Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 4, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2017, 11:27 AM CST for Clay County, Minnesota. It took effect at Feb 21, 2017, 9:00 PM CST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 20, 2017, 11:27 AM CST (17:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 21, 2017, 9:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2017, 9:01 AM CST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Clay County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Buffalo River (MN) near Hawley (HWYM5). The gauge peaked at 8.63 ft at Feb 23, 2017, 4:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 7.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 9 ft
- Major stage
- 11 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05061000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
770
WGUS43 KFGF 201727
FLWFGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
Flood Warning for the following locations in Minnesota and North
Dakota...
New flooding is forecast to occur at...
* Fargo on the Red River in Clay and Cass counties.
* East Grand Forks on the Red River in Polk and Grand Forks
counties.
* Oslo on the Red River in Marshall, Walsh, Polk and Grand
Forks counties.
* Hawley on the Buffalo River in Clay County.
* Dilworth on the Buffalo River in Clay County.
* Mapleton on the Maple River in Cass County.
.The recent string of above average temperatures has resulted in
most of the snow cover disappearing over much of the southern half
of the Red River Valley. Due to this decrease in snow cover and
precipitation expected today, Monday, some locations across the Red
River Valley are beginning to depict a response in river levels.
Several forecast points along the southern half of the Red River
Valley, in addition to its North Dakota and Minnesota tributaries,
are expected to reach or exceed flood stage in the coming days.
However, note that there continues to be some level of uncertainty
regarding the precipitation forecast and how much of this water will
flow into the river system as temperatures remain mild through midweek.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...turn around, don't drown...
- Don't travel through flooded areas!
- Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life
and property. If necessary move to a higher and safer location.
- Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river
levels while the river is in, or near, flood.
For more information, go to the AHPS/River section
on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks
&&
MNC027-NDC017-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0001.170221T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.170221T0130Z.170224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday evening and continue to
rise to near 21.0 feet by Thursday evening.
&&
LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671
$$
MNC119-NDC035-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170225T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0000Z.170226T2335Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River
* From Friday evening until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to
rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday afternoon. Additional rises are
possible thereafter.
&&
LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699
$$
MNC089-119-NDC035-099-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T1328Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.170225T1328Z.170227T1155Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River
* From Saturday morning until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday mid-morning and
continue to rise to near 29.2 feet by Monday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
&&
LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725
$$
MNC027-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170222T0300Z-170224T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.170222T0300Z.170222T1200Z.170223T1200Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River
* From Tuesday evening to Friday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Tuesday night and continue to
rise to near 8.2 feet by Wednesday mid-morning. The river will fall
below Flood Stage by Thursday mid-morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601
$$
MNC027-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0400Z-170228T1600Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.170223T0400Z.170224T1200Z.170227T1000Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River
* From Wednesday evening to Tuesday February 28.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday night and continue
to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday mid-morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650
$$
NDC017-201827-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0006.170221T0459Z-170223T1312Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.170221T0459Z.170221T1800Z.170222T0712Z.NO/
1127 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a
new Flood Warning for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River
* from this evening to Thursday morning.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 903.5 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 905.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday night and continue to
rise to near 905.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The river will
fall below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
4700 9698
$$
Lee/BP10 follow-up statements
712
WGUS83 KFGF 201904
FLSFGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
...The flood warning continues for these river locations in
Minnesota and North Dakota...
* Fargo on the Red River in Clay and Cass counties
* East Grand Forks on the Red River in Polk and Grand Forks
counties
* Oslo on the Red River in Marshall, Walsh, Polk and Grand
Forks counties
* Hawley on the Buffalo River in Clay County
* Dilworth on the Buffalo River in Clay County
* Hallock on the Two Rivers River in Kittson County
* Mapleton on the Maple River in Cass County
.The recent string of above average temperatures has resulted in
most of the snow cover disappearing over much of the southern half
of the Red River Valley. Due to this decrease in snow cover and
precipitation expected today, Monday, some locations across the Red
River Valley are beginning to depict a response in river levels.
Several forecast points along the southern half of the Red River
Valley, in addition to its North Dakota and Minnesota tributaries,
are expected to reach or exceed flood stage in the coming days.
However, note that there continues to be some level of uncertainty
regarding the precipitation forecast and how much of this water will
flow into the river system as temperatures remain mild through midweek.
This forecast is for a 7-day period. Therefore, the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.
Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new
weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
48 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
although they may include precipitation expected through the next 72
hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...turn around, don't drown...
- Don't travel through flooded areas!
- Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life
and property. If necessary move to a higher and safer location.
- Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river
levels while the river is in, or near, flood.
For more information, go to the AHPS/River section
on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks
&&
MNC027-NDC017-211904-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.170221T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.170221T0130Z.170224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* From this evening until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 12:15 PM Monday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to
rise to near 21.0 feet by Thursday evening.
* The river is forecast to crest near 21.0 feet on Thursday during
this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is
closed.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Red River
Fargo 18.7 20.0 20.8 21.0 20.6 19.7 18.3
LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671
$$
MNC119-NDC035-211904-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170225T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0000Z.170226T2335Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River.
* From Friday evening until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 11:45 AM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to
rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday afternoon. additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins
along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile
296) and Oslo (River Mile 271).
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Red River
East Grand Forks 17.9 19.1 21.5 26.1 29.5 30.8 31.0
LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699
$$
MNC089-119-NDC035-099-211904-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T1328Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.170225T1328Z.170227T1155Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River.
* From Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 12:15 PM Monday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday mid-morning and
continue to rise to near 29.2 feet by Monday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Red River
Oslo 11.8 14.4 18.3 22.1 25.8 28.3 29.2
LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725
$$
MNC027-211904-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170222T0300Z-170224T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.170222T0300Z.170222T1200Z.170223T1200Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River.
* From Tuesday evening to Friday afternoon...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 11:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Tuesday night and continue to
rise to near 8.2 feet by Wednesday mid-morning. The river will fall
below Flood Stage by Thursday mid-morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 8.2 on Wednesday mid-morning
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Parts of Hawley city park begin
to flood.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Buffalo River
Hawley 7.2 8.2 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.1 6.9
LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601
$$
MNC027-211904-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0400Z-170228T1600Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.170223T0400Z.170224T1200Z.170227T1000Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* From Wednesday evening to Tuesday February 28...or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday night and continue
to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday mid-morning. The river will
fall below Flood Stage by Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 15.0 on Friday mid-morning during
this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Gage not accessible above 15
feet.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Buffalo River
Dilworth 9.3 11.5 13.7 15.0 14.9 14.0 12.9
LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650
$$
MNC069-211903-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.170224T0016Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.170224T0016Z.170224T2355Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* From Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 12:00 PM Monday the stage was 794.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday evening and continue
to rise to near 803.0 feet by Friday afternoon. Additional rises
are possible thereafter.
* The river is forecast to crest at 803.0 on Friday afternoon during
this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, the Hallock Dam spillway at
Gilbert Park is closed to the public. Culverts with flappers are
checked.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Two Rivers River
Hallock 796.5 798.8 801.0 802.7 802.9 803.0 802.3
LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667
$$
NDC017-211903-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.170221T0459Z-170223T1312Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.170221T0459Z.170221T1800Z.170222T0712Z.NO/
104 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* From this evening to Thursday morning...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 12:15 PM Monday the stage was 903.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 905.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday night and continue to
rise to near 905.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The river will
fall below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 905.5 on Tuesday early afternoon
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 905.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor.
&&
Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Maple River
Mapleton 905.4 904.6 902.2 901.0 900.5 900.3 900.2
LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
4700 9698
$$
Lee072
WGUS83 KFGF 210422
FLSFGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in
Minnesota...North Dakota...
* Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties
* East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks
Counties
* Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand
Forks Counties
* Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County
* Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County
* Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County
* Mapleton...on the Maple River...in Cass County
.Several forecast points along the Red River, in addition to
its North Dakota and Minnesota tributaries, are expected to reach or
exceed flood stage in the coming days.
The recent string of above average temperatures has resulted in
most of the snow cover disappearing over much of the central
and southern Red River Valley. Due to the increased snow melt
and rainfall in the 0.20 to 0.50 inch range in the Red River
valley on Monday, some locations are beginning to depict a response
in river levels.
This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
may not reflect the crest for this event.
Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new
weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...turn around, don't drown...
- Don't travel through flooded areas!
- Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life
and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.
- Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river
levels while the river is in...or near...flood.
For more information...go to the AHPS/River section
on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks
&&
MNC027-NDC017-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T0200Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170223T1200Z.170227T2000Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until Tuesday February 28...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Monday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor
flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.0 feet sometime
Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Monday
early afternoon.
* The river is forecast to crest at 21.0 on Thursday mid-morning
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge
is closed.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Fargo 19.9 20.7 21.0 20.8 20.2 19.1 17.8
LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671
$$
MNC119-NDC035-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170224T2251Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.170224T2251Z.170227T1048Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River.
* from Friday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:45 PM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday afternoon and continue
to rise to near 30.9 feet by Monday morning. additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* The river is forecast to crest at 28.1 on Friday afternoon during
this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 28.0 feet, Flood warning
stage...minor. Bank full stage.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
East Grand Forks 19.2 21.2 23.8 28.0 30.5 30.9 30.6
LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699
$$
MNC089-119-NDC035-099-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.170225T1330Z.170228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River.
* from Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Monday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday mid-morning and
continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by Monday evening. additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 26.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor.
County road 2 south of Oslo is closed in sections 2 and 11 of
Pulaski Township.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Oslo 13.1 16.2 20.3 24.2 27.4 28.9 29.5
LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725
$$
MNC027-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170223T0000Z-170225T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.170223T0000Z.170223T0600Z.170224T1200Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River.
* from Wednesday evening to Saturday afternoon...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:45 PM Monday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue
to rise to near 8.1 feet by early Thursday morning. The river will
fall below Flood Stage by Friday mid-morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 8.1 on early Thursday morning
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Parts of Hawley city park begin
to flood.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Hawley 7.1 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.5 7.2 6.9
LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601
$$
MNC027-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0300Z-170301T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.170223T0300Z.170224T1200Z.170227T1800Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* from Wednesday evening to Tuesday February 28...or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday night and continue
to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river will
fall below Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon.
* The river is forecast to crest at 15.0 on Friday mid-morning during
this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Gage not accessable above 15
feet.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Dilworth 11.2 12.7 14.6 15.0 14.6 13.7 12.7
LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650
$$
MNC069-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0007.170224T1647Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.170224T1647Z.170225T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* from Friday morning until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Monday the stage was 794.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 803.0 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
additional rises are possible thereafter.
* The river is forecast to crest at 803.0 on Saturday early afternoon
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage for Minor
flooding. The NWS starts to issue Flood Warnings and 7-day river
level forecasts. The Hallock Dam spillway at Gilbert Park is closed
to the Public. Culverts with flappers are checked. Bankfull Stage.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Hallock 796.0 798.5 800.6 802.5 803.0 802.8 802.3
LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667
$$
NDC017-221622-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.170221T1200Z-170223T0600Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.170221T1200Z.170221T1800Z.170222T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM CST MON FEB 20 2017
The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* from Tuesday morning to late Wednesday night...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Monday the stage was 904.4 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 905.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Tuesday mid-morning and
continue to rise to near 905.1 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The
river will fall below Flood Stage by Tuesday evening.
* The river is forecast to crest at 905.1 on Tuesday early afternoon
during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 905.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor.
&&
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:
Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
(month/day) 02/21 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27
Mapleton 905.0 902.9 901.5 900.9 900.4 900.1 899.9
LAT...LON 4694 9710 4679 9732 4670 9722 4690 9691
4700 9698
$$035 WGUS83 KFGF 211707 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for the following locations in Minnesota and North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass counties * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks counties * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay county * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN) ...in Norman county .Several forecast points along the Red River, in addition to its North Dakota and Minnesota tributaries, are expected to reach or exceed flood stage in the coming days. The recent string of above average temperatures has resulted in most of the snow cover disappearing over much of the central and southern Red River Valley. Due to the increased snow melt and rainfall in the 0.20 to 0.50 inch range in the Red River Valley on Monday, some locations are beginning to depict a response in river levels. Note that there continues to be some level of uncertainty in forecast river levels due to the return of below freezing temperatures later this week and into the weekend. This may cause runoff to freeze in the drainage networks, rivers, and streams rather than flow downstream. Forecasts will be updated as more data become available and as conditions warrant. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information, go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-221707- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T1200Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170223T1200Z.170228T0600Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * Until Wednesday March 1...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. During the next 7 days, Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.5 feet sometime Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage early next Tuesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Red River Fargo 20.9 21.5 21.5 21.0 20.1 18.9 17.7 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-221707- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170225T0051Z-000000T0000Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0051Z.170226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * From Friday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Sunday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Red River East Grand Forks 20.6 23.0 26.3 29.4 31.0 31.0 30.5 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-221707- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T0815Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.1.ER.170225T0815Z.170228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * From late Friday night until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 29.7 feet by early Tuesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Red River Oslo 15.6 19.4 23.2 26.5 28.4 29.3 29.7 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-221707- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.170222T1800Z-170224T1200Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.170222T1800Z.170222T1800Z.170223T0600Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River. * From Wednesday afternoon to Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Wednesday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.0 on Wednesday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 S. Buffalo River Sabin 12.9 12.8 12.2 11.2 10.2 9.6 9.1 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNC027-221707- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170224T0600Z-170226T0600Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170224T0600Z.170224T0600Z.170225T0000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * From late Thursday night to late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Buffalo River Hawley 7.0 7.7 8.0 7.8 7.5 7.1 6.8 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-221707- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0600Z-170301T0200Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170223T0600Z.170224T1800Z.170227T2000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * From late Wednesday night to Tuesday February 28...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, gage not accessible above 15 feet. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Buffalo River Dilworth 11.7 13.5 14.9 14.9 14.3 13.3 12.3 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-221707- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.170223T1312Z-170228T1930Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T1312Z.170224T1800Z.170227T1330Z.NO/ 1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * From Thursday morning to Tuesday February 28...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday mid-morning and continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Wild Rice River (MN) Hendrum 17.8 19.9 21.3 21.5 21.1 20.1 18.8 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$ Lee
586 WGUS83 KFGF 220327 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties * Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * East Grand Forks...on the Red River ...in Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Oslo...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County .There is a lot of uncertainty in the forecasts issued this evening. A significant period of cold air temperatures are expected later this week which may cause runoff to freeze in the drainage networks, rivers, and streams, rather than flow downstream. In that case, the rivers may not rise as high as our forecasts. There is still ice present in area rivers and streams. Ice affected river gages do not give a good indication of actual flow in the channel. Rating Curves require open water in order to be used to estimate flows. Ice jams are very common at Oslo and cannot be ruled out. The effect of a possible ice jam is not included in this forecast. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-231527- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T2159Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T0000Z.170228T1559Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Wednesday March 01...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.5 feet sometime Thursday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage late Tuesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.5 on Thursday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Fargo 21.0 21.5 21.3 20.7 19.8 18.8 17.7 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-231527- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170225T0051Z-000000T0000Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0051Z.170226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * from Friday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Sunday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 East Grand Forks 22.0 24.6 27.9 30.4 31.0 30.8 29.9 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-231526- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T0815Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.1.ER.170225T0815Z.170228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from late Friday night until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 29.8 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Oslo 17.8 21.5 25.0 27.7 29.0 29.5 29.8 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-231526- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0008.170222T1200Z-170224T0600Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.170222T1200Z.170222T1200Z.170223T0000Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River. * from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Wednesday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.0 on Wednesday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, Flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Sabin 13.0 12.4 11.5 10.4 9.7 9.2 8.8 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNC027-231526- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170224T0600Z-170226T0600Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170224T0600Z.170224T0600Z.170225T0000Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * from late Thursday night to late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Hawley 7.4 7.9 8.0 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.6 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-231526- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0742Z-170301T0200Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170223T0742Z.170224T1800Z.170227T2000Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * from late Wednesday night to Tuesday February 28...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.0 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Gage not accessible above 15 feet. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Dilworth 12.3 14.5 15.0 14.6 13.9 12.8 11.9 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-231526- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.170223T1312Z-170228T2159Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T1312Z.170224T1800Z.170227T1559Z.NO/ 927 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * from Thursday morning to Tuesday February 28...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday mid-morning and continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by late Monday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.5 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 02/22 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 Hendrum 19.1 20.8 21.5 21.4 20.7 19.6 18.4 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$
687 WGUS83 KFGF 221701 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota and North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass counties * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota and North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall, Walsh, Polk, and Grand Forks Counties * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay County .River levels continue to rise along the Red River Valley due to recent snow melt and precipitation. Note that there continues to be a somewhat higher level of uncertainty in the current forecasts due to the significant period of cold air temperatures expected later this week. These temperatures may cause runoff to freeze in the drainage networks, rivers, and streams, rather than flow downstream. In that case, river levels may not rise as high as forecast. On the other hand, ice jamming and other effects due to ice is possible as temperatures decrease and cannot be ruled out as a factor in increased river levels, especially at Oslo. The effects of ice have not been included in these forecasts. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 48 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information., o to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-231701- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T0200Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T1800Z.170227T2000Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * Until Tuesday evening or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.7 feet sometime Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Monday early afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Red River Fargo 21.3 21.6 21.3 20.0 18.5 17.3 16.8 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-231701- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170224T0520Z-170301T1912Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170224T0520Z.170226T0000Z.170228T1312Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * From Thursday evening to Wednesday March 1 or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Tuesday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Red River East Grand Forks 25.4 28.9 30.9 30.9 30.1 28.1 26.0 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-231701- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170224T0442Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.2.ER.170224T0442Z.170226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * From Thursday evening until further notice or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 30.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 31.5 feet by Sunday early afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Red River Oslo 22.2 27.3 30.3 31.4 31.4 30.7 29.1 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-231701- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170224T0600Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.170222T1800Z.170222T1800Z.170223T0000Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River. * Until late Thursday night or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Wednesday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.0 feet on Wednesday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 S. Buffalo River Sabin 12.7 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.4 9.0 8.7 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNC027-231700- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170224T0600Z-170226T0000Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170224T0600Z.170224T0600Z.170224T1800Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * From late Thursday night to Saturday evening or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 feet on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Buffalo River Hawley 7.9 8.0 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.4 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-231700- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0651Z-170228T1330Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170223T0651Z.170224T0600Z.170227T0730Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * From late tonight to Tuesday morning or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Monday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, gage not accessible above 15 feet. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Buffalo River Dilworth 13.6 15.0 14.5 13.9 12.7 11.8 11.2 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-231700- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.170223T0730Z-170228T1200Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T0730Z.170225T0000Z.170227T0600Z.NO/ 1101 AM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * From late tonight to Tuesday morning or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Monday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Wild Rice River (MN) Hendrum 20.3 21.3 21.4 20.8 19.7 18.5 17.0 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$ Lee
986 WGUS83 KFGF 230321 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 ...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in Minnesota... * Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River...in Clay County ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties .River stages along the Red River of the North will range from action stage at Wahpeton to moderate flood stage at Oslo. However, there is a good deal of uncertainty in these forecasts owing to the cold air intrusion over the next several days that will limit runoff and possibly lower some crests. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. These river forecasts contain 48 hours of expected precipitation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-241521- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T0200Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T0600Z.170227T2000Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Tuesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.6 feet sometime early Friday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Monday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.6 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Fargo 21.5 21.6 20.6 19.2 17.8 17.0 16.7 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-241521- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170224T0600Z-170301T1800Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170224T0600Z.170226T0000Z.170228T1200Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * from late Thursday night to Wednesday March 01...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Tuesday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Saturday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 East Grand Forks 27.1 30.2 31.0 30.6 29.0 27.0 25.1 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-241521- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170224T0532Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.2.ER.170224T0532Z.170226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 30.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 31.4 feet by Sunday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.4 on Sunday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. * Ice jams are very common at Oslo and cannot be ruled out. The effect of a possible ice jam is not included in this forecast. Previous break-up ice jams have added 5 ft or more to an open-water crest. The accumulating freezing degree days this year are significantly lower than during these past break-up jams, so we may not see such severity this year. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Oslo 24.8 29.3 30.9 31.4 31.1 29.9 28.1 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-230351- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170224T0600Z/ /SABM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning is cancelled for... * ...Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River. * At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.7 feet. * Forecast...the river will crest below Flood Stage at 12.9 feet early Thursday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 12.9 on early Thursday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, Flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Sabin 12.4 11.5 10.4 9.6 9.2 8.8 8.5 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNC027-241520- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170223T1000Z-170226T0000Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170223T1000Z.170223T1200Z.170224T1800Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * from late tonight to Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 on Thursday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Hawley 8.0 7.9 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.3 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-241520- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T1100Z-170228T1200Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170223T1100Z.170224T1200Z.170227T0600Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * from late tonight to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Monday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.0 on Friday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Gage not accessible above 15 feet. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Dilworth 14.3 14.9 14.2 13.3 12.2 11.5 10.9 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-241520- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.170223T0824Z-170228T1200Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T0824Z.170225T0000Z.170227T0600Z.NO/ 921 PM CST WED FEB 22 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * from late tonight to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Monday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.5 on Friday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 02/23 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 Hendrum 20.9 21.5 21.1 20.3 19.1 17.1 15.3 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$
471 WGUS83 KFGF 231709 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County .Colder air over the area over the next few days will limit runoff. So forecast stages were lowered slightly at Abercrombie and Wahpeton. The Red River at East Grand Forks, Oslo, Drayton, and Pembina were rising slower than previously forecast. However the forecast at Fargo was raised a bit but the forecast still remains in the minor flood stage category. Note that ice jamming and other ice effects are possible as temperatures decrease and cannot be ruled out as a factor in increased river levels, especially at Oslo. Ice effects are not included in these forecasts. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170302T0800Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T1200Z.170301T0200Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Thursday March 2...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 22.0 feet sometime Friday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Tuesday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 22.0 on Friday during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Red River Fargo 22.0 21.8 21.2 20.1 18.8 17.6 17.0 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170224T1342Z-170303T0430Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170224T1342Z.170226T1200Z.170301T2230Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * from Friday morning to Thursday March 2...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 25.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday mid-morning and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Wednesday. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Sunday during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Red River East Grand Forks 27.8 30.1 31.0 30.9 30.2 28.7 27.2 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170224T1724Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.2.ER.170224T1724Z.170227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Friday morning until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 21.8 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 30.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Friday morning and continue to rise to near 31.1 feet by Monday. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.1 on Monday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Red River Oslo 25.1 28.7 30.5 31.1 31.1 30.7 29.5 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170227T1800Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170223T1659Z.170223T1800Z.170226T1200Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * until Monday...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.6 on Thursday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 9.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Railroad underpass at US Hwy 10 floods. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Buffalo River Hawley 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.1 6.8 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170301T0600Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170223T1654Z.170224T1800Z.170228T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * until late Tuesday...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.0 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Gage not accessible above 15 feet. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Buffalo River Dilworth 14.8 15.0 14.4 13.5 12.6 11.8 11.3 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-241709- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170228T0600Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T2000Z.170225T0000Z.170227T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by Friday. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Sunday. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.0 on Friday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Wild Rice River (MN) Hendrum 20.7 21.0 20.4 19.4 18.0 16.6 15.1 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$
858 WGUS83 KFGF 240338 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County .This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts are currently using 48 hours of expected precipitation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-251538- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170302T0600Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T0600Z.170301T0000Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Thursday March 02...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 21.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.9 feet sometime early Friday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Tuesday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.9 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Fargo 21.9 21.4 20.4 19.2 18.0 17.4 17.0 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-251538- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170224T1400Z-170303T0300Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170224T1400Z.170226T1800Z.170301T2100Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * from Friday morning to Thursday March 02...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday mid-morning and continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Sunday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, Agricultural flooding begins along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile 296) and Oslo (River Mile 271). && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 East Grand Forks 29.1 30.6 31.0 30.5 29.4 27.8 26.4 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-251538- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170224T1648Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.2.ER.170224T1648Z.170227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Friday morning until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 23.3 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 30.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Friday morning and continue to rise to near 31.1 feet by Monday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 31.1 on Monday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Oslo 27.0 29.7 30.8 31.1 31.0 30.2 28.6 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-251538- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170226T1800Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170224T0451Z.170224T0600Z.170225T1200Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.4 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Hawley 8.2 7.9 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.5 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-251538- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170301T1200Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170224T0222Z.170225T0600Z.170228T0600Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 15.6 feet sometime early Saturday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage early Tuesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.6 on early Saturday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to flood.Gage not accessable above 15 feet. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Dilworth 15.5 15.3 14.3 13.2 12.4 11.6 10.9 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-251537- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170228T0000Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T2152Z.170225T0000Z.170226T1800Z.NO/ 938 PM CST THU FEB 23 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * until Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.0 feet sometime Friday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 21.0 on Friday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 02/24 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 Hendrum 21.0 20.7 19.8 18.7 17.2 15.7 14.2 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$
858 WGUS83 KFGF 241715 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass Counties * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN)...in Norman County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River ...in Clay County .Cooler air over the area over the next few days will limit runoff. So forecast stages were lowered or the crest delayed at most of the forecast points. Forecasts were decreased at Hawley and Dilworth on the Buffalo River and the forecast was decreased at Hendrum on the Wild Rice River. On the Red river the forecast was lowered at East Grand Forks and at Oslo. The river forecast were increased a bit at Fargo on the Red River and at Sabin on the South Fork of the Buffalo River with more water working into the rivers. However Fargo remains in the minor flood category. Note that ice jamming and other ice effects are possible as temperatures decrease and cannot be ruled out as a factor in increased river levels. Ice effects are not included in these forecasts. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-NDC017-251715- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170303T0600Z/ /FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170224T1800Z.170302T0000Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Fargo...on the Red River. * until Friday March 3...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 22.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 22.2 feet sometime Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Wednesday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 22.2 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * The river is forecast to crest between **** and **** Feet Early/Later/Next/This Week. * Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Red River Fargo 22.1 21.2 20.1 19.0 18.3 17.8 17.5 LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671 $$ MNC119-NDC035-251715- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170302T1800Z/ /EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0651Z.170226T1200Z.170301T1200Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River. * until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 27.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by Sunday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Wednesday. * The river is forecast to crest at 29.0 on Sunday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 28.0 feet, Flood warning stage...minor.Bank full stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Red River East Grand Forks 28.2 29.0 29.0 28.6 28.0 27.2 26.3 LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699 $$ MNC089-119-NDC035-099-251715- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OSLM5.1.ER.170225T0824Z.170227T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 24.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by Monday. * The river is forecast to crest at 29.0 on Monday during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Red River Oslo 26.3 28.2 29.0 28.8 28.2 27.6 27.0 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC027-251714- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170226T0800Z/ /SABM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170224T0445Z.170225T0200Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Sabin...on the S Br Buffalo River. * until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 13.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will fall below Flood Stage Friday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 13.3 this afternoon, then slowly fall. * Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, Flooding on road cut at old meander scar east of gage begins. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 S. Buffalo River Sabin 12.5 11.3 10.2 9.5 9.1 8.8 8.5 LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670 $$ MNC027-251714- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170226T0000Z/ /HWYM5.1.ER.170224T1800Z.170224T1800Z.170224T1800Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 7.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Friday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 on this afternoon then fall. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor... Parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Buffalo River Hawley 7.7 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$ MNC027-251714- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170302T0200Z/ /DILM5.1.ER.170224T0222Z.170225T1800Z.170228T2000Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River. * until Wednesday...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 15.5 feet sometime Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Tuesday. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.5 on Saturday during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.8 feet, Road west of gage begins to flood.Gage not accessable above 15 feet. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Buffalo River Dilworth 15.3 15.5 14.8 13.5 12.1 11.3 10.4 LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650 $$ MNC107-251714- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170227T2100Z/ /HNDM5.1.ER.170223T2152Z.170225T0000Z.170226T1500Z.NO/ 1115 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN). * until Monday...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.7 feet sometime Friday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday. * The river is forecast to crest at 20.7 on Friday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 02/25 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 Wild Rice River (MN) Hendrum 20.6 20.1 19.2 17.9 16.3 14.7 13.3 LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656 $$
720 WGUS83 KFGF 251501 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 901 AM CST SAT FEB 25 2017 ...The flood warning is now cancelled for this river location in Minnesota... * Hawley on the Buffalo River in Clay County .River levels along portions of the Buffalo River at Hawley have are expected to crest below flood stage. Therefore, the flood warning for Hawley has been cancelled. There continues to be a somewhat higher level of uncertainty in the current forecasts due to the significant period of cold air temperatures expected this weekend and into early next week. These temperatures may cause runoff to freeze in the drainage networks, rivers, and streams, rather than flow downstream. In that case, river levels may not rise as high as forecast. On the other hand, the effect of possible ice jams have not been included in this forecast. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information, go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC027-251531- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170226T0000Z/ /HWYM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 901 AM CST SAT FEB 25 2017 The Flood Warning is cancelled for... * ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River. * At 7:45 AM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet. * Forecast...The river has crested and river levels will continue to slowly fall, remaining below flood stage for the next few days. * Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor... Parts of Hawley city park begin to flood. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat (month/day) 02/26 02/27 02/28 03/01 03/02 03/03 03/04 Buffalo River Hawley 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 M LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 20, 9:42 AM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 9:42 AM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 942 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 .UPDATE... Issued at 942 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 Automated stations at KGFK, KGAF, and K2C8 continue to show a quarter of a mile visibility. Web cams in the region show that coverage of the most dense fog is fairly spotty. Thus, let the advisory expire at 9, but will continue to have fog in the grids a bit longer. Conditions should improve in the next hour or two as winds pick up from the west. Otherwise, adjusted POPs and QPF to bump up chances and amounts from the southern Red River Valley and over the western Devils Lake basin. These rain areas will transition eastward through the rest of the morning and afternoon. A few stronger cells in the far eastern counties continue so will continue with isolated thunder mention for a bit longer this morning before conditions stabilize for the afternoon. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 250 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 Plenty of forecast challenges today, namely dense fog/pcpn chances/thunder/pcpn amounts and record high temps. So far, showers with embedded thunder have been moving quickly NNE out of eastern SD and western MN. Models have shown a ribbon of mid level instability with a low level jet, working through the Red River Valley into the northwest quarter of MN today, so that has been consistent. However, the latest model runs have shown the instability arriving sooner and ending sooner, so kept the thunder mentioned this morning and removed it for the afternoon. The pcpn has developed a little further east than the latest high resolution models showed, so basically the entire FA has pcpn chances today. Pcpn amounts so far have been spotty and fairly light. The spottiness is always a function of convection, so amounts will stay on the variable side. Overall, thinking most areas will probably be lower than a tenth to a quarter of an inch, but if several rounds of stronger echoes move over the same area, some quarter to half inch amounts are possible. This would mainly be over the southern Red River Valley up into NW MN. Dense fog developed over the Devils Lake region, where the low level moisture moving northward has encountered the coolest sfc temps. Went with a dense fog advisory for several counties around Devils Lake through mid Monday morning. Will keep an eye on visibilities in that area and adjust as need be. Finally, forecasting a record high at Fargo, but it appears the Grand Forks records will be safe. High resolution models show any pcpn moving off to the NE by late this afternoon, so kept tonight dry. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 250 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 Tuesday will be the last very mild day, and are currently forecasting highs just below records. Models continue to show some light pcpn developing as well, but the details remain quite sketchy. There is much better agreement by late Tuesday night into Wednesday, in showing pcpn developing mainly across the northern half of the FA. Low level temps during this time frame are borderline for rain or snow, depending on the time of day and location. The day 2 winter weather map shows an inch or two of snow possible across the north, but mainly over the Devils Lake region. Even a hint for freezing rain on the southern fringe of the pcpn band is indicated. So this system will also bear watching. Models also differ quite a bit on how fast it will exit off to the east, but it looks to be by Wednesday evening. Longer range models are currently in fairly close agreement on developing a broad trof across northcentral Canada NOAM and extending southwestward across the western half of the CONUS. This leaves the path opened for a series of fairly wet systems to work through the intermountain west and to produce some winter-like activity into the Great Plains states. Thursday and Friday... The GFS and ECMWF have been most consistent in developing a Colorado Low type system across the central plains ...with heavier snow indicated across portions of SD and southern MN ...and only a brush of snow across far southern Red River Valley and adjacent portions of west-central MN. This most of our area should stay under a mainly dry northerly flow... with temperatures still ranging a bit above long term seasonal normals even on Friday. Saturday and Sunday... though a muddy H5 trof axis persists just west of the FA into the coming weekend there is no indication of any well organized storms brewing. Only a scattered snow shower or two is in the current forecast package for the Red River Basin... with a hint additional snow possible along the South Dakota.. southern Minnesota belt. Meanwhile... temperatures continue to linger a good five degrees above long term normals. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning) Issued at 645 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 Very tricky set of TAFs, since there are a lot of aviation issues to deal with...from fog to showers and thunderstorms, wind shifts, and low level wind shear. Kept the mention of low level wind shear at KBJI/KTVF, due to the low level jet focused most in these areas. Model guidance has not been of much help recently in regard to its cloud height forecasts, wanting to keep most of the area in MVFR conditions today. However, outside of the dense fog area in northeast ND, ceilings have been VFR. Therefore, hesitant to bring MVFR conditions outside of possibly KDVL or KGFK. If these lower ceilings seem more probable, later shifts can adjust. The vsby at KDVL has increased, while KGFK has decreased. There should be some bouncing around to these vsbys for a while yet this morning. Otherwise, as the sfc low pressure system moves thru by later today, winds will turn more westerly. The showers will gradually end from west to east by this afternoon. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && UPDATE...JR SHORT TERM...Godon LONG TERM...Godon/Gust AVIATION...Godon
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 4:20 AM CST, 7 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 420 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-211030- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland-Western Walsh County- 420 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A few thunderstorms will occur over the southern Red River Valley into northwest Minnesota this morning, although severe storms are not expected. Dense fog will continue over the Devils Lake region through mid morning. Visibilities below a quarter mile will make travel difficult. Very mild temperatures will continue to melt the remaining snow pack, with area rivers and streams slowly responding. Persons living near rivers, streams, and low lying areas should monitor for future statements concerning the spring melt. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday One last very mild day is expected on Tuesday, before temperatures begin a downward trend for mid to late week. This will slow down or stop the snow melt, but rivers and streams will continue to respond. Some snowfall is expected for areas along and north of highway 2 Tuesday night into early Wednesday. At this point, accumulations of an inch or two are possible over portions of the Devils Lake region. Some mixed precipitation is also possible. A winter storm system will move into portions of the Northern Plains late Thursday into Friday, bringing accumulating snow with it. Most of the snow will occur south of this area, but some light accumulations may brush areas south of a Lisbon to Park Rapids line. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 20, 5:30 AM CST, 5 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
530 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 AM HAIL DETROIT LAKES 46.81N 95.84W
02/20/2017 E0.75 INCH BECKER MN BROADCAST MEDIA
&&
GGUSTLocal storm report, Feb 20, 6:41 AM CST, 4 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
641 AM CST MON FEB 20 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0601 AM HAIL ERHARD 46.48N 96.10W
02/20/2017 E0.50 INCH OTTER TAIL MN BROADCAST MEDIA
PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL. PHOTO POSTED TO SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
GGUSTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 11:27 AM CST | River Flood Warning | FGF | Clay | 8 days |
| Feb 20, 11:27 AM CST | River Flood Warning | FGF | Polk | 11 days |
| Feb 20, 11:27 AM CST | River Flood Warning | FGF | Marshall, Polk | 13 days |
| Feb 20, 11:27 AM CST | River Flood Warning | FGF | Clay | 10 days |
| Feb 20, 11:30 AM CST | River Flood Warning | FGF | Kittson | 24 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.