Severe Thunderstorm Warning 246, NWS Dodge City, KS

731 
WWUS53 KDDC 300423
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1123 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

KSC069-119-300432-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-170630T0445Z/
Meade KS-Gray KS-
1123 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MEADE AND
SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3721 10008 3744 10010 3757 10010 3760 9958
      3717 9955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 268DEG 13KT 3748 10002 

$$

KSC025-057-300445-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-170630T0445Z/
Ford KS-Clark KS-
1123 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN FORD AND NORTHERN CLARK COUNTIES...

At 1122 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Minneola, or
19 miles south of Dodge City, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Bucklin, Minneola, Bloom, Kingsdown, Clark State Lake,
Lexington and Big Basin Preserve.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 10008 3744 10010 3757 10010 3760 9958
      3717 9955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 268DEG 13KT 3748 10002 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RBURG

606 
WWUS53 KDDC 300445
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1145 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

KSC025-057-300452-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-170630T0445Z/
Ford KS-Clark KS-
1145 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN FORD AND NORTHERN
CLARK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 PM CDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, this severe thunderstorm warning will be 
allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Clark county.

LAT...LON 3721 10008 3744 10010 3757 10010 3760 9958
      3717 9955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 268DEG 13KT 3748 9993 

$$

RBURG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
940 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

...UPDATE TO SYNOPSIS...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 939 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

WV imagery indicates a westerly flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Near the surface, a near stationary frontal
boundary stretches from the Oklahoma Panhandle northeast across
central Kansas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Convective allowing models are fairly aggressive with respect to
upscale thunderstorm growth across western into south central Kansas
this evening. The old cold front has already begun to wash out with
models shoeing more broad easterly surface winds heading into
tonight. As earlier concerns of initial development across the far
southeast have waned, models such as the HRRR have become more
aggressive with the upscale growth into a qlcs wind event well into
central Kansas before midnight. We've increased pops to account
for these latest model runs, as well as adjusted overnight lows
for early Friday morning downward. Large hail up to 2 inches may
be the primary threat in the western counties while a wind threat
and heavy rain threat may be more likely with time this evening
into central Kansas counties.

Friday the area will be under the influence of weak northeasterly
surface flow, as a a midlevel shortwave move  across the KS/NE line by
the afternoon. This should produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms through the afternoon given the average MUCAPES
around 500 j/KG.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The front and major instability/CAPE axis moves farther southeast
into the southern Plains by Saturday. Any storm threats by Saturday
might be in the extreme west it at all. However, the entire southern
High Plains region maintains relatively high dew points, with richer
moisture not being scoured out. The GFS already has a trough across
the Rockies  by Sunday  with vorticity advection into Kansas by
Sunday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Short term models earlier this afternoon have been in good
agreement with bringing a cluster of strong to severe
thunderstorms across western Kansas early tonight. Strong winds
and heavy rainfall appear to be the main hazards. Timing so fair
has also been in decent agreement between the last few runs so
will follow the latest trend and introduce strong winds in excess
of 45 knots and at least IFR visibilities and ceilings with these
storms. Timing and track favors the Garden City terminal between
01z and 03z Friday and the Dodge City, Hays and possibly even
Liberal terminals between 02z and 04z Friday. Once these storms
pass the prevailing winds will become north northeast at 10 to 15
knots through the remainder of the night. Model soundings suggest
the potential for some MVFR stratus being possible between late
tonight, especially between 09z and 15z Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  62  83  60  87 /  50  20  10   0
GCK  63  82  58  88 /  50  10  10  10
EHA  62  82  59  86 /  30  10  20  10
LBL  64  84  60  88 /  30  10  10  10
HYS  63  81  59  88 /  40  20  10   0
P28  69  86  63  89 /  70  30  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JJohnson
SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Burgert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
426 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-300930-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
426 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017 /326 AM MDT Thu Jun 29 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across central and
eastern portions of southwest Kansas this evening. The main threat
will be golf ball to tennis ball size hail and damaging winds in
excess of 60 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible Friday
with the potential for up to quarter size hail and wind gusts
upward of 60 mph. Thunderstorms will then be possible nearly each
day through the early part of next week. However, the potential
for severe weather is low.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  No hazards.

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening, mainly east of a
Garden City to Ashland line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

32

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
746 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

KSZ061-074-300145-
Stanton KS-Hamilton KS-
746 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HAMILTON AND
NORTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT/745 PM MDT/...

At 746 PM CDT/646 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 4 miles south of Holly, or 19 miles west of Syracuse,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Coolidge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ for southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3807 10204 3792 10163 3761 10176 3762 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 300DEG 26KT 3799 10211

RBURG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
851 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

KSZ030-300245-
Trego KS-
851 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN TREGO COUNTY UNTIL 945
PM CDT...

At 851 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Voda, or 9 miles northwest of Wakeeney, moving east at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wakeeney, Ogallah, Collyer, Voda and Riga.

LAT...LON 3889 9961 3890 10015 3913 10015 3913 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 274DEG 27KT 3908 10004

RBURG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
923 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 PM     HAIL             3 NE MANTER             37.55N 101.85W
06/29/2017  M1.75 INCH       STANTON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
925 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             12 NNE RICHFIELD        37.41N 101.67W
06/29/2017  M3.00 INCH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

JF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
934 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     HAIL             10 NNW FETERITA         37.29N 101.52W
06/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

JF