Gale Warning 47, NWS Juneau, AK

753 
FZAK52 PAJK 271241
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEAS FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-280645-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW IN THE NE GULF WILL MOVE ASHORE NEAR CAPE
SUCKLING MIDDAY TODAY. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL FOLLOW INTO THE
EASTERN GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-280645-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE MORNING, THEN
BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-280645-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 40 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-280645-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. 
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-280645-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING
TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-280645-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
341 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

892 
FZAK52 PAJK 271308 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEAS FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-280115-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW IN THE NE GULF WILL MOVE ASHORE NEAR CAPE
SUCKLING MIDDAY TODAY. ANOTHER STORM FORCE LOW WILL FOLLOW INTO 
THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-280115-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE MORNING, THEN
BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT LATE. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-280115-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 40 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-280115-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. 
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-280115-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING
TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-280115-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
408 AM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W GALE TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

332 
FZAK52 PAJK 280013
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEAS FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-281815-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT
MAKING LANDFALL JUST WEST OF YAKUTAT EARLY SATURDAY. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH
SATURDAY.   

$$

PKZ041-281815-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO
60 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-281815-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-281815-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 
KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-281815-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT
LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-281815-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
313 PM AKST FRI JAN 27 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING
TO 14 FT LATE. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
637 AM AKST Thu Jan 26 2017

.SHORT TERM /Thursday through Friday afternoon/...Active weather
continues across SE. A front currently over the panhandle is
causing wind gusts of around 40mph for several locations along
with widespread rain. As the front moves inland, rain will
transition to showers this afternoon. Breaks between showers are
most likely to occur during the early evening as the next system
will be quickly moving in from the south.

Deepening low pressure will track north across the eastern gulf
through the night along with storm force winds over the outside
waters and ocean entrances. Have issued several High Wind
Warnings for this system with gusts of 60mph expected at its peak.
Expect winds to increase in the evening for POW Island and the
Ketchikan region. Areas of Kuiu Island, S. Kupreanof Island and S.
Baranof Island get into the mix next with a peak occurring around
midnight. As the low progresses north, Elfin Cove is added to the
warning then lastly Yakutat which is in effect for Friday
morning. Inland areas can expect wind gusts of 40-50 mph with
this system as well. The low moves inland west of Yakutat near
Cape Yakataga late Friday morning. Winds will shift to the SSW as
the front passes then start to ease.

Rain will become heavy around the timing of peak winds. Once the
front passes rain will transition back to showers and become
intermittent again for Friday afternoon. White Pass should remain
just cold enough for snow. Have issued a Winter Weather Advisory
for that area starting late tonight. Think that the low moving up
from the south will cause winds to flip northerly for a period
over the northern panhandle and for that area to be largely
shadowed from precip through the evening. Then the heavier precip
rates will occur once the winds shift back to the south early
Friday morning. This will also increase blowing snow for White
Pass which is expected to continue even after the snowfall
diminishes and becomes showery again mid-day Friday.

Used mainly the NAM and hi-res NAM output for pressure and winds.
This helped to increase speeds. Forecast confidence is average.

.LONG TERM /Friday night to Wednesday/...Third and final wave in
the active weather patter swings north along 140West Friday night
into Saturday. That seems to be the common track roughly, however
the strength of the wave has some discrepancies as well timing
ones well. Thought the GFS solution was odd man out and used a
GEM/EC solution on the forecast period.

Saturday into Sunday high pressure will build across the gulf of
Alaska and then into the panhandle and northwest Canada into
early next week. Until the high gets firmly entrenched believe
that there will be some shower activity off the northern gulf
into Southeast Alaska through the weekend.

The system Friday night will have good amount of rain falling out
of the system as it passes through the panhandle. Potential rain
totals for the southern panhandle where the higher amounts are
expected is 2-3 inches of rain in about 24 hours. Streams and
rivers are not running particularly full, so do not expect to see
any flooding issues in the southern panhandle.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning from 9 PM this evening to 6 AM AKST Friday for
     AKZ023-026.
     Strong Wind until 9 AM AKST this morning for AKZ022-023-025>028.
     High Wind Warning from 7 PM this evening to 5 AM AKST Friday for
     AKZ027.
     Strong Wind late tonight for AKZ021-024.
     Strong Wind late tonight for AKZ017-020-025.
     High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM AKST Friday
     for AKZ022.
     High Wind Warning from 7 PM this evening to 6 AM AKST Friday for
     AKZ028.
     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 3 PM AKST
     Friday for AKZ018.
     Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ018.
     High Wind Warning from 6 AM to 11 AM AKST Friday for AKZ017.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ022-036-041>043-051.
     Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-021-031>035-052-053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011.
&&

Ferrin/Bezenek

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