High Surf Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

435 
WHAK49 PAFG 281207
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
407 AM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

AKZ201-290300-
/O.EXB.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.170929T0000Z-170930T0300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING WAINWRIGHT, ATQASUK, POINT LAY, AND CAPE LISBURNE
407 AM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
AKDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
AKDT FRIDAY. 

* WAVES AND SURF...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP 
  ABOVE THE NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS WILL BUILD THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL 
  PEAK AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON AS SEAS AND WINDS DISSIPATE.

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-290300-
/O.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.170929T0300Z-170930T0600Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING BARROW, ALAKTAK, PITT POINT, AND NULAVIK
407 AM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WAVES AND SURF...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP 
  ABOVE THE NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS WILL BUILD THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND WILL
  PEAK EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY 
  EVENING AS SEAS AND WINDS DISSIPATE. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

908 
WHAK49 PAFG 290027
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
427 PM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

AKZ201-291400-
/O.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-170930T0300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING WAINWRIGHT, ATQASUK, POINT LAY, AND CAPE LISBURNE
427 PM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WAVES AND SURF...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP 
  ABOVE THE NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL PEAK OVERNIGHT WITH CONDITIONS
  IMPROVING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-291400-
/O.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.170929T0300Z-170930T0600Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING BARROW, ALAKTAK, PITT POINT, AND NULAVIK
427 PM AKDT THU SEP 28 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WAVES AND SURF...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP 
  ABOVE THE NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL PEAK FRIDAY AND DIMINISH FRIDAY
  NIGHT.  

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

990 
WHAK49 PAFG 291216
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

AKZ201-300300-
/O.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-170930T0300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING WAINWRIGHT, ATQASUK, POINT LAY, AND CAPE LISBURNE
416 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP ABOVE THE
  NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL DISSIPATE WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING
  THIS AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-300315-
/O.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-170930T0600Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING BARROW, ALAKTAK, PITT POINT, AND NULAVIK
416 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE WITH RUNUP 
  ABOVE THE NORMAL HIGH TIDE LINE. 

* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL DISSIPATE WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING
  THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

004 
WHAK49 PAFG 291802
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1002 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

AKZ202-300215-
/O.CAN.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-170930T0600Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.CF.W.0001.170929T1802Z-170930T0600Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING BARROW, ALAKTAK, PITT POINT, AND NULAVIK
1002 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.
THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 


* LOCATION...WEST OF POINT BARROW

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ONGOING IN AND
  AROUND BARROW. THE SEA WALL HAS BEEN BREACHED IN SEVERAL
  LOCATIONS ALLOWING SURGE TO TOP THE BEACH AND COVER THE ROAD
  FROM BARROW TO BROWERVILLE AS WELL AS FROM BROWERVILLE NORTH TO
  NARL. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH
  5 FOOT WAVES BREAKING ON OR NEAR THE BEACH COMBINED WITH
  NORTHWEST ON SHORE WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
  WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SURF OVER THE TOP OF THE BEACH AND THROUGH
  BREACHES IN THE SEA WALL THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL
  IMPROVE THIS EVENING AS SURGE AND WINDS DIMINISH.
  
* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL DISSIPATE WITH CONDITIONS 
  IMPROVING THIS EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ201-300200-
/O.CAN.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-170930T0300Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.CF.W.0001.170929T1802Z-170930T0200Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING WAINWRIGHT, ATQASUK, POINT LAY, AND CAPE LISBURNE
1002 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.
THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
  TIDES ALONG WITH 5 FOOT WAVES BREAKING ON OR NEAR THE BEACH
  COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST ON SHORE WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SURF OVER THE TOP OF THE
  BEACH THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THIS 
  EVENING AS SURGE AND WINDS DIMINISH.

* TIMING...SEAS AND SURF WILL DISSIPATE WITH CONDITIONS 
  IMPROVING THIS AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR 
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR 
  THE BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ203-300215-
/O.NEW.PAFG.SU.Y.0010.170929T1802Z-170930T1400Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING NUIQSUT, PRUDHOE BAY, ALPINE, DEADHORSE, AND KUPARUK
1002 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SATURDAY. 

* WAVES AND SURF...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE COMBINED WITH SURGE
  VALUES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL WILL ALLOW SURF TO BE
  PUSHED TO THE TOP OF THE BEACH. 

* TIMING...WINDS AND HIGH SURF LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
  TONIGHT BEFORE IMPROVING SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR THE  
  BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ204-300215-
/O.NEW.PAFG.SU.Y.0010.170929T1802Z-170930T1400Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING KAKTOVIK AND FLAXMAN ISLAND
1002 AM AKDT FRI SEP 29 2017

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SATURDAY. 

* WAVES AND SURF...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE COMBINED WITH SURGE
  VALUES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL WILL ALLOW SURF TO BE
  PUSHED TO THE TOP OF THE BEACH.

* TIMING...WINDS AND HIGH SURF LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
  TONIGHT BEFORE IMPROVING SATURDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DEBRIS MAY BE THROWN HIGH ON THE BEACH AND MINOR
  EROSION MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE ANYTHING NEAR THE
  BEACH TO HIGHER GROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
229 PM AKDT Wed Sep 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...Main concern in the forecast area will be potential
for high surf on Thursday night through Saturday night along the
Chukchi Sea coastline west of Barrow. Models continue to show some
differences in location of the low position and track with the
Canadian leaning towards the ECMWF solution which would place the
upper level low closer to the Barrow coast (roughly 150 NM
offshore), while the GFS/NAM lags behind in both timing and
position with the low roughly 250 nm north of Barrow by Friday
morning.

Aloft...At 500 mb, a shortwave feature currently moving over the
Bering Strait and Chukchi Sea today will continue to move east
into Northwest Alaska and the Seward Peninsula this evening. This
feature will merge the large wave pattern with the upper level
low positioned over the Arctic Ocean with extending longwave
trough over Western Alaska. This trough and associated surface
front will move across the eastern Brooks Range to the Central
Interior Thursday night into Friday. The upper level low will
continue east to be around 350 nm northwest of MacKenzie Bay by
Saturday morning. An upper level ridge currently residing over
eastern Alaska and western Canada will shift east tomorrow.
An upper level ridge over eastern Siberia will build east over
the Bering sea by late Thursday and over western Alaska Friday. A
broad upper low with several weak shortwaves over the Gulf of
Alaska will persist through late Friday.

Surface...A 995 mb low located 275 nm north of Wrangel Island
will move southeast towards the western Arctic Coast through
Friday morning and be a 992 mb low roughly 250 NM north of Barrow
by Friday morning. This low will move east and remain roughly 200
NM offshore as it moves into the Beaufort Sea coast through
Saturday morning. As this front moves east across the North Slope
the ridge of high pressure will build north over the Bering Sea
and push into Yukon Delta area tomorrow and southwest Interior
tomorrow night. Leeside troughing will continue north of the
Alaska Range this evening and continue into Thursday.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...As mentioned above a weather
front will over the western Arctic Coast this afternoon which will
result in a wintry mix of rain and snow to the area today. This
will change over to snow tonight and then spread east through
early Friday. Although mentioned differences in model low track,
in either case expected northwest winds strengthening from 15 to
20 kt winds tomorrow to 25 to 30 kt winds by tomorrow evening.
with strong west winds spreading east along the coast Thursday
night, reaching Barter Island by Friday morning. Rotating around
the low feature there will be another energy brining precipitation
from west to east across the Brooks Range and Arctic Coast staring
on Friday night over western Brooks Range spreading east into the
eastern Brooks Range by Sunday. Will need to monitor this
situation with snow amounts closely as potential exists for 3 to 5
inches of snow in 24 hour period impacting areas along and east of
the Dalton Highway Saturday  into Sunday.

Eastern and Central Interior...Cloud cover will increase
overnight as rain showers will develop this evening across western
Alaska Range and then spread to Middle Tanana valley 4 AM
tomorrow morning. As expected with the leeside trough the gap
winds near the Alaska range passes are underway with up to 45 mph
being recorded Fort Greely area. Gap winds will continue to be
strongest along the Richardson Highway corridor between Delta
Junction and Summit Lake but will slowly taper off tomorrow
morning. Snow levels will start out around 6000 ft on Thursday and
will slowly fall through the evening to 1500 ft overnight. There
could be some rain and snow mixed areas lingering across the area
on Friday morning. Colder air will push across the area Friday
into Saturday. Temperatures will cool towards slightly below
normal values through Saturday. By Saturday, morning lows will be
generally in the mid to upper 20s and daytime highs struggling to
get into the 40s. There's a slight chance of snow for Saturday
morning from the Fairbanks airport northeast to the White
Mountains.

West Coast and Western Interior...Mostly clear skies across the
West Coast but as the shortwave moves across the area, precipitation
chances increase across the Seward Peninsula tomorrow and extend
to the coastline from Hooper Bay to Koyuk for scattered showers.
Expect mainly rain south of Deering with a wintry mix to the
north. High pressure will then build over areas from Seward
Peninsula southward with drying conditions. Although warmer
temperatures today, expecting cooling trend to occur tomorrow
through Saturday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Models still continue to
show differences in the track of the low pressure moving across
the Arctic, which will impact the strength of the winds Thursday
through Saturday morning. Continued with the special weather
statement to highlight the uncertainty, but a potential for
elevated surf conditions for areas along the Chukchi Sea
coastline to Barrow can be expected. At this time looking at 25
to 30kt winds with 30 to 35 kt wind gusts.

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ225-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ245.
&&

Sep 17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
252 PM AKDT Wed Sep 27 2017

AKZ201>204-281200-
Western Arctic Coast-Northern Arctic Coast-
Central Beaufort Sea Coast-Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast-
Including Wainwright, Atqasuk, Point Lay, Cape Lisburne, Barrow,
Alaktak, Pitt Point, Nulavik, Nuiqsut, Prudhoe Bay, Alpine,
Deadhorse, Kuparuk, Kaktovik, and Flaxman Island
252 PM AKDT Wed Sep 27 2017

...Elevated Surf on the Arctic Coast Thursday Night and Friday...

Surf is expected to rise above normal along the Arctic Coast from
Barrow west on Thursday night and then continue to areas east of
Barrow on Friday. West winds are expected to increase to between
20 and 30 mph late Thursday with wind gusts near 40 mph from
Barrow west, and then spread east of Barrow on Friday. Elevated
surf could persist into Saturday.

At this time there still uncertainty as to strength, duration,
and timing of winds and how high the surf will be. However, there
is a good likelihood that surf will be above normal.