Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017

Gale Warning 706, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 3, 2017

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 3, 2017, 3:54 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 3, 2017, 3:54 AM AKST (12:54 UTC)
Expired
Dec 5, 2017, 3:51 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

393 
FZAK51 PAFC 031254
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040145-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 mb low 300 nm south of Sand Point will move near Sitkinak at 
962 mb Sun evening and then move to King Salmon at 969 mb Mon 
morning. A strong front will move into the central and eastern Gulf 
late Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-040145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 55 kt diminishing
to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 25 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 27 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040145-
Resurrection Bay-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040145-
Prince William Sound-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 50 kt by afternoon. Seas building to  
10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040145-
Port Valdez-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040145-
Valdez Narrows-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040145-
Valdez Arm-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040145-
Passage Canal-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040145-
Barren Islands East-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 27 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 26 ft
subsiding to 20 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040145-
Chiniak Bay-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040145-
Marmot Bay-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040145-
Shelikof Strait-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding
to 5 ft after midnight. Snow.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice
free waters 4 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040145-
Kachemak Bay-
354 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
131 
FZAK51 PAFC 031737
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040415-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 mb low 300 nm south of Sand Point will move near Sitkinak at 
962 mb Sun evening and then move to King Salmon at 969 mb Mon 
morning. A strong front will move into the central and eastern Gulf 
late Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-040415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 55 kt
diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 25 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 27 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040415-
Resurrection Bay-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040415-
Prince William Sound-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 50 kt by afternoon. Seas building
to   10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040415-
Port Valdez-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040415-
Valdez Narrows-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040415-
Valdez Arm-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040415-
Passage Canal-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040415-
Barren Islands East-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 27 ft after
midnight. Rain. 
.MON...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas
27 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
26 ft subsiding to 20 ft in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040415-
Chiniak Bay-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040415-
Marmot Bay-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040415-
Shelikof Strait-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft
building to 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.MON...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding
to 5 ft after midnight. Snow. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 4 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040415-
Kachemak Bay-
837 AM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
993 
FZAK51 PAFC 040042
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041330-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong front over the northern Gulf will move onshore late this
evening. A 961 mb low 70 nm southeast of Chignik will move across 
Kodiak Island tonight and then inland across Southwest Alaska Monday
morning. A 1005 mb low will develop in the southern Gulf Mon evening
then move to 75 nm east of Seward at 1005 mb by Tue afternoon. This
low will then dissipate and move inland by Tue evening.

$$

PKZ119-041330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, SE wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 20
ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 33 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 becoming SE by midnight. Seas 23 ft 
subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft building to 28 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE by midnight. Seas 22 ft 
subsiding to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041330-
Resurrection Bay-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 25 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041330-
Prince William Sound-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041330-
Port Valdez-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt shifting to SW in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041330-
Valdez Narrows-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041330-
Valdez Arm-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming Se and increasing to 35 kt 
during the evening. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041330-
Passage Canal-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow showers.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041330-
Barren Islands East-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft building to 26 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 10 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041330-
Chiniak Bay-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041330-
Marmot Bay-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041330-
Shelikof Strait-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt by noon. Seas 12 FT building
to 20 ft by afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Snow showers.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in 
ice free waters 5 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
in ice free waters 10 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041330-
Kachemak Bay-
342 PM AKST Sun Dec 3 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 35 kt during the morning. 
Seas 3 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
195 
FZAK51 PAFC 041254
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-050200-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 mb low 90 nm southwest of Homer will move near Bethel at 981 
mb Mon afternoon. A 1003 mb low 240 nm south of Middleton Island Mon 
night will move near Seward Tue afternoon and then dissipate. A 990 
mb North Pacific low will move to 280 nm south of Kodiak City early 
Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-050200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 17 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-050200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 14 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-050200-
Resurrection Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-050200-
Prince William Sound-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-050200-
Port Valdez-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-050200-
Valdez Narrows-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-050200-
Valdez Arm-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-050200-
Passage Canal-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt near Whittier during the morning. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-050200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-050200-
Barren Islands East-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-050200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-050200-
Chiniak Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-050200-
Marmot Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-050200-
Shelikof Strait-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after 
midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-050200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-050200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming S 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-050200-
Kachemak Bay-
354 AM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SW 35 kt during the morning. Seas 5 
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
744 
FZAK51 PAFC 050033
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051315-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 mb low over the northeast Pacific Tue afternoon will move 
to 290 nm south of Kodiak City at 993 mb by Tue night and then 
to 45 nm southeast of Seldovia at 990 nm by Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-051315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051315-
Resurrection Bay-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after 
midnight. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 
2 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051315-
Prince William Sound-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051315-
Port Valdez-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 25 kt early. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051315-
Valdez Narrows-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051315-
Valdez Arm-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051315-
Passage Canal-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051315-
Barren Islands East-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051315-
Chiniak Bay-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051315-
Marmot Bay-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051315-
Shelikof Strait-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming Variable 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-051315-
Kachemak Bay-
333 PM AKST Mon Dec 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
640 
FZAK51 PAFC 051251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-060130-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 mb low 260 nm south of Middleton Island moves 25 nm southwest
of Middleton Island at 1004 mb Tue afternoon and then moves inland. 
Another 996 mb low 330 nm southeast of Sitkinak Tue night moves 70 nm
west of Middleton Island at 995 mb Wed afternoon and then moves 
inland Wed night. A strong front remains nearly stationary in the 
eastern Gulf throughout the forecast period.

$$

PKZ119-060130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ120-060130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ121-060130-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming variable in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain and snow. Higher seas S of Caines Head.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. Higher seas S of Caines Head.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. Higher seas S of
Caines Head.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-060130-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-060130-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-060130-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-060130-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-060130-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-060130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-060130-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-060130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-060130-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-060130-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-060130-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-060130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-060130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-060130-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Tue Dec 5 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 2, 4:39 PM AKST, 11 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 2, 4:39 PM AKST, 11 hours 15 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
439 PM AKST Sat Dec 2 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Broad cyclonic flow aloft associated with a upper low complex
over the northern Bering Sea, dominates much of Alaska. An
occluded front on the eastern edge of the cyclonic flow is moving
slowly across Southcentral Alaska. Snow, heavy at times, was
occurring over the Susitna Valley and along the Talkeetna
Mountains. Pockets of light freezing rain/drizzle were reported
over the northwestern Kenai Peninsula and the Anchorage Bowl.
Elsewhere across Except for the aforementioned areas across
Southcentral, generally rain or mix was expected over the southern
Kenai Peninsula/Gulf Coast and light snow inland. Strong and
gusty east to southeast winds, due to increased pressure gradients
with the front, were observed across Turnagain Arm and along the
Chugach range bordering the Anchorage Bowl.

Further west....satellite showed widespread open/cell cumulus
clouds, associated with showers developing with cold advection
over the relatively warmer waters of the Bering Sea, extending
across much of the Bering, Aleutians, to over Southwest Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in relatively good synoptic agreement with a
developing storm heading toward the Alaska Peninsula on Sunday and
then as it tracks into western Alaska Monday. After this the
models tend to diverge significantly. Prior to this generally used
hand edits for Southcentral with some GFS for timing of storms in
the Gulf. Out west...used some GFS with NAMNEST.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Expect generally MVFR conditions through tonight, with some
VFR breaks this evening. Surface winds will generally be light
northerly through tonight. LLWS potential is expected through
this evening, and then again Sunday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Currently a front is moving through south central Alaska pushing
warm moist air inland. The bigger concern is the next storm
approaching the southern mainland. This storm will be just off the
south end of Kodiak Island tomorrow afternoon. This storm will be
pushing another front into the southern mainland coast and will
generate a strong pressure gradient to produce the cross barrier
flow along with strong gap winds through the Chugach mountains.
This will also usher in a barrier jet along the North Gulf Coast
tonight, however, with the airmass being warm, this should not be
excessively strong. The low center will then move north into the
western interior Monday. After the frontal passage through south
central Alaska, cold air wraps around the low and will advect up
from the south into the south central region. The Susitna Valley
will remain under a Winter Weather Advisory due to snowfall
through midnight tonight. We're still looking at storm snow totals
of 6 to 12 inches through tonight. The continuation of the warm
advection will result in widespread areas with above freezing
temperatures (including Anchorage) Sunday and Monday before the
colder air wraps back into the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A front will continue to push east across the Alaska and Aleutian
Mountain Ranges this evening bringing an end to any steady
precipitation across the region. Cold air filtering around the
backside of the system will bring cooler temperatures and some
isolated instability snow showers, which can be seen on radar moving
ashore along the Kuskokwim Delta Coast.

Attention will shift to a rapidly intensifying low pressure
system currently well to the south of Dutch Harbor. This low will
track to the NNE during the day tomorrow, aided by a strong
southerly jet advecting copious amounts of moisture and warm air
into southwest. A warm front out ahead of the low will move ashore
tomorrow morning spreading precipitation first across the AKPEN
and Bristol Bay coast, then north into the Kuskokwim River Delta
by the afternoon. Along the coast, precipitation will initially
fall as snow, with accumulations typically ranging between 2-4",
before changing over to rain by the late afternoon hours as upper
level temperatures warm aloft and mix down to the surface. Further
inland, precipitation should stay all snow leading to
accumulations between 4-6", with locally heavier amounts, before
tapering off by Monday afternoon. Strong winds with gusts up to 40
mph will accompany the warm front leading to areas of blowing
snow tomorrow evening along the Kuskokwim River Delta. Strong
easterly winds will also lead to downsloping along the west side
of the Alaska Range greatly limiting the amount of precipitation
seen in places like Iliamna and King Salmon. By Monday evening,
the system will push north out of the area bringing a return of
colder and drier conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Over the Eastern Bering and Aleutians, a strong low will move
north over the AKPEN tomorrow bringing an initial push of warm air
before colder air filtering down along the western periphery of
the system moves over the Eastern Aleutians. This will turn
precipitation on Sunday from rain and rain snow mix to mostly snow
by the evening.  The colder air mentioned above, along with a
tightening gradient over the area will also bring some gusty north
to northwest winds to the eastern Bering/Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula Sunday morning through Monday.

For the Western Bering and Aleutians, a persistent upper level low
over the northern Bering will lead to continued westerly flow
bringing cold air off of the Kamchatka Peninsula. This will lead
to cold and blustery conditions as well as widespread snow
showers over most of the region.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Although the overall pattern in the long term forecast has
remained consistent, the models have been highly variable on
moving individual features through the pattern. Confidence is
moderate that next week will be warmer and windier for
the mainland, and cooler with showers for the Bering Sea. There is
some agreement that there will be a few low pressure systems that
move northward into the Gulf of Alaska, but the exact timing and
strength of these remains a mystery. Regardless, with this
pattern, residents in Southcentral and Southwest Alaska should
expect periods of southeasterly winds, with precipitation on the
windward sides of the mountains. Right now, none of these systems
appear to be particularly strong, although with warming
temperatures, precip type will be a forecast challenge for the
Kenai Peninsula, lower Susitna and Matanuska Valley, Anchorage,
and Bristol Bay. Elsewhere the precipitation should remain all
snow.

Confidence in the Bering Sea forecast isn't any higher in the long
term, although the variability in the forecast will have less of
an impact. The features moving through the Bering Sea during this
time are not expected to be strong, and winds are not even
expected to reach gale strength. However, the differing locations
of each individual low could mean significant differences in wind
direction as we move forward.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 145.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 125 131 132 150.
 Gale Warning 120 130 138 139 155 160 165 178 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KVP
LONG TERM...LF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 2, 4:51 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Dec 3, 12:05 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC6 hr
Dec 3, 3:16 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 3, 3:16 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Dec 3, 3:28 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC21 hr
Dec 3, 3:54 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Dec 3, 3:54 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Dec 3, 8:37 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC19 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2017Every gale warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.