Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 55, NWS Jackson, MS

June 23, 2017Leake County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jun 23, 2017, 3:02 PM CDT for Leake County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 25, 2017, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2017, 3:02 PM CDT (20:02 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 25, 2017, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 28, 2017, 8:52 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Leake County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yockanookany River near Ofahoma (OFAM6). The gauge peaked at 20.16 ft at Jun 26, 2017, 7:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate152006/2306/2406/2506/2606/2706/2806/29
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02484500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

322 
WGUS44 KJAN 232002
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
302 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for river
forecast points today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-250202-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170627T0600Z-170628T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170627T0600Z.170627T0600Z.170627T1200Z.NO/
302 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Monday night to Tuesday evening.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  13.8 Fri 02 PM  15.2  16.0  18.6  19.0 01 AM 06/27


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
9 follow-up statements
267 
WGUS84 KJAN 240101
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-250701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170626T0600Z-170626T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.170626T0600Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Sunday night to Monday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.2 Fri 07 PM  12.6  12.9  12.9  13.0 01 AM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-250701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170625T1200Z.170627T0000Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by Sunday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is 
  flooding.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.3 Fri 07 PM  26.6  27.0  26.1  27.0 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-250701-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170626T1800Z-170627T1800Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170626T1800Z.170627T0600Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  13.9 Fri 07 PM  14.7  16.7  18.9  19.0 01 AM 06/27


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
254 
WGUS84 KJAN 241628
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-252228-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0048.170624T1625Z-170628T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170624T1800Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from this morning to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet this 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.4 Sat 11 AM  13.5  13.5  13.3  13.5 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170629T2100Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1200Z.170629T0900Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet Monday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water is partially covering several county 
  roads and dirt roads near the river. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.0 Sat 11 AM  21.5  22.5  21.9  22.5 07 AM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-252227-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170626T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  18.1 Sat 11 AM  18.9  20.5  20.3  20.5 07 AM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1307Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0107Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.5 Sat 11 AM  26.5  26.1  20.7     Crested          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-252227-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170625T1030Z-170629T1030Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T1030Z.170626T1800Z.170628T2230Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.0 Sat 11 AM  19.1  20.4  20.3  20.5 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
406 
WGUS84 KJAN 250108
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170628T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170625T0600Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet  just 
  after midnight tonight. 
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Sat 08 PM  13.8  13.6  13.3  13.8 01 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170629T2100Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1200Z.170629T0900Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet  Monday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Water is partially covering several county 
  roads and dirt roads near the river. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.2 Sat 08 PM  21.5  22.5  21.9  22.5 07 AM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-260708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170626T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  18.1 Sat 08 PM  18.9  20.5  20.3  20.5 07 AM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-260708-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1323Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0123Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.4 Sat 07 PM  26.3  25.9  21.1    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-260707-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.170625T0600Z-170629T1030Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0600Z.170626T1800Z.170628T2230Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 20.5 feet early
  Monday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.8 Sat 08 PM  19.1  20.4  20.3  20.5 01 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-260707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0059.170626T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170628T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from Monday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Monday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Roads near the river in Lefleurs Bluff State
  Park begin to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  25.2 Sat 07 PM  26.2  27.7  28.7  29.0 01 AM 06/28


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$
193 
WGUS84 KJAN 251449
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
949 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-262049-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170629T0936Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170627T0000Z.170628T2136Z.NO/
949 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet  
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.2 Sun 09 AM  20.3  20.4  19.7  20.5 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
567 
WGUS84 KJAN 260104
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-270704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170629T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170626T0600Z.170628T1200Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near crest, and will then begin falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Sun 07 PM  13.7  13.4  13.0    Near Crest          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-270704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170628T1200Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1800Z.170628T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet  early 
  tomorrow afternoon. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.4 Sun 07 PM  20.4  20.2  19.6  20.5 01 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-270703-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170701T0800Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170627T0600Z.170630T2000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until late Friday night.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet  early 
  Tuesday morning. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  18.8 Sun 07 PM  19.6  20.0  19.6  20.0 01 AM 06/27


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170627T1236Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.170623T0837Z.170624T0830Z.170627T0036Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.0 Sun 07 PM  25.9  21.6  16.9    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170629T0936Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170627T0000Z.170628T2136Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet  
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.7 Sun 07 PM  20.3  20.4  19.7  20.5 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-270703-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0059.170626T1800Z-170630T2100Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.170626T1800Z.170628T1200Z.170630T0900Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from Monday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet  Wednesday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  26.8 Sun 07 PM  27.7  28.6  29.0  29.0 07 AM 06/28


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$
508 
WGUS84 KJAN 261452
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-272052-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170628T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.170624T1007Z.170625T2130Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will has crested and wil continue falling and
  will fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.5 Mon 09 AM  13.2  12.9  12.4 CRESTED         


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-272052-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170628T1800Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.170624T1533Z.170626T1800Z.170628T0600Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet this 
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.5 Mon 09 AM  20.4  19.8  18.9  20.5 01 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-272052-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170630T1800Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.170624T0723Z.170627T0600Z.170630T0600Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet just 
  after midnight tonight. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  19.4 Mon 09 AM  19.8  19.0  17.9  20.0 01 AM 06/27


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-272051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170630T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170627T0000Z.170629T1800Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Thursday night.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  20.2 Mon 09 AM  20.3  19.9  19.3  20.5 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-272051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0059.170627T0000Z-170701T0730Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.170627T0000Z.170628T1200Z.170630T1930Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from this evening to late Friday night.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening and 
  will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet Wednesday morning. 
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  27.5 Mon 08 AM  28.5  29.0  29.0  29.0 07 AM 06/28


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

MSC029-127-272051-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-170630T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170625T1500Z.170629T1200Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* until Thursday evening.
* At 9:30 AM today the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is near crest and will begin a very slow.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  26.4 Mon 930 AM  25.5  25.2  25.0  Near crest          


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-272051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-170630T0600Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.170624T2150Z.170626T1015Z.170629T1800Z.NO/
952 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* until late Thursday night.
* At  9:15 AM Monday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will begin a very slow
  fall tonight.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  22.6 Mon 09 AM  22.5  22.2  22.0 cresting.         


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
164 
WGUS84 KJAN 270155
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
855 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-280755-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170630T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170626T1545Z.170629T1800Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Thursday night.
* At 7:45 PM Monday the stage was 20 feet and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue slowly falling and will fall 
  below flood stage on Thursday.
* Impact...At 19 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  20.0 Mon  8 PM  19.9  19.6  19.3      Falling

&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

DL
579 
WGUS84 KJAN 271349
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
849 AM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-281949-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170629T0200Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170626T1545Z.170628T1400Z.NO/
849 AM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.7 Tue 08 AM  19.1  17.6  16.1            


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
890 
WGUS84 KJAN 281352
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
852 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-281422-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-170629T0200Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.170625T0500Z.170626T1545Z.170628T1015Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  5:15 AM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.7 feet  tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.9 Wed 08 AM  17.7  16.1  14.0         


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 23, 12:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 12:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1254 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to
allow for continued MVFR conditions through the period. Where
storms occur, brief IFR conditions will exist along with gusty
wind near 30 knots./26/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Large area of mostly tropical rain continues this morning over the
ArkLaMiss Delta region with enough heavy rainfall being produced
to prompt flash flood warnings for part of the area. CAM models
show the rain area spreading to the east as the circulation center
moves into TN/KY.

A cold front dropping south into the region tonight looks to bring
some potent convection with it, but uncertainties exist at the
moment as to whether it will move into the forecast area./26/

Prior discussion below:

Through tonight:

At the time of this writing the center of Tropical Depression
Cindy was located over southeastern Arkansas and advancing in the
general direction of Memphis. Most of the consolidated heavy rain
associated with the center of Cindy has remained west of the
forecast area through most of the night, although just recently
some of this is starting to nudge into the Arklamiss Delta.
Meanwhile, the solid secondary thin heavy rain band causing issues
in the past 12 hours from coastal MS N/NE into central AL has
starting to break up some and migrate back to the west,
essentially bringing a stream of heavier showers back into SE MS,
at least temporarily.

For today, the remnants of Cindy will pick up speed to the
northeast as the trough associated with the current depression
links up with the southern fringes of the relatively fast northern
jet stream. As Cindy passes to the north of the region expect high
moisture transport north into the system to fuel additional
pockets of heavy rain through the our region, and even continue
to produce enough shear to warrant a low-end risk of severe
weather (mainly in the form of locally gusty winds and perhaps a
tornado or two). This risk of severe weather today will mainly be
for central and eastern zones and will be highlighted in the HWO
and graphics. The overall flooding threat fortunately does not
appear as impressive as it could be considering the close
vicinity of the passing tropical system, but there still remains
enough localized flash flooding threat (particularly over areas
that have received heavy rain in the past two days) to continue
the going flash flood through the afternoon in all areas.
Otherwise, there is a decent possibility at least the western
third of zones may be clear of a good deal of the rain by this
afternoon and some breaks in the clouds there could allow temps to
peak late into the upper 80s. Most other locales in the forecast
area will experience highs mainly in the low to mid 80s.

But the rain will certainly not be over after this afternoon,
especially along and north of the I-20 corridor. Model consensus
is pretty good that a cold front in the wake of the passing Cindy
will get shoved south quickly enough to work into northern
portions of the region from late evening through the overnight.
Current very tame lapse rates aloft will have recovered some by
then and lingering high moisture (precipitable water values around
2 inches) should be enough to yield a good deal of additional
showers and thunderstorms, even late into the night. Considering
non-insignificant flow aloft due to the southern fringes of the
impinging northern stream and the better lapse rates some strong
to maybe even marginally severe storms cannot be ruled out. In
addition, flooding will of course remain possible with some of
this activity in areas that are already saturated, although at
this time we will not extend the flash flood watch into tonight
because moisture transport that normally drives flash flooding
situations will have really calmed down. The subsequent shift will
examine the situation closely and make any adjustments necessary.
/BB/

Saturday through Thursday:

Models and their ensembles were continuing to show a somewhat
active period in the wake of Cindy. There will be plenty of
moisture in its wake with pwats in excess of 2 inches for
Saturday, which spells some locally heavy rainfall potential.
Meanwhile a broad latitude upper trough will bring a front into
the region over the weekend. Model solutions seem to bring the
front through the region a little faster on the 00z run by Sunday
morning. Drier air will come through the region behind the front
on Sunday night. This will confine our rain chances across our
southern counties at this time. Upper troughing will increase some
across the southeastern conus as high pressure builds into the
region from the Midsouth. By Monday evening the drier air will
scour out our rain chances across the south. Pwats will be
generally less than one inch. Nightly lows early next week will
dip into the comfortable 60s. As we go into the mid week period
the upper trough will exit to the east as upper ridging builds in
from the Southern Plains. This will allow return gulf flow to come
back across the region as pwats increase to around the 1.2 to 1.5
inch range. This will allow diurnal convective rain chances to
develop over the region./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       85  74  84  69 /  78  62  69  32
Meridian      86  74  85  68 /  67  61  80  38
Vicksburg     82  73  84  69 /  92  67  73  24
Hattiesburg   87  75  87  71 /  67  34  75  51
Natchez       83  74  84  70 /  72  50  78  38
Greenville    83  72  83  66 /  88  68  50  17
Greenwood     81  73  84  65 /  78  70  52  18

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>066-072>074.

LA...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 2:42 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>059-241945-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-
Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-
Clarke-Jefferson-
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Another band of showers and thunderstorms will move into the
region from the northwest during the evening. Isolated storms may
become severe with damaging winds being the main threat. Heavy
downpours may also pose a threat for localized flooding.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

LAZ024-026-MSZ060>066-072>074-241945-
Catahoula-Concordia-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 23, 1:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
153 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1108 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S VICKSBURG           32.31N 90.87W
06/23/2017                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWNED ALONG LAKEHILL DR.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jun 23, 1:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
157 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE JACKSON           32.34N 90.17W
06/23/2017                   HINDS              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER LINES DOWNED BY LARGE LIMBS ALONG
            KINGS HIGHWAY NEAR OLD CANTON RD. ESTIMATED
            45 MPH WIND.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jun 23, 2:02 PM CDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
202 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 WSW PELAHATCHIE       32.29N 89.88W
06/23/2017                   RANKIN             MS   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODING ON US 80 AT GULDE RD.

&&

DL
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:10 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
210 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

MSZ055-063-231945-
Lawrence MS-Simpson MS-
210 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL SIMPSON AND NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 208 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking thunderstorms producing
very heavy rainfall along a line extending from near Mendenhall to
near Sontag. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
localized flooding.

Locations impacted include...
Monticello, Shivers, Sontag, Oma, Wanilla and New Hebron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 9024 3171 9024 3172 9022 3173 9019
      3175 9012 3177 9013 3178 9012 3177 9011
      3179 9011 3179 9014 3182 9011 3191 8982
      3176 8993 3176 8997 3171 8997 3155 9010
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 229DEG 33KT 3190 8987 3166 9017

DL
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:19 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
219 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

MSZ052-232015-
Lauderdale MS-
219 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LAUDERDALE COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM CDT...

At 218 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Hickory to Meridian Naval Air
Station. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lauderdale, Meridian, Meridian Station, Marion, Zero, Increase,
Meehan, Toomsuba, Savoy, Suqualena, Kewanee, Nellieburg, Alamucha and
Daleville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8843 3223 8891 3244 8891 3258 8875
      3258 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 262DEG 34KT 3255 8853 3223 8889

DL
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:32 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
232 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

MSZ057-058-232030-
Jasper MS-Clarke MS-
232 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT JASPER AND CLARKE COUNTIES
THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 232 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Rose Hill to near Stringer. Movement
was east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Quitman, Stringer, Stonewall, Heidelberg, Paulding, Moss, Goodwater,
Rose Hill, Turnerville, Orange, Stafford Springs, Barnett, Sable,
Middleton, Garlandville, De Soto, Pachuta and Montrose.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8875 3180 8931 3222 8922 3223 8851
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 260DEG 26KT 3221 8899 3184 8923

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 6:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale25 min
Jun 23, 6:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton23 min
Jun 23, 8:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHumphreys, Leflore, Sunflower25 min
Jun 23, 9:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery30 min
Jun 23, 10:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala, Leake, Madison50 min
Jun 23, 10:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison3 hr
Jun 23, 10:59 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Yazoo3 hr
Jun 23, 11:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds, Madison, Rankin50 min
Jun 23, 11:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison3 hr
Jun 23, 11:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha47 min
Jun 23, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha35 min
Jun 23, 12:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake, Rankin, Scott3 hr
Jun 23, 12:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin, Scott61 min
Jun 23, 12:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes48 min
Jun 23, 12:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba, Newton53 min
Jun 23, 1:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper, Newton, Smith55 min
Jun 23, 2:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLawrence35 min
Jun 23, 2:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale56 min
Jun 23, 2:26 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren12 days
Jun 23, 2:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke, Jasper58 min
Jun 23, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale47 min
Jun 23, 3:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones55 min
Jun 23, 3:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANJones2 hr
Jun 23, 3:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke29 min
Jun 23, 4:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest, Lamar56 min
Jun 23, 6:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar64 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.