Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS La Crosse, WI

035 
WWUS53 KARX 170052
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
752 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

WIC063-170101-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-170617T0115Z/
La Crosse WI-
752 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LA CROSSE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central, southwestern and west central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4355 9067 4348 9067 4348 9075 4396 9083
      4396 9091 4416 9081 4415 9032 4355 9031
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 245DEG 27KT 4413 9055 4387 9052 4359 9056 

$$

WIC081-123-170115-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-170617T0115Z/
Vernon WI-Monroe WI-
752 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN VERNON AND MONROE COUNTIES...

At 751 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Millston to 7 miles south of
Tomah to near La Farge, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Public. This line of storms has a history of producing 
         damaging wind gusts. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

These severe storms will be near...
  Tomah around 755 PM CDT. 
  Hillsboro around 815 PM CDT. 

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Glendale, Viola, Norwalk, Ontario and Liberty.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4355 9067 4348 9067 4348 9075 4396 9083
      4396 9091 4416 9081 4415 9032 4355 9031
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 245DEG 27KT 4413 9055 4387 9052 4359 9056 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Rogers

714 
WWUS53 KARX 170111
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
811 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

WIC081-123-170121-
/O.EXP.KARX.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-170617T0115Z/
Vernon WI-Monroe WI-
811 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN VERNON AND MONROE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central, southwestern and west central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4355 9067 4348 9067 4348 9075 4396 9083
      4396 9091 4416 9081 4415 9032 4355 9031
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 270DEG 41KT 4422 9030 4396 9028 4368 9032 

$$

Rogers

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
650 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

At 2 PM, a short wave trough moving through northwest Wisconsin
was producing scattered showers and storms across central and
northern Wisconsin. This system will move east across northern
Wisconsin and be located in western Upper Michigan by this
evening. As this occurs, a dry line will settle south toward the
Interstate 90 corridor. Dew points will be in the mid and upper
50s north of the dry line and in the lower and mid 60s south of
it.

As temperatures climb into the lower to mid 80s this afternoon,
the 0-1 km mean layer CAPES will climb into the 1500 to 2500 J/kg
range south of the Interstate 94. This CAPE will be building ahead
of an approaching short wave trough (currently located over
western Minnesota). The CAM models are in good agreement
thunderstorms will develop across east-central and south-central
Minnesota between 16.19z and 16.21z. The latest RAP suggest that
there will be sufficient deep shear that they will quickly develop
into supercell thunderstorms and then as their cold pools
coalesce the 0-3 km shear would favor a line of storms to move
through east and southeast through the area. The main severe
weather threat with these storms will be large hail and wind
through 16.23z, and then evolve into primarily a wind threat which
would last through 17.03z. While there is a severe weather threat
across the entire area, the greatest chance looks to be along and
south of the Interstate 90 corridor where the instability will be
the greatest.

For Saturday afternoon and night, a stronger short wave and
surface cold front will be moving through the region. Like the
past couple of days, the best instability will be well south of
our forecast area. However, there will still be 1000 to
2500 J/kg 0-1 km mean layer CAPE from northeast Iowa into
southwest and central Wisconsin. There may be sufficient deep
shear for a few supercell storms to develop. Both the HRRR and ARW
suggest this possibility. Meanwhile the NMM would suggest that
these storms would develop across east-central Iowa, northern
Illinois, and southeast Wisconsin. If this does occur, the primary
severe weather threats would be large hail and damaging winds.
There was a slight shift southward in the latest SPC Day 2
Outlook and this seems realistic.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

In the wake of this system, a much cooler air mass will move into
the region. 850 mb temperatures will fall into the 7 to 9C range
by Sunday afternoon and remain there for much of Monday. As a
result, high temperatures will only range from the upper 60s to
mid 70s. With 950 to 800 mb lapse rates over 8 C/km and 0-1 km
mean layer CAPES up to 1000 J/kg, scattered diurnally driven
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across much of the Upper Mississippi River Valley.

On Wednesday and Wednesday night, another short wave trough will
move through the region. While the GFS and ECMWF are still
differing on the amount of instability ahead of this system,
there looks to be sufficient shear for the potential of supercell
development. This system will have to watched over the next
several days.

From Thursday into Friday, the models hint at additional short
wave troughs moving along the US/Canadian border, but there has
been little consistency in the timing of these system. Due to
this, there is a broad brush of showers and thunderstorms chances
during this time period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

Thunderstorms will continue at the TAF sites through early
evening. Expect large hail and wind gusts of 40 to 60 kts possible
in any severe storms. Also, anticipate IFR conditions in any
steadier rains or storms. The strongest storms will push east of
the TAF sites by late evening.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

The first half of June was the warmest at both La Crosse WI and
Rochester MN.

Through the first half of June, the average temperature at
La Crosse Regional Airport was 75.3 degrees. This was 8.3 degrees
warmer than the 1981-2010 average and the warmest first half of
the June. The previous record was 73.3 degrees in 2005. Records
date back to 1873.

Meanwhile during this same time period, the average temperature
at Rochester International Airport was 72.5 degrees. This was 7.1
degrees warmer than the 1981-2010 average and the warmest first
half of the June. The previous record was 71.1 degrees in 1956.
Records date back to 1886.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Boyne
LONG TERM...Boyne
AVIATION...Wetenkamp
CLIMATE...Boyne

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-171730-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are looking more likely across the entire area in
the 4-10 pm window. Severe storms are likely as well, especially
near and south of Interstate 90. An area of thunderstorms is
expected to develop in the late afternoon, near or east of
Interstate 35, and shift east through 10 pm. Isolated storms may
also form east of that area.

Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats. Southwestern
Wisconsin and northeast Iowa seem to have a higher chance of more
widespread damaging winds. Locally heavy rain could also cause
some temporary minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Thunderstorm chances continue Saturday, with the greatest chance
over northeast Iowa into southwest Wisconsin. While a few
stronger storms can't be ruled out, the greater risk for severe
storms will be found south of the local area.

Additional small chances for thunderstorms will continue Sunday
through Tuesday, and then again next Thursday. At this time, the
main threat from any storms appears to be lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is looking more probable in the 4-10 pm window,
especially near and south of interstate 90.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

baumgardt

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
646 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     HAIL             ARCADIA                 44.25N 91.49W
06/16/2017  E1.25 INCH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   PUBLIC

            HALF DOLLAR HAIL REPORTED IN ARCADIA AROUND
            613 PM. RELAYED VIA WKBT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
649 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             3 SSE ELK CREEK         44.39N 91.38W
06/16/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   PUBLIC

            HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS REPORTED.

&&

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
706 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 E LA CROSSE           43.82N 91.19W
06/16/2017  M54 MPH          LA CROSSE          WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            MEASURED AT THE NWS OFFICE ON LA CROSSE
            RIDGE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
708 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

WIZ029-034-042>044-053-170200-
Clark-Jackson-Monroe-Juneau-Adams-Vernon-
Including the cities of Neillsville, Black River Falls, Sparta,
Tomah, Mauston, Friendship, and Viroqua
708 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

...Strong to Severe Storms Moving into Central Wisconsin...

Through 9 PM...strong to severe thunderstorms over far western
Wisconsin along the Mississippi River will continue moving east.
The storms will head into central Wisconsin through 9 pm.

Large hail and damaging winds have been reported with many of the
storms this evening. Lightning will be common.

If you have outdoor plans this evening, be weather aware. Know a
place to shelter in a sturdy building and get there if storms
approach.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
714 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNE FRENCH ISLAND     43.88N 91.26W
06/16/2017  M49 MPH          LA CROSSE          WI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION LSE, LA CROSSE REGIONAL
            AIRPORT.

&&

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
715 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             INDEPENDENCE            44.36N 91.42W
06/16/2017  E2.50 INCH       TREMPEALEAU        WI   PUBLIC

            HAIL SIZE ESTIMATED FROM PHOTO. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

MH