Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Wichita, KS

042 
WWUS53 KICT 102333
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
633 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

KSC073-110000-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-170811T0000Z/
Greenwood KS-
633 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY...

At 633 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Madison, moving
east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Madison and Virgil. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 9630 3817 9630 3817 9596 3798 9596
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 283DEG 14KT 3808 9609 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LAWSON

277 
WWUS53 KICT 102351
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
651 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

KSC073-110001-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-170811T0000Z/
Greenwood KS-
651 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3801 9630 3817 9630 3817 9596 3798 9596
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 283DEG 14KT 3806 9600 

$$

LAWSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
156 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Water vapor imagery shows potent shortwave impulse tracking across
northern WI and approaching the western Great Lakes. At the
surface, cold front extends from northern MO and across far
northern KS.

Storms have developed along the cold front over nw KS, likely
aided by upslope processes. Current thinking is that storms will
continue along the front as it pushes south this evening. Should
also see convection expand in coverage as 850-700mb moisture
transport ramps up toward sunset in addition to much of the area
moving into the right entrance region of an unseasonably strong
upper jet. While storms will be possible just about anywhere
across forecast area this evening, feel the more robust activity
should be generally along and west of I-135 where better
instability will be situated. Should once again be plenty of shear
for large hail with downburst winds also a threat. Will also run
with a flood watch for areas that have received the most rainfall
over the past several days which will generally be the southwest
corner of our forecast area. Thing should be fairly progressive
with the bulk of the activity south of the forecast area by 2 am.

By sunrise Fri, the majority of the showers and storms should be
down in OK with a cool airmass left over KS. Expecting an increase
in convection Fri night over western KS as some of the deeper
moisture starts to work back around the western fringe of the
surface high. This will also be aided by sw KS remaining in the
right entrance region of the upper jet. There is good model
agreement in shortwave energy diving southeast out of the
central/northern Rockies Sat night that should ramp up shower and
storm chances. Some of this may linger into Sun as the atmosphere
remains very moist in the low levels.

Confidence remains high that below normal afternoon highs will
maintain through the weekend but will still feel muggy as we keep
some low level moisture around.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Pattern looks to remain unsettled through much of this period.
Unseasonably strong westerlies will remain in place as the
surface high shifts east. This will keep low level moisture in
place as a number of perturbations slide through the flow. At
this time the better rain chances look to be Tue into Tue night as
a wave slides across northern KS and Nebraska. May actually see a
warming trend toward the end of the work week which may get
afternoon highs back closer to seasonal normals.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
Issued at 704 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Once again a difficult aviation forecast. Tons of low level
moisture and lifting mechanisms in place to produce air mass
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon at all locations. Better
instability exists along the KSRL/KGBD/KHUT corridor this
afternoon and with the wave of storms moving east out of western
KS, a good chance for severe will will prevail SW of a KRSL TO
KCFV line. Also with the rain and low level moisture in place,
vsbys could easily go into mvfr if not ifr towards morning at
KRSL, KSAL, KGBD, and KHUT. However, with current forecast of
cloud cover in place, that would hinder a major drop off of the
vsbys. If it clears out any, they would likely drop into ifr
category. This is something to watch closely. Afternoon cumulus
field will likely fluctuate between vfr and mvfr at all sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    87  68  82  67 /  50  70  20  20
Hutchinson      86  65  83  65 /  50  70  10  20
Newton          85  66  83  64 /  50  60  20  20
ElDorado        85  67  82  64 /  50  60  20  20
Winfield-KWLD   87  68  83  67 /  60  70  40  20
Russell         85  62  82  64 /  50  60  10  30
Great Bend      85  63  83  65 /  50  60  10  30
Salina          86  64  84  65 /  50  60  10  20
McPherson       86  64  83  64 /  50  60  10  20
Coffeyville     85  68  84  66 /  50  60  50  20
Chanute         84  66  83  65 /  40  60  30  10
Iola            84  67  83  64 /  40  60  30  10
Parsons-KPPF    84  68  83  66 /  50  60  40  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
morning for KSZ082-083-091>093.

&&

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...PJH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
300 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-111545-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
300 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Late this afternoon and Tonight

Storms are expected across most of the area tonight. Locations along
and northwest of the Kansas Turnpike will have a chance to see
severe storms with half dollar size hail, 60 mph winds and heavy
rain and flooding possible with the stronger storms. Late this
afternoon and evening there will be a brief window across Barton and
Reno counties for hail up to 2 inches in diameter and winds to 70
mph.

See latest flood watch along with severe thunderstorm watches for
additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Storm chances are expected to return late Friday night into
Saturday. While severe storms are not expected, some small hail, 50
mph winds and brief heavy rain will be possible with the stronger
storms.

Saturday night through Wednesday the area will remain in an
unsettled weather pattern. While organized severe storms are not
anticipated, a few strong storms producing small hail, gusty winds
and brief heavy rain will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

Lawson

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
529 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

KSZ094-098-102300-
Chautauqua KS-Elk KS-
529 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northern Chautauqua County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southern Elk County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 600 PM CDT

* At 527 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Moline, or 11 miles south of
  Howard...moving east at 25 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Moline, Longton, Elk Falls and Hale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 9640 3745 9644 3747 9597 3726 9596
      3718 9597 3719 9601
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 269DEG 24KT 3731 9633

LAWSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
601 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

KSZ070-102330-
Greenwood KS-
601 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northeastern Greenwood County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 630 PM CDT

* At 558 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles west of Madison...moving
  east at 10 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Madison.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3803 9635 3817 9636 3817 9596 3801 9596
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 255DEG 11KT 3814 9625

LAWSON