Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Lincoln, IL

382 
WWUS53 KILX 072218
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
518 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

ILC023-045-072245-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170707T2245Z/
Edgar-Clark-
518 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDGAR AND NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTIES...

At 517 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Oliver, or 
about 5 miles south of Paris, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

Locations impacted include...
Marshall, Dennison, Oliver, Bell Ridge and Sandford. 

This includes Interstate 70 between mile marker 146 and the Indiana 
border.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Lincoln.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8755 3948 8781 3957 8775 3956 8753
      3936 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 297DEG 16KT 3951 8769 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Geelhart

591 
WWUS53 KILX 072245
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
545 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

ILC023-045-072254-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170707T2245Z/
Edgar-Clark-
545 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDGAR AND
NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty 
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm as it tracks across 
northeastern Clark County. 

LAT...LON 3934 8755 3948 8781 3957 8775 3956 8753
      3936 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 288DEG 15KT 3948 8755 

$$

Smith

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Initial cold front has passed through Decatur and should soon be
in Champaign, although the drier air is lagging behind and the dew
point drop is closer to I-80. MCS that formed over northern
Indiana earlier today has been staying off to our east, although
there were a few thunderstorms clipping Vermilion and Edgar
counties. Some convection has also formed closer to the dew point
discontinuity, but this is also on track to largely miss us. The
main front should clear the southeast CWA in a few hours, with any
lingering rain threat ending by sunset.

Drier northwest flow will prevail overnight into Saturday, as
high pressure settles into the mid-Mississippi Valley. Thus, while
temperatures should still reach the 80s Saturday, humidity levels
will not be as oppressive as today.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Focus for the longer range remains with the transition to a more
zonal flow early next week, which will spread the heat dome east
from the Rockies. 850 mb temperatures should be in the 20-21C
vicinity over our area as early as Monday, and fluctuate around
there through the week. Some indications seen on the longer range
models of the upper ridge re-establishing itself over the Rockies,
which would potentially bring a cooler northwest flow back close
to our area by the end of the week. Highs in the lower 90s are
likely in many areas mid to late week, with heat index values
getting closer to 100 or higher.

Precipitation trends will be closely tied to various MCS features
that ride along the periphery of the upper ridge. Sunday night
and early Monday looks to be the best shot of anything widespread
over the forecast area. After that, the focus will gradually be
shifting northward as the ridge starts to build east and flatten.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Main concern will be with the period through 00Z. A cold front was
pushing across central Illinois at midday, with scattered
convection mainly KBMI-KDEC eastward through about 21-22Z. Have
included VCTS mention in these areas for the first few hours of
the forecast period. Winds are mostly out of the west at the TAF
sites except for CMI, and will be trending toward the northwest
late afternoon. Gusts around 20 knots will be subsiding late
afternoon. After that, mainly clear skies expected with light
northwest winds.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Geelhart
LONG TERM...Geelhart
AVIATION...Geelhart

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

ILZ027>031-036-037-040>042-047>051-081100-
Cass-Fulton-Knox-Logan-Marshall-Mason-Menard-Morgan-Peoria-
Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Stark-Tazewell-Woodford-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ038-043-044-052>054-061-081100-
Christian-De Witt-Macon-McLean-Moultrie-Piatt-Shelby-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and east central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible, as a cold front approaches
the area from the northwest. There is a marginal risk of severe
weather later this afternoon and this evening. Damaging winds and
large hail are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Best chances for spotter activation will be from 3 pm to 5 pm if
necessary.

ILZ045-046-055>057-062-063-066>068-071>073-081100-
Champaign-Clark-Clay-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-Douglas-Edgar-
Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-Vermilion-
334 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Scattered thunderstorms are possible, as a cold front approaches
the area from the northwest. There is a slight risk of severe
weather this afternoon and this evening. Damaging winds and large
hail are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Scattered storms are expected Sunday and then again Monday into
Wednesday as a front drops into the area and becomes stationary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Best chances for spotter activation will be from 3 pm to 6 pm if
necessary.

HJS