Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017
Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood warning at Aug 23, 2017, 5:27 PM MDT for El Paso County, Hudspeth County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 23, 2017, 5:27 PM MDT (23:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 23, 2017, 7:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties El Paso County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1129 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -104 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1686 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
245
WGUS54 KEPZ 232327
FFWEPZ
TXC141-229-240130-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0051.170823T2327Z-170824T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service El Paso TX
527 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
West central Hudspeth County in southwestern Texas...
Southeastern El Paso County in southwestern Texas...
* Until 730 PM MDT
* At 526 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have
already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.
* Flash flooding will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Hudspeth and southeastern El Paso Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 10595 3137 10597 3139 10601 3148 10600
3168 10601 3170 10588 3152 10576 3136 10595
$$
CRESPO1 follow-up statement
637
WGUS74 KEPZ 240128
FFSEPZ
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
728 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
TXC141-229-240137-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170824T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hudspeth TX-El Paso TX-
728 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL HUDSPETH AND SOUTHEASTERN
EL PASO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM MDT...
The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.
LAT...LON 3137 10595 3137 10597 3139 10601 3148 10600
3168 10601 3170 10588 3152 10576 3136 10595
$$
GRZYWACZWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 23, 2:10 PM MDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 23, 2:10 PM MDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
210 PM MDT Wed Aug 23 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
Moisture will remain plentiful across the region the next several
days. As a result, showers and thunderstorms will be possible each
day. However the most significant rains will occur this evening
and tonight as a disturbance aloft tracks across the area.
Localized flooding will be possible as a result. Another round of
heavy rainfall will be possible Thursday afternoon and evening
with activity becoming more scattered in nature by the weekend and
beyond.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Easterly flow has become well established across the region in the
wake of last nights back door front. This has allowed for a steady
push of moisture into the area with early afternoon dewpoints at
or above 60 degrees in most spots. As a result, convection has
taken off quickly this afternoon and it looks to continue.
The KEPZ morning RAOB showed a PW value of 1.41 inches and
forecast models keep PW values elevated above 1.20" across much of the
area for the next couple of days. Meanwhile a quick glance at the
visible satellite clearly shows a well defined vort max across
northern Sonora just south of Arizona. This feature is currently
tracking towards the north but is projected by forecast models to
turn east and track directly over the Borderland later this
evening and tonight. With forecast CAPE values between 1000 and
1200 j/kg the likelihood of of thunderstorms remains high into
the overnight hours. Model QPF varies from one source to another,
but the general consensus is that some areas could easily see
total rainfall amounts of between 1 and 2 inches as scattered
storm activity this afternoon becomes more widespread with the
passage of the upper disturbance. Therefore a Flash Flood Watch
has been issued areawide from 6pm this evening through 6am
Thursday morning.
Rainfall should taper off quickly as morning approaches as the
upper vort moves east. However moisture levels will remain
elevated setting the stage for another round of afternoon and
evening storms Thursday. Once again, localized flooding will be
the primary concern for Thursday afternoon and evening.
By Friday and into the weekend the upper high will be regaining
strength over the area, resulting in mainly isolated lowland and
scattered mountain storm activity. Then into next week we will see
the upper flow shift more northerly as we get caught in between
the upper high shifting to our northwest and circulation around
tropical system "Harvey" across east Texas. At this time it
appears that there will still be enough moisture available for a
few storms next week as well, with some of them possibly on the
strong side.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid 24/00Z-25/00Z...
Abundant subtropical moisture on the increase will combine with a
disturbance aloft Wednesday night along with a weak backdoor cold
front boundary in the CWA to generate numerous showers and
thunders thru the fcst pd with max coverage and intensity around
03Z-15Z. General conds: sct-bkn050 sct-bkn100 bkn200-250 with
winds ne-se10kts becoming nw10kts aft 15z. Areas vrbl winds
25G35kts 1-3 sm in TSRA +TSRA BR BKN010 BKN030 OVC060 esp 03Z-15Z.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Subtropical moisture is returning to southern New Mexico and Far
West Texas channeled in from the south. A weak backdoor front has
pushed in from the east allowing the moisture to focus on its
boundary. The result will be a marked increase in shower and
thunderstorm activity with an enhanced risk of flash flooding in
some areas. Areal coverage and intensity will be at its greatest
tonight and into Thursday morning, as an upper trough passes through
the area. Again, heavy rain and flash flooding are possible.
Thunderstorms will decrease in coverage later Thursday and remain
isolated over lowland zones and scattered over mountain zones
through the weekend into the beginning of next week. Min RHs will
remain above 30 percent through most of the forecast period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 69 87 69 90 / 60 40 30 20
Sierra Blanca 65 84 68 87 / 40 40 30 20
Las Cruces 65 84 66 88 / 60 40 30 20
Alamogordo 64 84 66 86 / 70 50 40 20
Cloudcroft 50 65 50 65 / 70 60 40 40
Truth or Consequences 67 85 68 88 / 60 40 30 10
Silver City 59 81 60 83 / 60 40 40 30
Deming 65 84 66 88 / 60 40 30 20
Lordsburg 64 85 65 88 / 60 40 30 20
West El Paso Metro 66 86 68 90 / 60 40 30 20
Dell City 66 86 68 90 / 40 40 40 30
Fort Hancock 70 88 71 91 / 60 40 30 20
Loma Linda 63 82 64 84 / 60 40 30 20
Fabens 68 88 70 91 / 60 40 30 20
Santa Teresa 66 85 68 89 / 60 40 30 20
White Sands HQ 67 84 67 87 / 60 40 30 20
Jornada Range 64 85 65 88 / 60 40 30 20
Hatch 65 85 66 89 / 60 40 30 10
Columbus 66 85 68 88 / 60 40 30 20
Orogrande 66 85 68 88 / 60 40 30 20
Mayhill 55 74 55 75 / 70 60 40 40
Mescalero 56 75 56 76 / 70 60 40 40
Timberon 54 73 53 73 / 70 60 40 40
Winston 54 80 55 81 / 60 50 50 30
Hillsboro 62 84 62 86 / 70 50 30 30
Spaceport 64 84 66 87 / 60 40 30 20
Lake Roberts 54 80 53 83 / 70 50 40 30
Hurley 59 82 59 84 / 60 40 30 20
Cliff 57 85 59 88 / 60 40 40 30
Mule Creek 60 83 62 86 / 60 40 30 20
Faywood 60 84 59 86 / 60 40 30 20
Animas 65 85 65 89 / 60 40 30 20
Hachita 64 84 64 88 / 60 40 30 20
Antelope Wells 65 84 66 88 / 60 40 30 20
Cloverdale 63 83 64 85 / 60 40 30 20
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT this evening through late
tonight for NMZ401>417.
TX...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT this evening through late
tonight for TXZ418>424.
&&
27-Laney/20-NovlanHazardous weather outlook, Aug 23, 10:49 AM MDT, 6 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1049 AM MDT Wed Aug 23 2017 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-241700- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1049 AM MDT Wed Aug 23 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A very moist atmosphere will combine with a passing disturbance to generate widespread rain and thunderstorms this evening and overnight across most of the region. The possibility of heavy rainfall exists with some areas receiving well over an inch of rainfall over the next 24 hours. This could result in areas of flooding where the heaviest rainfall occurs. In addition, storms will be capable of producing small hail and strong winds later this afternoon and through the evening hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Rain chances will continue across the area, with Thursday being the most active day. A heavy rain threat will continue Thursday with rain and storm coverage becoming more scattered over the weekend and early next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding by contacting your El Paso area National Weather Service office...or by sending reports via the web at http://weather.gov/epz. Laney
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 23, 3:57 PM MDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
357 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
NMZ411-TXZ418-419-232245-
Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley NM-
Eastern/Central El Paso County TX-Western El Paso County TX-
357 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DONA ANA AND
NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...
At 357 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
West El Paso. This storm was nearly stationary.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
West El Paso and El Paso.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3190 10663 3193 10652 3187 10645 3178 10653
3179 10653
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 062DEG 3KT 3187 10653
CRESPOSpecial weather statement, Aug 23, 4:07 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
407 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
TXZ419-420-423-232245-
Eastern/Central El Paso County TX-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties TX-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains TX-
407 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL HUDSPETH AND
SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...
At 406 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Indian Cliffs Ranch, or 6 miles northeast of Fabens. This storm was
nearly stationary.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Horizon City, Fabens, El Paso, Clint, Agua Dulce, Indian Cliffs
Ranch, Tornillo, Sparks, San Elizario, Lake Way Estates and Colonia
Del Paso.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3139 10601 3140 10608 3142 10610 3142 10613
3146 10618 3146 10620 3148 10622 3154 10625
3156 10628 3181 10623 3175 10599 3138 10599
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 062DEG 3KT 3158 10609
CRESPOSpecial weather statement, Aug 23, 4:35 PM MDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 435 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017 NMZ403-407-232315- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley NM- Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin NM- 435 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRANT AND NORTHWESTERN LUNA COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 435 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10 miles north of Gage, or 15 miles south of City Of Rocks State Park, moving east at 15 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Deming. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3226 10810 3251 10811 3256 10778 3224 10776 TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 264DEG 19KT 3237 10803 LANEY
Special weather statement, Aug 23, 4:41 PM MDT, 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 441 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017 NMZ404-407-232330- Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin NM- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM- 441 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GRANT AND WEST CENTRAL LUNA COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT... At 441 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles northeast of Separ, or 23 miles east of Lordsburg, moving east at 10 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Gage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3215 10842 3233 10842 3236 10806 3213 10805 TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 274DEG 10KT 3225 10832 LANEY
Special weather statement, Aug 23, 4:52 PM MDT, 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
452 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
TXZ419>421-423-232330-
Eastern/Central El Paso County TX-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties TX-
Salt Basin TX-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains TX-
452 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HUDSPETH AND
SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT...
At 452 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 13 miles southeast of Loma Linda to Fabens.
Movement was southeast at 15 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Fabens, Indian Cliffs Ranch and Tornillo.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3170 10542 3138 10599 3139 10601 3140 10608
3142 10610 3143 10615 3146 10618 3146 10620
3148 10622 3149 10622 3152 10624 3153 10623
3179 10575
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 325DEG 14KT 3170 10579 3150 10615
CRESPOLocal storm report, Aug 23, 5:17 PM MDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
517 PM MDT WED AUG 23 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE FABENS 31.53N 106.12W
08/23/2017 EL PASO TX TRAINED SPOTTER
WATER 6 INCHES DEEP FLOWING ACROSS SAN FELIPE ROAD JUST
EAST OF I-10
&&
EVENT NUMBER EPZ1700367
JPLThe office that day
Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 12:53 PM MDT | Flash Flood Watch | EPZ | El Paso, Hudspeth | 15 hr |
| Aug 23, 1:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 51 min |
| Aug 23, 2:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 45 min |
| Aug 23, 2:15 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Hudspeth | 45 min |
| Aug 23, 2:32 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Hudspeth | 43 min |
| Aug 23, 2:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 47 min |
| Aug 23, 3:15 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 2 hr |
| Aug 23, 3:35 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 40 min |
| Aug 23, 3:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Hudspeth | 51 min |
| Aug 23, 3:54 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EPZ | El Paso, Hudspeth | 3 hr |
| Aug 23, 3:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 48 min |
| Aug 23, 4:07 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 38 min |
| Aug 23, 4:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 48 min |
| Aug 23, 4:26 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EPZ | El Paso, Hudspeth | 3 hr |
| Aug 23, 4:40 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | El Paso | 2 hr |
| Aug 23, 4:52 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 38 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2017Every flash flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.