Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Hastings, NE

974 
WWUS53 KGID 222100
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
400 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

KSC089-123-141-183-222145-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-170722T2145Z/
Mitchell KS-Jewell KS-Smith KS-Osborne KS-
400 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL...SOUTHEASTERN SMITH
AND NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTIES...

At 359 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Downs, or 23
miles west of Beloit, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Downs, Cawker City, Glen Elder and Ionia. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Waconda Lake, get away from the water and move indoors 
or inside a vehicle. remember, lightning can strike out to 15 miles 
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close 
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now!  Do not 
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 9863 3964 9864 3971 9828 3945 9824
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 261DEG 6KT 3957 9853 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Mangels

489 
WWUS53 KGID 222118
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
418 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

KSC089-123-141-183-222145-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-170722T2145Z/
Mitchell KS-Jewell KS-Smith KS-Osborne KS-
418 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL...SOUTHEASTERN SMITH
AND NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTIES...

At 417 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Downs, or 23
miles west of Beloit, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Downs, Cawker City and Ionia. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 9863 3964 9864 3970 9833 3946 9832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 263DEG 3KT 3957 9854 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Mangels

012 
WWUS53 KGID 222144
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
444 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

KSC089-123-141-183-222153-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-170722T2145Z/
Mitchell KS-Jewell KS-Smith KS-Osborne KS-
444 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...
SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL...SOUTHEASTERN SMITH AND NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However hail up 
to the size of quarters is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3948 9863 3964 9864 3970 9833 3946 9832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 261DEG 6KT 3958 9849 

$$

Mangels

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
308 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Today should be the last day of the heat wave. I didn't make any
changes to the heat advisory or heat warning. A weak upper-level
disturbance has continued to develop scattered showers and
thunderstorms over central Nebraska.

A weak cold front is located across northern Kansas, as evidenced
by a line of cumulus from Stockton to Beloit. Thunderstorms
should develop in this vicinity within the next few hours. Short-
term RAP soundings show 1000-2000J of CAPE and 30 kts of bulk
shear in this vicinity, so an isolated severe storm isn't out of
the question. This activity should continue to gradually shift
south with the front tonight.

Sunday should remain dry and cooler as high pressure builds into
the area. Highs are expected to "only" be in the low 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Early next week, mostly dry weather is expected through Tuesday,
with daily high temperatures gradually rebounding back into the
middle and upper 90s.

Chances for thunderstorms return to the forecast Wednesday as a
large upper low tracks across Canada, pushing a front through the
Great Plains.

As has been the case several times this summer, this front looks
like it will stall out in our vicinity, giving us a potential for
isolated thunderstorms Thursday and even into Friday, primarily
across Kansas and far southern Nebraska. Right now, we're only
looking at high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s through
this stretch.

Late Friday into Saturday, both the GFS and the ECMWF show the
western ridge amplifying a bit, which should limit precipitation
chances and potentially give us another round of heat as it shifts
eastward early into the following week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Sunday)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Showers have moved east of the terminals for now, but a weak mid-
level disturbance continues to develop showers with a few rumbles
of thunder across central and west-central Nebraska.

I continued a mention of VCTS for a short period later this
afternoon as short-term models move this activity towards the
area. That said, the most robust thunderstorms should stay along
and near the cold front across northern Kansas...well to the south
of GRI and EAR.

Otherwise, northeasterly winds will become light and variable
tonight and will likely remain less than 10kts tomorrow as well.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for NEZ077-086-087.

KS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ005-006-017.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ007-
     018-019.

&&

SHORT TERM...Mangels
LONG TERM...Mangels
AVIATION...Mangels

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
207 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
231200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
207 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

An Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisory remain in effect,
mainly long and southeast of a Geneva, NE to Phillipsburg, KS line
until 7pm this evening. Heat indices will generally be between
100 and 107 in this area.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the entire area for
the rest of the afternoon into the evening.

A few thunderstorms could be strong to severe along and south of
the state line. Threats include hail up to the size of quarters
and wind gusts up to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Chances for thunderstorms return to the area late overnight
Tuesday into Wednesday and will continue off and on through
Friday. The most likely timeframe for thunderstorms appears to be
Wednesday and Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening,
mainly across northern Kansas.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Mangels