Small Craft Advisory 652, NWS Anchorage, AK

992 
FZAK51 PAFC 032354
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041300-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front pushes across the Gulf into Southcentral Alaska through 
Tue afternoon. A 1002 mb low 330 nm South of Yakutat Tue morning 
rides along the front to 90 nm Southeast of Middleton Island at 
1001 mb by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-041300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 35 kt diminishing to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
22 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041300-
Resurrection Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041300-
Prince William Sound-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041300-
Port Valdez-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041300-
Valdez Narrows-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041300-
Valdez Arm-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041300-
Passage Canal-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
22 ft subsiding to 13 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041300-
Barren Islands East-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 23
ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041300-
Chiniak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041300-
Marmot Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041300-
Shelikof Strait-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041300-
Kachemak Bay-
354 PM AKDT Sun Sep 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

655 
FZAK51 PAFC 041137
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050030-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front will remain over the central Gulf through Tue afternoon. A
1001 mb low south of the central Gulf tonight will ride along the
front to 40 nm south of Middleton Island at 995 mb by Tue 
afternoon, then move inland 20 nm east of Seward Tue evening at 
993 mb. 

$$

PKZ119-050030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 35 kt diminishing
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050030-
Resurrection Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050030-
Prince William Sound-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050030-
Port Valdez-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050030-
Valdez Narrows-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050030-
Valdez Arm-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050030-
Passage Canal-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050030-
Barren Islands East-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050030-
Chiniak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050030-
Marmot Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050030-
Shelikof Strait-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050030-
Kachemak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

389 
FZAK51 PAFC 042329
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051245-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front extends from the North Gulf Coast into the Central Gulf
through Wed afternoon. A 994 mb low moves along the front 265 nm
south of Middleton Island Tue morning then continues inland over 
the Kenai Peninsula and Cook Inlet at 986 mb Tue night. 

$$

PKZ119-051245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051245-
Resurrection Bay-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051245-
Prince William Sound-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051245-
Port Valdez-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051245-
Valdez Narrows-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051245-
Valdez Arm-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051245-
Passage Canal-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051245-
Barren Islands East-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051245-
Chiniak Bay-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051245-
Marmot Bay-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051245-
Shelikof Strait-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-051245-
Kachemak Bay-
329 PM AKDT Mon Sep 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
455 PM AKDT Sat Sep 2 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A powerful storm system is spinning south of the western Alaska
Peninsula this afternoon with ASCAT observing 40 kt winds around
the eastern core of the low. The surface occlusion extends along
the eastern Aleutians to south of the Alaska Peninsula with rain
along the boundary. A pre-frontal band which pushed out ahead of
this system this morning is now pushing north across the Kenai
Peninsula and western gulf waters. Inland, a few showers are
occurring across the southern mainland with gusty flow along a
tightening pressure between the approaching surface low and weak
ridging inland.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in better agreement with the synoptic pattern through
Monday and therefore only minor changes were made to the inherited
forecast. Most of the edits were made using the NAM solutions for
winds edit areas and then used a broad brush approach for
precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions are expected through the next TAF package.
Southerly flow is expected to gust through late evening then taper
off overnight. Winds increase again Sunday afternoon, with
possibly stronger gusts early Sunday evening as a front moves to
the northern gulf coast. There is uncertainty in the wind pattern
late Sunday as a coastal ridge develops ahead of the ridge, winds
may shift direction to down inlet depending on where the ridge
axis sets up.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The storm force North Pacific low continues to track just south of
the Eastern Aleutians with the frontal boundary swinging through
the Kodiak Island area this evening. This synoptic feature moves
to the northern Gulf by Sunday afternoon accompanied by widespread
wetting rains with potential for moderate to heavy rainfall
through the northern coastal communities. Look for storm force
gusty northeasterly to easterly winds as this front tracks from
the southern to northern Gulf through the weekend. By Monday the
pressure gradients will weaken as the frontal boundary falls apart
as it moves inland over the Southcentral region. Meanwhile, the
Flood Watch remains in effect for the Southeast Prince William
Sound area including the city of Cordova. This coincides with the
frontal boundary as it tracks to the northern Gulf through the
weekend. Look for an upper level 150 knot southerly jet streak to
track through the Southcentral region by Sunday through Tuesday.
This will put the left exit entrance region of the jet through the
Prince William Sound to Cordova area providing excellent lift to
aid increased rainfall amounts as a 500 mb trough swings through
the aforementioned region. The Anchorage Bowl will be under the
influence of downsloping resulting in drier conditions, but there
will be a chance for some showers to spill over the mountains this
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The southwest mainland looks to remain in a showery regime
through Sunday night beneath broad cyclonic flow as one upper low
over Norton Sound is slowly sheared apart and another low south of
the Alaska Peninsula continues to intensify. Showers will be most
widespread from the Dillingham area westward into the Kuskokwim
Delta, with the typical southeasterly downslope areas in the lee
of the Alaska and Aleutian range remaining on the drier side. The
other main forecast concern will be strong winds through the
Kamishak Gap into the Iliamna and Lake Clark NP areas on Sunday as
a strong front associated with the Akpen low moves into the Gulf
of Alaska. Winds should max out around 30-45 mph with gusts
approaching 65 mph Sunday afternoon, then gradually diminish
through Sunday night as the front moves to the north and weakens.
Shower activity will diminish in coverage by Monday as the low
begins to fill in and weaken significantly.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The primary focus will be on the Akpen and surrounding waters
through Sunday night as a powerful low remains just south of the
area. This will bring storm force winds to the Pacific Side of
the peninsula through Sunday, with gale force winds extending
northward into Bristol Bay and westward towards Dutch Harbor.
Steady rain will also impact these areas through the remainder of
the weekend as the low slowly moves northward and weakens.
Elsewhere, the rest of the Bering will remain in a very quiet
pattern beneath building high pressure before attention turns to
the next strong low associated with the remnants of what is
currently Typhoon Sanvu entering the Western Bering on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The low south of the Alaska Peninsula will continue to weaken,
while a secondary low tracks northward through the central Gulf
and into the northern Gulf coast and Prince William Sound area
Tuesday and Tuesday night. Models continue to agree on another
round of precipitation and gusty winds tracking into the northern
Gulf area on Tuesday. However, the models are still struggling
with some timing and strength differences between the GFS & ECMWF
solutions. The GFS, remaining the preferred solution for this
system and very similar to the WPC solution, brings the gusty
winds and rain to the Gulf Coast slightly faster on Tuesday. The
GFS and WPC solutions are also tracking the system further west,
which can result in bringing more rainfall to the interior
portions of Southcentral and the Cook Inlet region. The key
concern remains where the atmospheric river will setup Tuesday
into Wednesday, and which areas will be on the receiving end of a
fair amount of Pacific moisture. Our focus remains over the
southeast Prince William Sound and Cordova areas, where guidance
continues to show moisture streaming northward from the Pacific
and resulting in heavy rainfall over Cordova during the early
part of next week. Therefore, a Flood Watch remains in effect for
the Southeast Prince William Sound area from Monday morning
through late Tuesday night.

Meanwhile, the remnants of Typhoon Sanvu will quickly track
through the central Aleutians Wednesday, then cross into the
northern Pacific and track along the Pacific side of the Eastern
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through Thursday. This will bring
widespread gusty winds accompanied by stratus/rain, with the
Bering/Aleutians to be under the influence of strong gusty
northeasterly to northerly winds as it tracks eastward through the
midweek. High pressure will then build in over the western Bering
Thursday night through Saturday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Flood Watch 135.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 120 130 131 132 138 150
Gale...125 136 137 139 141 155 160 165 170 171 172 173 174 178
180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...PEPE