River Flood Warning 39, NWS Gray, ME

114 
WGUS81 KGYX 301928
FLSGYX


River Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Maine...
New Hampshire

  Androscoggin River At Rumford affecting Oxford County
  Swift River At Roxbury affecting Oxford County
  Carrabassett River At North Anson affecting Somerset County
  Baker River At Rumney affecting Grafton County
  Ammonoosuc River At Bethlehem affecting Grafton County


...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New 
Hampshire
  Pemigewasset River At Plymouth affecting Grafton County
  Saco River At Conway affecting Carroll County
  Warner River At Davisville affecting Merrimack County
  Suncook River At North Chichester affecting Merrimack County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas, it is impossible to know if the 
road is safe for travel. Turn around, dont drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA weather radio...or 
your favorite local media outlet.

&&

NHC009-310728-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171031T1005Z/
/PLMN3.2.ER.171030T1220Z.171030T1830Z.171031T0205Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Pemigewasset River At Plymouth.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 02PM Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 20.1 feet...Water at the doors of the PSU physical 
  education center. Water at the doors of the PSU ice arena.  
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...South River Road and Avery Street flooded in
  Holderness.  
* Impact...At 15.5 feet...Water over the road at Irving station on 
  route 175A in Holderness.  
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water entering parking lot behind PSU ice 
  arena.  


&&

LAT...LON 4383 7170 4383 7162 4362 7160 4362 7173


$$

NHC003-310728-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171031T2008Z/
/CNWN3.2.ER.171030T1026Z.171030T1845Z.171031T1408Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Saco River At Conway.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 03PM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  late morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...13 feet, west Side Road and River Road 
  flooded.  
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...12 feet, much of transvale acres flooded 
  from moat brook bridge east to the saco river.  
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...11 feet, multiple camping areas
completely flooded to a depth of 2 to 3 feet.  


&&

LAT...LON 4411 7121 4411 7088 4383 7074 4383 7084 
    4396 7094 4398 7114              

$$

MEC017-310728-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0036.171030T2156Z-171031T0945Z/
/RMFM1.1.ER.171030T2156Z.171031T0000Z.171031T0345Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
  The Androscoggin River At Rumford.
* from late this afternoon until late tonight.
* At 03PM Monday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by this evening. the river will 
  fall below flood stage by tonight. 
* Impact...At 15.5 feet...WATER UP TO THE INTERSECTION OF LINCOLN 
  AVENUE (ROUTE 2) AND FALMOUTH STREET..  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...LOW SPOTS ALONG THE SWIFT AND ANDROSCOGGIN 
  RIVERS FLOODED IN MEXICO AND RUMFORD..  
* Impact...At 13.7 feet...BALLFIELD SOUTH OF LINCOLN AVENUE (ROUTE 2) 
  IN RUMFORD IS COMPLETELY FLOODED..  
* Impact...At 13.4 feet...WATER ENTERS BALLFIELD IN RUMFORD THAT IS 
  SOUTH OF LINCOLN AVENUE..  
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...BETHEL OUTDOOR ADVENTURE AND CAMPGROUND 
  BGINS TO FLOOD..  


&&

LAT...LON 4451 7080 4458 7054 4455 7017 4444 7013
      4442 7026 4438 7075             

$$

MEC017-310202-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-171031T0202Z/
/ROXM1.1.ER.171030T0954Z.171030T1415Z.171030T2002Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
  The Swift River At Roxbury.
* Until this evening.
* At 03PM Monday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding..  

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7070 4476 7059 4454 7050 4452 7060


$$

MEC025-310346-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-171031T0346Z/
/NANM1.1.ER.171030T1804Z.171030T1900Z.171030T2146Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
  The Carrabassett River At North Anson.
* Until this evening.
* At 03PM Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Katie Crotch Road begins to flood..  

&&

LAT...LON 4500 7013 4490 6985 4480 6990 4490 7020


$$

NHC009-310334-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-171031T0334Z/
/RUMN3.2.ER.171030T1010Z.171030T1500Z.171030T2134Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
  The Baker River At Rumney.
* Until this evening.
* At 02PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Sand Hill Road north of river and Main 
  Street south of river flooded to a depth of 1 foot. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Large portions of several campgrounds
completely flooded.. 

&&

LAT...LON 4397 7193 4396 7178 4385 7180 4381 7166
      4374 7168 4380 7196             

$$

NHC013-310728-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0039.171030T1946Z-171101T0000Z/
/DAVN3.1.ER.171030T1946Z.171031T0000Z.171031T1800Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Warner River At Davisville.
* from late this afternoon until Tuesday evening.
* At 02PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 8.2 feet by this evening. the river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...LOWLAND FLOODING FROM BRADFORD TO
DAVISVILLE.  BAGLEY FIELD SOCCER FIELDS FLOODED TO A DEPTH OF 1.5
FEET..  


&&

LAT...LON 4329 7197 4336 7193 4326 7168 4322 7173


$$

NHC013-310727-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-171101T1054Z/
/NCHN3.1.ER.171030T0955Z.171031T0000Z.171101T0454Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Suncook River At North Chichester.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 02PM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...At 10 feet the lower section of the Lazy 
  River Campground is flooded. 2 sites are flooded at the Epsom 
  Valley Campground..  
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...At 9 feet multiple campgrounds are
flooded. 


&&

LAT...LON 4341 7131 4336 7118 4309 7142 4316 7152


$$

NHC009-310153-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-171031T0153Z/
/BETN3.1.ER.171030T1137Z.171030T1515Z.171030T1953Z.NR/
328 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...
The flood warning continues for
  The Ammonoosuc River At Bethlehem.
* Until this evening.
* At 02PM Monday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...River Road starts to flood in the vicinity of
  black brook..  

&&

LAT...LON 4420 7205 4435 7177 4432 7150 4422 7150 
    4425 7175 4410 7203              

$$

201 
WGUS81 KGYX 310018
FLSGYX


River Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
Hampshire...Maine...

  Pemigewasset River At Woodstock affecting Grafton County
  Androscoggin River At Gorham affecting Coos County
  PISCATAQUOG RIVER NEAR Goffstown affecting Hillsborough County
  Swift River At Roxbury affecting Oxford County
  Baker River At Rumney affecting Grafton County


...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Maine

  Androscoggin River At Rumford affecting Oxford County
  Carrabassett River At North Anson affecting Somerset County


...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New 
Hampshire
  Pemigewasset River At Plymouth affecting Grafton County
  Saco River At Conway affecting Carroll County
  Warner River At Davisville affecting Merrimack County
  Suncook River At North Chichester affecting Merrimack County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas, it is impossible to know if the 
road is safe for travel. Turn around, dont drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA weather radio...or 
your favorite local media outlet.

&&

NHC009-310048-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-171031T0600Z/
/WOON3.2.ER.171030T0832Z.171030T1230Z.171030T2118Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Pemigewasset River At Woodstock.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding.  

&&

LAT...LON 4410 7175 4410 7165 4383 7162 4383 7170


$$

NHC009-311218-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171031T1903Z/
/PLMN3.2.ER.171030T1220Z.171030T2315Z.171031T1103Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Pemigewasset River At Plymouth.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.1 feet...Water at the doors of the PSU physical 
  education center. Water at the doors of the PSU ice arena.  
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...South River Road and Avery Street flooded in
  Holderness.  
* Impact...At 15.5 feet...Water over the road at Irving station on 
  route 175A in Holderness.  
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water entering parking lot behind PSU ice 
  arena.  

&&

LAT...LON 4383 7170 4383 7162 4362 7160 4362 7173


$$

NHC003-311217-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171031T2008Z/
/CNWN3.2.ER.171030T1026Z.171030T2015Z.171031T1408Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Saco River At Conway.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...13 feet, west Side Road and River Road 
  flooded.  
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...12 feet, much of transvale acres flooded 
  from moat brook bridge east to the saco river.  
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...11 feet, beach, eastern slope and saco river
  camping areas completely flooded to a depth of 2 to 3 feet.  
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...10 feet, sections of beach and eastern slope
  camping area covered with 1 to 2 feet of water.  
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...9.5 feet, Moat Brook Bridge flooded at 
  Transvale Acres. Lower part of E. Road in Transvale Acres flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4411 7121 4411 7088 4383 7074 4383 7084 
    4396 7094 4398 7114              

$$

NHC007-310048-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-171031T0300Z/
/GRMN3.1.ER.171030T2045Z.000000T0000Z.171030T2150Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Androscoggin River At Gorham.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...Water up to route 16. Mr. Pizza parking lot 
  flooded.  
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Parking lot at Mr. Pizza starts to flood.  

&&

LAT...LON 4477 7128 4483 7104 4448 7102 4451 7080
      4438 7075 4434 7123             

$$

MEC017-310849-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-171031T0849Z/
/RMFM1.1.ER.171030T2218Z.171030T2345Z.171031T0249Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
  The Androscoggin River At Rumford.
* Until late tonight.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 15.5 feet...WATER UP TO THE INTERSECTION OF LINCOLN 
  AVENUE (ROUTE 2) AND FALMOUTH STREET.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...LOW SPOTS ALONG THE SWIFT AND ANDROSCOGGIN 
  RIVERS FLOODED IN MEXICO AND RUMFORD.  
* Impact...At 13.7 feet...BALLFIELD SOUTH OF LINCOLN AVENUE (ROUTE 2) 
  IN RUMFORD IS COMPLETELY FLOODED.  
* Impact...At 13.4 feet...WATER ENTERS BALLFIELD IN RUMFORD THAT IS 
  SOUTH OF LINCOLN AVENUE.  
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...BETHEL OUTDOOR ADVENTURE AND CAMPGROUND 
  BGINS TO FLOOD. 

&&

LAT...LON 4451 7080 4458 7054 4455 7017 4444 7013
      4442 7026 4438 7075             

$$

MEC025-310828-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-171031T0828Z/
/NANM1.1.ER.171030T1804Z.171030T2045Z.171031T0228Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
  The Carrabassett River At North Anson.
* Until late tonight.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Katie Crotch Road begins to flood.  

&&

LAT...LON 4500 7013 4490 6985 4480 6990 4490 7020


$$

NHC013-311217-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-171101T0000Z/
/DAVN3.1.ER.171030T1907Z.171031T0600Z.171031T1800Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Warner River At Davisville.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.2 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow
  evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...West Joppa Road in Warner starts to flood. 
  Riverside Park Flooded. Route 114 flooded in Bradford.  
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...LOWLAND FLOODING FROM BRADFORD TO DAVISVILLE.
  BAGLEY FIELD SOCCER FIELDS FLOODED TO A DEPTH OF 1.5 FEET.  
* Impact...At 6.5 feet...BAGLEY PARK SOCCER FIELDS START TO FLOOD. 
  LOWLAND FLOODING.  

&&

LAT...LON 4329 7197 4336 7193 4326 7168 4322 7173


$$

NHC013-311217-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-171101T1054Z/
/NCHN3.1.ER.171030T0955Z.171030T2315Z.171101T0454Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Suncook River At North Chichester.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...At 10 feet the lower section of the Lazy 
  River Campground is flooded. 2 sites are flooded at the Epsom 
  Valley Campground.  
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...At 9 feet about 20 camp sites at the Lazy 
  River Campground are flooded. 1 camp site flooded at the Epsom 
  Valley Campground.  
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...At 7 feet about 5 camp sites are flooded at 
  the Lazy River Campground.  


&&

LAT...LON 4341 7131 4336 7118 4309 7142 4316 7152


$$

NHC011-310048-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-171031T0400Z/
/GFFN3.1.ER.171030T1921Z.171030T2015Z.171030T2140Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The PISCATAQUOG RIVER NEAR Goffstown.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
  THE PISCATAQUOG RIVER IN WEARE...NEW BOSTON...GOFFSTOWN AND
  MANCHESTER.
 
&&

LAT...LON 4313 7175 4313 7162 4306 7162 4304 7146
      4295 7146 4300 7166             

$$

MEC017-310048-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-171031T0202Z/
/ROXM1.1.ER.171030T0954Z.171030T1415Z.171030T2312Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Swift River At Roxbury.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding.  

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7070 4476 7059 4454 7050 4452 7060


$$

NHC009-310048-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-171031T0334Z/
/RUMN3.2.ER.171030T1010Z.171030T1500Z.171030T2144Z.NO/
818 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Baker River At Rumney.
* At 07PM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Large portion of Baker River Campground 
  flooded. Mountain Pines Campground completely flooded.  
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Four riverside campsites flooded at Baker 
  River Campground.  
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...Water starts to enter site 15 at Baker River 
  Camground.  

&&

LAT...LON 4397 7193 4396 7178 4385 7180 4381 7166
      4374 7168 4380 7196             

$$

Becker

828 
WGUS81 KGYX 310201
FLSGYX


River Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
1001 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
Hampshire...

  Warner River At Davisville affecting Merrimack County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas, it is impossible to know if the 
road is safe for travel. Turn around, dont drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA weather radio...or 
your favorite local media outlet.

&&

NHC013-310231-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-171101T0000Z/
/DAVN3.1.ER.171030T1907Z.171030T2145Z.171031T0100Z.NO/
1001 PM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Warner River At Davisville.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...LOWLAND FLOODING FROM BRADFORD TO DAVISVILLE.
  BAGLEY FIELD SOCCER FIELDS FLOODED TO A DEPTH OF 1.5 FEET..  
* Impact...At 6.5 feet...BAGLEY PARK SOCCER FIELDS START TO FLOOD. 
  LOWLAND FLOODING..  

&&

LAT...LON 4329 7197 4336 7193 4326 7168 4322 7173


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
1151 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
As low pressure moves north, a cold front will sweep westward
across New England today, ushering in colder, drier air on a
stiff westerly wind. The westerly winds will continue but
gradually decrease in intensity through Tuesday as high pressure
builds in from the southwest. The next frontal system will
arrive late next week bringing another chance of rain, but not
as heavy this time.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1145 AM...FOrecast in reasonable shape. Main adjustment was to
pops, as cold front and wind shift line move through this
afternoon. Should see pops wind down to near zero once the
front passes by, except for the mountains where a period
upslope showers is possible through the afternoon into early
evening, but airmass does dry out quickly so it shouldn't last
too long. Also, looking for the best surge of stronger winds
right behind this line moving tough early to mid afternoon.

955 AM...So updated the wind forecast and flags for today.
dropped the HWW over land for all everywhere and issued Wind
Advisory through this afternoon. As winds shift to WSW over the
next few hours, will see winds in the 925-850 MB range increase
to 40-45 kt. Given a well-mixed atmosphere in the CAA advection
behind the front, should be able some gusts to 40-50 mph this
afternoon. So, not as bas as earlier this morning, but enough to
bring a few more limbs/trees, and to impact power restoration
efforts.

730 am Update: Have dropped the High Wind Warnings over southern
NH as winds have shifted into the south and diminished. Over
Maine all headlines will remain in place through mid morning. Dry
slot working north into the area with heaviest rain now across
central and eastern Maine. Meanwhile, light showers will
continue over NH and southwest Maine the rest of the morning
into the afternoon.

Previous Discussion:
The forecast of high winds and heavy rainfall verifying nicely
at this time and will continue on track into this morning. All
headlines currently up will remain in tact through the early
morning.

As the main center of low pressure moves north through upstate
New York, the remains of Philippe is being ingested into the
strong south to southeast flow aloft and showing up nicely on
satellite imagery as its entering into the Gulf of Maine early
this morning. This will help mix down the winds from the low/mid
level jet aloft over coastal and eastern areas as well as
enhance rainfall rates. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible
over southern and eastern areas of Maine due to this feature.
Currently very heavy rain is occurring in the orographically
induced areas of the mountains and foothills and some Flash
Flood Warnings are being issued in certain areas.

By mid morning a nice dry slot is depicted by models to move
through southern and eastern areas, bringing an end to the
heavy rain. This dry slot showing up nicely on composite radar
and Satellite imagery.  The flow will shift to westerly and
become gusty again by afternoon. As wind headlines get dropped
from the southeast flow this morning, some additional headline
may be needed as the winds shift to the west but will also be
very strong and gusty.

Total QPF looks to be in the 1.5 to 4 inch range but some
locally higher amounts in the higher terrain can't be ruled out.

Used a blend of models for max temps this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
A drier and cooler air mass spreads across the region for
tonight on the westerly flow as high pressure begins to build
east.

Upper level troughing will still be in control Tuesday night
with variable cloudiness across the region. High pressure builds
in at the surface allowing for more drying and cooler but
seasonable temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Long term forecast mostly kept as is to focus on current storm
system.

High pressure moves east on Wednesday with a southerly flow
returning. This will bring gradually more warmth and moisture
into the region. Models are slowly coming into better agreement
on timing and track of the next wave which will begin affecting
us later in the week. It is looking more and more like this low
will track fairly well to the north of our area, keeping us out
of the heavier precipitation, with the best shot of rain being
on Friday with the cold front moves through. However, there
will be increasing cloud cover as the southeast flow off the
water brings in some low level clouds and perhaps some drizzle
on Thursday. The GFS has a more defined warm front with warm
advection precipitation on Thursday, but it appears to be the
outlier at this point, with other models keeping these dynamics
further to the north.

The front moves through on Friday with colder air moving in for
the weekend. Cold high pressure moves in Saturday night. GFS
brings another weak wave through the area Saturday night with a
chance of rain (and snow to the north). However, CMC and ECMWF
both keep the high over Maine through Sunday morning. Given the
consistency with these models, have discounted the GFS just a
bit and favored the forecast towards the ECMWF/CMC. This would
mean Sunday morning could be a good radiational cooling morning
with a widespread freeze. The cold won't last too long, though,
as we get back into the southwest flow again early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Short Term...MVFR/IFR conditions will continue this morning.
Improving conditions to VFR will occur this afternoon. The very
strong southeast gusts early this morning will shift to west
across all areas by mid morning but remain gusty through the
afternoon and into the evening.

Long Term...Westerly winds remain fairly strong on Tuesday but
will finally calm down Tuesday night as high pressure moves
through. A return southerly flow begins on Wednesday, with lower
ceilings possibly moving in off the Gulf of Maine as early as
Wednesday night or Thursday. Another cold front moves through
from the northwest on Friday, pushing out the low level moisture
and returning VFR conditions to the region after a brief shot of
rainfall.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...955 AM...replaced Storms with gales over Casco Bay,
and should be able to do this across most of the other waters
by early afternoon.

Previously...Storm Warnings will continue the rest of the
morning in the Bays and through the afternoon over the outer
waters. Given the strength of the winds seas will rise to 18-25
ft this morning. Winds will eventually diminish to gales
tonight.

Long Term...Westerly winds on Tuesday will gust into the 30 to
35 KT range before diminishing Tuesday night with high pressure
moving by. A southerly flow begins again by Thursday, possibly
reaching advisory levels before the next cold front arrives on
Friday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Flash flood threat is winding down as heaviest rainfall moves
out of the area and showers become less tropical in nature.

Many rivers are flooding or forecast to flood across interior NH
and ME. Some warnings are out already, and may need warnings on
some of the Kennebec tributaries.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for MEZ007>009-
     012>014-018>028.
NH...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for NHZ001>015.
     Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM EDT this evening for NHZ002.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ153.
     Storm Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ150-152-154.
     Storm Warning until noon EDT today for ANZ151.

&&

NEAR TERM...Cempa/Marine
SHORT TERM...Hanes
LONG TERM...Legro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

NHZ004>013-015-311130-
Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-
Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-
Interior Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Hampshire, central New
Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ018>028-NHZ014-311130-
Interior York-Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-
Interior Waldo-Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-
Knox-Coastal Waldo-Coastal Rockingham-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ007>009-012>014-311130-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford-
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine, west
central Maine and western Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NHZ001>003-311130-
Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ150-152-154-311130-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ151-153-311130-
Penobscot Bay-Casco Bay-
724 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Gray ME
1200 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WOODSTOCK               43.98N  71.69W
10/30/2017                   GRAFTON            NH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES...WIRES...AND POLES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1704323

ARNOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Gray ME
1214 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 WNW BATH              43.93N  69.88W
10/30/2017                   CUMBERLAND         ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE INTO MOBILE HOME ON PRIMOSE LANE

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1704324

ES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Gray ME
1245 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST PEMAQUID                43.90N  69.51W
10/30/2017  M72 MPH          LINCOLN            ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEMAQUID POINT LIGHT - 60 MPH 2 MIN AVG

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1704325

CEMPA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
101 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

MEZ007-008-012-013-NHZ002-004-301800-
Northern Oxford-Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Northern
Franklin-Southern Coos-Northern Carroll-
101 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL OXFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN AND EAST CENTRAL COOS COUNTIES...

At 100 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Bethel, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Berlin, Bethel, Rumford, Rangeley, Andover, Grafton, Weld, Mexico,
Gorham, Lovell, Chatham, Hanover, Gilead, Byron, South Arm, Riley,
Rangeley Plantation, Roxbury, Mason and Batchelders Grant.

This also includes...
  Speckled Mountain, Old Speck Mountain, Grafton Notch, Evans Notch,
and Moose Brook State Park.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
additional localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through
flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 4442 7127 4494 7077 4472 7044 4421 7094
TIME...MOT...LOC 1700Z 211DEG 36KT 4447 7088

MBC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Gray ME
138 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW CUMBERLAND        43.79N  70.30W
10/30/2017  M50 MPH          CUMBERLAND         ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1704326

ES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Gray ME
247 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW LOVELL            44.10N  70.96W
10/30/2017                   OXFORD             ME   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN ON FISH STREET CLOSING ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1704327

ES