Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Lincoln, IL

709 
WWUS53 KILX 191107
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
607 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ILC017-021-129-137-167-171-191145-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170519T1145Z/
Menard-Scott-Christian-Sangamon-Cass-Morgan-
607 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT
FOR MENARD...SCOTT...CHRISTIAN...SANGAMON...CASS AND MORGAN
COUNTIES...

At 606 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Meredosia to near Girard to near Sorento, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Jacksonville, Taylorville, Virginia, Winchester,
Chatham, Alexander, Auburn, Sherman, Rochester, Riverton, Pawnee,
Petersburg, Athens, Kincaid, Williamsville, New Berlin, Ashland,
Waverly and Divernon.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 55 between mile markers 77 and 109.
 Interstate 72 between mile markers 46 and 124.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4006 9029 4005 9020 4010 9000
      4014 8997 4013 8975 4015 8963 4009 8958
      3997 8957 3983 8921 3981 8921 3980 8914
      3935 8912 3935 8953 3952 8954 3952 9058
      3964 9061
TIME...MOT...LOC 1106Z 222DEG 48KT 3977 9054 3943 8989 3894 8967 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Bak

766 
WWUS53 KILX 191128
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
628 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ILC171-191137-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170519T1145Z/
Scott-
628 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SCOTT COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4006 9029 4005 9020 4010 9000
      4014 8997 4013 8975 4015 8963 4009 8960
      4009 8958 3997 8957 3983 8921 3981 8921
      3980 8914 3935 8912 3935 8953 3952 8954
      3975 9037 3981 9050
TIME...MOT...LOC 1127Z 224DEG 54KT 3998 9029 3963 8964 3914 8942 

$$

ILC017-021-129-137-167-191145-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170519T1145Z/
Menard-Christian-Sangamon-Cass-Morgan-
628 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT
FOR MENARD...CHRISTIAN...SANGAMON...CASS AND NORTHERN MORGAN
COUNTIES...

At 627 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Virginia to near Pawnee to near Schram City,
moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Jacksonville, Taylorville, Virginia, Chatham, Alexander,
Auburn, Sherman, Rochester, Riverton, Pawnee, Petersburg, Athens,
Kincaid, Williamsville, New Berlin, Ashland, Divernon, Edinburg and
Morrisonville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 55 between mile markers 79 and 109.
 Interstate 72 between mile markers 68 and 124.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4006 9029 4005 9020 4010 9000
      4014 8997 4013 8975 4015 8963 4009 8960
      4009 8958 3997 8957 3983 8921 3981 8921
      3980 8914 3935 8912 3935 8953 3952 8954
      3975 9037 3981 9050
TIME...MOT...LOC 1127Z 224DEG 54KT 3998 9029 3963 8964 3914 8942 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Bak

622 
WWUS53 KILX 191141
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
641 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

ILC017-021-129-137-167-191150-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170519T1145Z/
Menard-Christian-Sangamon-Cass-Morgan-
641 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MENARD...CHRISTIAN...
SANGAMON...CASS AND NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 AM
CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 4010 9031 4006 9029 4005 9020 4010 9000
      4014 8997 4013 8975 4015 8963 4009 8960
      4009 8958 3997 8957 3983 8921 3981 8921
      3980 8914 3935 8912 3935 8953 3952 8954
      3975 9037 3981 9050
TIME...MOT...LOC 1140Z 224DEG 54KT 4010 9012 3975 8948 3926 8926 

$$

Bak

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
352 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Active weather expected through Sat night across central and
southeast IL with 1.5 to 2 inches of rain likely by Sunday
morning. Strong 557 dm 500 mb low low over western CO to eject ne
to MN Sat night and bring the unsettled wx to IL.

An expanding area of showers and thunderstorms that started near
a frontal boundary just south of I-72 late Thu evening, has
expanded almost as far north as Peoria and Bloomington and as far
south as Shelbyville to Terre Haute. Thunderstorms mainly
producing heavy rains and frequent lightning though had a few hail
reports earlier in the night including 1 inch hail in Ivesdale in
Champaign county at 1045 pm. Currently the frontal boundary has
sagged south of a Taylorville to Mattoon to Terre Haute line with
the convection along and north of this boundary. Increasing ENE
winds north of this boundary have been gusting to around 30 mph
over northern CWA. Temps range from lower 50s from Lacon and
Bloomington ne to the upper 60s and lower 70s in southeast IL.

A larger area of convection was over IA/MO and will lift ne across
central IL during this morning. Frontal boundary will slip into
southeast IL during today, getting a better push south during the
afternoon and reaching near Lawrenceville by sunset. Looks like a
lull in convection for a time late this morning into mid
afternoon. Then isolated to scattered convection to develop late
this afternoon or more likely this evening as another wave lifts
ne. SPC has central and southern CWA in a slight risk while
marginal risk from Rushville to Rantoul north, and just general
risk of thunder over Knox, Stark and Marshall counties. Highs
today to range from near 60F north of Peoria, to the lower 80s in
southeast IL south of I-70. Lows tonight range from mid to upper
50s northern CWA to the mid to upper 60s southern CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Surface low pressure ejecting ne from central plains into western
IA late Saturday to pull the front north as a warm front across
central IL during Sat morning and be accompanied by another round
of showers and thunderstorms. Should be a lull again during midday
Saturday before more convection develops in unstable airmass and
approaching cold front later Sat afternoon and evening. Cold front
to track east over IL later Sat evening and overnight Sat night.
SPC has slight risk of severe storms east of I-55 on Sat
afternoon/evening while marginal risk along and west of I-55.
Warmer highs Sat of 80-85F expect upper 70s nw of the IL river.

Deepening surface low pressure moves into nw WI by 12Z/7 am Sunday
and north of Lake Superior by sunset Sunday. 00Z models continue
faster trend of returning drier weather on Sunday from the west,
with just slight chance of showers along and east of a Danville to
Effingham line Sunday morning, then dry with partly to mostly
sunny skies and breezy westerly winds. Cooler highs Sunday in mid
60s nw of the IL river and lower 70s in southeast IL. Cool night
Sunday night as winds become light and fair skies with weak high
pressure of 1020 mb settling into mid MS river valley. Lows
Sunday night in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Dry condtions still expected Monday with some increasing clouds
from the west Monday afternoon. Highs Monday in low to mid 70s.
Models continue to dig a strong upper level trof into the Midwest
on Tue with cold front moves se through IL by Tue afternoon.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms to spread east over area during
Monday night and continue through Wed as upper level low/trof
shifts east into the ohio river valley. Highs Tue range from mid
60s over IL river valley to lower 70s in southeast IL, similar to
Sundays highs. Then cooler highs in the lower 60s on Wed across
area. Have 20-30% chance of showers in eastern IL Wed evening,
then dry across area by overnight Wed night. But this is short
live as another chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms
returns to CWA by Thu afternoon/evening as clipper low pressure
dives se into ne IL and southern Lake MI. Highs Thu in the upper
60s to near 70F and in the lower 70s on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

A frontal boundary has recently slipped just south of i-72 and was
producing a narrow band of showers and thunderstorms along I-72
past 1-2 hours and to continue affecting the CMI, DEC, and SPI
airports next 1-2 hours. Have MVFR ceilings and vsbys occurring
and possibly briefly IFR vsbys with heavier rains. Hi resolution
models show another larger area of convection spreading ne over
central IL between 10-14Z and have reintroduced TSRA along with
MVFR conditions. Ceilings should lower to 1-2k ft and possibly
getting to IFR for a time on Friday with central IL airports
staying on cool side of the frontal boundary to our south. Yet
another wave of convection appears to spread ne over central IL
during Friday evening. East to NE winds of 8-14 kts prevail next
24 hours with gusts of 15-25 kts at times possible.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
306 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

ILZ027-028-030-191100-
Knox-Marshall-Stark-
306 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A few thunderstorms will be possible late tonight. No severe
weather is anticipated at this time.

The Illinois River will remain in flood.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A rather active weather pattern will develop over the area
starting on Friday as a storm pushes out of the Southern Plains.
This weather disturbance will bring a daily chance for
thunderstorms to central Illinois through early Sunday. At this
time, it appears the greater probability for organized severe
weather will be south of the area. However, a few of the storms
over central Illinois will be capable of producing gusty winds,
hail and heavy rainfall.

The Illinois River will fall below Flood Stage in Henry Friday
evening and in Peoria by Sunday, while the river is expected to
remain above Flood Stage at Havana and Beardstown through the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

ILZ029-031-036>038-040>057-061-191100-
Cass-Champaign-Christian-Coles-De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Fulton-Logan-
Macon-Mason-McLean-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-Peoria-Piatt-Sangamon-
Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-Tazewell-Vermilion-Woodford-
306 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A few thunderstorms will be possible late tonight. No severe
weather is anticipated at this time.

The Illinois River will remain in flood.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A rather active weather pattern will develop over the area
starting on Friday as a storm pushes out of the Southern Plains.
This weather disturbance will bring a daily chance for
thunderstorms to central and east central Illinois through early
Sunday. There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms on Friday
afternoon and evening with the primary threat being damaging wind
gusts, large hail and heavy rainfall.

The Illinois River will fall below Flood Stage in Henry Friday
evening and in Peoria by Sunday, while the river is expected to
remain above Flood Stage at Havana and Beardstown through the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-191100-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Cumberland-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
306 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible today into tonight. A few
of the storms may be capable of producing gusty winds and hail,
although the threat for organized severe weather is low during
this time frame.

The Wabash River will remain in flood through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A rather active weather pattern will develop over the area starting
Friday as a storm pushes out of the Southern Plains. This weather
disturbance will bring a daily chance for thunderstorms to southeast
Illinois through Sunday. There is a slight risk for severe
thunderstorms on Friday afternoon and evening with the primary
threat being damaging wind gusts, large hail and heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Auten

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1159 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     HAIL             IVESDALE                39.95N 88.46W
05/18/2017  M1.00 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED BY WAND-TV

&&

SHIMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
428 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DECATUR AIRPORT         39.83N 88.87W
05/19/2017  M3.46 INCH       MACON              IL   ASOS

            DECATUR AIRPORT MEASURED 3.46 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 1003
            PM THURSDAY.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
439 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DECATUR AIRPORT         39.83N 88.87W
05/19/2017  M3.46 INCH       MACON              IL   ASOS

            DECATUR AIRPORT MEASURED 3.46 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 1103
            PM THURSDAY.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
440 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CHAMPAIGN               40.11N 88.26W
05/19/2017  M0.96 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   ASOS

            RAINFALL MEASURED SINCE 10 PM THURSDAY.

&&

07