Gale Warning 257, NWS Anchorage, AK

838 
FZAK62 PAFC 131157
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-140115-
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A FRONT ALONG THE ALASKAN WEST COAST DISSIPATES FRI MORNING. A 
956 MB KAMCHATKA LOW MOVES TO 56N 171E WITH ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT 
PUSHING TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SAT MORNING. A 998 MB LOW 
FORMS NEAR 54N 179E THU NIGHT MOVING TO THE NORTH KAMCHATKA COAST 
BY SAT MORNING. A 1003 MB LOW FORMS AT 53N 166W SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-140115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING W 10 TO 20 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ412-140115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-140115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-140115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
357 AM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8
FT.
.SAT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 0 TO 5 FT.

$$

251 
FZAK62 PAFC 132350
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-141330-
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING FRI NIGHT. A 965 MB KAMCHATKA LOW WILL MOVE TO 54N 169E AT
983 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN TO 997 MB NEAR 57N 175E BY SAT
AFTERNOON. A NORTHWEST PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 51N 173E AT 1002
MB SAT AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-141330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING W 10 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ412-141330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-141330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-141330-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
350 PM AKDT THU APR 13 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
TO 5 FT.

$$

839 
FZAK62 PAFC 141159
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-150115-
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 978 MB LOW AT 52N 164E MOVES TO 58N 175E AT 1003 MB BY SUN
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA 
PENINSULA BY SUN MORNING. A 1003 MB LOW FORMS NEAR 53N 167W SAT 
MORNING AND MOVES TO 54N 164W BY SUN MORNING. A 1006 MB LOW FORMS 
AROUND 50N 175W SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-150115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TODAY...S TO W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-150115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ413-150115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-150115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
359 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7
FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3
TO 6 FT.

$$

085 
FZAK62 PAFC 141506
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-150015-
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 978 MB LOW AT 52N 164E MOVES TO 58N 175E AT 1003 MB BY SUN
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA 
PENINSULA BY SUN MORNING. A 1003 MB LOW FORMS NEAR 53N 167W SAT 
MORNING AND MOVES TO 54N 164W BY SUN MORNING. A 1006 MB LOW FORMS 
AROUND 50N 175W SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-150015-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-150015-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ413-150015-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-150015-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
706 AM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7
FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3
TO
6 FT.

$$

604 
FZAK62 PAFC 142332
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-151345-
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 984 MB LOW AT 54N 169E MOVES TO 57N 175E AT 995 MB SAT 
AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES NEAR 60N 174E SUN AFTERNOON. A FRONT 
OVER THE EASTERN BERING DISSIPATES TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ411-151345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-151345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ413-151345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-151345-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
332 PM AKDT FRI APR 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT. 
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.


$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
411 AM AKDT Wed Apr 12 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The pattern has amplified dramatically over the past 24 hours as a
strong low over the Western Bering Sea has carved out a deep
trough stretching south into the North Pacific. An associated
ridge is building over the Eastern Bering Sea. Ridging is nosing
into Western Alaska as a closed low over the Gulf of Alaska moves
south. The pressure gradient along the coast is directed offshore
which is inciting marginal outflow winds and clear skies over
much of Southern Alaska. High pressure ridging will dominate the
pattern over Alaska for the next several days as spring surges
forward.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in excellent agreement. The NAM was
favored across both domains. Forecast confidence is extremely
high.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The pattern of sunny days and clear night should continue through
the remainder of the work week. Some gusty winds are developing
through channeled terrain which should persist into Thursday
night. The biggest forecast uncertainty at this point is how
strong winds will get through the Matanuska River Valley and into
the Palmer and Wasilla areas. The pressure gradient looks stronger
than what model winds are forecasting. At this point, maximum wind
gusts in the 30 to 35 mph range look reasonable. There is a chance
they could end up becoming stronger than that tonight into
Thursday so that will be something to watch. Other than that, high
temperatures generally in the 40s to lower 50s across the region
will make a dent in the winter snow pack over the next few days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The quiet pattern continues through Friday morning, with mostly
sunny skies prevailing across much of the area as the building
upper level ridge closes off over the western interior. The only
exception will be along the Kuskokwim Delta coast, where locations
west of Bethel will increasingly begin to feel the effects of the
weakening front stalled offshore. Gusty southeast winds and
increased cloud cover will spread over these areas today, with
light rain and snow possible by Thursday afternoon before the
front dissipates Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The weakening front will remain stalled over the eastern Bering
today, with rain and gale force southerly winds continuing from
Dutch Harbor to the Pribilof Islands through this evening. The
front will finally push off to the east tonight as the parent low
lifts into the central Bering and weakens into an open trough,
allowing the front to slowly dissipate through Thursday night.
Meanwhile, the next front associated with a deep Kamchatka low
will move over the Western Aleutians late tonight and then track
eastward across the chain through Friday morning, bringing another
round of strong winds and rain/snow to the Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
There are several areas of disagreement moving into the mid and
long term. The first concerns a front moving through the Bering
and towards southwest Alaska Friday night into Saturday. All
guidance seems to be stalling this front more than yesterday's
runs but the GEM and GFS still have it making landfall. However,
the EC stalls it over the eastern Bering without it making it to
the west coast.

The second area of concern comes Saturday night into Sunday with
a trough tracking south through the central mainland. The GEM has
followed the EC solution which is showing the trough stalling
over the central mainland and elongating from east to west, while
the GFS keeps pushing the trough south through Southcentral
Alaska. One of the major impact differences between these two
solutions is that if the GFS verifies it will pull down much more
cold air to Southcentral Alaska, while the GEM and EC would keep
the colder air north of the Alaska Range.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 170 172 176-181 185 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JRA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...DK