High Wind Watch 5, NWS Fairbanks, AK

835 
WWAK73 PAFG 041312
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
512 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

AKZ225-050000-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0005.171005T0300Z-171005T2100Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
512 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...through Alaska Range passes.

* WINDS...South gusting to 70 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase this evening with the strongest
  winds expected from midnight tonight through noon Thursday. 
  Winds are expected to decrease Thursday afternoon. 
 
* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make travel difficult. Loose 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means hazardous high winds are expected.
Preparations should be made to prevent property damage.

&&

$$

AKZ226-050000-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.A.0005.171005T0300Z-171005T2100Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
512 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...through Alaska Range passes.

* WINDS...South gusting to 70 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase this evening with the strongest
  winds expected from midnight tonight through noon Thursday. 
  Winds are expected to decrease Thursday afternoon. 
 
* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make travel difficult. Loose 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means hazardous high winds are expected.
Preparations should be made to prevent property damage.

&&

$$

097 
WWAK73 PAFG 041847
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1047 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

AKZ225-051400-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0005.171005T0300Z-171005T2100Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.171005T0000Z-171006T0000Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
1047 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
AKDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM AKDT
Thursday. The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect. 

* LOCATION...through Alaska Range passes.

* WINDS...South gusting to 70 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase through the evening with the
  strongest winds expected from midnight tonight through noon
  Thursday. Winds are expected to decrease early Thursday 
  afternoon.
  

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make travel difficult. Loose 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

AKZ226-051400-
/O.UPG.PAFG.HW.A.0005.171005T0300Z-171005T2100Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.HW.W.0012.171005T0000Z-171006T0300Z/
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, 
Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
1047 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
AKDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM AKDT
Thursday. The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect. 

* LOCATION...through Alaska Range passes.

* WINDS...South gusting to 70 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase through the evening with the
  strongest winds expected from midnight tonight through noon
  Thursday. Winds are expected to decrease Thursday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make travel difficult. Loose 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

AKZ223-051400-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0040.171005T0000Z-171006T0300Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
1047 AM AKDT Wed Oct 4 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM AKDT
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM
AKDT Thursday. 

* LOCATION...near Delta Junction.

* WINDS...South winds gusting to 60 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will increase through the evening with the
  strongest winds expected from midnight tonight through noon
  Thursday. Winds are expected to decrease Thursday afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that strong winds are occurring or
expected. Travel may be difficult. Secure loose objects which may
be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
608 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Aloft...
The long wave pattern consisting of a ridge over Eastern Alaska
and NW Canada and a trough over the Sea of Okhotsk and western
Bering Sea will begin to progress east Wed with the trough moving
over mainland Alaska Thu. This pattern will allow a strong storm
to develop over the central Bering Sea tonight and Wed that will
move into the YK Delta Thu. This storm will be addressed with
surface conditions below.

Conditions will remain much warmer than normal over most of
Northern Alaska under the ridge through Wed, and then cool
dramatically into the weekend as the trough moves east.

Surface...
A low north of Wrangel Island will drift north. A weather front
extending east from this low to Point Lay and Barter Island will
move north of the Arctic Coast Tue afternoon. There are areas of
fog along this trough with dense fog over zone 203 this morning.
East winds of 15-25 kt just north of this front will decrease this
afternoon as the front moves north.

A 1002 mb low over Norton Sound will move to be over the eastern
Chukchi Sea Wed afternoon. This is causing rain over much of the
West Coast and Western Interior of Alaska today that will continue
into Wed.

A low pressure trough over the Tanana Valley will weaken this
morning. Southerly gap flow winds to through Alaska Range passes
will decrease this morning as well.

A frontal wave developing in the Gulf of Alaska today will move
to near Fairbanks tonight, to near Eagle by 4pm Wed, to near
Demarcation Point by 4am Thu, and then north of the Arctic Coast
by 4pm Thu. Expect a chance of rain with this feature.

A very strong low will develop over the western Bering Sea Tue
night, moving to the central Bering as a 960 mb low by 4pm Wed,
and to near Cape Romazof as a 965 mb low by Thu 10 am then
continuing inland. Expect southeast gales and rain ahead of this
low to move over the northern Bering Sea Wed including zones 213
and 214, and spread to the Norton Sound Coast Wed night. Since
these winds are mainly offshore, sea levels will be at or below
normal most areas. Exception will be at Scammon Bay where winds
will turn south on Wed night just ahead of the low and bring sea
levels of 2-3 feet above normal tides. This is still well within
normal range at Scammon Bay so not a concern at this time.

North winds 20-30 kt will develop over the Northern Bering Sea
following the low Thu.

Ahead of this low over the Alaska Range, strong south winds
are expected to develop through Alaska range passes again late
Wednesday night and continue through Thu.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Models initialize well and showing similar solutions through Thu.
The timing and location of the strong low developing tonight in
the Bering Sea is now much more similar among deterministic
models through its landfall on Thu. Since all solutions are
taking the low onshore at or south of Cape Romanzof, the strong
west winds and high surge values should remain well south of Cape
Ramonzof.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...At Scammon Bay winds
will turn south on Wed night and bring sea levels of 2-3 feet
above normal tides. This is still well within normal range at
Scammon Bay so not a concern at this time. Otherwise no concerns
at this time.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ226.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

JB OCT 17