Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Lincoln, IL

160 
WWUS53 KILX 072320
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
620 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

ILC033-072345-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-170707T2345Z/
Crawford-
620 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...

At 620 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Robinson,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Robinson, Flat Rock, New Hebron and Stoy. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3889 8754 3888 8753 3887 8754 3885 8755
      3885 8769 3896 8787 3899 8790 3907 8778
      3893 8752 3891 8753 3890 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 305DEG 17KT 3900 8780 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Smith

764 
WWUS53 KILX 072340
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
640 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

ILC033-072350-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-170707T2345Z/
Crawford-
640 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3889 8754 3888 8753 3887 8754 3885 8755
      3885 8769 3896 8787 3899 8790 3907 8778
      3893 8752 3891 8753 3890 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 310DEG 25KT 3891 8766 

$$

Smith

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Initial cold front has passed through Decatur and should soon be
in Champaign, although the drier air is lagging behind and the dew
point drop is closer to I-80. MCS that formed over northern
Indiana earlier today has been staying off to our east, although
there were a few thunderstorms clipping Vermilion and Edgar
counties. Some convection has also formed closer to the dew point
discontinuity, but this is also on track to largely miss us. The
main front should clear the southeast CWA in a few hours, with any
lingering rain threat ending by sunset.

Drier northwest flow will prevail overnight into Saturday, as
high pressure settles into the mid-Mississippi Valley. Thus, while
temperatures should still reach the 80s Saturday, humidity levels
will not be as oppressive as today.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Focus for the longer range remains with the transition to a more
zonal flow early next week, which will spread the heat dome east
from the Rockies. 850 mb temperatures should be in the 20-21C
vicinity over our area as early as Monday, and fluctuate around
there through the week. Some indications seen on the longer range
models of the upper ridge re-establishing itself over the Rockies,
which would potentially bring a cooler northwest flow back close
to our area by the end of the week. Highs in the lower 90s are
likely in many areas mid to late week, with heat index values
getting closer to 100 or higher.

Precipitation trends will be closely tied to various MCS features
that ride along the periphery of the upper ridge. Sunday night
and early Monday looks to be the best shot of anything widespread
over the forecast area. After that, the focus will gradually be
shifting northward as the ridge starts to build east and flatten.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Main concern will be with the period through 00Z. A cold front was
pushing across central Illinois at midday, with scattered
convection mainly KBMI-KDEC eastward through about 21-22Z. Have
included VCTS mention in these areas for the first few hours of
the forecast period. Winds are mostly out of the west at the TAF
sites except for CMI, and will be trending toward the northwest
late afternoon. Gusts around 20 knots will be subsiding late
afternoon. After that, mainly clear skies expected with light
northwest winds.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Geelhart
LONG TERM...Geelhart
AVIATION...Geelhart

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

ILZ027>031-036-037-040>042-047>051-081100-
Cass-Fulton-Knox-Logan-Marshall-Mason-Menard-Morgan-Peoria-
Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Stark-Tazewell-Woodford-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ038-043-044-052>054-061-081100-
Christian-De Witt-Macon-McLean-Moultrie-Piatt-Shelby-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and east central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible, as a cold front approaches
the area from the northwest. There is a marginal risk of severe
weather later this afternoon and this evening. Damaging winds and
large hail are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Best chances for spotter activation will be from 3 pm to 5 pm if
necessary.

ILZ045-046-055>057-062-063-066>068-071>073-081100-
Champaign-Clark-Clay-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-Douglas-Edgar-
Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-Vermilion-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Scattered thunderstorms are possible, as a cold front approaches
the area from the northwest. There is a slight risk of severe
weather this afternoon and this evening. Damaging winds and large
hail are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Best chances for spotter activation will be from 3 pm to 6 pm if
necessary.

HJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
558 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

ILZ067-068-072345-
Jasper-Crawford-
558 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRAWFORD AND EAST CENTRAL JASPER
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 557 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Oblong, or 8 miles northwest of Robinson, moving southeast at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Robinson, Oblong, Palestine, Flat Rock, New Hebron, Hardinville,
Eaton, Stoy, Trimble and Crawford County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3889 8754 3889 8753 3886 8755 3885 8754
      3885 8778 3902 8802 3917 8789 3903 8757
      3900 8758 3899 8756 3899 8758 3896 8751
      3891 8753 3890 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 305DEG 19KT 3906 8788

Smith