Small Craft Advisory 6, NWS Anchorage, AK

449 
FZAK52 PAFC 021233
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030200-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
BOGOSLOF VOLCANO 53 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR REMAINS ACTIVE. A 992
MB NORTH KAMCHATKA LOW EXTENDS A FRONT INTO WESTERN ALASKA BY TUE
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA
THROUGH WED MORNING. A 1006 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW SWEEPS 240 NM
WEST OF ATTU AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH KAMCHATKA COAST TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030200-
BRISTOL BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N WIND 15 KT W OF COLD BAY. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT E OF UNALASKA IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030200-
UNALASKA BAY-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 10 KT W OF UNALASKA. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 10 KT W OF KUSKOKWIM BAY.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N WIND 15 KT W OF KUSKOKWIM BAY. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
333 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SW 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

691 
FZAK52 PAFC 030023
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031300-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
BOGOSLOF VOLCANO 53 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR REMAINS ACTIVE. A 
STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING DISSIPATES TONIGHT. A
SECOND FRONT MOVES INTO THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS EARLY TUE
MORNING...THEN MOVES TO THE NORTHERN BERING BY WED. A THIRD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS WED MORNING...AND
PERSISTS THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-031300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031300-
BRISTOL BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031300-
UNALASKA BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FREEZING FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 25 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

594 
FZAK52 PAFC 031245
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040200-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
BOGOSLOF VOLCANO 53 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR REMAINS ACTIVE. A
FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING DISSIPATES TODAY. A FRONT MOVES
INTO THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATER THIS MORNING...THEN MOVES TO
THE NORTHERN BERING TONIGHT. A THIRD FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WED MORNING...AND PERSISTS THROUGH WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-040200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040200-
BRISTOL BAY-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N WIND 15 KT FROM COLD BAY W. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040200-
UNALASKA BAY-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...W OF KUSKOKWIM BAY...N WIND 15 KT. FROM KUSKOKWIM BAY
E...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT W 10 KT W OF KUSKOKWIM BAY. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
345 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SW 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
449 AM AKST Sun Jan 1 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A large upper level low is over the central and western Bering Sea
while a large upper level ridge extends from the Gulf of Alaska
over the mainland. The front associated with the Bering Sea storm
extends along 170W through the Eastern Bering Sea through the
Unalaska area to a wave along the front that will cross the
eastern Aleutians later this morning. A low formed south of
Shemya and is quickly moving to the northeast around the base of
the main low. The airmass looks rather convective in the
satellite imagery across the Bering Sea west of the front.

Between the Bering Sea low and the ridge of high pressure over the
mainland is a tight pressure gradient that continues to produce gale
force winds along and ahead of the front.

Over the mainland under the high pressure, subsidence and
radiational cooling is resulting in inversions setting up
increasing the likelihood of fog in the valleys. The large high
pressure over the Gulf of Alaska will also increase the likelihood
of fog over the Gulf over the next few days.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in excellent agreement with respect to the synoptic
scale features in the short term. The GFS and NAM were used to
fine tune the forecast this morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. The one area
of uncertainty is with respect to fog over the Inlet that could
drift over the airfield. At this point it looks unlikely, but is
something we will be watching for.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

An impressive inversion is present in the morning sounding, with
small dewpoint depressions across the Anchorage Bowl indicating
the availability of some surface moisture. However, ASCAT
satellite data continues to show persistent offshore flow down Cook
Inlet that is currently limiting fog development by mixing much
drier air into the boundary layer. The latest VIIRS pass however,
does show some fog in sheltered areas of Kenai Peninsula, and it
is possible for some additional patchy fog to develop before
morning. With an impressive upper level ridge becoming further
established across much of mainland Alaska, fog development will
remain the main forecast challenge over the next few days. The
presence of low level jets across Cook Inlet and also Prince
William Sound should limit the intensity and coverage of fog
across most of south central Alaska Sunday night as well.
However, Monday morning models indicate winds could lighten up
enough to allow some fog development.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A meandering frontal boundary will bring rain and snow to mainly
the Kuskokwim Delta through Tuesday. The flow pattern will remain
steady state for the time being as a blocking high pressure over
the Gulf prevents a north/south oriented front in the Bering Sea
from making too much eastward progress. Southerly flow will
encompass most of the mainland with the strongest winds along the
west coast. The front looks to linger west of Bethel along the
coast today and Monday, followed by an enhancement by a couple of
shortwave troughs late Monday into Tuesday. There is uncertainty
in the forecast in that the front could waggle from west to east
across the area, with higher confidence that it will not make it
past Bethel due to the blocking high pressure. Rain will be the
predominant precipitation type, but some areas of snow remain
possible, especially near Hooper Bay and the far western edge of
the front that will not be in the warmer southerly flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A frontal boundary will stall over the eastern Bering for the next
two days and linger as several disturbances ride overhead. The
Pribilof Islands will be right on the western side of the front
today, making snow likely. The front will move to the east
overnight tonight as high pressure sits over the central Bering
Sea. A compact low pressure system is approaching the western
Aleutians this morning with gale and possibly some isolated storm
force winds. The current track of the system looks to put Shemya
in a bullseye for decent accumulating snow. The deformation band
is passing right overhead and should linger through the morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7/Monday night through Saturday)...

An anomalously strong blocking ridge centered over the Gulf of
Alaska early next week will retrograde westward as energy rides
over the top of it Tuesday and Wednesday. It will then connect up
with a separate ridge moving into the Bering Sea Wednesday night,
ending up as an equally strong blocking ridge over the Eastern
Bering Sea.

The primary uncertainty with this pattern is with handling of
short-wave moving over the ridge Tuesday/Tuesday night, advecting
the remnants of the front along the Southwest coast inland to
interior Alaska. With a fairly narrow zone of precipitation along
the front, there is some question about where this zone will be
as it all heads inland.

Elsewhere, there is high confidence in a prolonged dry spell over
Southcentral Alaska and Kodiak Island, on the order of 7 days or
longer. The air mass underneath the ridge will be quite mild early
to mid week, so expect temperatures near or slightly above normal.
The wild card will be fog/stratus, which will likely form over the
Gulf of Alaska and Cook Inlet regions. This would limit
radiational cooling and maintain a very narrow diurnal temperature
range. As the ridge becomes repositioned farther west mid to late
next week that will open the gates for some arctic air to advect
southward into Southcentral, though models continue to differ on
the extent of cooling. In any case expect colder temps later in
the week along with development of offshore flow and gap winds.

Meanwhile, the storm track will remain over the far west, from the
northwest Pacific to western Bering Sea, the eastern periphery of
systems clipping the western Aleutians.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 165, 170, 172, 177,178, 180, 185, 411, 412, 413, 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...Sam
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...SEB