Gale Warning 489, NWS Anchorage, AK

462 
FZAK51 PAFC 012348
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021315-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front pushes from the western Gulf tonight to the northern 
Gulf by Mon morning, then remains stationary through Tuesday while 
slowly dissipating. A 1009 mb low forms 475 nm South of Middleton 
Island Tue morning and moves to 200 nm Southeast of Middleton Island 
at 1008 mb by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-021315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 
ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
13 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 18 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021315-
Resurrection Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and
seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021315-
Prince William Sound-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021315-
Port Valdez-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021315-
Valdez Narrows-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021315-
Valdez Arm-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021315-
Passage Canal-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 5 
ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021315-
Barren Islands East-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
12 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021315-
Chiniak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021315-
Marmot Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 16
ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021315-
Shelikof Strait-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to E 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.MON...S wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by midnight. Seas 5 ft
building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021315-
Kachemak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

233 
FZAK51 PAFC 020223 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

Updated zone 121

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021515-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front pushes from the western Gulf tonight to the northern 
Gulf by Mon morning, then remains stationary through Tuesday while 
slowly dissipating. A 1009 mb low forms 475 nm South of Middleton 
Island Tue morning and moves to 200 nm Southeast of Middleton Island 
at 1008 mb by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-021515-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18  ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas  13 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021515-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
18 ft  after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021515-
Resurrection Bay-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt become Variable wind 
less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Higher winds and seas 
S of Caines Head. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021515-
Prince William Sound-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.  Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
9 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021515-
Port Valdez-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Rain. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021515-
Valdez Narrows-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.  Seas
building to 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021515-
Valdez Arm-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
5 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021515-
Passage Canal-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.  Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
5 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021515-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming SE 10 kt. Seas
5  ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021515-
Barren Islands East-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas  12 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021515-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15  ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021515-
Chiniak Bay-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021515-
Marmot Bay-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9  ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021515-
Shelikof Strait-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to E 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable
10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021515-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by midnight. Seas
5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9  ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021515-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.MON...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021515-
Kachemak Bay-
623 PM AKDT Sun Oct 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.  Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

355 
FZAK51 PAFC 021200
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030030-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front pushes from the western gulf this morning to the 
northern gulf by Mon night, then remains stationary through 
Tue while slowly dissipating. A 998 mb low 480 nm south of Sand 
Point Mon night moves to 100 nm west of Kodiak City at 1005 mb by Tue
night.

$$

PKZ119-030030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms in the
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon.
Near the coast, E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt along the coast early. Seas 
18 ft. Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030030-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030030-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas building to 10 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030030-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030030-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030030-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030030-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45
kt early. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread 
rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030030-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030030-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030030-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030030-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030030-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

624 
FZAK51 PAFC 021711 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Updated 125 and 128

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030545-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front pushes from the western gulf this morning to the 
northern gulf by Mon night, then remains stationary through 
Tue while slowly dissipating. A 998 mb low 480 nm south of Sand 
Point Mon night moves to 100 nm west of Kodiak City at 1005 mb by Tue
night.

$$

PKZ119-030545-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms in the
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon.
Near the coast, E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030545-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030545-
Resurrection Bay-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030545-
Prince William Sound-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt near hichinbrook Entrance 
in the morning. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030545-
Port Valdez-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030545-
Valdez Narrows-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030545-
Valdez Arm-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...Small Craft Advisory today...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the late afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030545-
Passage Canal-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030545-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030545-
Barren Islands East-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030545-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030545-
Chiniak Bay-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030545-
Marmot Bay-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030545-
Shelikof Strait-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030545-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030545-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030545-
Kachemak Bay-
911 AM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

629 
FZAK51 PAFC 022326
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031230-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1003 mb low will form 235 nm South of Middleton Island Tue and
move onshore 30 nm West of Cordova at 1004 Wed afternoon. A 1004 mb 
low 270 nm South of Chignik will move to 60 nm South of Seward at 
1008 mb Wed afternoon. The associated front will move to the North 
Gulf Coast Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-031230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 35 kt diminishing
to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031230-
Resurrection Bay-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031230-
Prince William Sound-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 50 kt near Hinchinbrook Entrance in the early evening. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031230-
Port Valdez-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031230-
Valdez Narrows-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031230-
Valdez Arm-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031230-
Passage Canal-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031230-
Barren Islands East-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031230-
Chiniak Bay-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031230-
Marmot Bay-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031230-
Shelikof Strait-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-031230-
Kachemak Bay-
326 PM AKDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

902 
FZAK51 PAFC 031147
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040100-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 mb low 570 nm south of Sand Point moves to 175 nm southeast
of Kodiak City at 1006 mb tonight and then dissipates. The 
associated front will move to the North Gulf Coast through Tue 
night.

$$

PKZ119-040100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Near
the coast, E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Near the coast, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040100-
Resurrection Bay-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040100-
Prince William Sound-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040100-
Port Valdez-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040100-
Valdez Narrows-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040100-
Valdez Arm-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040100-
Passage Canal-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040100-
Barren Islands East-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040100-
Chiniak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040100-
Marmot Bay-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040100-
Shelikof Strait-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040100-
Kachemak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 3 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
425 PM AKDT Sat Sep 30 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
High pressure is in control across most of southern Alaska,
resulting in a beautiful day in most areas. Temperatures this
morning dropped into the 30s at most locations, with east
Anchorage dropping briefly below freezing. Thicker than expected
high cloudiness this morning kept temperatures a few degrees
warmer than expected, but these clouds are diminishing today
resulting in blue skies and temperatures rebounding into the 40s
and 50s. The exception is over the Kuskokwim Delta, where thick
clouds moving in from the ocean are keeping conditions gloomy
with temperatures struggling to break out of the 30s.

Cloudy but mostly benign conditions exist across most of the
Bering/Aleutians as well, with a fairly weak weather front
bringing gusty and wet conditions to the far western Aleutians.
To the south of the state, clouds are gathering south of the
Alaska Peninsula associated with a developing low that will bring
an abrupt change across the mainland back to stormy weather for
the start of the week.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models have continued to come into steadily better position
and intensity agreement with the fast-moving low that moves
northward across the AKPEN and into Southwest Alaska on Monday.
This should result in a gale to storm force front moving over
Kodiak Island and onward through the Gulf for the start of the
week, with associated heavy rainfall along the coast. There are
some minor differences in exact positions of the low center among
the models, owing to the fact that the storm will likely be
complex in nature with multiple low centers diminishing and
redeveloping northward as the overall weather system races toward
interior Alaska. Thankfully these changes will not affect the
forecast in a meaningful way.

Of note, all global models are also beginning to suggest a strong
960-ish mb low racing eastward across the Bering by the middle of
the week before hitting the west coast of the state.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light winds are expected to continue throughout
the period. Some patchy fog is possible again tonight in the
vicinity of upper Cook Inlet, but at this time is not expected
to become widespread.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The gorgeous weather we are enjoying throughout all of
Southcentral Alaska today will continue through most of the day
Sunday as well as upper level ridging and high pressure move east
across the area. With light winds and clear skies still forecast
for tonight, many areas will see their coldest night of the fall
so far. Patchy fog near Cook Inlet may be possible in the early
morning as well.

Unfortunately the weather goes downhill in a hurry starting Sunday
afternoon across Kodiak Island, then quickly moving north through
the overnight to envelop nearly all of Southcentral by morning as
a strong front and associated upper level jet energy race across
the area. Heavy rain and strong, gusty winds associated with the
front are expected over all of the north Gulf Coast. Gap winds
through Turnagain Arm and the Hillside along with a barrier jet
along the Gulf Coast and Prince William Sound will both produce
winds reaching 40-50 mph with higher gusts. Fortunately, the
quick moving nature of the front will ensure the worst conditions
are short-lived, generally only about 6 hours in duration.
Rainfall will last significantly longer due to upsloping,
particularly along the Gulf coast and the eastern slopes of the
Alaska Range (west side of Cook Inlet and the Susitna Valley).
Meanwhile downsloping should keep the Matanuska Valley, Anchorage
Bowl, and the western Kenai Peninsula to isolated showers and
sprinkles with lots of dry time in between.

Early Monday morning, there is also a chance that Broad and
Thompson Passes may see some flakes flying at the onset of
precipitation before daytime heating and warm air advection turn
it over to rain for the remainder of the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will continue across Southwest Alaska tonight with
low stratus settling in across the Bristol Bay Area. Fog looks
quite probably across parts of Bristol Bay, the Kuskokwim Delta
and Lower Kuskokwim Valley tonight. However, increasing offshore
boundary layer winds may limit the overall coverage of fog.
Conditions will begin to deteriorate across the Bristol Bay area
by late Sunday morning as an area of low pressure over the North
Pacific quickly slides northward. Pockets of moderate to heavy
rainfall are expected to overspread Southwest Alaska throughout
Sunday as the low continues to track northward, but the biggest
concern at the moment will be for strong winds. Winds between 30
to 50 mph will be likely with gusts up to 65 mph through gaps and
passes along the Alaska and Aleutian Ranges, with some of the
strongest winds being observed near Lake Clark and Kamishak Bay.
Warm air being advected northward will prevent the core of
strongest winds from mixing down but elevated locations above
2000 ft could see winds in excess of 80 mph along the Alaska and
Aleutian Ranges. Rain will continue through Monday and will begin
to diminish in coverage Monday night. Winds should follow a
similar trend on Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A weakening frontal boundary will continue to push across the
western Bering Sea tonight before stalling near the Central
Aleutians Sunday afternoon. The front will then weaken in place
through Monday before dissipating Monday night. As the front
dissipates, an area of low pressure will push off the Kamchatka
Peninsula and quickly move across the western Bering Sea which
will help bring a swath of gale force winds back to the western
Bering Sea.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Fall storm activity will be on the rise, despite a predominantly
zonal upper level pattern. The biggest area of concern revolves
around a rapidly developing and deepening low pressure system that
will track from near Attu, northeast towards Toksook Bay. Models
have been trending deep over the last day or so and have really
locked in on a 960mb (or deeper) low, with an area of storm force
winds and widespread area of gales. Given the long west to
southwesterly fetch of this system, coastal flooding problems
could loom for parts of the SW coast Wednesday night and Thursday.
Secondly, guidance is now agreeing on a low rapidly developing
south of the Gulf of Alaska and shooting north near Prince William
Sound. The rapid pressure rises along the Gulf Coast and through
Turnagain Arm could lead to other potential wind problems closer
to the Anchorage metro.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm Warning 130 131.
 Gale Warning 119 120 132 136 137 138 139 150 155 160 165 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...SS