Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 759, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 7, 2017

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 7, 2017, 3:10 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 7, 2017, 3:10 PM AKDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired: Oct 9, 2017, 3:02 PM AKDT
In force: 48 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

968 
FZAK52 PAFC 072310
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-081215-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 80 nm North of Cold Bay moves into mainland Alaska this
evening. The associated front moves across the Alaska Peninsula into
the Gulf tonight. A strong front moves across the western and 
central Bering through Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-081215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-081215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after
midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-081215-
Bristol Bay-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW. Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ165-081215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, NW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 
14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ170-081215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ171-081215-
Unalaska Bay-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-081215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-081215-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ174-081215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ175-081215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ176-081215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-081215-
Adak to Kiska-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ178-081215-
Kiska to Attu-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft after
midnight.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-081215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft 
building to 12 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ180-081215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. S of Cape Newenham, N wind 40 kt. Seas 7
ft. S of Cape Newenham, seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ181-081215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ185-081215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
310 PM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming
W 20 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 20 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 20 kt. W of Saint Matthew
Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 30 kt E of Saint Matthew 
Island...SW 45 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 18 ft building to 
26 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

4 follow-up statements

616 
FZAK52 PAFC 081156
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-090045-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 993 mb low 380 NM northwest of Attu will strengthen to 975 mb 
as it moves to 370 NM west of Saint Matthew Island late tonight 
and then begin to weaken to 983 mb as it moves into the Gulf of 
Anadyr Mon morning. The associated front will move across the 
northern Bering Sea today and Mon. 

$$

PKZ150-090045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-090045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-090045-
Bristol Bay-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-090045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-090045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-090045-
Unalaska Bay-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-090045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-090045-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-090045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-090045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-090045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-090045-
Adak to Kiska-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-090045-
Kiska to Attu-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt early increasing to 45 kt. Seas building to 20
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-090045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-090045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ181-090045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ185-090045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
356 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 20 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft building to 26 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

710 
FZAK52 PAFC 082319
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-091215-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
High pressure builds across the southern Bering through Tue 
morning. A 974 mb Northern Kamchatka low moves over Point Hope
at 1002 mb by Tue afternoon. A 1000 mb North Pacific low slips 
160 nm west of Attu at 984 mb Tue afternoon. The associated front
pushes over the Western Aleutians by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-091215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-091215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-091215-
Bristol Bay-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-091215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-091215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-091215-
Unalaska Bay-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-091215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-091215-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-091215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-091215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-091215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-091215-
Adak to Kiska-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ178-091215-
Kiska to Attu-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. From Shemya W, SW wind 35 kt becoming
Variable 15 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt except Variable 15 kt from Shemya W. Seas 15 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt except Variable 10 kt from Shemya W. Seas 
11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-091215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ180-091215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ181-091215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt by late evening. Seas
7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-091215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
319 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt except SW 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. 
Seas 14 ft except 19 ft building to 26 ft W of Saint Matthew Island 
after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt except SW 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas
14 ft except 25 ft W of Saint Matthew Island.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt except SW 20 kt W of Saint Matthew Island.
Seas 14 ft except 20 ft W of Saint Matthew Island.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

315 
FZAK52 PAFC 091141
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-100100-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A frontal boundary across the northern Bering Sea will move near
Saint Lawrence Island by Tue morning. A 988 mb low will move to
80 NM southwest of Attu Tue afternoon and strengthen to 968 mb as
it moves to 140 NM north of Attu late Tue night. The associated 
front will move from the western Bering Sea to eastern Bering Sea 
Tue afternoon and evening.

$$

PKZ150-100100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the morning. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-100100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-100100-
Bristol Bay-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-100100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ170-100100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ171-100100-
Unalaska Bay-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-100100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ173-100100-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ174-100100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-100100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ176-100100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-100100-
Adak to Kiska-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-100100-
Kiska to Attu-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt. From Shemya W, variable wind 10 kt.
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-100100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ180-100100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ181-100100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ185-100100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
341 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

639 
FZAK52 PAFC 092302
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-101215-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 200 nm northwest of Gambell weakens and moves inland
over Cape Lisburne at 1004 mb Tue afternoon. A 990 mb low 240 nm 
southwest of Shemya Tue afternoon strengthens and moves to 280 nm 
north of Shemya at 960 mb by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-101215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-101215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-101215-
Bristol Bay-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ165-101215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt except SW 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ170-101215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ171-101215-
Unalaska Bay-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-101215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-101215-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ174-101215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ175-101215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-101215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-101215-
Adak to Kiska-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-101215-
Kiska to Attu-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. From Shemya W, variable wind 10 kt
becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-101215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ180-101215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ181-101215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-101215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
302 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 7, 4:54 AM AKDT, 10 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 4:54 AM AKDT, 10 hours 16 minutes before

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 AM AKDT Sat Oct 7 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper-level ridge has moved over much of Mainland Alaska,
pushing the trough previously over the Mainland further eastward
over Canada and southeast Alaska. As seen in current observations,
this ridging has aided in bringing an onshore flow pattern over
the western Mainland, and offshore flow pattern over Southcentral
Alaska and the Gulf. Further west, a broad upper-level trough is
spreading over much of the western and central Aleutians/Bering.
At the base of this trough, the right entrance region of a 170 kt
upper-level jet is helping strengthen the surface low currently
pushing through the eastern Aleutians. Current observations show
this system will be the primary weather-maker for the eastern half
of the Aleutians/Bering and southern Mainland, spreading strong
gusty winds and rain as it progresses eastward through the
weekend.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement through the weekend with the
overall synoptic pattern, but continue to struggle with the finer
details of the system currently pushing through the eastern
Aleutians. Models have come into better agreement with the track
staying north of the Aleutian chain as it approaches the Bristol
Bay area and crosses into the Gulf by Sunday. Timing was initially
an issue in the 00Z model runs, with the American models (NAM/GFS)
being slightly faster than the Canadian and EC with the low
progression as it crosses over the eastern Aleutians this morning.
The EC eventually catches up with the American models this
afternoon, leaving the Canadian as the slightly slower outlier.
The EC was used to make edits to the overall synoptic pattern,
with the NAMnest being utilized for smaller scale details.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through tonight. There is
a slight chance that fog develops along the inlet early this
morning, so added a short duration during Saturday morning to
mention this possibility. MVFR conditions are expected to move
over the Anchorage bowl later tonight, as the next system tracks
in from the southwest.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge out ahead of the rapidly deepening low tracking in from
the eastern Aleutians will bring a mostly sunny day to
southcentral Alaska today. The frontal system associated with the
incoming low will push across Kodiak Island this afternoon and
continue northeast tonight. The surface low will track east-
northeast along the northern coast of the Alaska Peninsula this
afternoon and evening with the surface low crossing the Peninsula
around midnight and tracking up Shelikof Strait. On the south and
western periphery of this surface low we are expecting a strong
push of west to southwesterly winds of 45 to 50 knots, and
potentially stronger gusts through bays and passes in the Alaska
Peninsula late tonight through Sunday morning. Additionally, a
strong southeasterly surge associated with the initial frontal
system will bring a strong push of east to southeasterly winds
through Prince William Sound, Passage Canal, Turnagain Arm and the
Anchorage Hillside late tonight as well. Once the surface low
tracks to the east Sunday night, prevailing west to northwesterly
flow will taper showers off with breezy offshore gap winds
developing.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sat and Sun)...
A relatively quiet start to the weekend will quickly give way to
more active weather. The subtropical jet is already readily
visible on satellite as it pushes towards the Bristol Bay
coastline. Along the jet, a surface low will develop and rapidly
deepen as it crosses back and forth over the Alaska Peninsula
today. Gusty northeast to southeast winds will develop across the
SW mainland this afternoon. Rain should reach the coastline of
Bristol Bay by early this afternoon before tracking into the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley this afternoon. As the low slides through
Bristol Bay and then back over the Aleutian Range towards the
Barren Islands, winds will switch around to a northwesterly
direction. This will allow the system to tap into some colder air
and develop an axis of stronger winds across the Alaska Peninsula.
A high wind watch has been issued to address these conditions.
The other forecast challenge with this system will be how much
cold air it pulls down, and if there is any precipitation still
falling when it does so. There is an outside shot that some snow
could mix in with rain for places west and north of King Salmon.
However, temperatures at the surface will be too warm to allow for
any accumulation.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Sat and
Sun)...
The Bering will remain mostly quiet today with the exception of
the extreme eastern portion that will be impacted by the Alaska
Peninsula low. Expect gusty winds and rapidly building seas in a
corridor east of the Pribilof Islands and south of Cape Newenham.
Weak ridging will dominate the rest of the Bering today making for
light westerly flow. The next low of concern will track off of
Kamchatka tonight and push a front into the Western Bering. This
will bring a wide swath of gale-force winds from west to east on
Sunday. The system will become the dominant weather-maker as it
moves across the area to end the weekend.

&&

.MARINE...
A compact storm will skirt along the Alaska Peninsula today. This
will bring shifting winds and rapidly building wind waves,
especially to marine zones 150, 155, and 160. Winds will start out
mostly light and variable before sunrise. But then they will shift
to a southerly direction while increasing to gale-force for
locations south of the Alaska Peninsula this morning. In Bristol
Bay, expect gale-force easterly winds by this afternoon. The low
will reach maximum intensity sometime late this afternoon through
into the evening hours as it moves into Bristol Bay. Seas will
follow suit building to 20 to 25 ft south of the peninsula and to
10 to 15 ft on the Bering side.

As the low slides east, a core of stronger winds will develop on
the backside in west to northwest flow. This will bring the most
hazardous conditions with gusts to hurricane-force possible,
especially out of bays and passes on the Pacific Side. Mariners
are advised to use caution and monitor the forecast for any
updates.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The mid term forecast begins with a front moving over southwest
Alaska from the Bering which will bring more rain to the area
Sunday night. The front will mostly fall apart before making it
over Southcentral Alaska but some showers should make it over the
area by Monday night.

Tuesday into Wednesday is where the models start to struggle with
how to handle a low moving into the western Bering. There is
better agreement than yesterday but they still have not locked in
on the intensity or placement of this low. What they all do
agree on is high pressure remaining south of mainland Alaska
through much of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch 181.
MARINE...Storm 130 132 150 155 165.
         Gale 119 120 125 131 136-139 161 170-172 175 177 178 180
              185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...DK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 7, 3:44 AM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	36 hr
Oct 7, 3:51 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	36 hr
Oct 7, 3:51 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	24 hr
Oct 7, 3:51 AM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	59 hr
Oct 7, 3:56 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	3 days
Oct 7, 3:58 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	59 hr
Oct 7, 3:58 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	59 hr
Oct 7, 3:58 AM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	24 hr
Oct 7, 4:53 AM AKDT	High Wind Watch	AFC	101 min
Oct 7, 6:34 AM AKDT	High Wind Warning	AFC	17 hr
Oct 7, 3:01 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Oct 7, 3:01 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	48 hr
Oct 7, 3:01 PM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	37 hr
Oct 7, 3:10 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2017 Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.