Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Fort Worth, TX

380 
WWUS54 KFWD 290855 RRA
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
355 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

TXC145-331-290904-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170329T0930Z/
Milam TX-Falls TX-
355 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MILAM AND
SOUTHEASTERN FALLS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out the 
the area therefore the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3134 9667 3155 9633 3129 9615 3107 9605
      3093 9633 3087 9639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0854Z 231DEG 40KT 3113 9636 

$$

TXC289-293-395-290930-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170329T0930Z/
Robertson TX-Leon TX-Limestone TX-
355 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ROBERTSON...SOUTHWESTERN LEON AND SOUTHEASTERN
LIMESTONE COUNTIES...

At 354 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles northeast
of Franklin, or 22 miles northeast of Hearne, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

this severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Robertson...southwestern Leon and southeastern Limestone
Counties, including the following locations: Kosse and Marquez.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection stay inside a sturdy structure and keep away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3134 9667 3155 9633 3129 9615 3107 9605
      3093 9633 3087 9639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0854Z 231DEG 40KT 3113 9636 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hernandez

508 
WWUS54 KFWD 290916
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
416 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

TXC293-395-290925-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170329T0930Z/
Robertson TX-Limestone TX-
416 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ROBERTSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area therefore the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3100 9624 3101 9626 3106 9624 3109 9628
      3112 9628 3114 9630 3123 9631 3125 9633
      3127 9631 3129 9633 3130 9632 3138 9632
      3141 9623 3129 9615 3107 9605 3098 9624
TIME...MOT...LOC 0915Z 231DEG 47KT 3131 9611 

$$

TXC289-290930-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170329T0930Z/
Leon TX-
416 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LEON COUNTY...

At 415 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northwest of
Centerville, or 24 miles southeast of Teague, moving northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Marquez.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection stay inside a sturdy structure and keep away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9624 3101 9626 3106 9624 3109 9628
      3112 9628 3114 9630 3123 9631 3125 9633
      3127 9631 3129 9633 3130 9632 3138 9632
      3141 9623 3129 9615 3107 9605 3098 9624
TIME...MOT...LOC 0915Z 231DEG 47KT 3131 9611 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hernandez

755 
WWUS54 KFWD 290924
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
424 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

TXC289-290933-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-170329T0930Z/
Leon TX-
424 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LEON COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 430 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire. However, heavy rain 
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3100 9624 3101 9626 3106 9624 3109 9628
      3112 9628 3114 9630 3123 9631 3125 9633
      3127 9631 3129 9633 3130 9632 3138 9632
      3141 9623 3129 9615 3107 9605 3098 9624
TIME...MOT...LOC 0923Z 231DEG 47KT 3135 9605 

$$

Hernandez

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1150 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings continue to work northward from Central Texas and
should reach WACO by 06Z and the Metro Terminals around 08Z.

The broken line of thunderstorms currently west of the airports
will continue moving east and should begin to impact the western
airports around 08Z. However, the radar shows that an outflow
boundary is getting out ahead of the storms so this should keep
storms below severe limits as they move across the metroplex airports.
The stronger storms currently across the Concho Valley may
impact Waco beginning around 08Z. Gusty winds will be the primary
hazard with these storms. All storms should move east of the
terminals shortly after sunrise with VFR through the day
Wednesday.

A gusty southeast wind between 14 and 20 knots sustained will
briefly turn to the west and become gusty as the line of storms
moves across the region. Once the storms move east of the region
Wednesday morning, southerly winds will return between 12 and 15
knots. A cold front will move across the region Wednesday evening
and turn the wind to the northwest.

&&

.UPDATE...
The line of storms currently in West Texas continues to organize
as it moves east. It should reach the western portions of the CWA
around 11 PM and the I-35 corridor around 3 to 4 AM unless some
cold pooling accelerates portions of the line. Damaging wind and
hail will be the primary threats with the squall line. Some brief
heavy rainfall is also likely. The storms should weaken as they
move east away from the large scale dynamics.

A new severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 4 AM which
includes locations from the I-35 corridor westward. This watch
replaces the earlier Tornado watch.

Other than updating the watch location. No major changes are
needed to the forecast at this time.

79

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 723 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017/
/ISSUED 340 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017/

...Tornado Watch in effect for areas west and northwest of the
Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex...

Convection continues to increase over the Texas Panhandle and
South Plains in advance of a deep upper level low, which was
centered over New Mexico this afternoon. Storms will gradually
spread eastward later this afternoon and this evening in the
eastward developing region of good forcing associated with the
upper low. Activity will likely initiate along an eastward moving
dryline, with individual storms moving generally north-northeast.
These storms will are expected to develop upscale into a linear
MCS, which will push east across North and Central Texas
overnight.

Meanwhile, a warm front has taken its time moving north, but
appears to have made it north of the I-20 corridor. The boundary
will continue to approach the Red River, and may become the focus
for a few isolated strong to severe storms. Discrete cells will
have the potential for producing large hail, damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado. The best potential for thunderstorms this
afternoon will likely be over our northwestern counties where the
strongest forcing will reside and the surface boundary will be
near.

As the line progresses east overnight, damaging straight-line
winds will be the primary threat. That said, decreasing
instability as surface heating wanes could be a factor that helps
mitigate the severe potential. The latest hi-res guidance
indicates a weakening trend as the line moves east of the I-35
corridor Wednesday morning. The dryline and/or lingering outflow
is likely to stall near the far-eastern counties as the upper low
continues trekking east across the Southern Plains. Another round
of good forcing associated with the upper low will help ignite
additional storms in the vicinity of the stalled boundary during
the peak heating hours Wednesday. Some of these storms may become
severe with large hail and damaging winds. The exact location of
the surface boundary will determine where storms initiate, and at
this time the highest POPs will be over the eastern-most counties
with lower POPs the farther west you go.

The upper low center will move east across Oklahoma Wednesday
night, which may generate isolated storms along the Red River. Due
to the expected low coverage, POPs will remain fairly low. There
could be an isolated hail threat due to the cold air aloft but the
overall severe threat Wednesday night appears low.

Thursday should be a nice day as the upper low moves east and a
cold front pushes through the region. This will be short-lived,
however, as the next upper level storm system drops quickly
southeast from the Pacific Northwest into the Four-Corners region,
bringing a quick return to south winds, moisture and warmer
weather Friday. This system looks like it will similarly generate
multiple rounds of convection from Saturday afternoon through
Sunday night. There is still some model uncertainty with regard to
the timing and exact path the system will take, but the latest
guidance hints that there will again be at least some threat of
severe weather this weekend. We may have to also consider the
threat for localized flooding to to the multiple precipitation
events expected this week.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    65  83  54  69  52 / 100  40  10   5   5
Waco                65  82  54  73  50 / 100  50   5   5   5
Paris               64  76  54  66  47 /  80  70  30  10  10
Denton              63  80  51  67  47 / 100  40  10   5   5
McKinney            65  78  53  67  48 / 100  50  10  10   5
Dallas              66  82  55  69  52 / 100  50  10  10   5
Terrell             66  79  55  69  48 / 100  60  20  10   5
Corsicana           66  80  56  71  51 /  90  60  20  10   5
Temple              64  82  54  75  51 /  90  50   5   5   5
Mineral Wells       57  81  49  69  47 / 100  20  10   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1207 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-300515-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1207 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A line of strong to severe storms will move across the region
overnight and will pose primarily a damaging wind threat, although
severe hail and isolated tornadoes remain possible. In addition,
there will be a threat for localized instances of flash flooding,
especially for locales that receive training of storm cells with
heavy rainfall associated with the slow-moving, upper level low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorm chances will linger on Wednesday mostly along and east
of Interstate 35. The threat for severe storms will continue with a
risk for damaging winds and perhaps an isolated tornado. A low
chance for thunderstorms continues across this area Wednesday night,
as the core of the upper low moves across the Southern Plains. These
storms will pose a risk for marginally severe hail with the
strongest updrafts.

Another storm system will bring increasing chances for thunderstorms
to the region Saturday through Monday, with the highest coverage
Sunday and Sunday night. Strong to severe storms will once again be
possible, though many details remain uncertain regarding system and
environmental evolution.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible generally along and west of the
Interstate 35 corridor through sunrise.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MCKINNEY                33.20N  96.62W
03/29/2017                   COLLIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            E70 MPH AT LAKE FOREST AND MCKINNEY. FENCES LAYING DOWN
            CONSISTENT W/STRAIGHT LINE WINDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
323 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW PONDER             33.22N  97.35W
03/29/2017                   DENTON             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DENTON COUNTY FIRE DISPATCH REPORTING TRACTOR TRUCK SEMI
            TRAILER BLOWN OVER BY WIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
324 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 AM     HAIL             MCKINNEY                33.20N  96.62W
03/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       COLLIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            SACHSE. 544 AND MCREARY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
327 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0243 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEBURNE                32.35N  97.40W
03/29/2017                   JOHNSON            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CR1126 HWY 171 LARGE LIMBS IN ROADWAY 2-6" DIAMETER
            BLOCKING COUNTY ROAD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 AM     TSTM WND GST     ALLEN                   33.10N  96.68W
03/29/2017  E60 MPH          COLLIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            ESTIMATED WIND SPEED GUSTING 60+ FOR 4-5 MIN AT MAIN ST
            AND GREENSVILLE AVE, ALLEN TX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 AM     HAIL             LITTLE ELM              33.15N  96.97W
03/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       DENTON             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            N OF LITTLE ELM ON 720. 1 INCH HAIL