Small Craft Advisory 176, NWS Fairbanks, AK

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
253 PM AKDT Sat Oct 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Models in agreement with a 516 dam low southeast of Wrangel
Island and a ridge over eastern Alaska and NW Canada. A 530 dam
low in Bristol bay will get pushed to the south by a 573 dam
developing ridge over the Seward Penn. This high will quiet the
weather for much of the state through Thursday. Leaning more
towards a blended model solution for this forecast package.

Surface...A 999 mb low will form over the Chukchi Sea on Saturday
and track northeast near Barrow as a 1012 mb low Sunday morning.
A 1041 mb high builds over the Brooks range by Wednesday morning.
A 994 mb low will enter Bristol bay by 18Z Monday and track to
the east and weaken by Tuesday.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Not going to see much change over
the next 24 hours. Snow, fog, low ceilings, poor visibility, and
temperatures in the 20s. northeast to east winds for most areas at
10 to 20 mph.

West Coast and Western Interior...A mix of rain, snow, and
freezing rain. Heaviest precipitation will again be north of
Norton Sound and Huslia with 4 to 7 more inches of snow in the
Upper Kobuk and Noatak Basins. Models have changed a bit and
snowfall Sunday may not be as heavy as previously expected.

Central and Eastern Interior...Chinook flow developing across the
Alaska Range today which will limit precipitation from Fairbanks
southeast. Gusts in the Alaska Range to 60 mph today. Winds for
the remainder of the area Northeast at 5 to 15 mph. Temperatures
in the lower 30s. Another shot of precip is possible for the
Western Interior and Central Interior Monday morning into Tuesday.
A mix of rain and snow is possible. Depending how much of the
precip falls as rain will limit snow accumulations at this point.
Will continue to monitor over the weekend. High pressure will
build in behind this system and dry things out for the interior
through Thursday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ225-AKZ226.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ217-AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ221.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

Gale Warning for PKZ225-PKZ230.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

JK OCT 17