Severe Thunderstorm Warning 277, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

373 
WWUS52 KGSP 082207
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
607 PM EDT SUN OCT 8 2017

NCC089-149-082216-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-171008T2230Z/
Henderson NC-Polk NC-
607 PM EDT SUN OCT 8 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON AND
WESTERN POLK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
these areas. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled there.

LAT...LON 3560 8206 3540 8211 3540 8215 3541 8216
      3541 8217 3540 8218 3540 8227 3544 8228
      3547 8227 3548 8229 3561 8232 3562 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 184DEG 32KT 3544 8223 

$$

NCC021-111-161-082230-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-171008T2230Z/
McDowell NC-Rutherford NC-Buncombe NC-
607 PM EDT SUN OCT 8 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MCDOWELL...NORTHWESTERN RUTHERFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN
BUNCOMBE COUNTIES...

At 606 PM EDT, a rain shower capable of producing damaging winds was
located 13 miles north of Columbus, or near Chimney Rock State Park,
moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Public. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Chimney Rock State Park, Bat Cave and Black Mountain. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Scattered trees and power lines will be blown down in the warned
area. Seek shelter inside an interior room.

This storms is also producing extremely heavy rainfall. Flooding of
drainage ditches and low lying areas may occur. Small streams will
rise rapidly. Do not drive through areas where water is flowing over
the road.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3560 8206 3540 8211 3540 8215 3541 8216
      3541 8217 3540 8218 3540 8227 3544 8228
      3547 8227 3548 8229 3561 8232 3562 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 184DEG 32KT 3544 8223 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

08

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
244 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
The remnants of Hurricane Nate will move northward across eastern
Tennessee and Kentucky tonight, and then quickly off to the
northeastern U.S. through Monday.  Moisture will linger over the
southeast in the wake of Nate through most of the week, and possibly
into the weekend, with much above normal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 200 AM EDT Sunday: Nate has been downgraded to a tropical
depression as it zips NE ACRS AL. A couple of leading rain bands
well east of the center are working into the CWFA. The HRRR is
forecasting some discrete elements within the band as it tracks east
across Upstate and western NC. And this makes sense, as the latest
SPC mesoanalysis page shows 1000-2000 J/kg of SBCAPE. So with the
better shear starting to work into the more unstable air, we can
expect some tstms with rotating updrafts. An isolated tornado threat
will probably peak from about 3 PM to 10 PM today. This will
continue to be mentioned in the HWO. SPC still has a marginal risk
for most of the area.

Heading into tonight, the bigger issue will become flash flooding,
as the center of Nate tracks across central TN/KY and brings more
widespread tropical rain across the NC mountains. The current
forecast is on the higher end of guidance, and I don't see a reason
to make major changes, so still expect 4-6" of rainfall over the
next 24 hours along the blue ridge. The highest amounts will be in
the south-facing upslope areas. These totals should result in river
flooding along the French Broad, among others. The Flash Flood Watch
looks well placed and no changes needed. Winds will also be a
concern, but mainly this evening in the western NC mountains. Wind
gusts of 40-60 mph expected above 3500 ft, with 850 mb jet of 40-50
knots pushing in from the west. We will probably struggle to reach
wind advisory criteria most of the advisory area, but with gusty
winds and heavy rain, expect scattered trees down and power outages,
so will leave NPW as is. Temps will be about 20 degrees above normal
under very humid conditions.

On Monday, the remnants of Nate will accelerate further as it tracks
across the upper Ohio Valley and Upstate NY. The system will leave a
trailing band of moisture atop the CWFA with PWATS still over 2"
across the Piedmont. Flow turns out of the SW, so we lose most of
the upslope, but there will be some moisture convergence across the
Piedmont with SBCAPE up over 1000 J/kg to support scattered showers
and tstms. Shear weakens quickly, and forcing should be lacking
aloft behind Nate. So expect severe threat to be low, but with high
PWATS, could see some heavy downpours. Should see some breaks in the
clouds, allowing highs to be lower 80s with humidity.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Sunday: An amplified upper pattern will be in place
Monday night in the wake of Nate's departure, with strengthening
high pressure over the southeastern U.S. and a deep but progressive
trough/closed low over the southern plains. The plains system will
gradually fill and lift northeast toward the Great Lakes Tuesday
through Wednesday. The southeast ridge will flatten somewhat but
remain strong - with generally 592 dm 500 mb heights persisting over
much of the area. The persistent deep layer southwesterly flow over
the region will keep abundant moisture in place.  A surface warm
front drifting northward across the area on Tuesday will provide
some focus for additional forcing to keep PoP in the high chance to
likely range, with a diurnal Tuesday afternoon maximum. In spite of
the modest lapse rates aloft, SBCAPE values should run 1500 to 2000
J/kg given the high dewpoints Tuesday afternoon, and strong
thunderstorms are quite possible.

The soupy, warm sector airmass will persist over the southeast on
Wednesday and continue the above climo PoPs for showers and
scattered thunderstorms.  Min temps will remain some 10 to 20
degrees above climo, with maxes 5 to 10 above climo, through the
short term period.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Sunday: The northern tier wave will cross New
England Wednesday night through Thursday, with the strong southern
ridge becoming dominant over the southeast. At lower levels a weak
cold front will lay over into the region from the northwest and
dissipate, but likely provide a continued weak focus for convection.

Heights will then rise strongly over the southern tier of the U.S.,
including our forecast area, Friday through Sunday, with 594 dm 500
mb heights likely over the weekend. Moisture will continue under the
ridge, and low level flow becoming more southeast to east over time,
albeit light, will provide a measure of upslope forcing. Above climo
PoPs will continue, but instabilty will be more modest as dewpoints
fall a bit. Well above climo temps will continue throughout.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: CIGS have been improving as we mix a little
this AFTN across the Piedmont, but rainbands from remnants of Nate
will slowly track east across the region, likely lowering CIGS again
for this evening. There is some instability that may support TSRA,
but mostly just tropical downpours expected. SE winds will increase
and peak early evening with gusts in the 20-25 kt range. Then winds
veer to SW and decrease and lose gustiness by daybreak Monday.
Widespread RA/SHRA continues thru the night, especially in the
mountains and adjacent foothills. Then a lull in coverage Monday
morning, before an uptick again in the AFTN, as an unstable, humid
air mass remains in place.

Outlook: Moisture will persist over the area through Monday, with a
weak frontal zone likely to linger over the region into Tuesday.
Periodic restrictions and SHRA/TSRA likely will result.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Monday
     morning for GAZ010-017-018.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for GAZ010-017.
NC...Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Monday
     morning for NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-
     507-509.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for NCZ033-049-050-053-
     063>065-501-503-505-507-509.
     High Wind Warning until 4 AM EDT Monday for NCZ033-048>052-058-
     059-062.
SC...Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Monday
     morning for SCZ001>003.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for SCZ001>003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...ARK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

GAZ026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-
SCZ004>014-019-091945-
Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Caldwell-
Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, the piedmont
and foothills of western North Carolina, and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Tropical downpours associated with the remnants of Nate will move
northward across the area through tonight. The very heavy rainfall
may produce flooding of low-lying and poor drainage areas. Isolated
flash flooding of streams and creeks cannot be ruled out, especially
where several bands of rainfall affect a certain location.

In addition, a few brief and weak tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are requested to forward any reports of damaging
winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-091945-
Madison-Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the southwest mountains of
western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are requested to forward any reports of damaging
winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

GAZ010-017-NCZ053-063>065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ001>003-091945-
Rabun-Habersham-Buncombe-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the mountains of northeast
Georgia, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are requested to forward any reports of damaging
winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

NCZ033-049-050-091945-
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY ABOVE
3500 FEET...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT MONDAY BELOW 3500 FEET...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the northern mountains of
western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Wind Advisory.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are requested to forward any reports of damaging
winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

GAZ018-091945-
Stephens-
342 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Stephens County in northeast
Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, a few brief and weak tornadoes cannot be ruled out this
evening. Any thunderstorms will produce gusty winds as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are requested to forward any reports of damaging
winds, tornadoes, or flash flooding to our office.

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
508 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TORNADO          LIBERTY                 34.79N 82.70W
10/08/2017                   PICKENS            SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL ROOFS TORN OFF HOMES ALONG LIBERTY HIGHWAY.
            LIKELY TORNADO.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
512 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TORNADO          3 ENE LAURENS           34.51N 81.98W
10/08/2017                   LAURENS            SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY REPORTS SIGNIFICANT DAMAGES TO HOUSE AROUND CASHEW
            TRAIL AND CURRY ROAD AREA.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
512 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TORNADO          3 ENE LAURENS           34.51N 81.98W
10/08/2017                   LAURENS            SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY REPORTS SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO HOUSES AROUND
            CASHEW TRAIL AND CURRY ROAD AREA.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
529 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TORNADO          4 S LIBERTY             34.74N 82.69W
10/08/2017                   PICKENS            SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            SINGLE FAMILY HOME LOST ROOF ALONG BRADLEY DRIVE. LIKELY
            TORNADO.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
540 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TORNADO          6 NE LAURENS            34.55N 81.94W
10/08/2017                   LAURENS            SC   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN WITH MANY SNAPPED OFF ALONG HIGHWAY
            49 NEAR LAURENS ACADEMY JUST NORTH OF I385.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
546 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TORNADO          3 NNE WATERLOO          34.39N 82.04W
10/08/2017                   LAURENS            SC   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL TREES UPROOTED AND TREES SNAPPED OFF ALONG
            HIGHWAY 39 NEAR BEAVERDAM CHURCH ROAD.

&&

HG