Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 257, NWS Amarillo, TX

August 18, 2017Lipscomb County, Ochiltree County, Texas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 18, 2017, 12:46 AM CDT for Lipscomb County, Ochiltree County, Texas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 74 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 18, 2017, 12:46 AM CDT (05:46 UTC)
Expired: Aug 18, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force: 74 min
Issued by: NWS Amarillo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Beaver County, OK, Texas County, OK, Lipscomb County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 476 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2091 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 17, 11:53 PM CDT, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 11:53 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1153 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail for the majority of the 06Z TAF cycle.
There are indications that another round of showers is possible
for each terminal as the main upper disturbance moves through.
Have inserted vicinity showers to cover this possibility and will
amend if chances look better. After these showers move through we
will have light winds through the remainder of the overnight hours
and into Friday. There will be a wind shift out of the west-
southwest, but winds will remain below 12kt. The next round of
storms are possible after 00Z Saturday. Have inserted PROB30
groups for KGUY and KAMA but not at KDHT as chances look too low
to mention.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 437 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017/

DISCUSSION...

A shift from the recent exceptionally wet pattern to a somewhat
drier (but not completely dry) pattern is underway as weaker and
more backed upper flow is expected Sat through Mon. As is usually
the case though, it will be difficult to break this pattern and
models are now hinting at a possible return to northwest flow as
early as Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.

Tonight through Friday night...A slight chance for a bit of severe
weather will be evident across the western half of the combined
Panhandles this afternoon and this evening. Just enough effective
shear could combine with upwards of 2500 J/kg MLCAPE to allow for a
bit of quasi-organized convection.  The best chance for anything
severe will be now through 9 PM. Another round of non-severe storms
may breeze through the area after midnight. Similar degrees of CAPE
but likely a little less shear will be noted tomorrow with the best
environment for a few strong storms probably in the eastern half of
the TX Panhandle.

Saturday and Sunday...These days will be more dry than wet. However,
given that most of the models are mixing dewpts out to the low to
mid 50s which just probably ain't happenin' over this wet
ground...decided to leave some token 20 pops in the aft/evening
hours both days.

Monday (eclipse day)...A shortwave in SW flow will bring with it
some good monsoonal moisture and likely result in extensive mid and
high cloud cover (not looking great right now for the eclipse).
Could also see some showers with this wave, especially in the west.

Tuesday and Wednesday...A cold front is progged by the ECMWF and GEM
to cross the area and hang up somewhere in the southern Panhandles.
Have thrown out the GFS solution for the most part as it shows
nothing of a front.  Moisture/mass convergence near the front should
be enough to provide a bit higher precip chcs Tue and Wed
supposing the ECMWF and GEM are the right models.

Temperatures...Temps throughout the next 7 days should be right
around normal for this time of year.

Simpson

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

14

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 4:16 PM CDT, 8 hours 30 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
416 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-181200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
416 PM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe storms are possible this evening and into the
overnight hours across the Panhandles. Wind and hail will be the
primary threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the Oklahoma
and Texas Panhandles Friday through Wednesday. A few storms that
develop during this time frame may become strong to marginally
severe, with strong wind gusts and hail the primary hazards. In
addition, heavy rainfall may accompany thunderstorms, which could
result in localized flooding or flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later this evening.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 17, 9:02 PM CDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
902 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

TXZ008-009-014-180300-
Gray TX-Hutchinson TX-Roberts TX-
902 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL HUTCHINSON...NORTH
CENTRAL GRAY AND SOUTHERN ROBERTS COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 902 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles east of Stinnett, or 18 miles northeast of Borger, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pampa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 10130 3595 10124 3594 10064 3550 10092
TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 299DEG 18KT 3584 10117

MJG

Local storm report, Aug 17, 10:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1040 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             15 WSW GRUVER           36.17N 101.66W
08/17/2017  E1.75 INCH       SHERMAN            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM     HAIL             4 SW MORSE              36.02N 101.53W
08/17/2017  M1.50 INCH       HUTCHINSON         TX   STORM CHASER

0759 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNW LAKE TANGLEWOOD   35.07N 101.79W
08/17/2017  E60 MPH          RANDALL            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 PM     TSTM WND GST     12 NE EVA               36.92N 101.78W
08/17/2017  M61 MPH          TEXAS              OK   MESONET

0834 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE GUYMON             36.70N 101.47W
08/17/2017  M62 MPH          TEXAS              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

0835 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N GUYMON              36.70N 101.48W
08/17/2017  E65 MPH          TEXAS              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0835 PM     HAIL             1 N GUYMON              36.70N 101.48W
08/17/2017  M0.88 INCH       TEXAS              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1700833 AMA1700836 AMA1700835 AMA1700834 AMA1700839
AMA1700837 AMA1700838

EA

Special weather statement, Aug 17, 10:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1042 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

TXZ003-004-180430-
Ochiltree TX-Hansford TX-
1042 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL HANSFORD AND CENTRAL
OCHILTREE COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

At 1041 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Waka, or 6 miles northeast of Spearman, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Perryton, Waka and Farnsworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 10118 3630 10117 3639 10070 3609 10069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 271DEG 23KT 3624 10109

MJG

Local storm report, Aug 17, 11:48 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1148 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     TSTM WND GST     17 S PERRYTON           36.15N 100.80W
08/17/2017  E60 MPH          OCHILTREE          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1700840

LG

Local storm report, Aug 17, 11:49 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1149 PM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     HAIL             17 S PERRYTON           36.15N 100.80W
08/17/2017  E0.88 INCH       OCHILTREE          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1700841

LG

Local storm report, Aug 18, 12:29 AM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1229 AM CDT FRI AUG 18 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 AM     TSTM WND GST     6 E CANADIAN            35.92N 100.28W
08/18/2017  M58 MPH          HEMPHILL           TX   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1700842

LG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 17, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Sherman	56 min
Aug 17, 7:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Armstrong, Carson, Potter, Randall	55 min
Aug 17, 8:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Hutchinson	54 min
Aug 17, 8:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Armstrong	56 min
Aug 17, 9:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Roberts	58 min
Aug 17, 10:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Ochiltree	48 min
Aug 17, 11:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Ochiltree, Roberts	54 min
Aug 17, 11:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Hemphill, Roberts	65 min
Aug 18, 2:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Hansford	62 min
Aug 18, 2:53 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AMA	Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree	3 hr
Aug 18, 3:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Hansford, Ochiltree, Roberts, Sherman	53 min
Aug 17, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Cimarron, Texas	76 min
Aug 17, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Beaver, Texas	59 min
Aug 17, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Beaver, Texas	61 min
Aug 18, 12:50 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Cimarron	55 min
Aug 18, 1:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Cimarron, Texas	60 min
Aug 18, 2:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Beaver	58 min
Aug 18, 2:21 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AMA	Cimarron	114 min
Aug 18, 2:58 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AMA	Texas	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.