Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Green Bay, WI

964 
WWUS53 KGRB 141935
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
235 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIC083-142000-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-170614T2000Z/
Oconto WI-
235 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL OCONTO COUNTY...

At 235 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Gillett, or 12
miles northeast of Shawano, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Gillett, Oconto Falls, Underhill, Spruce, Breed, Suring, Hickory
Corners, Hayes and Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4486 8849 4507 8848 4508 8812 4485 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 239DEG 25KT 4490 8840 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

EB

999 
WWUS53 KGRB 141945
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
245 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIC083-142000-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-170614T2000Z/
Oconto WI-
245 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL OCONTO COUNTY...

At 245 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Gillett, or 14
miles northeast of Shawano, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Gillett, Oconto Falls, Underhill, Spruce, Suring, Hickory Corners and
Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4486 8841 4502 8843 4508 8812 4485 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 238DEG 20KT 4492 8837 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

EB

172 
WWUS53 KGRB 141956
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
256 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIC083-142006-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-170614T2000Z/
Oconto WI-
256 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL OCONTO COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 300 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
northeastern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4486 8841 4502 8843 4508 8812 4485 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 257DEG 23KT 4488 8822 

$$

EB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
100 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Updated aviation portion for 18Z TAF issuance

.SHORT TERM...Today...Tonight...and Thursday
Issued at 246 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Convective trends and severe weather potential are the main
forecast concerns.

Have been watching the line of thunderstorms approaching from
western WI. Recent observations have shown numerous gusts to
30-40 knots along this line. A gradual decrease in reflectivity
and lightning, and warming cloud tops, suggests that the line is
weakening as it encounters the upper level ridge and increased
capping (+12 C at 700 mb). Meso-models support the weakening
trend, and indicate that there may not be much left of the line
as it reaches north central WI. However, all meso-models show
elevated storms firing over northeast/far eastern WI by 09z, on
the edge of the cap where the latest meso-analysis shows MUCAPE of
1000-1500 j/kg. Despite sufficient instability for severe hail,
weak deep layer shear and high wet-bulb zero heights of 10.5-11.5
K FT suggest that small hail and heavy downpours will be the
primary concerns.

After a short lull in the convection during the mid-morning to
midday period, a short-wave trof (currently over eastern Nebraska)
will swing through the forecast area during the afternoon and
early evening. This wave will trigger additional thunderstorms
in a moderately unstable air mass (CAPE 1000-2500 J/kg). With
sufficient deep layer shear of 25-40 kts, another round of
organized severe weather is expected. Damaging winds and large
hail will be the main threats, but 0-3 km helicities of around
200, strong low-level CAPE and the presence of the warm frontal
boundary support a small tornado threat as well.

A cold front will move through the forecast area tonight,
continuing the chance of thunderstorms overnight, and possibly
into early Thursday morning in far eastern WI. The rest of the
day on Thursday looks dry, with decreasing clouds and humidity,
and gusty west winds.

Temperatures will remain above normal over the region.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
Issued at 246 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

A 500 mb low currently over the western CONUS should be in
Manitoba by 00Z Friday. This will result in a more zonal flow
aloft across the Great Lakes until a trough digs into the
northern Plains over the weekend.

A cooling trend will bring temperatures back closer to normal for
the upcoming weekend. Once the upper trough axis passes to the
east, flow aloft becomes northwest and at least a couple of days
of cooler than normal high temperatures are expected for the
early part of the work week.

The main chances for showers and storms are expected to be late
this week and into the weekend. Once the upper trough axis passes
to the east there will be occasional slight chance/low end chance
PoPs at most.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

MVFR ceilings over northern Wisconsin will dissipate this
afternoon as a warm front moves north and increasing winds mix
out low level moisture.

Thunderstorms will move across the area from southwest to northeast
during the mid and late afternoon hours accompanied by gusty winds
and heavy rain. They should exit the area during the early evening.
Additional scattered thunderstorms are possible alter tonight as
a weak cold front moves through.

IFR ceilings and visibilities are possible late tonight and early
Thursday where winds become light and the ground is wet from
rain. Good flying weather is expected by noon Thursday.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....Kieckbusch
LONG TERM......MG
AVIATION.......RDM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
304 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-150815-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
304 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance of thunderstorms with small hail and heavy
downpours early this morning, especially over northeast and east
central Wisconsin.

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms today and tonight,
especially during the afternoon and early evening. Damaging
winds, large hail, heavy rainfall and flooding, and possibly a
tornado or two, may impact the region.

Due to several recent bouts of heavy rainfall, the Wisconsin
River continues to flow faster than normal with a few locations at
or above flood stage. Caution should be used if boating or
fishing on the Wisconsin River. Other rivers across the region
will also be on the rise along with faster than normal flows for
this time of year.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A chance of thunderstorms will return for late this week and
the weekend, but severe storms do not appear likely.

The Wisconsin River will continue to flow faster than normal
due to recent heavy rainfall, with a few locations expected to
remain at or above flood stage through at least Thursday. Other
rivers across north-central and northeast Wisconsin will be
running high as well.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at times today and tonight.

LMZ521-522-541>543-150815-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
304 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance of thunderstorms with small hail and heavy
downpours early this morning.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible later this
afternoon and evening. Some of these storms will produce strong
winds, hail and heavy rainfall.

Patchy dense fog may develop, as a warm and moist air mass flows
over the relatively cool waters of Lake Michigan.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A chance of thunderstorms will return during the weekend.

Kieckbusch/MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
826 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIZ022-141415-
Door WI-
826 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL DOOR COUNTY UNTIL 915 AM
CDT...

At 826 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms from Institute to Egg Harbor to Peninsula State
Park to Ephraim. The thunderstorms were moving to the northeast
at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm. Torential rainfall can be expected with this storm that
may produce street flooding in Institute, Egg Harbor and Ephraim.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonport, Ephraim, Egg Harbor, Newport State Park, Whitefish Bay,
Baileys Harbor, Sister Bay, Peninsula Center, Fish Creek and
Peninsula State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4516 8697 4501 8710 4488 8716 4481 8726
      4497 8735 4524 8719 4530 8713 4530 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 1322Z 223DEG 23KT 4499 8716

ECKBERG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
904 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIZ022-141445-
Door WI-
904 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY...

At 903 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ephraim, or 25 miles northeast of Sturgeon Bay, moving northeast at
30 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Newport State Park around 920 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Baileys Harbor, Fish
Creek, Peninsula State Park, Sister Bay, Rowleys Bay and Ellison Bay.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4524 8690 4519 8692 4516 8697 4510 8695
      4501 8709 4513 8725 4533 8707 4534 8706
      4527 8688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1403Z 226DEG 25KT 4513 8709

ECKBERG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1244 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIZ035-036-045-141900-
Waushara WI-Wood WI-Portage WI-
1244 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WOOD...PORTAGE AND WESTERN
WAUSHARA COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

At 1243 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
across far southwest Wisconsin. The thunderstorms were moving to the
northeast around 45 mph. These storms will arrive across southern
Wood, southwest Portage and western Waushara counties between 130 PM
and 215 PM CDT. These storms are expected to continue across the
region during the mid afternoon hours.

At this time, these storms are not severe, however conditions are
favorable for the storms to strengthen and become severe. A severe
thunderstorm watch is in effect until 8 pm. Stay tuned to your
favorite media source for the latest statements and possible
warnings on this cluster of thunderstorms.

Locations that my be impacted by these thunderstorms include...
Stevens Point, Wisconsin Rapids, Marshfield, Whiting, Pittsville,
Plainfield, Babcock, Lake Wazeecha, Plover and Stockton.

LAT...LON 4468 9032 4468 8937 4398 8937 4398 8960
      4425 8960 4425 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 218DEG 41KT 4414 9134 4369 9067 4289 9081

Eckberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
158 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

WIZ035-036-045-142015-
Waushara WI-Wood WI-Portage WI-
158 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

At 156 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms centered near Friendship, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Stevens Point, Wisconsin Rapids, Whiting, Pittsville, Babcock, Lake
Wazeecha, Plover, Nekoosa, Port Edwards and Biron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4451 9031 4450 8941 4398 8959 4425 8960
      4425 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 204DEG 23KT 4406 8984

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
201 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     TORNADO          5 W KESHENA             44.87N 88.73W
06/14/2017                   MENOMINEE          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NEAR HWY VV.

&&