Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Green Bay, WI

475 
WWUS53 KGRB 180039
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
739 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

WIC069-073-180115-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170518T0115Z/
Lincoln WI-Marathon WI-
739 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR LINCOLN AND EASTERN MARATHON COUNTIES...

At 738 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles northeast of New Wood Wildlife Area to near
Merrill to 11 miles east of Council Grounds State Park to 10 miles
northeast of Wausau, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Wausau, Weston, Merrill, Rib Mountain, Mosinee, Tomahawk, Council
Grounds State Park, Rothschild, Bradley and Schofield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
north central and northeastern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4512 8980 4549 9004 4555 9002 4552 8946
      4540 8942 4512 8943 4512 8933 4475 8922
      4481 8986
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 211DEG 73KT 4538 8986 4525 8962 4515 8950 4503
8944

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AK

030 
WWUS53 KGRB 180103
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
803 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

WIC069-073-180111-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170518T0115Z/
Lincoln WI-Marathon WI-
803 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LINCOLN AND EASTERN MARATHON
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm warning has been replaced by a new severe 
thunderstorm warning in effect until 9 pm cdt.  Please see that 
bulletin for details. 

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central,
north central and northeastern Wisconsin.


LAT...LON 4512 8980 4549 9004 4555 9002 4552 8946
      4540 8942 4512 8943 4512 8933 4475 8922
      4481 8986
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 216DEG 57KT 4566 8958 4553 8933 4543 8921 4531
8915

$$

EB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
242 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Thursday
Issued at 242 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

A low pressure system, clearly seen spinning across the Missouri
Valley, will continue moving northeast towards northern Wisconsin
this afternoon and is forecast to be over the forecast area late
tonight and early Thursday morning. As this system tracks towards
the area instability will increase precipitously this afternoon
and this evening with forecast MUCAPEs of 2000 to 2500 J/kg. An
18Z KGRB RAOB sounding already shows 1100 J/kg of SBCAPE, which is
expected to rise as surface temperatures rise to around 80 this
afternoon. In addition to the instability 0-6 km bulk shear values
are expected to increase to around 50 knots. This setup points to
an increased severe weather potential for northeast Wisconsin, as
noted by the Slight Risk from the SPC convective outlook. The main
severe weather threat appears to be winds, as noted by the strong
50+ knots of wind starting as low as 8800 ft in the 18Z KGRB RAOB,
and 70 knots noted just above 20k ft agl. In addition to damaging
winds, large hail is possible with a fat CAPE profile in the hail
growth zone as well as tornadoes given the low level shear noted
in the low levels of the RAOB sounding. Models are indicating a
very long night in store for the forecast area as several rounds
of strong to severe storms track through the forecast area through
the overnight hours. Preliminary thoughts are there could be 3
rounds, however there could be more or less based on how the low
progresses towards the area tonight and how long the instability
can remain in place after sunset.

In addition to severe weather, flooding will be a concern across
north-central Wisconsin where several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms have already passed through yesterday night. However
the fast winds noted in the sounding will lead to fast moving
storms during this period, keeping the chances for training over
any given area rather low. Therefore will hold off on any flood
watches for this area at this time.

The storms will exit the area late tonight and Thursday morning as
the low moves through the area and a cold front brings a cooler,
more stable airmass to the region. Temperatures Thursday afternoon
are expected to fall behind the cold front despite being the
middle of May, a rare event for this time of year.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Wednesday
Issued at 242 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Very cool conditions expected at the beginning of the period, then
temperatures will modify early next week but will remain below
normal for the latter half of May. Winds will gradually diminish
later Thursday with a frost or freeze expected north and west of
the Fox Valley. Conditions across the Fox Valley and lakeshore a
little more tricky as winds stay up even late at night. This will
more than likely limit the frost potential and keep temperatures
from 35 to 39 degrees. Highs on Friday will be very cool with
readings only reaching the middle to upper 50s. For Friday night,
clouds will be on the increase with chances of rain after
midnight.

Rain is expected on Saturday into Saturday night as the next
system moves across the region. The next chance of rain will be
next Tuesday and Wednesday. Below normal temperatures are expected
for much of the period.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will impact the TAF
sites during the TAF period. The best chance for thunderstorms
will be this afternoon and early this evening, with lower chances
later tonight into Thursday morning. CIGS have settled between low
VFR and MVFR this afternoon, with bases basically between 2500 and
3500 ft. Conditions will drop with showers and thunderstorms to a
solid MVFR/IFR deck, with lower conditions possible with heavier
rain activity. A cold front will move through Thursday morning,
bringing additional showers and low clouds. Conditions are not
expected to improve appreciably until Thursday afternoon when the
main low tracks east.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....Kurimski
LONG TERM......Eckberg
AVIATION.......Kurimski

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
208 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-181915-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
208 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across nearly all
of the forecast area. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few
tornadoes are possible. The afternoon and early evening hours have
the greatest potential for severe storms.

The thunderstorms will also produce heavy rain, especially across
far northern Wisconsin where local flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

A frost or freeze is likely north and west of the Fox Valley
Thursday night. Patchy frost is also possible across the Fox
Valley as well, but will depend if winds diminish late Thursday
night.

Thunderstorms are possible Saturday night but it is too early to
determine the severe weather threat at this time. There is also
the potential for heavy rain Saturday and Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested this afternoon and tonight.

LMZ521-522-541>543-181915-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
208 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Increasing south winds and building waves will lead to hazardous
conditions in the Lake Michigan waters. There is a also a chance
of severe thunderstorms this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

An abrupt wind shift from south to north will take place Thursday
during the morning or midday hours. Winds could gust to gale
force for a few hours from the north after the wind shift.

There is a chance for thunderstorms Saturday night. Winds and
waves hazardous to small craft are possible on Thursday.

Kurimski/Eckberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
510 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

WIZ013-021-073-172300-
Southern Marinette County WI-Northern Oconto County WI-
Northern Marinette County WI-
510 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARINETTE AND CENTRAL OCONTO
COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 510 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles southeast of Goodman to near Crivitz
to 9 miles west of Pound. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Crivitz, Pembine, Wausaukee, Pound, Niagara, Beaver, Middle Inlet,
Amberg, Beecher and Coleman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4576 8796 4575 8787 4568 8778 4565 8783
      4559 8778 4556 8779 4556 8783 4550 8779
      4544 8786 4541 8785 4535 8789 4535 8775
      4539 8769 4534 8765 4523 8772 4502 8816
      4503 8827 4523 8815 4553 8833 4579 8799
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 227DEG 40KT 4550 8823 4527 8810 4506 8823

EB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
631 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW WAUSAUKEE         45.32N 87.96W
05/17/2017  M2.36 INCH       MARINETTE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

&&

ECKBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
703 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     TSTM WND GST     PORT EDWARDS            44.33N 89.84W
05/17/2017  M60 MPH          WOOD               WI   PUBLIC

            MEASURED WIND GUST. ALSO NOTED STOP LIGHTS WERE OUT.

&&

KLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
704 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     HAIL             PORT EDWARDS            44.33N 89.84W
05/17/2017  M0.50 INCH       WOOD               WI   PUBLIC

&&

KLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
705 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     HAIL             4 S NEKOOSA             44.25N 89.88W
05/17/2017  M1.00 INCH       WOOD               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0648 PM     HAIL             NEKOOSA                 44.31N 89.88W
05/17/2017  M1.00 INCH       WOOD               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ECKBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
708 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     HAIL             NEKOOSA                 44.31N 89.88W
05/17/2017  M1.00 INCH       WOOD               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ECKBERG