Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

427 
WWUS54 KEWX 111746
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1246 PM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

TXC055-187-209-111815-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-170411T1815Z/
Caldwell TX-Hays TX-Guadalupe TX-
1246 PM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL CALDWELL...SOUTHEASTERN HAYS AND NORTH CENTRAL
GUADALUPE COUNTIES...

At 1238 PM CDT, the public reported quarter size hail at the 
intersection of McCarty Lane and Interstate 35.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Public. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

Locations impacted include...
San Marcos, Lockhart, Martindale, Staples, San Marcos Regional
Airport, Maxwell, Reedville and Redwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2984 9803 2993 9786 2985 9765 2970 9789
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 353DEG 3KT 2985 9793 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

PLATT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
956 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017

.UPDATE...
The weak cold front has moved slightly farther south and is now just
inside the northern CWA. A broad convergence zone has developed
across the northeast Hill Country and is being enhanced by the tail
end of large scale forcing from the mid and upper level shortwave.
Aircraft sounding data out of AUS no longer indicates the presence of
a mid level cap, as was the case late yesterday afternoon and
overnight which helped to limited the potential for on organized
complex to push the front south. With the cap now eroded and deep
moisture pooled over the area the weak front and mid/upper level
forcing has allowed for the generation of scattered showers and
storms through the eastern Hill Country and Central Texas this
morning. These storms will drift east through the morning hours,
possibly near the Austin metro area. A few stronger storms are
possible with small hail and heavy downpours. A quick 1-2 inches is
possibly under any of the heavier storms which could lead to
localized flooding issues. At this time we will hold off on
re-issuing the Flash Flood Watch as the short-term trends suggest
the coverage of excessive rainfall to be isolated in nature.

Going into the afternoon, the front appears to become slightly more
diffuse and mid/upper level forcing begins to pull away. Coverage of
showers and storms should decrease slightly and favor southern and
eastern areas.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 708 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017/

UPDATE...
We have let the Severe Thunderstorm and Flash Flood Watches expire
at 12z or 7 AM CDT. There may be some strong storms and locally heavy
downpours as a weakening upper level shortwave moves across South
Central Texas this morning while interacting with a stalled front and
moist and unstable airmass. The downpours may cause some minor
flooding in the small areas that received heavy rains overnight.
However, the threat for severe storms and flash flooding has ended.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 627 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017/

UPDATE...
See below for the 12z aviation discussion...

AVIATION...
Currently IFR CIGs at AUS and SAT and low-end MVFR CIGs at SSF and
DRT. An isolated shower or two is possible at the Interstate 35
sites through the early afternoon. CIGs are expected to improve to
MVFR at AUS and SAT by 15z with all four TAF sites expected to
improve to VFR by Tuesday afternoon. MVFR CIGs should return by late
Tuesday evening before deteriorating further to IFR by early
Wednesday morning. Winds will generally be out of the east/southeast
at around 5 to 10 knots.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017/

SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)...
A weak cold front along a Langtry to Lampasas to Waco is only
drifting south and will stall by midday while a weakening upper
level shortwave over western Texas to the Big Bend is moving east.
These features will lift a moist airmass with PWS above 1.4 inches
and unstable airmass with CAPEs above 1000 J/KG to produce isolated
storms that could be strong to severe with locally heavy rains. Have
maintained most of the ongoing severe and flash flood watches, except
for the westernmost counties where the rains have mostly ended. The
forecast is low confidence as models have underperformed for the most
part across South Central Texas. May have to remove other counties
prior to the 12Z expiration based on radar trends. Expect 1 to 3 inch
amounts with very isolated 5 inches totals. Rains will taper off
during the remainder of this morning with only widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Zonal flow aloft and a
moist airmass will allow for only isolated showers and thunderstorms
tonight into Wednesday as the front dissipates or lifts back north.

LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)...
The pattern on Wednesday will continue through this weekend into
early next week with isolated showers and thunderstorms expected.
Parts of Val Verde county may see higher coverage due better moisture
convergence with some storms possibly coming off the Serranias del
Burro of northern Mexico. The upper level trough expected Thursday
into Friday has trended further north with more recent model runs
and have lowered POPs to 20 percent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76  63  80  64  81 /  50  20  20  10  20
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75  62  80  63  80 /  50  20  20  10  20
New Braunfels Muni Airport     76  63  80  64  80 /  50  20  20  10  20
Burnet Muni Airport            74  61  77  63  77 /  50  20  20  10  20
Del Rio Intl Airport           81  65  81  64  80 /  30  20  20  20  20
Georgetown Muni Airport        75  61  79  63  79 /  50  20  20  10  20
Hondo Muni Airport             79  63  81  64  81 /  40  20  20  10  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        76  63  80  63  80 /  50  20  20  10  20
La Grange - Fayette Regional   76  64  81  64  81 /  50  20  20  10  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       77  64  80  65  80 /  40  20  20  10  20
Stinson Muni Airport           77  64  80  65  81 /  40  20  20  10  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...05
Synoptic/Grids...Runyen
Public Service/Data Collection...YB

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
155 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-120700-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
155 AM CDT Tue Apr 11 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Rest of tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for most of South Central Texas
through 7 am. Rain totals of 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts
to 5 inches are possible through Tuesday morning...mainly for
areas along and east of the Edwards escarpment, including the
Interstate 35 corridor. This could lead to flash flooding for
these areas.

In addition...hail up to one inch in diameter and gusty winds up
to 60 mph are possible. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is also in
effect through 7 am Tuesday, but these threats are secondary to
the main flash flooding threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected for the extended period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please submit any flooding or severe weather reports to the
National Weather Service.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1131 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

TXZ191-111700-
Hays TX-
1131 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL HAYS COUNTY UNTIL NOON
CDT...

At 1131 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Driftwood, or near Dripping Springs, moving south at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wimberley, Dripping Springs, Woodcreek, Driftwood, Mount Gainor and
Hays City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 9822 3022 9800 3003 9790 2998 9820
TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 347DEG 12KT 3013 9810

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1156 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

TXZ191-207-208-111745-
Guadalupe TX-Caldwell TX-Hays TX-
1156 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL...
SOUTHEASTERN HAYS AND NORTHERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM
CDT...

At 1155 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
over San Marcos, with another strong thunderstorm near Uhland. Both
storms are moving northeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
San Marcos, Kyle, Lockhart, Martindale, Uhland, Niederwald, San
Marcos Regional Airport, Maxwell, Reedville and Redwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2980 9783 2977 9792 2980 9802 2985 9803
      2987 9806 3008 9781 2995 9761
TIME...MOT...LOC 1655Z 238DEG 8KT 2986 9795

PLATT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1158 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 AM     HAIL             1 WNW SAN MARCOS        29.89N 97.96W
04/11/2017  E0.88 INCH       HAYS               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTING NICKLE-SIZED HAIL IN SAN
            MARCOS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1159 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 AM     HAIL             SAN MARCOS              29.88N 97.94W
04/11/2017  E0.75 INCH       HAYS               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTING .75 INCH HAIL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1202 PM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 AM     HAIL             1 ENE SAN MARCOS        29.89N 97.93W
04/11/2017  E0.25 INCH       HAYS               TX   PUBLIC

            CALLER REPORTING PEA SIZED HAIL.

&&

YB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1219 PM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

TXZ192-111800-
Travis TX-
1219 PM CDT TUE APR 11 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TRAVIS COUNTY UNTIL
100 PM CDT...

At 1219 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mustang Ridge, or 7 miles east of Buda, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Austin, Austin Bergstrom International Airport, Mustang Ridge,
Creedmoor, Maha, Del Valle and Pilot Knob.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3017 9755 3010 9762 3006 9768 3002 9771
      3009 9780 3023 9770
TIME...MOT...LOC 1719Z 212DEG 14KT 3009 9772

PLATT