Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Lincoln, IL

087 
WWUS53 KILX 262116
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
416 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

ILC113-262145-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170526T2145Z/
McLean-
416 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MCLEAN COUNTY...

At 415 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Colfax, or 8
miles southwest of Fairbury, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Colfax, Cropsey and Anchor. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for central
Illinois.

LAT...LON 4062 8858 4062 8846 4053 8846 4058 8868
      4071 8870 4074 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 271DEG 34KT 4065 8860 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Barker

433 
WWUS53 KILX 262135
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
435 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

ILC113-262145-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170526T2145Z/
McLean-
435 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MCLEAN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for central
Illinois.

LAT...LON 4062 8858 4062 8846 4053 8846 4058 8868
      4071 8870 4074 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 271DEG 36KT 4065 8836 

$$

Barker

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
259 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

Clusters of thunderstorms along the southern periphery of an MCV
will track across north-central Illinois this afternoon into the
early evening.  Based on radar trends and output from the HRRR and
3km NAM, it appears locations along/north of the I-74 corridor will
be impacted through about 00z/7pm.  As a result, have increased PoPs
to likely across this area through the remainder of the afternoon.
Once this system races into Indiana, it will drag a weak cold front
southward into central Illinois this evening.  With strong WAA
occurring throughout the entire depth of the atmosphere, mid-level
capping will be strong enough to prevent much convection from
developing along the trailing front. Have therefore only carried
slight chance PoPs across the southern two-thirds of the KILX CWA
from mid-evening through the overnight hours.  With the boundary in
the vicinity, winds are expected to become light/variable.  Given
increasing boundary layer moisture (both from advection and any
rainfall that occurs this afternoon), think fog will develop
tonight.  HRRR continues to show fog developing along the I-74
corridor by around midnight, then spreading further southward across
the remainder of the area as the night progresses.  Have added
patchy fog across the board accordingly.

Frontal boundary will stall along the I-70 corridor late tonight
through Saturday and will eventually serve as a focusing mechanism
for strong to potentially severe convection late Saturday.  Latest
models have continued to trend later with the next round of storms,
with most high-res solutions shifting the emphasis into the evening.
Given good consensus that Saturday will be dry, have dropped PoPs
until late in the afternoon across the far SW CWA.  Main event will
arrive Saturday evening, with models still not set on an exact
timing just yet.  NAM/GFS are the fastest models, with convection
developing upstream across Kansas during the afternoon...then
tracking eastward along the boundary and arriving in west-central
Illinois by early evening.  Meanwhile, other convective-allowing
models such as the WRF-NMM and WRF-ARW delay the arrival of the
convection until late evening into the overnight hours.  Storm mode
by the time the system arrives will be linear, so damaging wind
gusts with an isolated tornado threat would be most probable.  At
this time, have gone with likely PoPs across the western half of the
CWA during the evening, then further east to the Indiana border
after midnight.  If trends continue, the timing may eventually need
to be adjusted a bit later.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

Once the Saturday night wave of convection passes to the east, it
will give the stalled frontal boundary a push to the south on
Sunday.  Airmass destabilizes ahead of the front by afternoon,
resulting in scattered thunderstorm development primarily along and
south of I-70.  Have included 30 PoPs across this area, with little
or no precip expected further north across the remainder of the
area.  High temperatures on Sunday will reach the middle to upper
70s.

Pronounced upper low will dig southward through Ontario into the
Great Lakes early next week, resulting in a cooling trend across
central Illinois.  A weak surface trough will sink southward around
the parent low on Monday, potentially bringing a few showers.
Convergence along the boundary will be weak and with the main upper
cold core still to the north, think areal coverage of precip will
remain low.  As a result, have only mentioned slight chance PoPs for
showers/thunder along and north of I-74 Monday afternoon.  Cool/dry
conditions will prevail Monday night into Tuesday before the next
potential system spreads showers across south-central Illinois
Tuesday night.  After that, mainly dry weather is expected until a
stronger system brings the next chance for rain by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

A cluster of thunderstorms has developed across west-central
Illinois early this afternoon and will continue tracking eastward
over the next several hours. Based on radar trends, have included
TEMPO thunder at KPIA between 18z and 20z. Further east, have
only gone with VCTS at KBMI and KCMI until convective certainty
and timing become better established. Once this wave passes, it
will push a weak cold front southward into the area this evening.
Isolated convection may develop along the boundary, so have
included VCTS at both KSPI and KDEC between 21z and 01z. After
that, winds will become light/variable and fog development will
become an issue. HRRR suggests fog will first develop along the
I-74 corridor where rain will be most prevalent this afternoon by
around 06z...then will develop/spread southward toward dawn. Have
therefore reduced visbys around midnight, with widespread IFR
ceilings and visbys down to around 2 miles between 09z and 13z.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM...Barnes
AVIATION...Barnes

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
319 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

ILZ027-028-272030-
Knox-Stark-
319 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A series of disturbances will bring periodic thunderstorm chances
from Saturday evening through Sunday. At this time it appears
that a few strong to severe storms will be possible Saturday
evening, with large hail and damaging winds possible. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible on Monday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

ILZ029>031-036>038-041>046-053-055-057-272030-
Champaign-De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Fulton-Logan-Macon-Marshall-Mason-
McLean-Peoria-Piatt-Tazewell-Vermilion-Woodford-
319 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Scattered thunderstorms will linger into early evening. There is
a Slight Risk of severe storms, with large hail and damaging
winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A series of disturbances will bring periodic thunderstorm chances
from late Saturday afternoon through Sunday. At this time it
appears that strong to severe storms will be possible mainly Saturday
evening, with large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes possible.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible north of Lincoln on
Monday afternoon.

Flooding will subside along the Illinois River at Peoria tonight,
but will continue downstream through the entire period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through 7 pm.

ILZ040-047>052-054-056-061-062-066-272030-
Cass-Christian-Coles-Cumberland-Effingham-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-
Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-
319 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a chance of thunderstorms early this evening. There is a
marginal risk of severe storms, with hail and damaging winds
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A series of disturbances will bring periodic thunderstorm chances
from late Saturday afternoon through Sunday. At this time it
appears that strong to severe storms will be possible mainly Saturday
evening, with large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes possible.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible north of Lincoln on
Monday afternoon.

Flooding will subside along the Illinois River at Peoria tonight,
but will continue downstream through the entire period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed between 4 pm and 7 pm.

ILZ063-067-068-071>073-272030-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
319 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a chance of thunderstorms later this afternoon and tonight.
There is a marginal risk of severe storms with damaging winds and
hail possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY....

A series of disturbances will bring periodic thunderstorm chances
from late Saturday afternoon through Sunday. At this time it
appears that strong to severe storms will be possible, during late
Saturday afternoon into Saturday night and again on Sunday.

Flooding will continue along the Wabash River for several more
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed between 4 pm and 7 pm.

Shimon

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
152 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

ILZ027-036-261930-
Knox-Fulton-
152 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FULTON AND SOUTHERN
KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 150 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Avon, or 17 miles southeast of Monmouth, moving east at 50 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Abingdon, Farmington, Avon, Yates City, Fairview, London Mills,
Maquon, Norris, St. Augustine, Ellisville, Delong and Middle Grove.

LAT...LON 4063 8999 4059 9044 4082 9044 4087 8999
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 262DEG 41KT 4070 9048

Barker

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
229 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

ILZ029-037-262015-
Tazewell-Peoria-
229 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TAZEWELL AND CENTRAL
PEORIA COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

At 229 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Farmington, or 8 miles northeast of Canton, moving east at 45 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Peoria, Pekin, East Peoria, Morton, Washington, Bartonville, Creve
Coeur, West Peoria, Marquette Heights, Bellevue, Hanna City, Trivoli,
Goodfield, Deer Creek, Peoria Heights, North Pekin, Groveland,
Norwood, Smithville and Mossville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 155 between mile markers 30 and 31.
 Interstate 474 between mile markers 0 and 14.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 81 and 109.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4082 8954 4079 8957 4075 8955 4074 8933
      4062 8933 4062 8927 4058 8927 4061 8988
      4062 8988 4063 8999 4072 8999 4073 8998
      4083 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 264DEG 40KT 4067 8996

Barker

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
255 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     HAIL             PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
05/26/2017  M0.88 INCH       PEORIA             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT THE INTERSECTION OF ADAMS AND SPAULDING

&&

SHIMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
320 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     HAIL             2 SE EAST PEORIA        40.65N 89.52W
05/26/2017  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR SPRINGFIELD AND MULLER

0305 PM     HAIL             CANTON                  40.56N 90.04W
05/26/2017  M0.88 INCH       FULTON             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0306 PM     HAIL             EAST PEORIA             40.67N 89.55W
05/26/2017  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR MEADOWS AND PLEASANT HILL RD

0306 PM     HAIL             EAST PEORIA             40.67N 89.55W
05/26/2017  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT THE INTERSECTION OF MEADOWS AND PLEASANT HILL RD

0308 PM     HAIL             MORTON                  40.61N 89.47W
05/26/2017  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL MEASURED NEAR JEFFERSON AND 4TH STREET

&&

EJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
404 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MORTON                  40.61N 89.47W
05/26/2017                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MANY TREES AND POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN IN MORTON NORTH OF
            I-74...INCLUDING NORTH MORTON AVE...AND NEAR TENNESSEE RD
            AND LAKELAND RD. TRAFFIC SIGNS ALSO BLOWN DOWN ON HARDING
            AVE.

&&

EJL