Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 30, NWS Green Bay, WI
NWS Green Bay, WI issued this river flood warning at Jun 12, 2017, 8:33 PM CDT for Menominee County, Michigan; Marinette County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Jun 13, 2017, 8:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 12, 2017, 8:33 PM CDT (01:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 13, 2017, 8:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 17, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Green Bay, WI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Menominee County, MI, Marinette County, WI
The radar
The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Menominee River near McAllister (MCAW3).
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04067500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
095
WGUS43 KGRB 130133
FLWGRB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
833 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017
...The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...Michigan...
Pine River near Florence affecting Florence County
Menominee River near Niagara affecting Dickinson...Menominee...
Florence and Marinette Counties
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.
&&
WIC037-131633-
/O.NEW.KGRB.FL.W.0028.170613T0133Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRKW3.1.ER.170612T2315Z.170613T0045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017
The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a
* Flood Warning For
the Pine River near Florence.
* At 7:45 PM Monday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* At 7.0 feet, A recreational area and parking lot near the gage
begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 4588 8840 4585 8810 4582 8813 4579 8841
$$
MIC043-109-WIC037-075-131633-
/O.NEW.KGRB.FL.W.0029.170614T0000Z-170615T0300Z/
/NIAW3.1.ER.170614T0000Z.170614T0600Z.170614T0900Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017
The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a
* Flood Warning For
the Menominee River near Niagara.
* At 7:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 13.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 13.0 feet, Water approaches the parking lot of the Union
Protestant Church.
&&
LAT...LON 4588 8803 4582 8803 4579 8785 4569 8790
4575 8820 4587 8817
$$
WIC075-MIC109-131633-
/O.NEW.KGRB.FL.W.0030.170614T0100Z-170617T1400Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T0100Z.170615T0600Z.170616T2000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017
The National Weather Service in Green Bay has issued a
* Flood Warning For
the Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 7:15 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 16.2 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* At 16.5 feet, Water approaches River Drive and Shore Drive west of
Wallace in Menominee County Michigan. Water approaches South Park
Road east of Porterfield.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$10 follow-up statements
102
WGUS83 KGRB 131605
FLSGRB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1105 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-140705-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.170614T0336Z-170617T0000Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T0336Z.170615T0000Z.170616T0600Z.NO/
1105 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 15.5 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall below
flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$568
WGUS83 KGRB 140234
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
934 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin..
Wisconsin River below Wausau affecting Marathon County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC073-141734-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WUUW3.1.ER.170613T0848Z.170613T1810Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
934 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wisconsin River below Wausau.
* At 9:10 PM Tuesday the stage was 1167 feet.
* Flood stage is 1167 feet.
* At 1167 feet, Waters approaches buildings in DC Everest Park and
Oak Island Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4500 8958 4489 8961 4489 8965 4500 8967
$$
WIC075-MIC109-141734-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.170615T0000Z-170617T1800Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170615T0000Z.170615T1800Z.170617T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 15.2 feet by Thursday early afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$505
WGUS83 KGRB 141528
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1028 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-150628-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.170614T1527Z-170619T0000Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T0000Z.170618T0600Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday
morning.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$621
WGUS83 KGRB 150038
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
738 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Wisconsin River below Alexander Reservoir AFFECTING Lincoln County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan..
Wisconsin River below Wausau affecting Marathon County
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC069-150108-
/O.CAN.KGRB.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-170615T0038Z/
/ALXW3.1.ER.170614T0832Z.170614T1210Z.170614T1812Z.UU/
738 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Wisconsin River below Alexander Reservoir.
* At 7:10 PM Wednesday the stage was 1258 feet.
* Flood stage is 1259 feet.
* At 1259 feet, Widespread wooded lowland flooding downstream of the
dam. The river current downstream of the dam in Council Grounds
Park is fast.
&&
LAT...LON 4522 8977 4521 8970 4515 8971 4519 8981
$$
WIC073-151538-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WUUW3.1.ER.170613T0848Z.170613T1810Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
738 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wisconsin River below Wausau.
* At 7:10 PM Wednesday the stage was 1167 feet.
* Flood stage is 1167 feet.
* At 1167 feet, Waters approaches buildings in DC Everest Park and
Oak Island Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4500 8958 4489 8961 4489 8965 4500 8967
$$
WIC075-MIC109-151538-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170619T0000Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170614T2315Z.170618T0600Z.NO/
738 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 6:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Sunday morning.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$784
WGUS83 KGRB 151503
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1003 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Wisconsin River below Wausau AFFECTING Marathon County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
Oconto River above Oconto affecting Oconto County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin..
Peshtigo River near Porterfield affecting Marinette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-160603-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170619T0300Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170616T0000Z.170618T0900Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 15.8 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 16.5 feet, Water approaches River Drive and Shore Drive west of
Wallace in Menominee County Michigan. Water approaches South Park
Road east of Porterfield.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$
WIC075-160602-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PFDW3.1.ER.170615T1402Z.170615T1556Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1003 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peshtigo River near Porterfield.
* At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 12.2 feet by late this morning. Additional rises
are possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, Area boat docks begin flooding and there is
widespread flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4517 8790 4517 8778 4510 8776 4509 8780
4512 8782 4510 8790
$$
WIC083-160602-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170621T0300Z/
/OCTW3.1.ER.170615T0512Z.170615T1030Z.170620T0900Z.UU/
1003 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Oconto River above Oconto.
* At 8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 10.0 feet by
Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday
morning.
* At 10.0 feet, Up to a foot of water surrounds structures in a
campground in the city of Oconto.
&&
LAT...LON 4493 8815 4490 8783 4486 8785 4483 8815
$$
WIC073-151533-
/O.CAN.KGRB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170615T1503Z/
/WUUW3.1.ER.170613T0848Z.170613T1810Z.170615T0030Z.UU/
1003 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Wisconsin River below Wausau.
* At 9:10 AM Thursday the stage was 1166 feet.
* Flood stage is 1167 feet.
* At 1167 feet, Waters approaches buildings in DC Everest Park and
Oak Island Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4500 8958 4489 8961 4489 8965 4500 8967
$$266
WGUS83 KGRB 160204
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
904 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...
Oconto River above Oconto affecting Oconto County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan..
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-161704-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170619T0300Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T2045Z.170618T0900Z.NO/
904 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 16.5 feet, Water approaches River Drive and Shore Drive west of
Wallace in Menominee County Michigan. Water approaches South Park
Road east of Porterfield.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$
WIC083-161704-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170620T0900Z/
/OCTW3.1.ER.170615T0512Z.170615T1030Z.170619T1500Z.UU/
904 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Oconto River above Oconto.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* At 10.0 feet, Up to a foot of water surrounds structures in a
campground in the city of Oconto.
&&
LAT...LON 4493 8815 4490 8783 4486 8785 4483 8815
$$037
WGUS83 KGRB 161621
FLSGRB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1121 AM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-170721-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170618T1200Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T2045Z.170617T1800Z.NO/
1121 AM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Saturday evening.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$545
WGUS83 KGRB 170119
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
819 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin..
Peshtigo River near Porterfield affecting Marinette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-171619-
/O.EXT.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170618T1800Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T2045Z.170618T0000Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow evening.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$
WIC075-171619-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PFDW3.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
819 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peshtigo River near Porterfield.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12.0 feet, Area boat docks begin flooding and there is
widespread flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4517 8790 4517 8778 4510 8776 4509 8780
4512 8782 4510 8790
$$309
WGUS83 KGRB 171553
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1053 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan..
Menominee River near McAllister affecting Marinette and Menominee
Counties
Peshtigo River near Porterfield affecting Marinette County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-180653-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PFDW3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170617T0515Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1053 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peshtigo River near Porterfield.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* At 12.0 feet, Area boat docks begin flooding and there is
widespread flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4517 8790 4517 8778 4510 8776 4509 8780
4512 8782 4510 8790
$$
WIC075-MIC109-180653-
/O.CON.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170618T1800Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T2045Z.170617T1315Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 10:15 AM Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$653
WGUS83 KGRB 171800
FLSGRB
Flood Statament
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
100 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Wisconsin...Michigan...
Menominee River near McAllister AFFECTING Marinette and Menominee
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded area...turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn Around...Do Not Drown.
&&
WIC075-MIC109-171830-
/O.CAN.KGRB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170618T1800Z/
/MCAW3.1.ER.170614T1255Z.170615T2045Z.170617T1315Z.NO/
100 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Menominee River near McAllister.
* At 11:45 AM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 8:15 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to 14.3 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* At 15.0 feet, Water covers the boat docks near the river gage and
there is extensive flooding of wooded lowland.
&&
LAT...LON 4535 8763 4519 8771 4510 8759 4508 8760
4516 8783 4535 8769
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 12, 6:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 6:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 610 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 Updated aviation portion for 00Z TAF issuance .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 Remaining warm and humid with several rounds of thunderstorms the next few days, then drier and less humid for the latter part of the work week. The large scale pattern across the CONUS is dominated by a trough/closed upper low over the intermountain west, and downstream ridging over the central and eastern CONUS. The western trough will lift northeast into Canada as the large scale pattern loses amplitude. The result will be a strong zonal band of westerlies across the northern tier of the CONUS by late in the week. The trend beyond that will be for a broad ridge to develop near the West Coast while troughing gradually becomes established over the Great Lakes/Ontario region. Through somewhat drier air has temporarily worked into the north, the first several days of the period will be dominated by warm and humid conditions. A return to more seasonable humidities is expected during the latter half of the work week as the humid air gets shunted east. That will be followed by a subtle cool down for the weekend as the upper flow starts to tilt west northwesterly. But readings should still remain near seasonal normals. The bulk of the precipitation should occur during the first half of the forecast period. Amounts are likely to be well above normal, and possibly excessive. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Tuesday Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 Convective trends are the main focus for tonight and Tuesday. The latest regional radars indicated a complex of thunderstorms across southeast Minnesota into northern Iowa. The latest trends indicated the storms have merged and may begin to bow out as it head east into Wisconsin. Still feel there is a slight risk of severe storms, mainly south of a Sturgeon Bay to Merrill line. Damaging winds is the primary threat along with torrential rain. Some hail is possible, but the probability of one inch hail is low. This round of thunderstorms is expected to move east of the area early Tuesday morning. Lowered rain chances across the north late tonight into Tuesday morning, as best isentropic lift will be south of the area. Think some scattered showers and storms linger across the south. The low level jet is expected to crank up late tonight and pointed towards the eastern Dakotas. It appears that another complex of storms will develop in this region. The question is whether this complex of storms will move into Wisconsin on Tuesday. Will need to monitor this situation as the models diverge on whether this will happen. There may be some significant changes to the forecast on the midnight shift if it becomes apparent this complex would roll through Wisconsin on Tuesday. .LONG TERM...Tuesday Night Through Monday Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 Details remain elusive in the long term portion of the forecast. Upper ridging will gradually shift east of the area Tuesday night, likely allowing some convection from the west to spread across the area, especially after midnight. Shear is not expected to be strong, but given the expected instability and the remnants of the warm front lingering across the area, at least some risk of severe weather and heavy rain will exist. Height falls on the southeast flank of the upper low lifting into Canada will shift across the area Wednesday along with a weakening cool front. The remnants of the warm front will still be in the area as well. The severe risk may come down to how much cloud cover persist to limit destabilization during the day. For right now the SPC SWODY3 slight risk seems reasonable. Once the upper low lifts into Canada and weakens, the forecast area will remain within a seasonably strong band of low amplitude westerlies. Embedded shortwaves in such patterns are typically difficult for the models to resolve, and that is the case today. The various medium range models all generated precipitation at times. This resulted in chance PoPs spread across most of the rest of the forecast period. Temperatures and humidities will return to more seasonable levels under the developing west northwest flow aloft. && .AVIATION...for 00Z TAF Issuance Issued at 610 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 A large area of thunderstorms is currently tracking through the area this evening north of a warm front. This activity will move from west to east before ending around midnight. Some storms could be strong to severe, especially along and south of highway 29. Once the showers and storms end, low clouds and fog will be possible later tonight into Tuesday morning. Still some uncertainty if another complex of storms will redevelop behind first complex as low level jet takes aim for the northern plains, however that scenario is looking less likely with this batch arriving earlier than expected. If a complex does develop, it more than likely would not arrive until Tuesday morning. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 The Wisconsin River continues to indicate fast flows with some flooding at a few locations due to heavy rains from yesterday. The river should continue to run high as additional rainfall is expected over the next few days. Other rivers across the region and are on the rise. Stay tuned for potential river statements and warnings. && .GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS.......Skowronski SHORT TERM.....Eckberg LONG TERM......Skowronski AVIATION.......Kurimski HYDROLOGY......Eckberg
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 2:38 PM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Green Bay WI 238 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-131100- Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln- Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano- Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago- Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County- Southern Oconto County- 238 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Late This Afternoon and Tonight Thunderstorms are expected at times late this afternoon south of a Merrill to Sturgeon Bay line, and then across the entire area tonight. A few of the storms could become severe with damaging winds and hail, especially south of a Merrill to Sturgeon Bay line late this afternoon and evening. Torrential rainfall is also expected with the storms that could lead to urban street flooding and ponding of water on area roadways. Due to the heavy rainfall on Sunday and Sunday night, the Wisconsin River continues to flow faster than normal. Caution should be used if boating or fishing on the Wisconsin River. Other rivers across the region will also be on the rise along with faster than normal flows for this time of year. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday Additional periods of thunderstorms will occur from Tuesday through Wednesday night. It is difficult to pinpoint the specific timing and impacts of these storms, but it appears that a severe weather threat could develop on Wednesday afternoon and evening. A chance of thunderstorms will return on Friday and Saturday. Severe weather appears unlikely at this time. The Wisconsin River will continue to flow faster than normal due to recent heavy rains and additional rainfall expected over the next few days. Other rivers across north-central and northeast Wisconsin will be on the rise as well. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and tonight, especially south of a Merrill to Sturgeon Bay line. Spotters are requested to report wind gusts over 45 mph, hail over 1/2 inch in diameter or any flooding. LMZ521-522-541>543-131100- The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan- 238 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake Michigan and the waters of Green Bay. .DAY ONE...Late This Afternoon and Tonight There is a chance of thunderstorms late this afternoon south of Sturgeon Bay which could pose a hazard to mariners. There is a chance of thunderstorms across the entire area tonight. Some of these storms could produce strong winds, frequent cloud to water lightning strikes and blinding rain which could reduce visibilities below one mile for a period of time. The greatest risk of strong winds will be south of Sturgeon Bay. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday Periods of thunderstorms are likely to occur from Tuesday through Wednesday night. The storms may pose a hazard to mariners. Dense fog will also be possible at times through Wednesday as a humid airmass settles across the region. A chance of thunderstorms will return on Friday and Saturday. Severe weather appears unlikely at this time. Eckberg/Skowronski
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 12, 7:51 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
751 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0750 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 W WINCHESTER 44.20N 88.78W
06/12/2017 E1.50 INCH WINNEBAGO WI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KURIMSKILocal storm report, Jun 12, 8:00 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
800 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0742 PM TSTM WND GST NEW HOLSTEIN 43.95N 88.08W
06/12/2017 M70 MPH CALUMET WI EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
&&
SACLocal storm report, Jun 12, 8:02 PM CDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
802 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0744 PM TSTM WND GST CHILTON 44.03N 88.16W
06/12/2017 M58 MPH CALUMET WI MESONET
&&
SACSpecial weather statement, Jun 12, 8:13 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
813 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
WIZ040-130200-
Kewaunee WI-
813 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN KEWAUNEE COUNTY
UNTIL 900 PM CDT...
At 812 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Two Creeks, or 9 miles southwest of Kewaunee, moving east at 35 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm, along with
torrential rainfall.
This storm will move across the following locations: Norman, Kewaunee
Power Station, Curran, Bolt, Stangelville, East Krok, Tisch Mills and
Krok.
A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
northeastern and east central Wisconsin.
LAT...LON 4442 8776 4444 8746 4436 8747 4434 8748
4433 8748 4433 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 256DEG 27KT 4436 8765
EckbergLocal storm report, Jun 12, 8:21 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
821 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM TSTM WND DMG GREEN BAY 44.51N 88.00W
06/12/2017 BROWN WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
A FEW TREES DOWN ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN. TIME ESTIMATED
VIA RADAR.
&&
GENEBLocal storm report, Jun 12, 8:22 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
822 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0747 PM FLOOD NEW HOLSTEIN 43.95N 88.08W
06/12/2017 CALUMET WI AMATEUR RADIO
2 FEET OF STANDING WATER AT MASON/MILBERN AND COUNTY
HH/DORN ROAD. BRANCHES ALSO DOWN.
0738 PM TSTM WND GST HILBERT 44.13N 88.16W
06/12/2017 M51 MPH CALUMET WI AMATEUR RADIO
AT HIGHWAY 57 AND MAIN.
&&
BERSCHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 8:33 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | GRB | Dickinson, Menominee | 49 hr |
| Jun 12, 7:05 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | GRB | 115 min | |
| Jun 12, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Outagamie, Shawano, Waupaca | 20 min |
| Jun 12, 7:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Brown | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Calumet, Manitowoc | 46 min |
| Jun 12, 8:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Manitowoc | 47 min |
| Jun 12, 8:24 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | GRB | Lincoln | 25 hr |
| Jun 12, 8:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Kewaunee, Manitowoc | 36 min |
| Jun 12, 8:33 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | GRB | Florence | 24 hr |
| Jun 12, 8:50 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | GRB | 55 min | |
| Jun 13, 6:27 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | GRB | Marathon | 52 hr |
| Jun 13, 8:49 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Calumet, Marathon, Waupaca, Winnebago | 71 min |
| Jun 13, 9:49 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Marathon, Waupaca | 71 min |
| Jun 13, 9:59 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GRB | Portage, Waushara, Wood | 2 hr |
| Jun 13, 10:56 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Portage, Waushara | 49 min |
| Jun 13, 11:55 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GRB | Portage, Waushara, Wood | 6 hr |
| Jun 13, 2:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Vilas | 52 min |
| Jun 13, 3:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GRB | Vilas | 52 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2017River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.