Small Craft Advisory 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

962 
FZAK51 PAFC 240032
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241330-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST THIS EVENING...THEN DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL
ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF WED MORNING AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
BY WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ119-241330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-241330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-241330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-241330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-241330-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-241330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS EVENING.
SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-241330-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-241330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-241330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-241330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-241330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 13 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-241330-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-241330-
MARMOT BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-241330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-241330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-241330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-241330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

692 
FZAK51 PAFC 241305
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250145-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WILL DISSIPATE THIS
MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA TUE
AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-250145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-250145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-250145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-250145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-250145-
PORT VALDEZ-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-250145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-250145-
VALDEZ ARM-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-250145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-250145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-250145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD
SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-250145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 13 FT N OF DANGEROUS
CAPE.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-250145-
CHINIAK BAY-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-250145-
MARMOT BAY-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-250145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-250145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-250145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-250145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
405 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 PM AKST Sun Jan 22 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a large upper low centered over the central Aleutians.
The leading front is pushing into the Alaska Peninsula, bending
back westwards across the southern and central Bering Sea. High
winds and even some Blizzard conditions area associated with this
system. There is a weak short-wave ridge over southwest Alaska
where very cold temperatures persist. A negatively tilted upper
level trough is pushing northeast across south central Alaska,
with some associated snow showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement today. There are some
differences in how they handle the precipitation amounts and
types. Thus the forecast confidence is just a bit above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...MVFR conditions in snow showers are likely into the early
evening, then transitioning to mostly VFR.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Light snow showers will taper off by early evening over the
Anchorage area and western Prince William Sound. Any lingering
showers will begin to shift eastward this evening, as the upper
level trough providing support tracks inland over the Northern
Gulf Coast. However, due to less available moisture and weakening
upper level forcing, showers should remain light as they track
through central and eastern Prince William Sound tonight.

By Monday a strong front will push into the Gulf of Alaska
supporting another round of precipitation and gusty winds.
Recent models have trended stronger along the northern Gulf Coast,
with storm force gusts expected along the coast. The most
uncertain aspect of this system is the amount of warm air it will
pull northward. If enough cold air remains in place, moderate to
heavy snow would occur again across the eastern Kenai Peninsula
Monday night into Tuesday. However, it is also possible that
enough warm air will be present to limit snowfall totals and
result in heavy wet snow. The current forecast is leaning toward
the bulk of precipitation being snow from the onset of the system
through later Monday night, then transitioning to rain Tuesday
morning. On the other hand, most areas west of the Chugach and
Kenai mountains are expected to see snow Monday night through
Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Frigid temperatures will persist for one more night across the
southwest mainland before beginning to moderate with the arrival
of the strong Bering front along the coast on Monday. Increasing
winds in advance of the front will produce very low wind chill
values over the Kuskokwim Delta through early Monday morning. The
front will then bring blowing snow to western portions of Bristol
Bay during the morning, with the worst conditions expected to last
into late Monday night before snow begins to diminish. Blowing snow
will also be possible along the delta, but visibilities are
expected to remain above advisory criteria as snow amounts and
intensity will be lower than in Bristol Bay.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The powerful North Pacific low and associated front will continue
to impact the southern Bering Sea with strong winds and heavy
precipitation through Monday as the front continues to push
eastward towards the southwest coastline. Hurricane force winds
will continue over the waters of the southwest Bering through
tonight in cold advection on the backside of the low, with
blizzard conditions continuing to impact Shemya through around
midnight. Meanwhile, conditions will improve through the evening
hours across the Eastern Aleutians as the front moves to the east
and warmer air changes lingering precipitation to rain. The Winter
Weather Advisory has been upgraded to a Blizzard Warning for the
Alaska Peninsula with the issuance of the afternoon package as
visibilities have deteriorated to 1/4 mile near Cold Bay.
Conditions will then improve from west to east during the late
evening with the eastward advance of the front. Blizzard
conditions will be most persistent over the Pribilof Islands as
colder air remains in place to the north of the front, with
conditions finally beginning to improve by Monday afternoon as
snow diminishes in intensity.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The longwave trough continues to remain over the Bering Sea and extending
southward into the North Pacific Ocean through midweek. This
synoptic feature moves eastward, becomes negatively tilted before
moving into the Gulf by Friday. This coincides with the strong
southeast to northwest jet streak tracking into the Southeast
Panhandle by Wednesday. This pattern remains intact through next
weekend. Southcentral Alaska, and the Gulf will have a warming
trend heading with temperatures to rise above freezing by the
midweek time-frame through the weekend. This results in abundant
moisture streaming into the Southcentral region resulting in a
wintry mix along the coastal communities. While the interior sets
up with a better scenario for moderate snowfall in favored
mountain regions. Meanwhile, the majority of the Bering Sea
temperatures remains cold with the northerly flow through Friday
before a warming trend begins from the Western Aleutian/Bering by
Saturday spreading eastward. This coincides with a storm force low
tracking over the Kamchatka Peninsula with associated front
draping through the Western Aleutians. Looking at the models, they
continue to struggling with the complex low in the North Pacific
Ocean as it tracks eastward along the Eastern Aleutians by
Wednesday before moving into the Southwest Alaska region. The next
model issue pertains to a North Pacific low tracking into the Gulf
by Friday. The GFS takes this system over the eastern Gulf, and
the ECMWF tracks this low near Kodiak Island. These storm tracks
will bring warmer temperatures to the Southcentral region.
Therefore, the forecast confidence is below average with these
discrepancies with the storm track.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 120 125
Storm 119
Heavy Freezing Spray 121

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...PD