Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

084 
WWUS52 KGSP 142133
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
533 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCC023-027-111-142200-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-170714T2200Z/
McDowell NC-Caldwell NC-Burke NC-
533 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL...SOUTHERN CALDWELL AND BURKE COUNTIES...

At 532 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northeast of
Morganton, or near Gamewell, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Lenoir, Morganton, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Valdese, Gamewell,
Hudson, Icard, Cajah's Mountain and Drexel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Brief damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines over small
areas. A brief period of large hail is also possible. Seek shelter
inside an interior room.

Lake Rhodhiss is in the path of this storm. Get away from the water 
and seek shelter in an interior room in the nearest shelter. If you 
can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3598 8133 3592 8134 3589 8133 3584 8134
      3580 8134 3579 8135 3578 8135 3574 8139
      3570 8142 3557 8190 3558 8209 3575 8192
      3595 8170
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 280DEG 11KT 3583 8163 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MOORE

106 
WWUS52 KGSP 142144
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
544 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCC027-142154-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-170714T2200Z/
Caldwell NC-
544 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3577 8144 3577 8142 3576 8140 3576 8137
      3570 8142 3557 8190 3559 8203 3568 8187
      3576 8167 3578 8154 3578 8144
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 299DEG 18KT 3564 8170 

$$

NCC023-111-142200-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-170714T2200Z/
McDowell NC-Burke NC-
544 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL AND SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTIES...

At 544 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of
Morganton, or near South Mountains State Park, moving southeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Morganton, Valdese, Icard, Drexel, Hildebran, Connelly Springs,
Rutherford College, Lake Rhodhiss, Hickory Regional Airport and
Glenwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Brief damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines over small
areas. A brief period of large hail is also possible. Seek shelter
inside an interior room.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 8144 3577 8142 3576 8140 3576 8137
      3570 8142 3557 8190 3559 8203 3568 8187
      3576 8167 3578 8154 3578 8144
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 299DEG 18KT 3564 8170 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MOORE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
238 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid conditions will persist through the weekend, with
scattered to numerous afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day.
A cold front will move into the region from the northwest on
Saturday and stall in or near the area through Sunday. Another cold
front will approach on Monday and move southeast of the area on
Tuesday, with dry and warm conditions arriving by the middle of next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Friday: Sharp upper trough is working its way
from the Great Lakes to the Mid-South, with upper ridging over the
Southeast and Carolina coasts. The attendant front is draped down
the Ohio Valley, with lee troughing in place across the western
Carolinas, and it will push through the area tonight and tomorrow.

For this afternoon, sbCAPEs of >3000 J/kg across the Piedmont plus
most of the area >1000 J/kg dCAPE has created a prime environment
for pulse convection through the afternoon, though lower dewpoints
at the surface and through the boundary layer across central SC will
be a limiting factor until the front approaches. Best convective
chances this afternoon will be across the northern tier where the
Day1 Marginal Risk remains in place, which is certainly warranted
for a low-end wind threat with steep low-level lapse rates. Given
the severe thunderstorms yesterday, would not be surprised to see a
handful of warnings issued this afternoon.

We should see convection wane overnight, but a good portion of the
hires models are keeping at least some thunder across the area,
enhanced by a boundary moving north across the Deep South. Pretty
much all CAM guidance has convection blossoming across AL/GA and
lifting north/northeast into the SC Upstate after midnight, so have
allowed pops to linger there. Low temperatures should continue to
hover 3-4 degrees above seasonal normals with the moist low-level
airmass in place.

As the front moves through, should see an increase in convection
again on Saturday across the entire area, and the Day2 Marginal Risk
covers just about all but the mountains, with sbCAPEs progged
between 1500-2000 J/kg, limited by increasing cloud cover. Again
mainly a low-end wind threat with steep low-level lapse rates.
However, even with the front moving through, temperatures won't
really respond, and should rise again to seasonal normal levels on
Saturday with continued low-level WAA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 210 PM Friday: Upper trough over the eastern US strengthens
through the period as a short wave dives into the eastern Great
Lakes Sunday and closes off into an upper low on Monday. A series of
weak short waves will rotate through the trough and across the area
each day. The previous surface boundary across the area washes out
but a lee trough will remain in place. This and differential heating
will provide enough low level convergence and moisture pooling for
convective initiation each day. Moderate instability develops each
day with very high instability possible on Monday as mid level lapse
rates steepen with the arrival of cooler mid level temps. DCAPE
values remain high along with increasing surface delta theta-E
values as mid level dry air returns. Therefore, although coverage
will remain in the scattered range both days, isolated severe storms
with damaging winds are possible. Highs will remain nearly steady a
little below normal while highs remain nearly steady near normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Friday: The medium range beings Monday night amid
another convectively active evening as a surface front pushes
through the forecast area. The extent to which the front will be
able to clear the area on Tuesday is uncertain, and with upper
troughing still in place and an upper shortwave moving through, some
chance for storms will remain despite rising heights. Some drier air
will be allowed to work into the forecast area as an upper high
builds in over the central Plains on Wednesday, with Wednesday now
appearing that it may be a rare pop-free day across our forecast
area. Profiles are still dry on Thursday and the synoptic pattern
won't have changed much from Wednesday's configuration, so only
afternoon below-climo pops will enter into the far eastern NC
Piedmont zones where better moisture will be. A weak shortwave will
traverse the area Friday, and despite profiles remaining dry, some
showers may get squeezed out in the higher terrain. Pops remain
below climo everywhere until next Saturday, when another front will
approach the forecast area. Maximum and minimum temperatures will
climb gradually through the medium range before peaking on Thursday
and Friday as an upper high builds in before heights fall
slightly (and temperatures with them) by next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
At KCLT and Elsewhere: MVFR Cu continuing to develop across the
area, with some light returns beginning to show up in the mountains.
VCTS with TEMPO TSRA still looks good for KAVL/KHKY, but removed all
thunder mention for other TAFs this afternoon/evening as chances not
high enough; if something develops will have to add it in later.
Could see another round of MVFR fog at KAVL in the predawn hours,
but as the front settles into the area, PROB30 has been introduced
for all TAFs before 18z. Generally SW winds through the period for
SC TAFs and KCLT, though a little veering may trend more W toward
the end of the period. KAVL will swing around NW after 00z, with
KHKY following suit by noon tomorrow.

Outlook: Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening thunderstorms
are expected each day through Monday across the area, with higher
coverage in the mountains. Morning fog development can be expected
in the mountain valleys and in areas that receive rainfall the
previous afternoon.

Confidence Table...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High  97%     High  96%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Carroll
NEAR TERM...TDP
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...Carroll
AVIATION...TDP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
510 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-150915-
Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
510 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and western
North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop across
the mountains this afternoon and evening. While the main threats will
be from torrential rainfall and cloud to ground lightning, a few of
the storms could become briefly severe, capable of producing
damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510-SCZ001>014-019-150915-
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-
Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-
Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
510 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Temperatures in the lower to mid 90s will combine with moderate to
high levels of humidity to produce heat index values of around 100
across much of the Piedmont and foothills this afternoon. In
addition, scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to
develop across the area this afternoon and evening. While the main
threats will be from torrential rainfall and cloud to ground
lightning, a few of the storms could become briefly severe, capable
of producing damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
316 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCZ053-141945-
Buncombe NC-
316 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BUNCOMBE COUNTY
UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 315 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles north of Downtown Asheville, or near Weaverville, moving east
at 30 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Weaverville, B.R. Parkway-East Asheville To Craggy Gardens, North
Asheville, Woodfin, Swannanoa and Barnardsville.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8234 3576 8233 3561 8235 3565 8266
      3574 8266 3577 8260 3580 8234
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 274DEG 25KT 3569 8258

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
336 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCZ053-142000-
Buncombe NC-
336 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL BUNCOMBE COUNTY UNTIL
400 PM EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Downtown Asheville, moving east at 30 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Downtown Asheville, East Asheville, West Asheville, North Asheville,
Black Mountain, Woodfin, Swannanoa, Fairview In Buncombe County,
Biltmore Forest and UNC Asheville.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3567 8228 3565 8229 3564 8228 3561 8228
      3559 8229 3558 8227 3549 8227 3549 8232
      3550 8233 3550 8234 3552 8262 3567 8260
      3569 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 271DEG 25KT 3561 8253

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCZ035-036-142000-
Iredell NC-Alexander NC-
337 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN ALEXANDER AND
NORTHWESTERN IREDELL COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 337 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Taylorsville, moving east at 15 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Taylorsville, Stony Point, Love Valley, Hiddenite, Vashti, Scotts and
Millersville.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph, pea size hail and very heavy rainfall rates
up to 2 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8093 3588 8124 3602 8122 3603 8109
      3603 8105 3605 8088
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 278DEG 13KT 3593 8115

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ESE ASHEVILLE         35.56N 82.50W
07/14/2017                   BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            TREES AND LIMBS DOWN ALONG WITH DIME SIZE HAIL

&&

RWH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
422 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

NCZ049-050-505-142115-
McDowell Mountains NC-Yancey NC-Mitchell NC-
422 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN
MITCHELL AND SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 422 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Marion, or near B.R. Parkway-Little Switzerland To
Linville, moving east at 10 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
B.R. Parkway-Little Switzerland To Linville, Mount Mitchell State
Park, B.R. Parkway-Craggy To Little Switzerland, North Cove, Busick,
Pleasant Gardens, Little Switzerland, Woodlawn and Celo.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph, pea size hail and very heavy rainfall rates
up to 2 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3573 8199 3571 8203 3568 8204 3562 8227
      3563 8227 3565 8229 3567 8228 3568 8229
      3571 8228 3573 8229 3573 8230 3578 8231
      3590 8213 3590 8198
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 261DEG 11KT 3574 8216

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
505 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW ASHEVILLE          35.57N 82.60W
07/14/2017                   BUNCOMBE           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED TWO TREES DOWN ON TALMADGE ST
            NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH TALMADGE CT IN WEST ASHEVILLE.
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JMP