Gale Warning 76, NWS Anchorage, AK

751 
FZAK51 PAFC 231258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240145-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING TUE MORNING.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE NEAR KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-240145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING
SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240145-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240145-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 13 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240145-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240145-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY AND PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-240145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

962 
FZAK51 PAFC 240032
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241330-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST THIS EVENING...THEN DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL
ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF WED MORNING AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GULF
BY WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ119-241330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-241330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-241330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-241330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-241330-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-241330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS EVENING.
SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-241330-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-241330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-241330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-241330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-241330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 13 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-241330-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-241330-
MARMOT BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-241330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-241330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-241330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-241330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
551 AM AKST Sun Jan 22 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A very cold air mass remains entrenched across Southwest Alaska
under a deep upper level trough. Temperatures in a couple of the
coldest locations (Kalskag and Aniak) have fallen to minus 42
degrees with numerous other stations in the negative 20s and 30s
along the Kuskokwim Delta and lower Kuskokwim Valley. In
Southcentral Alaska the frontal band stretching from the Susitna
Valley across the Kenai Peninsula has weakened substantially with
the persistent snow in the process of gradually tapering off.

A rather potent frontal system has lifted north across the
Aleutians and into the southern Bering with scatterometer data
showing a widespread swath of storm force winds all along the
front. The associated surface low is currently south of Kiska
Island at around 950 mb and continuing to deepen rapidly. With the
cold air ahead of the front, very low visibilities due to the
combination of snow and strong winds are a significant concern
along the leading edge of the front as it pushes north and east.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in very good agreement regarding the timing and
placement of large scale synoptic features such as the strong low
tracking towards the central Aleutians today and the accompanying
strong system lifting into the Southern Bering. Therefore,
forecast confidence is high regarding the winds accompanying the
front and in the timing of the onset of precipitation. Forecast
challenges remain however regarding the timing of precipitation
type transitions and the amount of snow which will fall prior to
switching to rain in the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula.

For Southcentral Alaska, the main weather features through the
rest of weekend are small and subtle troughs rotating through the
area, thus challenging forecast models regarding the placement
and duration of snow showers. Models come into much better
agreement Sunday night and Monday with forecast confidence
increasing as an incoming frontal system pushes into the
southwestern Gulf.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...While occasional light snow is still possible this morning
as well as a few isolated patches of fog or low clouds, VFR
conditions are expected to prevail through early afternoon.
Another weak disturbance will lift north across the area this
afternoon and evening bringing the MVFR snow showers with it.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The Anchorage sounding this morning shows once more a fairly
decent lapse rate at mid levels which indicates an atmosphere
favorable for convective showers. However, the sounding also
indicates a general drying trend particularly through mid levels.
As a result, showers have become much weaker during the
early morning hours with generally only flurries occurring. A weak
wave will provide support for showers over the east Kenai
Peninsula and Anchorage Bowl by this afternoon and evening.
However, due to less available moisture and weak upper level
forcing precipitation should remain light.

By Monday a strong front will push into the Gulf of Alaska
supporting another round of precipitation and gusty winds.
Recent models have trended stronger along the north Gulf Coast and
storm force winds are possible. The most uncertain aspect of this
system is the amount of warm air it will pull northward. If enough
cold air remains in place, moderate to heavy snow would occur
again across the eastern Kenai Peninsula Monday night into
Tuesday. However, it is also possible that enough warm air will be
present to limit snowfall totals and result in heavy wet snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Clear and cold temperatures will continue throughout the Southwest
Mainland until late tonight when the front over the Bering will
begin to make landfall over the Bristol Bay coast. There is still
some question in how much snow will spread inland, especially
into the Kuskokwim River Valley and Delta. Further to the south
however confidence has improved enough for a Winter Weather
Advisory for Snow and Blowing Snow to be issued for Western
Bristol Bay on Monday. The primary concern from this will be from
the gusty northerly winds that will develop ahead of the front as
the heaviest snow begins on Monday morning. Due to the dry and
easily transportable nature of this snow event, visibilities
should begin to fall to one-half mile in falling/blowing snow on
Monday. Further to the east in Bristol Bay, downslope winds from
the Aleutian Range will largely prevent snowfall from reaching the
ground and allow temperatures to rise well into the 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Most of the focus over the Bering will continue to be centered
around the developing hurricane force low spreading into the
Central Aleutians. ASCAT passes overnight confirmed widespread
storm force winds along the front, which will strengthen to
hurricane force as it spreads into the Central Bering/Eastern
Aleutians. The big question is how much warm air will spread into
the Eastern Aleutians and AK pen with the front, leading to uncertainty
in the potential for blizzard conditions in those areas. This is
especially apparent over the Eastern Aleutians which will see the
strongest push of warm air, however based on recent observations
at Dutch Harbor it appears the temperatures will remain cold
enough for at least a few hours of blizzard conditions this
morning before temperatures rise to near or above freezing. Once
blizzard conditions improve late this morning high winds will
continue with a warm/wet snow into the afternoon, so the Blizzard
Warning was allowed to continue into the afternoon (even though
visibilities will likely rise above one-quarter mile).

Over the AK pen conditions look less favorable for widespread
high winds as the front begins to fall apart, so the Winter Storm
Watch was replaced with a Winter Weather Advisory for Snow and
Blowing Snow beginning this afternoon. This front will bring areas
of visibilities less than one-half mile in falling/blowing snow
due to strong southeasterly winds with significant new snowfall.
However with southeasterly flow and warm air advection, there is
good confidence that widespread areas of blizzard conditions will
not develop.

Confidence in blizzard conditions over the Pribilof Islands is
much greater, especially now they models have trended slightly
further to the south with the front, leaving enough cold air for
even Saint George to remain as snow with strong east winds. With
up to 8 inches of new snowfall, strong winds, and temperatures
remaining below 30 degrees, blizzard conditions appear very likely
throughout the Pribilofs beginning this afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The longwave trough located over the Bering extending across the
Aleutian Chain into the North Pacific Ocean is the main synoptic
feature this upcoming week. As this feature moves eastward it
becomes negatively tilted as it moves over the Gulf by Wednesday.
This coincides with the strong meridional south to north jet
streak tracking into the Southeast Panhandle by Tuesday. This
pattern remains intact through next weekend. Therefore, look for a
warming trend with the southerly flow influencing the Gulf, and
extending through the Southcentral Alaska region. Look for the
temperatures to rise above freezing by the midweek time-frame
through the weekend. This results in abundant moisture streaming
into the Southcentral region resulting in a wintry mix along the
coastal communities. While the interior sets up with a better
scenario for moderate snowfall in favored mountain regions.
Meanwhile, the models continue to struggling with the complex low
in the North Pacific Ocean as it tracks eastward along the Eastern
Aleutians by Tuesday. As this system moves farther eastward into
the Gulf by the weekend the models have discrepancies with the
strength and timing with this feature. Therefore, the forecast
confidence is below average. Otherwise, the Bering will be under
northerly flow resulting in a showery regime heading into the
weekend. While the jet stream remains below the Aleutian Chain, it
keeps systems just south of the Chain before tracking into the
Gulf.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 185 191 195.
         Winter Weather Advisory 181 161.
MARINE...Gale 130 131 132 150 160 176 180 181 185 351 352.
         Storm 155 165 170 171 172 174 179 411 412 414.
         Hurricane Force Wind 173 175 177 178 413.
         Heavy Freezing Spray 121 127 130 138 160 165 179
            180 185 412 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ELN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...PD