Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Glasgow, MT

July 11, 2017Phillips County, Valley County, Montana

NWS Glasgow, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2017, 5:03 PM MDT for Phillips County, Valley County, Montana. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2017, 5:03 PM MDT (23:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2017, 6:00 PM MDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Glasgow, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Phillips County, MT, Valley County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 264 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2017-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2017-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1086 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 2:59 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 2:59 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
259 PM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

.SHORT TERM...for northeast Montana...tonight through Thu...
Upper level low pressure system over southern Saskatchewan will
continue to aid isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
into the evening hours, diminishing after midnight.

Wednesday: High pressure ridge begins to rebuild over the region
with warming MAX temps and decreasing Min RH values.

Thursday: High pressure strengthens over the region with Max
temps back into the mid 90s to lower 100s and RH values falling
back into the teens. tc

.LONG TERM...Thu night through Tue...

Going forecast was just blended with the 12z guidance sans the
ECMWF. Mainly hot and dry weather expected with a break coming
about Tuesday when the max temperatures are expected to drop back
into the lower 90s most places (from near 100 Sunday).

Models continue to disagree on showers behind the cold front next
week. Hopefully, this will materialize for some needed rainfall
over the next several days. TFJ

Previous Discussion...
The long term period begins Wednesday night and Thursday with the
shortwave trough pushing further downstream while a strong upper
level ridge once again becomes established across the western U.S.
Expect a return to hot and dry weather conditions.

The upper ridge only strengthens through the end of the week and
persists right on through at least the first part of the weekend.
During this time forecast highs will be in the 90s and low 100s
each day with little, if any measurable rainfall.

Latest 00z models continue to differ some on evolution of the
pattern late in the weekend and early next week. The 00z ECMWF has
the ridge axis sliding east of the forecast area into the Dakotas
with warm upper level southwest flow aloft on the backside while
a cold front approaches for forecast area. The GFS keeps the ridge
parked over the western U.S. right on through the period, though
does introduce some flattening late in the weekend and early next
week, keeping Montana on the northern periphery and becoming
influenced more by embedded shortwaves in the flow which could
generate chances for showers and thunderstorms. The bottom line is
that a return to hot and dry conditions is in the cards for the
second half of this week and into the weekend, but some
uncertainty exists late in the weekend and early next week due to
increasing model solution differences. Maliawco

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR, but possible MVFR late tonight.

Another cold front will drop in from the north tonight bringing
low clouds to KGGW...KOLF...and KSDY late tonight/early Wednesday.

Winds: NW today at 10-20 kts this afternoon will turn clockwise to
the north and diminish this evening to less than 10 kts. Continued
light winds are expected Wednesday. TFJ

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 3:02 AM MDT, 14 hours 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
302 AM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

MTZ016>027-059>062-120915-
Central and Southeast Phillips-Central and Southern Valley-
Daniels-Sheridan-Western Roosevelt-Petroleum-Garfield-McCone-
Richland-Dawson-Prairie-Wibaux-Northern Phillips-
Southwest Phillips-Northern Valley-Eastern Roosevelt-
302 AM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Montana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather Today and
Tonight is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Hot temperatures with highs in the 90s to near 100 return on
Thursday and will continue through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 12:55 PM MDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:47 PM MDT, 16 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:50 PM MDT, 13 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 11, 4:53 PM MDT, 10 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Glasgow, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 6:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWRichland44 min
Jul 10, 6:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley41 min
Jul 10, 6:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWDawson, Richland42 min
Jul 10, 6:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan42 min
Jul 10, 7:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWWibaux46 min
Jul 10, 7:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Prairie, Richland, Wibaux35 min
Jul 11, 2:56 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWPhillips49 min
Jul 11, 3:42 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWPhillips63 min
Jul 11, 4:38 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley52 min
Jul 11, 5:28 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWDaniels, Roosevelt62 min
Jul 11, 6:24 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWRoosevelt, Sheridan36 min
Jul 11, 6:50 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRoosevelt, Sheridan55 min
Jul 11, 12:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWSheridan35 min
Jul 11, 4:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWPhillips43 min
Jul 11, 4:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGW40 min
Jul 11, 5:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGWValley64 min
Jul 11, 5:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGGW43 min
Jul 11, 5:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWValley67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.