20, 9:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 9:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 9:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:40 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJSJ3 hr
Sep 20, 10:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ9 hr
Sep 20, 10:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 10:59 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryJSJ52 hr
Sep 20, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 20, 11:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 1:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 2:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 2:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 2:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 3:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 3:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 21, 3:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ4 hr
Sep 21, 4:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 6:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 7:00 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJSJ7 hr
Sep 21, 7:58 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 8:30 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ2 hr
Sep 21, 10:20 AM CDTTropical Storm WarningJSJ5 hr
Sep 21, 10:27 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ63 min
Sep 21, 11:30 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ90 min
Sep 21, 12:55 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningJSJ2 hr
Sep 21, 1:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJSJ3 hr
Sep 21, 1:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 2:01 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ6 hr
Sep 21, 4:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJSJ3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Puerto Rico, 2017Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.