Alert archive / Georgia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Jacksonville, FL

September 10, 2017Camden County, Georgia

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this flash flood warning at Sep 10, 2017, 5:13 PM EDT for Camden County, Georgia. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 10, 2017, 5:13 PM EDT (21:13 UTC)
Expired: Sep 10, 2017, 8:15 PM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Camden County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 396 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 297 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

015 
WGUS52 KJAX 102113
FFWJAX
GAC039-110015-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FF.W.0007.170910T2113Z-170911T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
513 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Camden County in southeastern Georgia...

* Until 815 PM EDT

* At 511 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Up to five inches of rain has fallen. Flash flooding 
  is expected to begin shortly.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3097 8142 3084 8146 3088 8175 3097 8174

$$

STRUBLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 10, 2:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 2:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
241 PM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...This afternoon-Monday night...Irma rainbands are
beginning to enter the area and with them, the tornado threat will
continue to increase from south to north through tonight. Expect
conditions across northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia to
deteriorate further tonight as Irma moves north over the western
part of the Florida peninsula with winds increasing and heavy
rainfall across the entire area. See the Hurricane Local Statement
for more details about the Irma forecast and impacts.

Conditions won't begin to improve behind Irma until at least
Monday afternoon. Rainfall will quickly drop off Monday night as
dry air moves in on the back side of the storm. However, flooding
impacts are likely to continue even after the rain ends. Only
minor forecast updates this afternoon in the short term with all
eyes on Irma.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday-Sunday...Irma is expected to be to the
northwest Tuesday, with weak high pressure building over the
forecast area. Expecting a primarily dry day for Tuesday with
subsidence under the ridge. A moist south to southwesterly flow
is expected for Wednesday with showers and storms developing with
diurnal heating. This pattern will continue into Thursday. A great
deal of uncertainty in the forecast late in the week into the
weekend. The extended range models are looping Hurricane Jose
around this week, such that it is located to the East of the
region over the upcoming weekend. The location of this system
would have a significant impact on the overall pattern over the
region, even if it stays well East. At this time the forecast will
reflect the potential of this system to be to the East. The
forecast for next weekend will then be refined this week as the
track of Jose can better be determined.

&&

.AVIATION...Conditions will continue to deteriorate this evening.
Rain bands will continue producing restrictions, with wind speeds
increasing. Winds will remain strong throughout this 18z TAF
period due to hurricane Irma.

&&

.MARINE...Conditions will continue to deteriorate through
Monday as Hurricane Irma is forecast to track over the western
Florida peninsula. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the NE FL
waters and a Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning are in
effect for the SE GA waters.

Effects from Irma will begin to subside late Monday, but seas
aren't likely to drop below 7 ft until late Tuesday in the
nearshore waters and Wednesday across the offshore waters. Behind
Irma, winds will turn to out of the south Monday night and slowly
decrease through Tuesday. Winds and seas look relatively benign
Wednesday and Thursday, but focus will then shift to the track of
Hurricane Jose, which could impact the waters, even from afar,
later this week and next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  66  77  63  84 / 100 100  40  10
SSI  75  82  71  86 / 100 100  30  10
JAX  75  81  69  88 / 100 100  20  10
SGJ  76  84  72  88 / 100 100  20  10
GNV  72  79  69  87 / 100 100  20  10
OCF  74  80  70  88 / 100 100  20  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for Alachua-Baker-
     Bradford-Clay-Coastal Duval-Coastal Nassau-Columbia-Flagler-
     Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Duval-Inland Nassau-Marion-Putnam-
     St. Johns-Suwannee-Union.

     Hurricane Warning for Alachua-Baker-Bradford-Clay-Coastal Duval-
     Coastal Nassau-Columbia-Flagler-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland
     Duval-Inland Nassau-Marion-Putnam-St. Johns-Suwannee-Union.

GA...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for Appling-Atkinson-
     Bacon-Brantley-Charlton-Clinch-Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-
     Coffee-Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Pierce-
     Ware-Wayne.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Appling-Bacon-Brantley-Charlton-
     Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Coffee-Inland Camden-Inland
     Glynn-Jeff Davis-Pierce-Ware-Wayne.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Inland Camden-
     Inland Glynn.

     Hurricane Warning for Atkinson-Clinch-Echols.

AM...Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to
     Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA
     to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to
     Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA
     to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Hurricane Warning for Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to
     St. Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St.
     Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60
     NM.

&&

Struble//McGinnis

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 6:09 AM EDT, 11 hours 4 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
609 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-101800-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
609 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

Please refer to the Hurricane Local Statement for information
regarding the approach of major Hurricane Irma.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 10, 12:54 PM EDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1254 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1237 PM     TROPICAL STORM   4 SSE MARINELAND        29.62N 81.19W
09/10/2017                   Flagler            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLAGLER COUNTY POLICE REPORT DUNE BRAK AND OVERWASH AT
            MALACOMPRA PARK.

&&

JHESS

Local storm report, Sep 10, 1:18 PM EDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
118 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     TROPICAL STORM   PALM COAST              29.57N 81.21W
09/10/2017                   FLAGLER            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS WATER TO THE TOP OF THE SEA
            WALL IN PALM COAST.

&&

JHESS

Local storm report, Sep 10, 3:05 PM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
305 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TROPICAL STORM   4 NNW FLAGLER BEACH     29.52N 81.15W
09/10/2017                   Flagler            FL   AMATEUR RADIO

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS LINES DOWN AT THE BEVERLY BEACH
            CAMPTOWN RV RESORT.

&&

JHESS

Local storm report, Sep 10, 3:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TROPICAL STORM   FLAGLER BEACH           29.47N 81.13W
09/10/2017                   FLAGLER            FL   AMATEUR RADIO

            HOUSE REPORTED TO HAVE LOST SHINGLES AND SIDING NEAR A1A
            AND 23RD STREET IN FLAGLER BEACH DUE TO WINDS.

&&

JHESS

Local storm report, Sep 10, 4:31 PM EDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
431 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TROPICAL STORM   1 ENE FORT CAROLINE     30.39N 81.48W
09/10/2017                   DUVAL              FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
            40 MPH FROM THE NE WITH A GUST OF 53 MPH.

&&

NM

Local storm report, Sep 10, 4:43 PM EDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
443 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 AM     FLOOD            STARKE                  29.95N 82.11W
09/10/2017                   BRADFORD           FL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF ALLIGATOR CREEK COMING
            UP TO THE BRIDGE LEVEL AT LAURA STREET IN STARKE. THIS IS
            IN CONJUCNTION WITH MAJOR FLOOD LEVEL BEING REPORTED AT
            THE ALLIGATOR CREEK GAUGE JUST DOWNSTREAM AT US HIGHWAY
            301.

&&

JHESS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 9, 9:21 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	JAX	Echols	36 hr
Sep 9, 9:27 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	JAX	Charlton	16 days
Sep 10, 12:09 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JAX	Camden, Charlton	3 hr
Sep 10, 1:11 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JAX	Brantley, Camden, Charlton, Glynn, Wayne	3 hr
Sep 10, 4:11 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JAX	Camden	3 hr
Sep 10, 5:41 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JAX	Camden, Glynn	3 hr
Sep 10, 7:59 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	JAX	Camden, Charlton, Glynn	3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2017 Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.