River Flood Warning 100, NWS Kansas City, MO

020 
WGUS43 KEAX 171214
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
714 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017



...Observed flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...


  Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC005-087-181214-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-170619T0027Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.170617T0859Z.170617T1115Z.170618T0027Z.NO/
714 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At  6:15 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tarkio River
  Fairfax         17   18.0   Sat 06 AM   18.0 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546

  

$$

990 
WGUS83 KEAX 171432
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
932 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC005-087-181432-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-170618T2006Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.170617T0859Z.170617T1245Z.170617T2006Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tarkio River
  Fairfax         17   18.1   Sat 08 AM   17.7 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546

  

$$

996 
WGUS83 KEAX 171714
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1214 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC005-087-171744-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-170618T2006Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.170617T0859Z.170617T1245Z.170617T1553Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 10:53 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.7 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tarkio River
  Fairfax         17   16.8   Sat 11 AM   16.6 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
416 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 416 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

Another very active day shaping up for the region as multiple
concerns exist this morning with respect to excessive heat and
redeveloping severe storms later this afternoon. Before diving
into those details, severe MCS that brought widespread damage to
the Lower Missouri Valley continues tracking into southwest
Missouri this morning, with residual elevated storms north of the
expanding outflow bringing isolated severe hail reports to north-
central Kansas. Available high-res model guidance shows all
activity rapidly tracking southeast this morning, thus setting
the stage for clearing skies later this morning and the arrival of
the warmest temperatures of the season as highs climb well into
the middle 90s this afternoon.

Despite the storm activity this morning, aforementioned clearing
along with added boundary layer moisture from this morning's
rainfall will lead to downright oppressive conditions this
afternoon. Latest model guidance indicates dewpoint temperatures
will hover in the middle to upper 70s today, which combined with
highs in the mid 90s, will lead to heat indices ranging from
105-113 degrees. Considering this morning's rainfall and various
model solutions which show of a well-defined theta-e ridge
extending across our area, have elected to upgrade the heat
advisory to an excessive heat warning for the KC Metro and points
immediately to the south. Its going to be a warm one but
fortunately cooler air is not too far away. We just need to get
through one more busy night before we see some relief.

Moving on to the severe threat, today's environment looks
potentially volatile considering the moisture availability and
the expectation that an elevated mixed layer will be firmly in
place by afternoon. In fact, latest GOES-16 low-level water vapor
imagery showing the initial signs of midlevel drying working east
from northeastern Colorado this morning as midlevel flow begins
to increase in advance of well-defined shortwave trough currently
digging across the Northern Rockies and Intermountain West. Steep
midlevel lapse rates resulting from the EML, along with increasing
PVA in advance of the aforementioned wave and convergence along
the southward sagging cold front will set the stage for
rapid convective development later today. Quick look at several
BUFKIT soundings from across the area shows MLCAPE values in
excess of 6000 J/kg, with deep layered shear values more than
supportive of storm maintenance. Bulk shear vector orientation
should largely be parallel to the incoming cold front, suggesting
a multicell linear morphology as convection becomes organized
along the front later today. Activity should initially develop
near the Route 36 corridor before expanding southeast with time
through the early evening and overnight hours. Considering the
amount of instability available, large hail and strong winds will
likely be the main threats, with a limited tornado threat in
response to along parallel 0-3 km bulk shear vector orientation.
If there's any silver lining, its that much of the area will see
another healthy round of rain which much of the region can surely
benefit from.

High pressure to quickly build into the region on Sunday with
cooler temperatures expected as north winds prevail. In fact,
highs Sunday afternoon will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s,
a far improvement from today's values. Dry weather to then
continue through Wednesday, before the next storm system brings
the next chance of rain to the area Wednesday night into Thursday.
Little rest for the weary...

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

A progressive of line of thunderstorms is moving south along the
Missouri-Kansas state line late tonight effecting all the
terminals. The strong storms this morning will quickly move
through leaving much of the morning into early afternoon hours
VFR, but we are expecting another round of storms to develop
Saturday afternoon, which will likely effect the terminals from
Kansas City south for the mid to late afternoon hours.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Excessive Heat Warning from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for KSZ057-060-103>105.

     Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for
     KSZ025.

MO...Excessive Heat Warning from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for MOZ028-029-037-043-053-054.

     Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for
     MOZ020>023-030>032-038>040-044>046.

&&

Discussion...32
Aviation...Cutter

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
453 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
453 AM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Strong to severe storms are expected to develop this afternoon and
 will increase in coverage and intensity as they move southward this
 evening. Strong straight line winds and hail are the main threats,
 but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

 Very hot and humid conditions will result in dangerous heat indices
 in the 100-110 degree range this afternoon.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

 Storm chances and heat return Tuesday and linger through the rest
 of the week.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
147 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RICHMOND                39.28N 93.97W
06/16/2017                   RAY                MO   PUBLIC

            VIA TWITTER...VERY LARGE TREE DOWN

&&

LAFLIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
154 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

MOZ044-045-053-054-170745-
Bates MO-Johnson MO-Pettis MO-Henry MO-
154 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HENRY...NORTHEASTERN BATES...
PETTIS AND EASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

At 154 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Warrensburg to 6 miles east of Urich to
near Butler. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Sedalia, Warrensburg, Clinton, Butler, Windsor, Knob Noster, Whiteman
Air Force Base, La Monte, Smithton, Leeton, Green Ridge, Calhoun,
Deepwater, Montrose, Chilhowee, Whiteman Afb, Coal, Hughesville,
Rockville and Brownington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
central and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3830 9456 3846 9395 3893 9369 3880 9306
      3853 9307 3851 9352 3821 9353 3821 9405
      3803 9406 3803 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 0654Z 300DEG 39KT 3870 9374 3843 9388 3829 9440

Hawblitzel

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
214 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     LIGHTNING        5 ENE FAIRWAY           39.05N 94.54W
06/17/2017                   JACKSON            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A TREE TO CATCH FIRE WHICH THEN
            FELL ONTO A HOUSE AND RESULTED IN A HOUSE FIRE

&&

LAFLIN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
227 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

KSZ057-060-170800-
Miami KS-Linn KS-
227 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MIAMI AND LINN COUNTIES
UNTIL 300 AM CDT...

At 226 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Greeley, or 10 miles northeast of Garnett, moving southeast at 45
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Osawatomie, Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Linn Valley, Parker,
Blue Mound, Fontana and Beagle.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3811 9508 3821 9508 3825 9507 3826 9506
      3851 9506 3844 9462 3809 9471 3804 9503
TIME...MOT...LOC 0726Z 306DEG 37KT 3841 9513

Hawblitzel

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
243 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CLINTON                 38.37N 93.78W
06/17/2017                   HENRY              MO   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF CLINTON.

&&

CUTTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
425 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PLEASANTON              38.18N 94.71W
06/17/2017                   LINN               KS   911 CALL CENTER

            FIRE DEPARTMENT DISPATCED FOR LARGE TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY

&&

32