Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
338 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...
Current radar loop shows showers and isolated Thunderstorms across
the CWA this afternoon. The main line of storms just north of ATL
appears to be associated with the lingering front that is expected
to move slowly south through the short term.  For today and sat
afternoon the models are showing decent cape values in the 2000 to
3000 J/kg with some shear noted as well. Expect some storms to
become strong to severe mainly north today and central Sat as the
frontal boundary sinks into south Ga by Sunday.  The main threats
with any storms through the short term will be gusty winds, frequent
lightning, small hail and heavy rain. Models indicating storms will
linger through the evening hours and taper off towards midnight each
day. Temperatures will remain near normal through the period.

01

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...
Stagnant long-wave upper level pattern will exist for at least the
first part of this period (Sunday/Monday) as a trough covers the
eastern half of the CONUS while a strong ridge impacts the West.
Models hinting at "relatively drier" air moving into north Georgia
Sunday, diminishing the threat of showers/thunderstorms both Sunday
and Monday - mainly north of I-85/I-20. South of this line, expect
deeper moisture and plenty of instability (daytime heating) along a
remnant boundary, to support scattered mainly afternoon/evening
showers and storms. This time of year, any of these storms will be
capable of producing very localized strong to damaging winds,
frequent cloud to ground lightning, and heavy rainfall which could
lead to isolated instances of flash flooding.

By the middle of the week, upr trough will exit the east coast as
ridge relaxes a bit and shifts east across the southern Plains. This
will result in a very warm and humid pattern with scattered
diurnally-driven (mainly afternoon and evening) showers and
thunderstorms. At this time, there really isn't any definitive
feature/reason to deviate from POPs in the 30-50% range. By the
middle to end of next week, temps will be running slightly above
normal as we approach mid July.

DJN.83

&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Showers and isolated thunderstorms across the area mainly north of
Interstate 20. expecting more precipitation across central GA
later this afternoon with all TAF sites being affected by tonight.
Will see SHRA/TSRA activity diminish by 02-04z with clearing
skies over night. Winds will remain out of the west at 10kt or
less except will see some variable gusty winds in and around any
convective activity. Will also see VFR Ceilings and VSBYS except
some MVFR reading in and around TSRA activity.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence Medium to High on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  90  70  89 /  30  30  20  10
Atlanta         72  88  71  88 /  40  30  30  20
Blairsville     65  83  62  83 /  20  30  10   5
Cartersville    71  88  68  87 /  30  30  20  10
Columbus        75  91  73  91 /  40  30  30  40
Gainesville     71  87  69  87 /  30  30  10  10
Macon           74  91  73  90 /  30  30  30  40
Rome            71  88  68  88 /  20  40  20   5
Peachtree City  71  89  70  88 /  40  30  30  20
Vidalia         75  94  74  91 /  20  30  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....DJN.83
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
205 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-081000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
205 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect north and central
Georgia through early this evening. A few storms could become strong
to severe, with the main hazards being heavy rainfall, strong to
damaging wind gusts and frequent lightning. Expect storms to
diminish after sunset this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day, most
so during the afternoon and evening hours. A few storms could be
strong to severe with gusty winds...frequent lightning and
locally heavy rainfall as the main hazards. Brief localized flooding
of poor drainage areas will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
611 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

GAZ062-075-076-072300-
Jefferson GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
611 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN
GLASCOCK AND SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 611 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Avera, or near Gibson.
This storm was nearly stationary.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Gibson, Wrens, Stapleton, Avera, Matthews and Stellaville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3309 8228 3317 8258 3328 8260
      3332 8239 3331 8238 3331 8234 3330 8231
      3327 8229 3326 8226 3323 8224 3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 269DEG 4KT 3323 8254

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
623 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

GAZ054-072315-
Fayette GA-
623 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAYETTE COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM
EDT...

At 623 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Peachtree City, or
near Fayetteville...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Fayetteville, Peachtree City, Tyrone, Woolsey, Lake Horton and Inman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3346 8459 3350 8441 3348 8439 3345 8439
      3344 8440 3342 8440 3342 8439 3341 8439
      3339 8440 3332 8439 3330 8440 3336 8459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 277DEG 8KT 3341 8456

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
631 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

GAZ030-031-041-042-072315-
Polk GA-Haralson GA-Carroll GA-Paulding GA-
631 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN POLK...NORTHEASTERN
HARALSON...NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND WESTERN PAULDING COUNTIES UNTIL
715 PM EDT...

At 631 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Eubank Lake, or 9
miles northeast of Buchanan...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dallas, Villa Rica, Rockmart, Hiram, Braswell, Yorkville, Draketown,
Eubank Lake, Antioch, New Georgia and Van Wert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3400 8517 3403 8486 3385 8482 3377 8489
      3378 8490 3376 8490 3373 8493 3383 8515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 277DEG 8KT 3392 8512

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

GAZ069-079-072315-
Upson GA-Talbot GA-
633 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN UPSON AND NORTHEASTERN
TALBOT COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 632 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Pleasant Hill, or near
Talbotton...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Big Lazer Creek Wma, Pleasant Hill and Prattsburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3282 8455 3287 8435 3268 8436 3268 8437
      3266 8437 3274 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 277DEG 8KT 3277 8450

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
638 PM EDT FRI JUL 07 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             1 S LEDGEWOOD           33.44N  84.50W
07/07/2017  E0.88 INCH       FAYETTE            GA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1701044

SNELSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
644 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

GAZ038-072315-
Oglethorpe GA-
644 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OGLETHORPE COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Barnett Shoals, or 10
miles southeast of Watkinsville...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lexington, Crawford, Maxeys, Stephens and Hutchings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3373 8301 3373 8321 3376 8328 3378 8329
      3379 8328 3380 8329 3381 8329 3381 8330
      3383 8329 3393 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 250DEG 19KT 3378 8326

WIND...40MPH