Severe Thunderstorm Warning 146, NWS Goodland, KS

025 
WWUS53 KGLD 262040
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
340 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

KSC065-137-262100-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-170626T2100Z/
Norton KS-Graham KS-
340 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTON AND NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES...

At 339 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles southeast of
Edmond, or 14 miles northeast of Hill City, moving south at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Edmond and Densmore. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Goodland.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3940 9985 3968 9989 3970 9966 3963 9963
      3957 9963 3957 9960 3956 9960 3941 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 347DEG 26KT 3955 9974 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Buller

503 
WWUS53 KGLD 262044
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
344 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

KSC065-137-262100-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-170626T2100Z/
Norton KS-Graham KS-
344 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTON AND NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES...

At 342 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southeast of
Edmond, or 12 miles northeast of Hill City, moving south at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. at 240 pm mdt, half dollar size hail was 
         reported three miles east of Edmond.  

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Edmond and Densmore. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Goodland.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3940 9985 3968 9989 3970 9966 3963 9963
      3957 9963 3957 9960 3956 9960 3941 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 347DEG 26KT 3953 9973 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Buller

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
202 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 201 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Across the Tri State region this afternoon...mainly mostly sunny
skies with some mostly cloudy due to trw moving thru...albeit
scattered in nature at this time. Temperatures are currently ranging
in the upper 70s up to 90F in a few spots...with light/variable
winds.

For the rest of the afternoon into the evening/overnight
period...scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop and move
thru the region. Some of these will become severe with heavy
rainfall...1 to 2 inch hail...and strong winds. With upper ridge in
place and very little surface flow...storms will move slowly and may
cause potential flooding conditions. These storms will begin to wane
as the evening hours progress with loss of instability. Boundary
over the region will shift thru the region during this time. Do
expect temps to drop into the mid and upper 50s with skies going
partly cloudy and winds go ESE.

Going into Tuesday...upper ridge in place over the Plains
region...with a strong surface gradient setting up with low pressure
west...and a surface ridge east. By the afternoon hrs...gusts could
shift upwards into the 40-50 mph range. With this setup...increased
instability on strong WAA with bring temps into the low 90s. This
increase in instability will give chance for increased trw
probability. From the SPC...the CWA is currently split between
Marginal and Slight Risk for severe wx. Models currently have precip
shifting from west to east thru the day...with best chances right
now for the afternoon hrs to start...and windy conditions by midday
at the latest.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 309 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Thursday: Looks to be another day with the potential for strong to
severe storms during the afternoon hours through the overnight.
Model soundings show MUCAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg, DCAPE near 1700
J/kg, and 0-6km bulk shear of 35-50kt across the area. Damaging
winds and hail look to be the biggest threats with any storms that
form. With PWATs around 1.50 inches, will also have to watch for the
possibility of heavy rain accompanying storms during the evening.

Friday-Sunday: Weak cold front pushes through the area late Thursday
or early Friday. Will have a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms Friday night. Models differ for the rest of the
period. GFS is showing cooler daytime temps and wetter conditions
through Sunday evening than the ECMWF. GFS maintains NW flow aloft
over the area Saturday and Sunday, whereas the ECMWF moves upper
level ridging into the area which creates a decent amount of
subsidence over the CWA. Forecast is essentially a blend of the two
on temps and PoPs. Should be noted that if the GFS verifies, CWA
could see weekend conditions very similar to this past weekend with
cooler temps, cloud cover, and precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1111 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

For KGLD...VFR conditions thru the forecast period w/ a scattered
low/mid cloud mix. Winds...W 5-10kts thru 21z then ESE around
10kts. By 14z Tuesday...S 10-20kts. LLWS 05z-14z Tuesday
160@40kts.

For KMCK...VFR conditions thru the forecast period w/ a scattered
to broken low/mid cloud mix. Winds...light/variable thru
1930z...then ENE around 10kts thru 08z Tuesday. By 08z...ESE
5-10kts increasing to 10-20kts by 14z. LLWS 08z-14z 140@35kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...SME
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
941 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271545-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
941 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017 /1041 AM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Colorado...
extreme southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible early this afternoon through
tonight. One or two severe storms are possible with large hail and
damaging winds the primary threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Severe thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon Tuesday through
Thursday. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
116 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

COZ091-092-262000-
Kit Carson County CO-Cheyenne County CO-
116 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHEYENNE AND WESTERN
KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO UNTIL 200 PM MDT...

At 115 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Seibert, moving south at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Seibert and Vona.

This includes Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 398 and
416.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 10303 3954 10283 3896 10244 3885 10293
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 346DEG 23KT 3926 10290

Buller

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
140 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     HAIL             5 ESE FLAGLER           39.27N 102.98W
06/26/2017  M1.50 INCH       KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

            A FEW PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL STONES. HAIL SIZE RANGED
            FROM DIME TO PING PONG.

&&

CLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
153 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     HAIL             10 N NORTON             39.98N 99.89W
06/26/2017  M0.88 INCH       NORTON             KS   PUBLIC

            PEA AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

&&

CLT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
155 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0149 PM     HAIL             6 N NORTON              39.92N 99.89W
06/26/2017  M1.25 INCH       NORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CALLED AT 152 MDT AND SAID HAIL WAS STILL OCCURRING AND
            STARTED 3 MINUTES BEFORE CALL.

&&

CLT