Gale Warning 155, NWS Fairbanks, AK

980 
FZAK52 PAFG 092230
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-101515-
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
Siberian high pressure will remain the dominant feature across the
Bering Sea through Sunday evening. A 960 mb low will impact Kodiak
Island early Monday and track northward across the west coast. A
weaker 980 mb low will enter Bristol Bay Tuesday.

$$

PKZ200-101515-
Norton Sound-
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-101515-
Dall Point to Wales-
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-101515-
Kotzebue Sound-
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

.TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON...N winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-101515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
130 PM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

Dec 17

829 
FZAK52 PAFG 101418
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-110330-
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weakening weather front that lies from the Bering Strait to 
Point Hope to Barter Island will dissipate tonight. A second
weather front stretching over southern Alaska will move to 
Nunivak Island to Shishmaref to Barter Island by 3am Mon, then 
dissipate. A weather system in the northeast Pacific will move to
to the Yukon Delta as a 984 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the Bering 
Strait as a 996 mb low by 3pm Tue.

$$

PKZ200-110330-
Norton Sound-
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Snow and blowing snow. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Snow. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-110330-
Dall Point to Wales-
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow.
Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-110330-
Kotzebue Sound-
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

.TODAY...N winds 10 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON...N winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...W winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-110330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
518 AM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers. VSBY 1 NM or 
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers. VSBY 1 NM or 
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers. VSBY 1 NM or 
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Dec 17

906 
FZAK52 PAFG 102317
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-111530-
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weakening weather front that lies from the Bering Strait to 
Point Hope to Barter Island will dissipate tonight. A second
weather front stretching over southern Alaska will move to 
Nunivak Island to Shishmaref to Barter Island by 3am Mon, then 
dissipate. A weather system in the northeast Pacific will move to
to the Yukon Delta as a 984 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the Bering 
Strait as a 996 mb low by 3pm Tue.

$$

PKZ200-111530-
Norton Sound-
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-111530-
Dall Point to Wales-
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-111530-
Kotzebue Sound-
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. Freezing rain.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...W winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-111530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
217 PM AKST Sun Dec 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Dec 17

230 
FZAK52 PAFG 111359
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-120330-
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 mb low over the Alaska Peninsula will move to near the 
Bering Strait as a 996 mb low by 3pm Tue, and then weaken slowly. 
A third low now in the Gulf of Alaska will move to Bristol Bay as 
a 986 mb low by 3pm Tue, and to Gambell as a 992 mb low on Wed. 

$$

PKZ200-120330-
Norton Sound-
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Snow. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Snow. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Snow. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-120330-
Dall Point to Wales-
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow. Blowing snow. Vsby less
than 1 nm. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow. Blowing snow. Vsby less
than 1 nm. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-120330-
Kotzebue Sound-
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

.TODAY...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-120330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
459 AM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing 
spray. Vsby less than 1 nm.
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers. Heavy 
freezing spray. Vsby less than 1 nm.
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing 
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers. Freezing 
spray. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Dec 17

716 
FZAK52 PAFG 112145
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-121515-
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 mb low over southwestern Alaska will track northwest and 
weaken over the Bering Strait by Tuesday afternoon. A 977 mb North
Pacific low will cross near Cold Bay Tuesday, reaching Bristol 
Bay as a 989 mb low before tracking north of St Lawrence Island 
Wednesday morning. A third low will develop over southwest Alaska
and reach the Bering strait Thursday as a 985 mb low.


$$

PKZ200-121515-
Norton Sound-
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt becoming E. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-121515-
Dall Point to Wales-
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-121515-
Kotzebue Sound-
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-121515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
1245 PM AKST Mon Dec 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt becoming E. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

Dec 17

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
514 AM AKST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Aloft...
A high amplitude long wave pattern consisting of a deep trough
over the Bering Sea and North Pacific with a strong ridge over NW
Canada and eastern Alaska will persist for the next week. This
will keep strong south flow aloft over most of Alaska keeping
Northern Alaska much warmer than normal for the next week, with
periods of strong chinook winds across the Alaska Range. This will
cause periods of snow along the West Coast, North Slope and
Northern Interior, while the southern Interior will see periods of
snow and freezing rain.

Surface...
High pressure north of the Arctic Coast of Alaska will persist
through Mon.

An occluded front stretching from Kotzebue to Barter Island will
slowly dissipate in place tonight. Light snow along this feature
will diminish to flurries tonight. Northeast winds 20-30 kt just
north of this front over the Arctic Coast will slowly decrease
through tonight.

A low in the southern Gulf of Alaska will move to the northern
Gulf of Alaska this afternoon, to the Kuskokwim Delta Sun pm.
An occluded front associated with this low will move over
Southeast Alaska this afternoon, to along the Alaska Range by 3am
Sun, to Bethel to Bettles to Old Crow by 3pm Sun, then along the
West Coast and Arctic Coast by 3am Mon, then dissipating Mon.
There will freezing rain and snow with the front in the Alaska
Range tonight and Sun, then a chance of freezing rain and snow
over the southern Interior with the front late tonight and Mon
with very low probability of precipitation in the Chinook shadow
just north of the Alaska Range. Expect 1-3 inches of snow with the
front Sun and Sun night over the Northern and far Western
Interior, with 1-2 inches Sun night and Mon along the West Coast
and North Slope. Expect NE winds 20-30 kt just north of the front
with higher gusts to 40 kt along the Brooks Range and over the
West Coast. Expect blowing snow just ahead of the front, but at
this time expect warm temperatures to prevent blizzard conditions
from happening.

A second and stronger low will move to the northwest Gulf of
Alaska Sun night and over the southwest Interior Mon. An occluded
front with this low will move along the Alaska Range Sun night and
over the Western and Northern Interior Mon afternoon. Expect rain,
freezing rain, and snow with the front in the Alaska Range with a
chance in the southern Interior, with snow likely in the Northern
and far Western Interior Mon. Expect strong south winds along the
Alaska Range Sun night into Mon, but enough uncertainty due to
model differences to hold of on any watches yet.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Models initialize ok. Models show similar solutions on the long
wave pattern through next week, but start to see significant
differences in timing and strength of short waves moving north
from the Gulf of Alaska Sun night and Monday, as well as later
next week. The GFS is significantly stronger with the short waves
than the ECMF. Given the differences Sun night and Monday we will
not jump on the strongest winds the GFS is showing through the
Alaska Range Sun night and Mon, but will winds more closely
aligned with the ECMF, but will watch closely as further model
runs come in. In general prefer the ECMF from Sun night on as
these strong short waves are coming out of the North Pacific and
Gulf of Alaska, and the ECMF generally does better on features
coming from areas with low data density. But given the model
spread will leave plenty of uncertainty on most features from Sun
night on.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
Strong North winds could cause freezing spray and high surf at
Savoonga Sun night through Tue.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ222-AKZ223.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220.

Gale Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

JB DEC 17