Gale Warning 443, NWS Anchorage, AK

883 
FZAK51 PAFC 161604 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170430-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front moving from the southwest gulf will dissipate in the 
northern Gulf this evening. A 986 mb low 110 nm south of King 
Salmon will move to 170 nm southeast of Kodiak at 989 mb Sun 
morning...then it will weaken as it moves to the eastern Gulf 
through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-170430-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind increasing to 35 kt, with gusts to 50 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, E wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170430-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170430-
Resurrection Bay-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170430-
Prince William Sound-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. gusts to
45 kt near Hinchinbrook Entrance in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170430-
Port Valdez-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170430-
Valdez Narrows-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170430-
Valdez Arm-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170430-
Passage Canal-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170430-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170430-
Barren Islands East-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170430-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SW wind 20 kt
becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt except NW 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170430-
Chiniak Bay-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170430-
Marmot Bay-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170430-
Shelikof Strait-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170430-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft in
the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170430-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170430-
Kachemak Bay-
804 AM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

902 
FZAK51 PAFC 162331
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171215-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front will dissipate along the northern Gulf coast this 
evening. A 985 mb low 40 nm northwest of Port Heiden will move to 
335 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 995 mb Sun afternoon...then it 
will weaken as it moves to the eastern Gulf through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-171215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Along the
coast...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt by midnight, gusts to 50 
kt in the evening. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E by late evening. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W in the evening. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171215-
Resurrection Bay-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt by midnight. Seas 3 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft by midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171215-
Prince William Sound-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts 
to 50 kt near the Hinchinbrook Entrance in the evening. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171215-
Port Valdez-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171215-
Valdez Narrows-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171215-
Valdez Arm-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171215-
Passage Canal-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171215-
Barren Islands East-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming Variable 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming NW after midnight. N of Dangerous 
Cape...SW wind 20 kt becoming Variable 15 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft...except 11 ft N of Dangerous Cape.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft, except 10 ft N of 
Dangerous Cape.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape...NW wind 15 kt
becoming SW after midnight. Seas 10 ft, except 6 ft N of Dangerous 
Cape.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171215-
Chiniak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas building to 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas building to 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171215-
Marmot Bay-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas building to 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171215-
Shelikof Strait-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt by midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171215-
Kachemak Bay-
331 PM AKDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming Variable less than 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

810 
FZAK51 PAFC 171158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180045-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 mb low at 40 nm southeast of Kodiak City will move to the
southern Gulf at 992mb this afternoon...then weaken and move into
the eastern Gulf by Mon morning. A front will move into the 
western Gulf Mon morning...then move into the eastern Gulf 
through Tue.

$$

PKZ119-180045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180045-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180045-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180045-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180045-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180045-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180045-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180045-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt except N 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180045-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180045-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180045-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180045-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

620 
FZAK51 PAFC 172309
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181215-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 mb low over the southern Gulf moves southeast and weakens. 
A weather front moves to the western Gulf Monday morning and to 
the southeast Gulf Tuesday morning.

$$

PKZ119-181215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after 
midnight.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181215-
Resurrection Bay-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181215-
Prince William Sound-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181215-
Port Valdez-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181215-
Valdez Narrows-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181215-
Valdez Arm-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181215-
Passage Canal-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181215-
Barren Islands East-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181215-
Chiniak Bay-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181215-
Marmot Bay-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181215-
Shelikof Strait-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181215-
Kachemak Bay-
309 PM AKDT Sun Sep 17 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
410 PM AKDT Fri Sep 15 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A deep storm force cyclone has reached it's lowest pressure,
estimated at 969mb, in the vicinity of the Pribilof Islands.
Although the low is now fully occluded, low level winds continue
to strengthen on the south to west side of the low, as colder
more unstable dives southward across the central Bering Sea. This
core of strongest winds is shifting eastward with the low center,
from the south central Bering Sea toward the Pribilof Islands,
Eastern Aleutians, and southern Alaska Peninsula. The occluded
front out ahead of the storm is pushing onshore along the
Southwest Alaska coast, bringing rain and gusty southeast winds.

Meanwhile, downstream of this storm, an upper level short-wave
is exiting northward through the Copper River Basin, producing
mainly mountain showers. Lingering instability and upslope flow
are producing showers across much of the Prince William region,
while downslope flow in the lee of the mountains is producing
dry conditions and some sunshine across much of the rest of
Southcentral.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Model guidance is in excellent agreement with handling of major
features over the next couple days and forecast confidence is
generally high. The main forecast challenges include determining
how much wind will mix down to the surface with Bering Sea storm
system and strength of barrier jet along north Gulf coast as
occluded front/triple point low approach on Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...With persistent low level southeast flow, VFR conditions
will persist. Surface pressure gradients are marginal for bending
the Turnagain wind into the terminal this afternoon and evening,
but do expect some gusty winds to make it in. Increasing down
inlet flow ahead of the occluded front moving into the Gulf
overnight will then lead to development of a north surface wind,
which should hold all day Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The Anchorage Bowl remains in downsloping drier conditions with
the cross-barrier flow. While the northern coastal communities,
and the western Cook Inland extending into the Susitna Valley
remain under a showery regime. This weather phenomena is being
influenced by an upper level shortwave as it moves through the
aforementioned region before exiting to the north this evening.
This briefly gives way to partly cloudy skies for inland areas,
but more moisture will be streaming northward from the Gulf
during the overnight hours tonight. There is a triple point low
developing over Kodiak Island by Saturday morning with an
associated weather front entering the northern Gulf. This leads
to increased pressure gradients with a barrier jet developing
along the northern coast with strong gusty easterly winds. These
winds will extend through the Hinchinbrook Entrance into Prince
William Sound. This coincides with strong gusty southeasterly
Turnagain Arm winds, and higher elevations, occurring by Saturday
midday. Look for the winds to peak in the late afternoon hours
before tapering-off by late Saturday evening time-frame.
Otherwise, the bulk of the precipitation with this synoptic
feature will be along the northern coastal communities. By Sunday
a weak high pressure looks to briefly build over the Anchorage
Bowl bringing mild weather with partly cloudy skies as we head
into Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The previously mentioned Bering Sea front has now started to push
inland this evening bringing rain and gusty winds to much of the
southwest Mainland through this evening. The front quickly washes
out late tonight leaving much of the mainland in moist cyclonic
flow with showery and locally gusty conditions, as the parent low
tracks into Bristol Bay and crossed the Alaska Peninsula Saturday.
The responsible upper level trough lingers through the weekend
leaving a chance of showers and relatively light northerly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The focus remains on the Bering Sea storm pushing over the
Pribilof Islands this evening and tracking eastward into Bristol
Bay by Saturday afternoon. The swath of strongest winds still
looks to clip the Islands, especially Saint George as the system
pulls to the east this evening. The High Wind Warning remains in
effect mainly for Saint George Island through Saturday morning.
Rain will come with the winds on the backside of the system during
the overnight period, then switch to more showery conditions by
mid-day Saturday.

The strongest winds and precipitation will quickly shift toward
the Alaska Peninsula overnight tonight into Saturday before
slowly tapering down through the weekend. The High Wind Watch was
upgraded to a High Wind Warning for the Alaska Peninsula late
tonight through Saturday evening, as the core of the strongest
winds track over the area.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7...Mon through Fri)...
The week of September 18th will start out relatively quietly. One
area of low pressure will be pulling away from the North Gulf
Coast and another area will be moving into Bristol Bay. This will
allow for a brief period of drying for most of South Central on
Monday. For Southwest AK, things will once again be wet and a
little breezy. The low over SW pivots and develops a triple point
surface low in the Gulf of AK late Mon into Tue. It will quickly
exit towards SE AK on Tue, once again leaving much of the southern
half of AK in drying offshore flow. Then yet another low follows
a very similar path from the Bering Strait towards western AK,
possibly bringing some gale-force winds to the northern Bering.

After this point, model discrepancies start to increase. The
pattern will essentially be driven by how far the south the
energy from the Arctic can make it and what sort of interaction it
will have with a 100-150 kt zonal jet positioned over the North
Pacific. Right now, models do not show signs of any strong phasing
that would result in big storms. The quasi-stationary "warm
front" sits south of the Aleutian chain while various troughs
dropping in to SW AK from the Arctic only bring glancing blows of
cold air to the mainland. However, it is worth noting that much of
the warm air and moisture south of the jet is tropical in nature
and global models generally do not handle those features well.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 181 195.
MARINE...Marine Wx Statement 155 165 170 179.
    Hurricane Force Wind 165 170.
    Storm Warning 155 179.
    Gale Warning 119 131 150 160 171>175 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PEPE
LONG TERM...MSO