Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Anchorage, AK

862 
FZAK51 PAFC 030023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031330-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
WED AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA DRIFTS WESTWARD
THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER
DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031330-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031330-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031330-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031330-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

854 
FZAK51 PAFC 031256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
WED NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040200-
PORT VALDEZ-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040200-
VALDEZ ARM-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040200-
CHINIAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040200-
MARMOT BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1
FOOT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

470 
FZAK51 PAFC 040029
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041315-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS WESTWARD INTO THE
BERING WED.

$$

PKZ119-041315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT ALONG THE COAST.
GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-041315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-041315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-041315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-041315-
PORT VALDEZ-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-041315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-041315-
VALDEZ ARM-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-041315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-041315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-041315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-041315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-041315-
CHINIAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-041315-
MARMOT BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-041315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-041315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-041315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-041315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

683 
FZAK51 PAFC 041302
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050215-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH THU NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF
COAST THROUGH THU...THEN BEGINS TO WEAKEN THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-050215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-050215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-050215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-050215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-050215-
PORT VALDEZ-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-050215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-050215-
VALDEZ ARM-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-050215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-050215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-050215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-050215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-050215-
CHINIAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-050215-
MARMOT BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-050215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-050215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-050215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-050215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
421 PM AKST Sun Jan 1 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A blocking high remains the dominant weather feature over the
state this morning, with an upper level low over the Bering Sea
that just can't seem to make any eastward progress. The high is
well reflected at the surface and sea level pressures in the area
reached 1040 hPa at several locations yesterday, which spells
mostly good weather for the east. The one challenge has been and
will continue to be fog, with last nights satellite imagery
showing a few areas popping up along the Kenai mountains and
across Knik arm and into Palmer. Webcams and satellite show this
morning that these fog areas have drifted slightly, but they have
not dissipated yet, nor are expected to throughout today.

West of the Alaska range, most of the weather makers for the
Anchorage Forecast Area are lingering in the Bering Sea and along
the West Coast. A weakening front that moved onshore yesterday
continues to bring some rain and snow to the Kuskokwim Delta, but
gusty winds are more consistent with the tightened gradient
between the remnants of the front and the strong high. Further
west, along the Aleutians, a new low pressure system has developed
in the base of the trough and brought snow and freezing fog to the
Western Aleutians overnight.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models were in good agreement today on the overall patterns.
Challenges remain regarding the lower level winds in the west,
and fog and temperatures in the east. GFS was used for winds in
the west, but in the east, the higher resolution models are
picking up the weaker gap winds in the channeled terrain better.
Models are not handling temperatures well with clearing skies
strengthening the surface inversion, so these had to be adjusted
by hand.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Fog looks like it will be a continuing forecast challenge
for the next several days. Pireps and webcams around town
indicate that there is fog forming over the inlet, both in Knik
Arm and Turnagain Arm. With light surface winds, whether this
will move over PANC or not is very difficult to determine. As of
4pm this afternoon fog is beginning to spread across the Anchorage
bowl, and where it is foggy it is quite dense. A dense fog
advisory is in effect through midday tomorrow, though the most
likely scenario is that these areas of dense fog will move around
continually, rather than being a single blanket of fog that
spreads over the whole area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A very strong upper ridge will remain nearly stationary the next
couple days right over top of Southcentral and the Gulf of Alaska.
The 00Z Anchorage sounding shows a very steep surface-based
inversion, with temperatures in the teens at the surface increasing
to around 41 degrees at 1700 feet above the surface. This is
representative of much of Southcentral and these inversions will
hold steady or steepen underneath the persistent ridge.

This has created ideal conditions for fog, especially over
northern Cook Inlet where there is a source of moisture and where
winds are very light at and near the surface. Have issued a dense
fog advisory for Anchorage through mid-day Monday, though it could
certainly hang on longer. With such weak flow the fog tends to
wander around, so it is nearly impossible to say exactly where the
worst conditions will be very far out in time. Fog will likely
also affect portions of the Western Kenai Peninsula and the
Matanuska Valley. With no moisture source over inland areas of the
Susitna Valley and Copper River Basin do not expect much fog
initially, though the longer the ridge remains in place the more
likely it is that some patchy fog develops.

Meanwhile, a lee side trough along the north Gulf coast will
strengthen Monday and Monday night as the surface high over the
Gulf shifts westward and low level veers from west to northwest
across the Prince William Sound region. This will lead to
strengthening gap winds along the coast along with warmer
temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The front across the Kuskokwim Delta and eastern Bering stalls
through Tuesday as the ridge over the Gulf blocks any progression.
Rain and snow can be expected across the Delta with little or no
snow accumulation. Only scattered showers are expected to make it
into the the Bristol Bay area east and north of Dillingham. An
upper wave is expected to pull moisture across the Kuskokwim
Valley on Tuesday as it tracks toward the Central Interior.
Southerly winds slacken tonight which should allow for patchy fog
to develop along the coastal areas. Fog may become dense along
coastal Kuskokwim Delta on Tuesday as cooler air at the surface
advects in from the Bering while the warmer jet continues aloft.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The front across the eastern Bering and Aleutians will bring
ongoing rain with snow mixed along the western edge of the
boundary. Snow showers are possible across the Pribilof Islands
this evening as a shortwave moves across from the western waters.
The frontal boundary is expected to be forced further east along
the wave bringing dryer conditions to the Pribilofs on Monday and
Tuesday as a new ridge builds in from the North Pacific.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

By Tuesday evening the large upper level ridge centered over the
Gulf of Alaska will tilt east so that its axis extends over
southern Yukon Territory and northern British Columbia. A short
wave trough riding up over the ridge and further flattening it
will swing from Southwest Alaska Tuesday evening up along the
Alaska range Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. All the
precipitation associated with this system looks like it will stay
west and north of the Alaska Range but the cold air and surface
ridge building over interior Alaska behind it will begin gradually
increasing north to northwesterly winds. Additionally, an inverted
trough will develop in the northern Gulf Wednesday and Wednesday
night strengthening coastal gap winds.

A sharper upper level trough will track onshore across the
Kuskokwim Delta Wednesday afternoon and then continue east-
southeast across Southcentral Alaska Wednesday night and into the
Gulf Thursday morning while an upper level ridge amplifies rapidly
over the Bering. Behind this trough, north to northwesterly winds will
pick up more substantially and continue to build across
Southcentral Alaska as several additional shortwaves track
through the increasingly northerly upper level flow Thursday
afternoon through Thursday night. While strong outflow winds out
of the typical outflow gaps such as Passage Canal, Resurrection
Bay, Thompson Pass and the Valdez area look likely...we will need
to keep a close eye on the pattern for the possibility of more
widespread strong northerly winds through the Susitna Valley and
Anchorage area depending how far to the west upper level ridge sets
up.

The strong blocking pattern will continue into the weekend with
the large upper level ridge centered over the eastern Bering and
Western Alaska. While this ridge will keep much of the forecast
area dry, low pressure systems tracking north up the west side of
the ridge will continue to periodically lift through the western
Aleutians.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Dense Fog Advisory 101
MARINE...Gale 165 170 172 180 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR