Small Craft Advisory 293, NWS Anchorage, AK

703 
FZAK51 PAFC 071531 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080330-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY TRACKS TO 210 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY AT 997 MB BY SUN MORNING. A WEAK AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES OVER THE CENTRAL GULF SAT MORNING THROUGH 
SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-080330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-080330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-080330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-080330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-080330-
PORT VALDEZ-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-080330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-080330-
VALDEZ ARM-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-080330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-080330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-080330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-080330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-080330-
CHINIAK BAY-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-080330-
MARMOT BAY-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-080330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-080330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-080330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-080330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
731 AM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

880 
FZAK51 PAFC 072340
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081215-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF KODIAK AT 1000 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. SEVERAL TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS 
THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A 1000 MB LOW ENTERS THE 
SOUTHEASTERN GULF 260 NM WEST OF KLAWOCK BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-081215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-081215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-081215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-081215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-081215-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-081215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-081215-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-081215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-081215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-081215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-081215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-081215-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-081215-
MARMOT BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-081215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-081215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-081215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FOOT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-081215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 PM AKDT FRI APR 7 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

053 
FZAK51 PAFC 081153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090045-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY WEAKENS TO 1000 MB 
BY SUN EVENING WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY. A 1002 MB 
NORTHEAST PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TO 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 1006 MB BY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-090045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090045-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090045-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090045-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090045-
MARMOT BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FOOT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT APR 8 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
435 PM AKDT Thu Apr 6 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A deep vertically stacked low south of Kodiak Island is drifting
west. A trough axis extends northwest from the low center across
the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay to the Kuskokwim Delta coast.
This system is producing steady rain on most of Kodiak Island
with rain showers over Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley and
snow showers across the Kuskokwim Delta. Upper level deformation
just west of the surface trough axis continues to produce steady
snow along the Alaska Peninsula from Port Heiden south. The low
has begun to slowly weaken with northwesterlies through the Alaska
Peninsula showing a gradual downward trend. On the north side of
the low the strongest core of winds has shifted to Kodiak Island
and surrounding marine areas. Colder air (above the surface) which
wrapped around the low has crossed the Gulf and is moving onshore
of Southcentral, leading to showers (mainly in the Prince William
Sound region).

Meanwhile, a weak low and occluded front are elongating along the
Aleutians. The air mass is cold enough to support mostly snow,
though with surface temperatures above freezing it won't
accumulate.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Aside from minor position differences with the weakening low
south of the Alaska Peninsula the next couple days models are in
excellent agreement. Thus, forecast confidence is high.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...With interior portions of Southcentral beginning to heat
up each afternoon, it does look favorable for a period of
southeast winds (bending out of Turnagain Arm) this afternoon
into evening. The gusty winds should be fairly brief and not all
that strong. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The very slowly weakening low over the extreme Southwest Gulf will
continue to bring rain and gusty east winds to Kodiak Island and
the Western Gulf into Friday. Expect the heaviest and most
widespread rainfall to occur late tonight through Friday morning
as the last of the front pushes through. This will bring gale
force winds and at least 1 inch of rain to most areas, especially
along eastern facing slopes.

Further to the north the weather will remain much quieter with
diminishing winds and showers passing over the area with continued
broad cyclonic flow. Most of the showers should remain over the
east side of the Chugach, however with weakening downsloping and
an increasing unstable environment it wouldn't be out of the
question to see a few of these showers briefly fall over
Southcentral. Anything that does develop should be fairly brief
and light. An exception to this will be over the Susitna Valley
where additional instability from sunny skies and temperatures in
the 50's will bring scattered rain showers. Improving weather will
then spread throughout the region as the gulf low exists to the
southwest and weak ridging aloft develops.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The Southwest Alaska region continues to see moisture spilling
over from the low pressure just south of Kodiak Island. This is
resulting in warm air advection across the Alaska Range and Aleutian
Mountains extending south into the Alaska Peninsula. The Bristol
Bay and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley has temperatures in the upper
30s to lower 40s. Therefore, expect a continued showery regime
with the precipitation as all rain for the aforementioned region.
Meanwhile, look for a wintry mix over the Ahklun and Kuskokwim
Mountains except for all snow west through the Kuskokwim Delta.
The showery regime will taper off by Friday with only the Alaska
Peninsula remaining under the influence of the low pressure system
south of Kodiak. The gusty gap winds along the Alaska Peninsula
combined with the cooler temperatures overnight will give way to
the precipitation changing over to snow resulting in areas of
blowing snow through Friday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The jet stream remains northwesterly over the western Aleutians
as it digs into the longwave trough over the North Pacific Ocean.
This synoptic feature steers the gale force low over the western
Aleutians through the lower western Bering into the North Pacific
Ocean just south of the central Aleutians by Friday morning. This
brings a wintry mix of precipitation along the Aleutian Islands
before cooler air filters in on the backside into the western
Bering/Aleutians as the low exits our AOR. Meanwhile, the eastern
Aleutians continue with gusty northwest gap winds with areas of
blowing snow through Friday before the pressure gradient weakens
resulting in weaker gap winds. Farther upstream a storm force low
drops down off the Kamchatka Peninsula and approaches the western
Aleutians by Friday afternoon. The associated front tracks
through Shemya during the same time frame accompanied by gale
force south winds. By Saturday midday this low pressure system
will be located over Shemya with the associated weather front
extending through the central Aleutians, and the western Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning the extended forecast period Saturday night, the main
Pacific storm track will remain well south of the area of
operations as high latitude blocking remains strong over the
Beaufort Sea. Weak troughing will remain over Alaska, however,
without a deep moisture tap or well defined Pacific moisture
connection, precipitation activity inland looks sparse. With the
continued weak onshore flow pattern, expect temperatures to
continue to run at or slightly above average with many areas
seeing freeze/thaw diurnal patterns.

Late Monday the large scale synoptic pattern will shift with the
Pacific storm track shifting into the Bering. The first strong
gale force low looks to move through most of the Bering Sea by
Tuesday. A brief period of dry inland weather will become
dominated by the eastward progression of the Bering front, first
into Southwest Alaska as early as Tuesday night. At this juncture,
overall confidence drops quickly as there remains much
uncertainty with the strength of the North Pacific ridging
extending into northwest Canada. Climatology would favor
increased heights inland and a slower eastward progression of the
front, an idea supported by the GFS, Canadian, and the respective
ensembles. The ECMWF deterministic remains an outlier as this
solution moves the front east and stalls it over the Alaska Range,
the net effect being robust moisture/precipitation will be
possible across much of Southcentral through most of the week
after Tuesday. For now, this forecast favors the former approach
(i.e., stronger inland ridging) which will keep the bulk of
moisture across the Bering and coastal southwest Alaska into
Kodiak Island. Should the ECMWF look to verify in the coming days,
then the latter scenario will need to be reflected in upcoming
forecasts. However, for now, the WPC ensemble approach is favored.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 138 150. Gale 131 132 136 137 155 177 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...JA