Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 5, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this river flood warning at Feb 25, 2017, 5:01 PM EST for Delaware County, New York. It took effect at Feb 25, 2017, 8:41 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 25, 2017, 5:01 PM EST (22:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 25, 2017, 8:41 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 26, 2017, 8:48 PM EST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Delaware County, NY
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point West Branch Delaware River at Walton (WALN6). The gauge peaked at 10.36 ft at Feb 25, 2017, 8:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 9.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 11.5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01423000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
564
WGUS41 KBGM 252201
FLWBGM
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
501 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
...The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a flood warning for the
following rivers in New York...
West Branch Delaware At Walton affecting Delaware County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive over flooded roads or bridges...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, the Official Voice of the National Weather
Service for later developments.
For further river and weather information, you can visit ourwebsite at
weather.gov/bgm
&&
NYC025-261001-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FL.W.0005.170226T0400Z-170227T0148Z/
/WALN6.1.ER.170226T0400Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1948Z.NO/
501 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The National Weather Service in Binghamton New York has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The West Branch Delaware At Walton.
* From this evening until Sunday evening.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 11 PM Saturday
and crest near 10.5 feet around 7 AM Sunday. The river will fall below flood
stage after 3 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Fairgrounds begin to flood at 10 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4219 7514 4215 7510 4207 7522 4209 7526
4211 7526
$$4 follow-up statements
021
WGUS81 KBGM 252331
FLSBGM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New York...
Pennsylvania..
Susquehanna River At Conklin affecting Broome and Susquehanna Counties
Susquehanna River At Vestal affecting Broome and Tioga Counties
Chenango River At Sherburne affecting Chenango County
Tioughnioga River At Cortland affecting Cortland County
West Branch Delaware At Walton affecting Delaware County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety Message...
Do not drive over flooded roads or bridges...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, the Official Voice of the National Weather
Service for later developments.
For further river and weather information, you can visit ourwebsite at
weather.gov/bgm
&&
NYC007-PAC115-261131-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0003.170226T0500Z-170227T0508Z/
/CKLN6.1.ER.170226T0500Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1708Z.NO/
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Conklin.
* From 12 AM Sunday until late Sunday night.
* At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 12 AM Sunday and
crest near 12.6 feet by 7 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 12 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Alta, River and Lawrence Roads closed in
the Town of Conklin due to minor flooding. No homes are flooded at this river
stage. Valley park in Kirkwood takes on water.
&&
LAT...LON 4211 7587 4210 7582 4198 7572 4195 7558
4194 7574 4209 7587
$$
NYC007-107-261131-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0004.170226T0500Z-170227T1525Z/
/VSTN6.1.ER.170226T0500Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0325Z.NO/
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Vestal.
* From 12 AM Sunday until Monday morning.
* At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 12 AM Sunday and
crest near 19.2 feet by 1 PM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 10 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flood stage. The river overflows banks and lowland
flooding begins within the flood plain.
&&
LAT...LON 4213 7598 4210 7599 4207 7605 4204 7614
4207 7616
$$
NYC017-261131-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0001.170226T0050Z-170227T0430Z/
/SHBN6.1.ER.170226T0050Z.170226T0500Z.170226T1630Z.NO/
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chenango River At Sherburne.
* From 8 PM Saturday until Sunday evening.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 8 PM Saturday and
crest near 9.0 feet by 12 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 11 AM Sunday.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water covers Blanding Road near
State Highway 12, South Cross Road, Conley Road, and the north end of Williams
Road. Water begins to cover north Main Street from main intersection north to
the Big M.
&&
LAT...LON 4274 7558 4274 7549 4259 7547 4259 7555
$$
NYC023-261131-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0002.170226T0400Z-170227T1500Z/
/CRTN6.1.ER.170226T0400Z.170226T1200Z.170227T0300Z.NO/
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tioughnioga River At Cortland.
* From 11 PM Saturday until Monday morning.
* At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 11 PM Saturday
and crest near 8.5 feet by 7 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 10 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Flooding leads to some closures along
Kellogg Road to the south of Cortland.
&&
LAT...LON 4261 7620 4262 7616 4255 7608 4241 7600
4241 7604 4254 7612
$$
NYC025-261131-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0005.170226T0400Z-170227T0148Z/
/WALN6.1.ER.170226T0400Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1948Z.NO/
631 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The West Branch Delaware At Walton.
* From 11 PM Saturday until Sunday evening.
* At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 11 PM Saturday
and crest near 10.5 feet by 7 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 3 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Fairgrounds begin to flood at 10 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4219 7514 4215 7510 4207 7522 4209 7526
4211 7526
$$201
WGUS81 KBGM 260142
FLSBGM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New York...
Pennsylvania...
Susquehanna River At Conklin affecting Broome and Susquehanna Counties
Susquehanna River At Vestal affecting Broome and Tioga Counties
Chenango River At Sherburne affecting Chenango County
Tioughnioga River At Cortland affecting Cortland County
West Branch Delaware At Walton affecting Delaware County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New York..
Susquehanna River At Bainbridge affecting Chenango and Delaware Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety Message...
Do not drive over flooded roads or bridges...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, the Official Voice of the National Weather
Service for later developments.
For further river and weather information, you can visit ourwebsite at
weather.gov/bgm
&&
NYC017-025-261342-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0006.170226T0800Z-170227T1200Z/
/BAIN6.1.ER.170226T0800Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0000Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Bainbridge.
* From 3 AM Sunday until Monday morning.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 3 AM Sunday and
crest near 15.5 feet by 1 PM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 7 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs in fields and low lands near the
river from Sidney to Bainbridge.
&&
LAT...LON 4232 7541 4229 7538 4223 7548 4213 7558
4218 7566 4231 7549
$$
NYC007-PAC115-261342-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0003.170226T0600Z-170227T1500Z/
/CKLN6.1.ER.170226T0600Z.170226T1200Z.170227T0300Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Conklin.
* From 1 AM Sunday until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 1 AM Sunday and
crest near 12.8 feet by 7 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 10 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Alta, River and Lawrence Roads closed in
the Town of Conklin due to minor flooding. No homes are flooded at this river
stage. Valley park in Kirkwood takes on water.
&&
LAT...LON 4211 7587 4210 7582 4198 7572 4195 7558
4194 7574 4209 7587
$$
NYC007-107-261342-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0004.170226T1300Z-170227T1200Z/
/VSTN6.1.ER.170226T1300Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0000Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Vestal.
* From 8 AM Sunday until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 8 AM Sunday and
crest near 18.6 feet by 1 PM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 7 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flood stage. The river overflows banks and lowland
flooding begins within the flood plain.
&&
LAT...LON 4213 7598 4210 7599 4207 7605 4204 7614
4207 7616
$$
NYC017-261342-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170226T1808Z/
/SHBN6.1.ER.170226T0600Z.170226T0600Z.170226T0608Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chenango River At Sherburne.
* From 1 AM Sunday until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet...Minor flood stage.
&&
LAT...LON 4274 7558 4274 7549 4259 7547 4259 7555
$$
NYC023-261342-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0002.170226T1000Z-170227T0200Z/
/CRTN6.1.ER.170226T1000Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1400Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tioughnioga River At Cortland.
* From 5 AM Sunday until Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 5 AM Sunday and
crest near 8.1 feet by 7 AM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage after
9 AM Sunday.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Flooding leads to some closures along
Kellogg Road to the south of Cortland.
&&
LAT...LON 4261 7620 4262 7616 4255 7608 4241 7600
4241 7604 4254 7612
$$
NYC025-261342-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0005.170226T0141Z-170226T2100Z/
/WALN6.1.ER.170225T2317Z.170226T0600Z.170226T1500Z.NO/
842 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The West Branch Delaware At Walton.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest near 10.6 feet around 1 AM Sunday. The river
will fall below flood stage after 10 AM Sunday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Fairgrounds begin to flood at 10 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4219 7514 4215 7510 4207 7522 4209 7526
4211 7526
$$320
WGUS81 KBGM 260715
FLSBGM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New York...
Chenango River At Sherburne affecting Chenango County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in New York...
Pennsylvania...
Susquehanna River At Bainbridge affecting Chenango and Delaware Counties
Susquehanna River At Conklin affecting Broome and Susquehanna Counties
Susquehanna River At Vestal affecting Broome and Tioga Counties
Tioughnioga River At Cortland affecting Cortland County
West Branch Delaware At Walton affecting Delaware County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety Message...
Do not drive over flooded roads or bridges...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, the Official Voice of the National Weather
Service for later developments.
For further river and weather information, you can visit ourwebsite at
weather.gov/bgm
&&
NYC017-025-261915-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0006.170226T0800Z-170227T1400Z/
/BAIN6.1.ER.170226T0800Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0200Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Bainbridge.
* From 3 AM Sunday until Monday morning.
* At 1 AM Sunday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 3 AM Sunday and
crest near 15.8 feet by 1 PM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 9 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs in fields and low lands near the
river from Sidney to Bainbridge.
&&
LAT...LON 4232 7541 4229 7538 4223 7548 4213 7558
4218 7566 4231 7549
$$
NYC007-PAC115-261915-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170228T0400Z/
/CKLN6.1.ER.170226T0542Z.170226T1200Z.170227T1600Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Conklin.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest near 12.8 feet around 7 AM Sunday. The river
will fall below flood stage after 11 AM Monday.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Alta, River and Lawrence Roads closed in
the Town of Conklin due to minor flooding. No homes are flooded at this river
stage. Valley park in Kirkwood takes on water.
&&
LAT...LON 4211 7587 4210 7582 4198 7572 4195 7558
4194 7574 4209 7587
$$
NYC007-107-261915-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0004.170226T1621Z-170227T0900Z/
/VSTN6.1.ER.170226T1621Z.170226T1800Z.170226T2100Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Susquehanna River At Vestal.
* From 11 AM Sunday until late tonight.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The rise is forecast to rise above flood stage by 11 AM Sunday and
crest near 18.3 feet by 1 PM Sunday.The river will fall below flood stage
after 4 PM Sunday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flood stage. The river overflows banks and lowland
flooding begins within the flood plain.
&&
LAT...LON 4213 7598 4210 7599 4207 7605 4204 7614
4207 7616
$$
NYC023-261915-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0002.170226T1200Z-170227T0000Z/
/CRTN6.1.ER.170226T1200Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1200Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tioughnioga River At Cortland.
* From 7 AM Sunday until this evening.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 7 AM Sunday.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Flooding leads to some closures along
Kellogg Road to the south of Cortland.
&&
LAT...LON 4261 7620 4262 7616 4255 7608 4241 7600
4241 7604 4254 7612
$$
NYC025-261639-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170226T1639Z/
/WALN6.1.ER.170225T2317Z.170226T0116Z.170226T1039Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The West Branch Delaware At Walton.
* Until this morning.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage after 6 AM
Sunday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Fairgrounds begin to flood at 10 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4219 7514 4215 7510 4207 7522 4209 7526
4211 7526
$$
NYC017-260745-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170226T1808Z/
/SHBN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
215 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Chenango River At Sherburne.
* At 1 AM Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 7.5 feet. The river will
fall to 5.2 feet by .
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...River begins to overflow the bank on the east side of
the river.
&&
LAT...LON 4274 7558 4274 7549 4259 7547 4259 7555
$$576
WGUS81 KBGM 261347
FLSBGM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
847 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New York...
West Branch Delaware At Walton affecting Delaware County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety Message...
Do not drive over flooded roads or bridges...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, the Official Voice of the National Weather
Service for later developments.
For further river and weather information, you can visit ourwebsite at
weather.gov/bgm
&&
NYC025-261417-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170226T1639Z/
/WALN6.1.ER.170225T2317Z.170226T0116Z.170226T1010Z.NO/
847 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The West Branch Delaware At Walton.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 5 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.2 feet by .
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Fairgrounds begin to flood at 10 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4219 7514 4215 7510 4207 7522 4209 7526
4211 7526
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 25, 4:42 PM EST, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 4:42 PM EST, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
442 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold will continue moving through the western
Catskills and the Poconos region through early evening with the
continued threat of thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy
downpours. Temperatures will be cooler Sunday and Monday with
scattered snow showers and some lake effect snow east of Lake
Ontario.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Vigorous cold front making its way through the western Catskills
and the Poconos at 4 PM, will clear the area in about two
hours. Until then the threat for severe weather primarily for
damaging winds and flash flooding continues. This event is
being driven by very favorable winds fields, very moist airmass
and strong lift along boundary. Behind the front light to
moderate rain showers will continue into the early evening
hours.
Overnight, upper level trof axis moves through the region and a
much colder westerly flow develops over the area. Scattered
flurries and snow showers are possible later tonight. East of
Lake Ontario T85 drops enough (-12C) for some lake effect snow
showers with a 280 degree low level flow. Will increase pops
across the far northern forecast area into likely/categorical
pops. Moisture is limited and temperatures are marginal so only
light snow accumulations expected. Overnight lows will range in
the middle 20s to lower 30s.
Sunday...Brisk, cool westerly flow will continue over the region
with lake effect snow showers gradually weakening during late
morning into early afternoon. The low level flow will keep the
the activity primarily into northern Onondaga/Madison and
north/central Oneida county. Total snow accumulations will
range from 1 to 3 inches. Rest of the region will remain mostly
cloudy with highs in the lower to middle 30s.
Sunday night will be fairly quiet with surface high pressure off
the mid Atlantic coast. Moderating flow will keep temperatures
steady or rise slightly in the lake plain. Lows will range from
around 30 in the lake plain to middle and upper 20s elsewhere.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure slides off to the east Monday with the flow
shifting to WSW bringing in milder air. Early in the day a few
flurries will still be possible SE of Lake Ontario but otherwise
expect dry conditions with increasing clouds by late day as a
weak wave approaches. Highs will reach well into the 40s.
Monday night into Tuesday, pattern begins to turn more unsettled
as low pressure begins to organize over the central US and
track N/E toward the Great Lakes. Some light warm frontal precip
will be possible as early as Monday night with a better chance
of showers arriving for Tuesday. Some snow or mixed
precipitation will be possible at the onset Monday night into
early Tuesday but this does not look to be significant as
dominant precip type should be rain. By Tuesday afternoon,
temperatures will reach the upper 40s to mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Unsettled but mild pattern continues Tuesday night into
Wednesday as a series of disturbances moves through the area. A
cold front will approach the area around the late Wednesday /
early Thursday time frame and can't rule out there there could
even be some thunderstorms once again along this front...though
at this point confidence not high enough to include in the
gridded forecast. Behind the front, temperature return to more
seasonable levels once again for the end of the week into next
weekend with the chance of some lake effect snow showers.
Utilized the Superblend for this forecast with very little
changes.
&&
.AVIATION /22Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Strong cold front moving through the terminals at this time.
In general MVFR rain showers are expected through late
afternoon with occasional IFR thunderstorms with strong winds
at KRME/KBGM/KAVP until 20Z. Overnight, low level moisture and
a much colder airmass will lead to scattered flurries and low
VFR/MVFR ceilings. At KRME/KSYR, some lake effect snow showers
will bring MVFR snow showers into the terminals beginning around
10Z. On Sunday, low VFR/MVFR ceiling will continue under strato
cumulus.
Southwest winds at 15 knots with gusts around 25 knots shifting
to the west late this afternoon and continuing through Sunday.
OUTLOOK...
Sunday afternoon...Restrictions from lake-effect snow showers
probable at KSYR-KRME, with mainly VFR elsewhere.
Monday-Tuesday...Possible restrictions in light rain or snow
showers.
Wednesday...Possible restrictions in rain showers.
Thursday...Possible restrictions in light rain or snow
showers.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
200 PM FRIDAY UPDATE...
There has been very little change to the thinking regarding the
impact of melting snow and forecast rainfall on the rivers
around Central NY this coming weekend. The bulk of snow and SWE
in the Upper Susquehanna and Delaware basins has nearly fully
released into the hydrologic system at this time, and rivers
are gradually responding. There remains an abundance of snow
cover in the northern half of Oneida county, and another mild
24 hours is still expected.
We now just wait on the rain to materialize tomorrow. Models
are honing in on about 0.50-1.00 inches with the bulk of any
widespread precipitation occurring across the northern counties
with less toward the NY-PA border. A narrow frontal rain band
moving through on Saturday afternoon could contribute to
significant rain rates for an hour, or so. In addition to the
river rises, localized water problems will have to be monitored
when the front sweeps through.
The Flood Watch continues for Oneida county, and NWS Buffalo
has already issued a very long lead time Flood Warning for the
Black River at Boonville. It's going to take the forecasted
rainfall to create a flood on Oneida Creek, so we will hold off
warning for that stream until confidence increases. This part of
our region is the area of most concern. Elsewhere, modest river
rises will occur on the Susquehanna and its tributaries with
flows expected to reach cautionary thresholds at several stream
gauges. There is a chance for these rivers to touch minor flood stage,
but confidence is low at this time and we will play the
situation conservatively.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM EST this evening for PAZ040.
NY...Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ046-057-
062.
Flood Watch through Sunday evening for NYZ009-037.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RRM
NEAR TERM...RRM
SHORT TERM...PCF
LONG TERM...PCF
AVIATION...RRM
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 4:33 AM EST, 12 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 433 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 NYZ015>018-022>025-036-PAZ043-044-047-048-072-260945- Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung- Tompkins-Madison-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 433 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rain are possible this afternoon. Some of these storms may produce damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NYZ044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-260945- Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford- Susquehanna-Northern Wayne- 433 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rain are possible this afternoon. Some of these storms may produce damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NYZ009-037-260945- Northern Oneida-Southern Oneida- 433 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally heavy rain are possible this afternoon. Some of these storms may produce damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 25, 2:58 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
258 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0245 PM TSTM WND DMG PITTSTON 41.33N 75.79W
02/25/2017 LUZERNE PA 911 CALL CENTER
ROOF BLOWN OFF A RESIDENCE
&&
JMLLocal storm report, Feb 25, 3:20 PM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
320 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM HAIL DURYEA 41.35N 75.78W
02/25/2017 M1.00 INCH LUZERNE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
JMLLocal storm report, Feb 25, 3:43 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
343 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM HAIL BEAR CREEK 41.18N 75.77W
02/25/2017 M1.00 INCH LUZERNE PA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
JMLSpecial weather statement, Feb 25, 3:50 PM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
350 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
NYZ046-057-062-PAZ040-252145-
Otsego NY-Sullivan NY-Delaware NY-Northern Wayne PA-
350 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT...EASTERN OTSEGO...
DELAWARE...NORTHWESTERN SULLIVAN AND NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL
445 PM EST...
At 350 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Springfield to 6 miles north of Colchester
to near Bethany. Movement was east at 20 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Rockland, Hyde Park, Oneonta, Walton, Delhi, Davenport, Worcester,
Middlefield, Colchester and Maryland.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead to
minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 4236 7453 4188 7486 4163 7536 4164 7544
4221 7516 4283 7492 4283 7489 4290 7487
4289 7483 4283 7465 4276 7467 4263 7463
4252 7471 4243 7462 4239 7453
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 253DEG 16KT 4285 7478 4225 7505 4169 7530
DJNLocal storm report, Feb 25, 4:16 PM EST, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
416 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM FLASH FLOOD DICKSON CITY 41.47N 75.63W
02/25/2017 LACKAWANNA PA 911 CALL CENTER
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND A FEW STRUCTURES SURROUNDED
BY WATER. ALSO IN BLAKLEY AND DUNMORE.
&&
JMLLocal storm report, Feb 25, 4:54 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
454 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM TSTM WND DMG MOOSIC 41.36N 75.70W
02/25/2017 LACKAWANNA PA EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF BLOWN OFF LAKE SCRANTON WATER PLANT.
&&
DJNThe office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 4:10 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Otsego, Sullivan and 1 more | 14 hr |
| Feb 25, 10:48 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca, Yates | 42 min |
| Feb 25, 11:15 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BGM | Chenango | 36 hr |
| Feb 25, 11:15 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BGM | Cortland | 47 hr |
| Feb 25, 11:27 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BGM | Broome | 54 hr |
| Feb 25, 11:27 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Tioga | 47 hr |
| Feb 25, 11:34 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Cayuga | 41 min |
| Feb 25, 12:07 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Onondaga | 53 min |
| Feb 25, 12:14 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Tioga | 31 min |
| Feb 25, 12:23 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Cortland | 37 min |
| Feb 25, 12:42 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Cortland | 33 min |
| Feb 25, 1:12 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Oneida | 33 min |
| Feb 25, 1:28 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Broome, Chenango | 32 min |
| Feb 25, 1:32 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Broome | 28 min |
| Feb 25, 1:58 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Otsego | 32 min |
| Feb 25, 2:36 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Delaware, Otsego | 39 min |
| Feb 25, 3:27 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 3 hr |
| Feb 25, 3:45 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Otsego | 6 hr |
| Feb 25, 3:50 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Delaware | 55 min |
| Feb 25, 4:01 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware | 29 min |
| Feb 25, 4:01 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 44 min |
| Feb 25, 4:04 PM EST | Tornado Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 21 min |
| Feb 25, 4:19 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Sullivan | 56 min |
| Feb 25, 4:29 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware | 3 hr |
| Feb 25, 4:35 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 55 min |
| Feb 25, 4:58 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Sullivan | 47 min |
| Feb 25, 5:23 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.