Gale Warning 618, NWS Anchorage, AK

333 
FZAK51 PAFC 130039
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131315-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1010 mb low 80 NM east of Middleton Island will
move into the southern Gulf of Alaska at 990 mb by Mon afternoon 
then merge with a 990 mb low 325 NM Southeast of Middleton Island Tue
morning. The low will then move into the southeastern Gulf of Alaska
by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-131315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt developing out of the Copper
River Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Basin in the evening. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt developing out of 
bays and passes. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131315-
Resurrection Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131315-
Prince William Sound-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt out of 
bays and passes. Seas 2 ft in the evening building to 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131315-
Port Valdez-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt. 
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131315-
Valdez Narrows-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131315-
Valdez Arm-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt developing 
after midnight. Seas building to 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131315-
Passage Canal-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131315-
Barren Islands East-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131315-
Chiniak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131315-
Marmot Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131315-
Shelikof Strait-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas building to 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt after 
midnight.Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-131315-
Kachemak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

582 
FZAK51 PAFC 130601 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131830-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1010 mb low 80 NM east of Middleton Island will
move into the southern Gulf of Alaska at 990 mb by Mon afternoon 
then merge with a 990 mb low 325 NM Southeast of Middleton Island Tue
morning. The low will then move into the southeastern Gulf of Alaska
by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-131830-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt developing out of the
Copper River Delta. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 7 ft.  
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Basin in the evening. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131830-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt developing out of  bays
and passes. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes.  Seas
6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131830-
Resurrection Bay-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131830-
Prince William Sound-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt out of 
bays and passes. Seas 2 ft in the evening building to 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes.  
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131830-
Port Valdez-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt.  
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131830-
Valdez Narrows-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131830-
Valdez Arm-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt developing
 after midnight. Seas building to 6 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131830-
Passage Canal-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier.  Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier.  Seas 5 ft.
Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier.  Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131830-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131830-
Barren Islands East-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131830-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131830-
Chiniak Bay-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131830-
Marmot Bay-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt in the evening. Seas
5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131830-
Shelikof Strait-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas building to 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131830-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131830-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt after 
midnight.Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-131830-
Kachemak Bay-
901 PM AKST Sun Nov 12 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

855 
FZAK51 PAFC 131255
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140200-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low 75 nm west of Ketchikan moves to the southeast and 
exits the Gulf Tue night. A 1013 mb low forms 100 nm east of 
Middleton Island Tue afternoon and remains nearly stationary through 
Tue night at 1014 mb.

$$

PKZ119-140200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper
River Delta.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140200-
Resurrection Bay-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Higher winds S of Caines Head. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140200-
Prince William Sound-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140200-
Port Valdez-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140200-
Valdez Narrows-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140200-
Valdez Arm-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140200-
Passage Canal-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 
4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140200-
Barren Islands East-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140200-
Chiniak Bay-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140200-
Marmot Bay-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140200-
Shelikof Strait-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-140200-
Kachemak Bay-
355 AM AKST Mon Nov 13 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
422 PM AKST Sat Nov 11 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The amplified upper level pattern remains in place over Alaska
today. A large surface and upper level high is over the eastern
Aleutians into the western interior while a upper trough from the
eastern interior into the Gulf of Alaska supports a surface low
over the southeastern Gulf/northeast Pacific. An upper trough
extends from off the Kamchatka Peninsula into the North Pacific
with a large surface low well south of the Western Aleutians. A
front runs from this low to a low over Siberia.

The strong southerly flow west of the ridge is pumping warm moist
air into the Aleutians and Bering Sea. This air has +8 degrees C
850 mb temperatures in it and is expected to work over the top of
the ridge eventually into southwest Alaska. Subsidence is
prevalent under the ridge over southwest Alaska now. This is
supporting the very foggy conditions over the Kuskokwim Delta.
Strong northerly flow aloft across the southern Mainland is
supporting the strong outflow winds through many of the mountain
gaps of the coastal mountains.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in excellent agreement through the short-term in
this persistent pattern. The primary challenge is resolving the
gap flow winds. The models are in good agreement on the gap flow
winds and the development of a low along the North Gulf Coast
Sunday night. The overall pattern is well handled, and confidence
is high. More challenging is the fog forecast for the Kuskokwim
Delta. The models are not in lock step with the next upper trough
moving across the top of the ridge, and this will be an important
factor for determining how much fog persists. At this point we are
leaning toward the GFS solution.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist. Gusty north winds will diminish
this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The outflow pattern continues through early next week. A ridge
aloft moves over the area tonight which will help to temporarily
relax winds around the area. The break will be very short-lived as
a shortwave trough and upper level jet push over the area from the
northwest. Some light snow will be possible over the eastern
Copper River Basin beginning Sunday afternoon, lingering through
Monday. However, the main impact with this system will be outflow
winds. The disturbance will advect a cold air mass from the
interior over Southcentral Alaska and into the Gulf. The strong
advection over the mountains will create potential for a window
of warning level winds in the Valdez area Sunday evening. Winds
there, and all along the gulf coast, will remain very gusty
through at least Tuesday, and possibly beyond. Otherwise expect
clear and dry conditions through the period with seasonable
temperatures and light northerly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will remain over the eastern Bering through Monday
which will keep fog as a problem along the coast and for the
Kuskokwim Delta through Sunday. As flow becomes more northerly
and drier on Monday, fog should diminish. A weak wave will also
move through southwest Alaska tonight bringing light snow to
higher elevation areas into Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Ridging will remain over the eastern Bering through Monday keeping
most of the precipitation over the Western and Central Aleutians
with southerly flow moving up the west side of the ridge. Several
different shortwaves will move through the southerly flow with
enough warm air that precipitation will be rain. Sunday afternoon
some of the rain will make it over the Pribilof Islands and linger
through early Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Little overall change is expected in the forecast early next week
as widespread offshore flow continues to bring outflow winds to
much of the Gulf Coast with clear and cold conditions to the South
Mainland. There is however good agreement that this pattern will
begin to break down Tue-Wed, with a North Pacific low strong
enough to begin weakening the persistent ridging over the Bering.
This low will push through the Bering through Wednesday, which
should help both scour out the widespread fog over the
Bering/Southwest Mainland as well as begin to diminish the outflow
winds along the North Gulf Coast. This pattern shift should also
allow for a series of deeper lows to move through the Bering and
into the Gulf beginning late next week into next weekend, leading
to a much more active and progressive weather pattern than the
last week. There is however a large spread in the model guidance
in both the track and intensity of these lows, largely because of
differences in how much cold air will be available over the
mainland, so the details in the long term forecast are very broad
brushed for now.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch 131.
MARINE...Gale Warning 120 127 130 131 132 150 175 176 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...DEK