Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 45, NWS Jackson, MS

June 20, 2017Jones County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jun 20, 2017, 10:02 AM CDT for Jones County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 21, 2017, 4:41 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2017, 10:02 AM CDT (15:02 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 21, 2017, 4:41 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 28, 2017, 5:05 AM CDT
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Jones County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tallahala Creek at Laurel (LURM6).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16.5 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02473500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

968 
WGUS44 KJAN 201502
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1002 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Due to the approaching tropical system, 48 hours of forecast rainfall is being used for most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-212102-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0045.170622T1200Z-170624T2217Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T1200Z.170623T1800Z.170624T1017Z.NO/
1002 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet early Friday 
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13   9.6 Tue 10 AM  10.4  13.0  13.8  14.0 01 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
16 follow-up statements
232 
WGUS44 KJAN 211438
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
938 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-222038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.170621T2141Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170621T2141Z.170623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* from this afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 16.5 feet  Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  10.8 Wed 09 AM  15.1  16.5  15.1  16.5 07 AM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
137 
WGUS84 KJAN 220154
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
854 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-230754-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0640Z.170623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 16.5 feet  early
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  11.8 Wed 08 PM  13.8  16.3  15.8  16.5 01 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
189 
WGUS84 KJAN 221551
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Black Creek Near Brooklyn affecting Forrest County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for all 
forecast points today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC035-231200-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170623T1200Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.170623T0000Z.170623T0000Z.170623T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek Near Brooklyn
* until Friday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowland approximately
  5 miles up and downstream of the gage site.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black Creek
Brooklyn       20  19.3 Thu 10 AM  18.7  15.1  12.5  20.0 07 PM 06/22


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8915 3103 8925 3121 8951 3127 8943
      3113 8924 3110 8915             



$$

MSC067-232150-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.6 Thu 10 AM  15.8  14.1  13.2  16.0 01 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
768 
WGUS84 KJAN 230122
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
822 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-240722-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170623T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.8 Thu 08 PM  15.3  14.1  13.2  16.0 01 PM 06/23


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
396 
WGUS84 KJAN 231537
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for river
forecast points today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-242137-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will once again begin rising from water
  coming from Jasper County. The river will rise to near 16.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.1 Fri 10 AM  15.0  15.8  15.5  16.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-242136-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T1640Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170624T0336Z.170625T0000Z.170626T0440Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will 
  continue to rise to near 28.0 feet tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  23.7 Fri 10 AM  26.8  27.0  23.7  28.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
078 
WGUS84 KJAN 240104
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-250704-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.0 Fri 08 PM  15.0  15.8  15.5  16.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-250704-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0336Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0000Z.170626T1536Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday evening.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water is beginning to overflow the banks from  
  the confluence of the Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately  
  3 miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  25.3 Fri 07 PM  28.1  29.0  25.6  29.5 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
406 
WGUS84 KJAN 241537
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1037 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-252137-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.2 Sat 10 AM  15.9  15.3  15.8  16.0 07 PM 06/24


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
186 
WGUS44 KJAN 242012
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
312 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-260212-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170630T0112Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0000Z.170629T1312Z.NO/
312 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* until Thursday evening.
* At 2:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet just 
  after midnight tonight. 
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.4 Sat 03 PM  16.3  15.4  15.8  16.5 01 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
396 
WGUS84 KJAN 250110
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-260710-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170630T0112Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T1312Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.6 Sat 08 PM  16.3  15.4  15.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-260710-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0800Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T1200Z.170626T2000Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Monday night.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  28.2 Sat 07 PM  29.5  26.3  21.3  29.5 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
533 
WGUS84 KJAN 250117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-260717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170630T0112Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T1312Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Water begins to affect building on the right
  bank just downstream near Highway 15. Several other buildings 
  further downstream are affected as well.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  16.6 Sat 08 PM  16.3  15.4  15.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-260717-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170627T0800Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T1200Z.170626T2000Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Monday night.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  28.3 Sat 08 PM  29.5  26.3  21.3  29.5 07 AM 06/25


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
841 
WGUS84 KJAN 251539
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1039 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-262139-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170629T0300Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170628T1500Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will gradually fall and go below flood stage
  late Tuesday evening. 
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.7 Sun 10 AM  15.2  15.5  13.3           


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
678 
WGUS84 KJAN 260058
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-270658-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170629T0300Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170628T1500Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.7 feet  
  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins to cover Old Sandersville Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.4 Sun 08 PM  15.2  15.5  13.3  15.7 07 PM 06/26


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-261840-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-170626T1840Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.170623T2255Z.170625T0315Z.170626T0640Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water is beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  25.9 Sun 07 PM  24.2  20.1  16.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
287 
WGUS84 KJAN 261503
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1003 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-272103-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170629T1200Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T0000Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall and will
  fall below flood stage on Wednesday evening.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.4 Mon 10 AM  15.0  13.8  12.3 Blo Fs 6/28pm         


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
247 
WGUS84 KJAN 270156
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
856 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-280756-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170629T1200Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170629T0000Z.NO/
856 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Thursday morning.
* At 8:45 PM Monday the stage was 15.1 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 13 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  15.1 Mon  9 PM  14.8  13.7  12.3      Falling

&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

DL
311 
WGUS84 KJAN 280112
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
812 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-282136-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170628T2136Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170628T0936Z.NO/
812 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage overnight
  tonight.
* Impact...At 13 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.6 Tue  8 PM  12.8   9.8   6.3      Falling      


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

DL
902 
WGUS84 KJAN 281005
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
505 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-281035-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-170628T2136Z/
/LURM6.2.ER.170622T0815Z.170625T0045Z.170628T0930Z.NO/
505 AM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  4:30 AM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.4 feet  tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13  13.0 Wed 05 AM  12.7   8.4   4.2              


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 20, 5:54 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 5:54 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
554 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Patchy low stratus clouds are reducing ceilings to MVFR/IFR range
early this morning at a few sites. Otherwise, VFR conditions
prevail across the remainder of the area. Numerous showers and
some thunderstorms will spread northward into the area as the
tropical low over the Gulf moves toward the coast, affecting areas
south of I-20 by late morning/afternoon and reaching locations
farther north and west later tonight. Additional scattered
SHRA/TSRA will develop farther north across central MS and
northeast LA during the afternoon hours. Occasional visibility
reductions in heavy bands of rain are possible. NE/E winds may be
gusty at times on Tuesday, with gusts over 20 kt possible. Tuesday
night, ceiling reductions will become possible, especially at
sites over the southern half of the area. /DL/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through tonight:

Main focus during the short term and beyond is on the
tropical/subtropical low moving northward across the Gulf of
Mexico. A stalling front is now located generally from the AR/LA
border to around the Golden Triangle this morning. To the north of
this front, GOES-16 TPW values are around 1" - 1 1/4". South of
the front, a moisture rich environment exists with values closer
to 2". There's also a slight surface dewpoint discontinuity across
the boundary, with upper 60s dewpoints to the north and 70s to
the south. The main driver for rain chances today and tonight,
however, will be the low over the Gulf. Rain bands, which are
already flirting with the coast this morning, will begin to
advance into the Pine Belt by late morning/afternoon, spreading
closer to the I-20 corridor by early evening. In addition during
the afternoon, we'll likely see convection form farther north
along a convergent axis between the surface front and the rain
shield associated with the Gulf low. This activity will be more
diurnal in nature, and will likely taper off/lose intensity into
tonight, while the rain shield with the low will continue through
the night. Rain will likely limit high temps in the southeast
today, so I opted to cut guidance in the Pine Belt to account for
this.

The heaviest rain in association with the low over the Gulf likely
will not arrive until Wednesday, but there's potential for a few
heavier rain bands to begin reaching the Pine Belt by this
afternoon. Also, given the tropical airmass in place across much of
the area, localized flooding cannot be ruled out with the convection
farther north this afternoon. Thus, we will begin advertising a
limited flooding threat in the HWO/graphics over roughly the SE half
of the area beginning this afternoon, while maintaining an elevated
threat within this area across portions of south Mississippi (mainly
the Hwy 84 corridor and south). In addition, we will expand the
Flash Flood Watch northward (roughly another row of counties) and
push back the beginning to 18Z today, though the greatest potential
will begin tomorrow. More details on that threat below... /DL/

Wednesday into early next week:

Wednesday through Friday there is now relatively good model
consensus for the tropical/subtropical low center to move inland
in the vicinity of SE TX/SW LA (Wednesday) and then track in a
more-or-less northward curved path near the eastern border of our
forecast area (Thursday through Friday). Many subtropical
characteristics of the system will ensure showers and embedded
thunderstorms associated with the system are mainly east of the
system, and in some cases spread well to the east. This aspect
will keep rain chances high for the region from the middle to end
of the work week. Model consensus now suggests best moisture
transport (at least well-inland moisture advection) will set up
right into our central and southern zones during the day Wednesday
and into Wednesday night and rain chances have been upped
drastically in some of these areas with lots of clouds and rain
perhaps holding highs below 80 degrees in a few spots. As alluded
to in the short term discussion, the flash flood watch has been
pulled north a little to account for trends but it is certainly
possible subsequent shifts will need to pull the northern edge of
the watch up even more if trends hold. Instability will likely be
quite limited on Wednesday owing to relatively cool surface and
warm temperatures aloft but there still could be a few rumbles of
thunder.

By Thursday the intense moisture advection axis will likely shift
to our east but expected strong and moist southerly flow over the
bulk of our region will keep rain chances high. The probable lack
of a widespread rain shield will allow temperature to get up into
the 80s in most areas with some surface destabilization
resulting. Taking in concert with somewhat troubling low to mid
layer wind shear on the NE/E side of the low center this
instability may drive pockets of rotating thunderstorms with non-
negligible tornado potential. The Storm Prediction Center concurs
with this threat and has introduced a marginal risk for severe
weather to mainly cover this tornado threat. In addition,
atmospheric precipitable water values well in excess of 2 inches
will be conducive for efficient rain processes in showers and
storms and a limited flooding threat will be expanded to all
areas.

Thursday night the coverage of showers and isolated storms will
likely diminish some as widespread precipitation probably pulls
back west toward the low center. However, by Friday, the consensus
indications of the curved path of the low may keep our region in
a zone of high moisture transport, and thus rather widespread
shower and isolated storm coverage, on the south and southeast
side of the system. There is certainly some potential the
associated flooding threat could increase and concentrate toward
western and northern zones as we go through Friday and Friday
night if the consensus track holds. However, given inherent
uncertainties this far out will just maintain advertising a
limited flooding threat for the whole area during this time
period.

Hopefully by Saturday rain chances and the associated heavy rain
threat will be ramping down some, but certainly some precipitation
chances will continue. This will remain the case through at least
Sunday night as model consensus is gradually increasing that a
cold front will push down into the region from the north and into
the very soupy air mass in place. Fortunately the tame lapse rates
will likely limit potential for any severe weather this weekend.

Yesterday the idea of this theoretical cold front clearing south
of the area was not well-represented by models, but it is looking
more plausible after examining the breadth of solutions tonight.
Cross your fingers on that outcome becomes if it comes to pass
some extremely pleasant air (by late June standards) could flow
south into the region and provide the forecast area with a much
needed dry stretch of weather. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  70  81  73 /  47  44  75  78
Meridian      81  70  79  73 /  63  72  82  79
Vicksburg     86  72  83  74 /  26  26  57  72
Hattiesburg   78  70  80  74 /  86  89  88  79
Natchez       83  71  82  74 /  40  48  72  78
Greenville    88  71  86  73 /   5   9  26  45
Greenwood     87  70  85  73 /  14  15  33  50

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     evening for MSZ061>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

DL/BB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 20, 5:23 AM CDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
523 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>030-034>036-
040>043-047-048-053-211030-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-
Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-
523 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southeastern
Arkansas, northeastern Louisiana, northwestern Mississippi, west
central Mississippi, and portions of central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Flooding is possible for this area of the region Wednesday through
Friday night as a tropical disturbance moves around the western
periphery of the region. Widespread rain totals of a few inches
are anticipated but pockets of heavier totals will likely occur
and could lead to flash flooding.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for the
entire outlook area on Thursday. The main threat with any severe
storms will be gusty winds and brief tornadoes.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday.

MSZ031>033-037>039-044>046-049>052-054>060-211030-
Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-
Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-
523 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Mississippi and
portions of central, northeastern, and southwestern Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Flash flooding will be possible today due to the threat of
torrential rainfall in associated with thunderstorms, mainly in
the midday to afternoon hours.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Flooding is possible for this area of the region Wednesday through
Friday night as a tropical disturbance moves around the western
periphery of the region. Widespread rain totals of a few inches
are anticipated but pockets of heavier totals will likely occur
and could lead to flash flooding.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for the
entire outlook area on Thursday. The main threat with any severe
storms will be gusty winds and brief tornadoes.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday.

MSZ061>066-072>074-211030-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
523 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of and south
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Later Today through Tonight

Rain is expected to increase through the day today, and especially
into tonight, as a tropical disturbance moves closer to the Gulf
Coast. Flooding potential will slowly increase with totals of a
few inches possible in some spots by later tonight.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Flooding is expected to these areas of south central and
southeastern Mississippi Wednesday through Friday night as a
tropical disturbance moves around the western periphery of the
region. Widespread rain totals of 2 to 4 inches are anticipated
but pockets of heavier totals will likely occur and should lead
to at least a few instances of flooding. This will especially be
the case later Wednesday into Wednesday night.

In addition, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for the
entire outlook area on Thursday. The main threat with any severe
storms will be gusty winds and brief tornadoes.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 7:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.