Small Craft Advisory 528, NWS Anchorage, AK

869 
FZAK51 PAFC 132332
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-141245-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
High pressure builds over the eastern Gulf of Alaska through Fri 
Afternoon. A 1015 mb low forms near Sitkinak Fri afternoon and 
drifts to 100 nm southeast of Sitkinak with a central pressure of
1013 mb Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-141245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-141245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-141245-
Resurrection Bay-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-141245-
Prince William Sound-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-141245-
Port Valdez-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-141245-
Valdez Narrows-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-141245-
Valdez Arm-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-141245-
Passage Canal-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-141245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Haze.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-141245-
Barren Islands East-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-141245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-141245-
Chiniak Bay-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-141245-
Marmot Bay-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-141245-
Shelikof Strait-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-141245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Haze.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-141245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Haze.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-141245-
Kachemak Bay-
332 PM AKDT Thu Jul 13 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

209 
FZAK51 PAFC 141152
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-150100-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1014 mb low will form 40 nm northeast of Sitkinak this afternoon 
and move to 200 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 1015 mb Sat night. High 
pressure along the northern Gulf Coast will weaken through Sat night.

$$

PKZ119-150100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ120-150100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ121-150100-
Resurrection Bay-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-150100-
Prince William Sound-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-150100-
Port Valdez-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-150100-
Valdez Narrows-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-150100-
Valdez Arm-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-150100-
Passage Canal-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-150100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-150100-
Barren Islands East-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-150100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-150100-
Chiniak Bay-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-150100-
Marmot Bay-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-150100-
Shelikof Strait-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-150100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Thunderstorms during the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-150100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thunderstorms during the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-150100-
Kachemak Bay-
352 AM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Thunderstorms during the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

472 
FZAK51 PAFC 142330
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-151245-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1014 mb low near Akhiok will move to 225 nm southeast of
Chirikof Island at 1012 mb Sat afternoon...then moves into the 
North Pacific. High pressure along the northern Gulf Coast will 
persist through Sun afternoon...while drifting into the central 
Gulf. 

$$

PKZ119-151245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-151245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-151245-
Resurrection Bay-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-151245-
Prince William Sound-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-151245-
Port Valdez-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-151245-
Valdez Narrows-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-151245-
Valdez Arm-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-151245-
Passage Canal-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-151245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-151245-
Barren Islands East-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-151245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-151245-
Chiniak Bay-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-151245-
Marmot Bay-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-151245-
Shelikof Strait-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-151245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-151245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-151245-
Kachemak Bay-
330 PM AKDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

820 
FZAK51 PAFC 151158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160115-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1014 mb low 115 nm southwest of Sitkinak will move to 130 nm 
southeast of Sitkinak at 1015 mb Sat night...then drift into the 
North Pacific Sun. High pressure along the northern Gulf Coast will 
build into the central Gulf Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-160115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160115-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160115-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160115-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160115-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160115-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160115-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160115-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160115-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160115-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160115-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160115-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
923 PM AKDT Wed Jul 12 2017

...Updated Long Term Forecast...

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Little has changed to the omega block that has been present in
the upper levels. A weak wiggle in the flow dropped south along
the Gulf of Alaska and provided enough lift for showers that
worked their way along the Kenai Peninsula and towards Homer. At
the surface, high pressure continues across much of Southcentral
and skies are continuing to clear. Warm air aloft was present on
the morning sounding. Overnight h85 temps were around 11C -
supporting temperatures above 70 degrees this afternoon. Out West
and across the Bering Sea, the stratus under the sprawling high
pressure continues. An interesting note from satellite along the
AKPEN this afternoon is seeing the thermal heating along the
mountains. This diabatic heating is helping erode stratus in the
low levels. This is apparent West of Port Heiden to Cold Bay.
This is not expected to persist as the daytime heating wanes and a
weather front approaches from the West.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
On the synoptic scale, models are in good agreement through the
weekend and then begin to diverge into the medium/long term. In
the short term, all guidance is consistent with moving a shortwave
ridge south, and across Southcentral tomorrow afternoon/evening.
Beyond that time models begin to disagree in different ways.
First, the higher resolution guidance appears to have some
convective feedback and show a bit of energy hanging around the
Susitna Valley. This leads to differences with timing and location
of weekend showers. Guidance is locked on to h85 temps warming
from anywhere from 12 to 16C. Guidance also agrees that these warm
temperatures aloft will wane come this weekend, making our warm
spell short lived.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Some
convection is expected over the Chugach mountains Thursday
afternoon. There is also a slight chance of a thunderstorm over
town (Anchorage) but not enough of a chance to introduce it into
the TAF.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The main challenge in the short term forecast is the convection
that will be developing tomorrow. While there is confidence in the
upper level wave diving south, each model indicates a slightly
different development of the associated afternoon and evening
convection. Currently scattered thunderstorms are expected to
develop across the Talkeetna mountains, where the upper level wave
is expected to force convection just after peak afternoon
heating. There is more uncertainty as to whether convection will
impact the lower elevations of Anchorage. A local convergence zone
may form by the evening as the Turnagain Arm wind develops which
would support the formation and sustaining of lower elevation
convection. The uncertainty of the intensity and extent of the
Turnagain Arm winds is highly correlated to the westward
propagation of the offshore thermal trough Thursday afternoon, and
the depth of the marine boundary layer. On Friday a weak upper
level wave will help to maintain instability across the region,
but forcing will be much weaker. As a result, convection should be
widespread Friday due to adequate available low level moisture,
but will remain fairly weak.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
With ridging overhead, clear skies will prevail tonight.
Additionally, this ridging will bring a possibility of fog near
coastal areas tonight. On Thursday the ridging will be breaking
down allowing for the front moving across the Bering to make it to
coastal areas of the Kuskokwim Delta. There also looks to be
showers and isolated thunderstorms near the Alaska Range in the
afternoon on Thursday. The front will then stall and diminish
along the coast, but with more instability showers will develop
across the rest of southwest Alaska on Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
The front over the central Bering will slowly track east making
it to the west coast Thursday night where it will stall and
diminish. The parent low for this system will move from near the
Western Aleutians into the northern Bering Thursday night. Behind
the system, another front will approach the Western Aleutians
Thursday night and then push into the Central Aleutians on Friday.
This new front is bringing a strong push of warm air that will
bring more fog to the area.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7...Fri through Tue)...
The extended portion of the forecast does not feature any major
changes from the thinking of the past few days. Weak ridging will
try to hold on over much of the mainland, but it will not be
strong. Thus, expect afternoon showers and thunderstorms to be a
possibility each day, especially along the mountains. Valleys look
to remain dry for the most part at least through Sun. By Monday,
the energy over the Bering will be getting its act together and
making solid eastward progress courtesy of a 100kt sub-tropical
jet aloft. It will arrive as a warm front late Mon night into SW
AK and will bring widespread rainfall to the area. We have upped
PoPs to reflect this.

There is still a hefty amount of uncertainty in how this energy
and the ridge over the southern mainland interact. All models
point to the energy pushing further east by mid-week and shoving
the ridge axis east of the Prince William Sound. This would bring
the rain from SW AK into the Cook Inlet region by late Tue into
Wed. However, some models have also showed the energy diving
southward toward the North Pacific and keeping areas east of the
AK Range dry. The ensemble means have shown much better
consistency with this pattern shift, so the forecast was trended
that direction. The end result is a better chance for rain and
clouds for the mainland by the middle of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...MSO