Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Aberdeen, SD

September 19, 2017Brown County, Marshall County, South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 19, 2017, 8:12 PM CDT for Brown County, Marshall County, South Dakota. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 19, 2017, 8:12 PM CDT (01:12 UTC)
Expired: Sep 19, 2017, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Aberdeen, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Brown County, SD, Marshall County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 19, 3:37 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2563 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1127 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.6
Supercell composite: 16.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

342 
WUUS53 KABR 200112
SVRABR
SDC013-091-200145-
/O.NEW.KABR.SV.W.0192.170920T0112Z-170920T0145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service ABERDEEN SD
Issued by National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
812 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

The National Weather Service in ABERDEEN has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Marshall County in northeastern South Dakota...
  Northeastern Brown County in northeastern South Dakota...

* Until 845 PM CDT

* At 812 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hecla, or 17
  miles south of Oakes, moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* this severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  northwestern Marshall and northeastern Brown Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service
office in ABERDEEN.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4565 9820 4573 9838 4594 9825 4594 9793
      4593 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 205DEG 43KT 4589 9810 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Ferguson

1 follow-up statement

398 
WWUS53 KABR 200130
SVSABR

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service ABERDEEN SD
Issued by National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
830 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

SDC013-091-200145-
/O.CON.KABR.SV.W.0192.000000T0000Z-170920T0145Z/
Marshall SD-Brown SD-
830 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL AND NORTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTIES...

At 830 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hecla, or 17
miles south of Oakes, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Hecla, Sand Lake Wildlife Refuge and Houghton. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
ABERDEEN.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4565 9820 4573 9838 4594 9825 4594 9793
      4593 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0130Z 210DEG 24KT 4588 9810 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Ferguson

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 19, 6:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 6:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
619 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 603 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

Tornado Watch 487 remains in effect through midnight CDT.
Thunderstorms appear to finally be developing. Parameters
describing how severe storms can become are all rather healthy
this evening, so the concern for large hail, damaging winds and
tornados persists through late this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

The threat for severe storms over the next couple of hours will be
the main forecast challenge.

As of 20Z, an area of low pressure is located over NW North
Dakota with a cold front approaching the Missouri River Valley.
Pre-frontal thunderstorms have developed within the past hour.
This convection developed a bit sooner than expected. An
approaching upper level trough will erode the remaining convective
inhibition with more widespread convection developing within the
next hour or two. Very high 0-6 km bulk shear values and steep low
level lapse rates, very large hail will be possible with some
thunderstorms. 0-1 km bulk shear values, along with high values
over 0-3 km SRH, there is a threat for tornadoes as well with
discrete supercells.

Storms should consolidate into the line of storms after 0Z with
damaging winds and hail becoming the main threat. While PWATS are
exceedingly high, fast storm motion will limit locally heavy
rainfall. The convection should exit this CWA before 9Z with dry
conditions expected on Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

The extended period starts off fairly quiet with the region between
high pressure to the east and a low pressure trough over the
Rockies. Dry conditions are anticipated until the trough/front
reaches the area Friday night. The boundary then looks to remain
nearly stationary from the western high plains to the western Great
Lakes through the weekend and into the day Monday, keeping
precipitation chances fairly high. Little in the way of instability,
so expect the precipitation to be generally just rain. High pressure
moves back in Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a return to dry
conditions.

Temperatures will be right around normal on Wednesday, with highs in
the lower to mid 70s. Warmer air moves in Thursday ahead of the
approaching boundary, with highs mainly in the 80s. Will be a fairly
tight temperature gradient on Friday as the front moves in, with
highs ranging from the mid 60s northwest to the mid 80s southeast.
Cooler air then settles in with the precipitation chances over the
weekend and with the high coming in behind it. Highs will be in the
upper 50s to mid 60s Saturday through Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

A cold front along the Missouri River valley will be picking up
speed here over the next few hours, working east into MN by late
tonight. The low stratus and areas of fog from earlier today have
dissipated and guidance shows that, outside of convection, VFR
conditions are forecast over the next 24 hours. Thunderstorms have
been slow to get going this afternoon in this forecast area, but
it appears that the storms are beginning to fire up in the James
River valley and also back along the cold front over the Missouri
River valley. Some of these storms should become severe, with
large hail, damaging winds and even a tornado or two.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...Dorn
SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...Parkin
AVIATION...Dorn

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 19, 3:17 AM CDT, 16 hours 55 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-201200-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-
Roberts-Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-
Codington-Grant-Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-
Lyman-Buffalo-
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017 /217 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Minnesota, central South Dakota, north central South Dakota, and
northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening
over eastern South Dakota and west central Minnesota as a strong
cold front moves east across the area. Damaging hail will be
possible. There is even a tornado threat, particularly from mid
afternoon into the early evening hours. However, the biggest
threat will be damaging winds over 60 mph, as storms likely form
a line or lines and move over far eastern South Dakota and western
Minnesota in the evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed from mid afternoon through this
evening. Wind, hail, tornado, and other reports can be relayed to
the Aberdeen National Weather Service by calling, or through our
Facebook and Twitter pages.

KF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 19, 7:21 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
721 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     HAIL             1 WNW FREDERICK         45.84N 98.53W
09/19/2017  E0.75 INCH       BROWN              SD   PUBLIC

&&

SRF

Local storm report, Sep 19, 7:26 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
726 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     HAIL             2 SW VAYLAND            44.47N 98.82W
09/19/2017  E0.88 INCH       HAND               SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SRF

Local storm report, Sep 19, 7:29 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
729 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             7 SSW HILLSVIEW         45.58N 99.64W
09/19/2017  M1.75 INCH       EDMUNDS            SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SRF

Local storm report, Sep 19, 7:45 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
745 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     HAIL             3 NW WESTPORT           45.68N 98.53W
09/19/2017  E1.00 INCH       BROWN              SD   CO-OP OBSERVER

            4 INCH DIAMETER APPLES BLOWN OFF TREE. 1.05
            INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 20 MINUTES.

&&

RV

Local storm report, Sep 19, 7:52 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
752 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     HAIL             6 WSW HOUGHTON          45.72N 98.31W
09/19/2017  M1.00 INCH       BROWN              SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RL

Local storm report, Sep 19, 8:12 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
812 PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     HAIL             5 W HOUGHTON            45.76N 98.31W
09/19/2017  E1.50 INCH       BROWN              SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RV

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 19, 7:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Campbell, Edmunds, McPherson, Walworth	29 min
Sep 19, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	McPherson	20 min
Sep 19, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Marshall	46 min
Sep 19, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	ABR	Spink	35 min
Sep 19, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Spink	44 min
Sep 19, 7:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	McPherson	24 min
Sep 19, 8:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Clark, Spink	32 min
Sep 19, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Day, Marshall, Spink	37 min
Sep 19, 8:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Clark, Spink	32 min
Sep 19, 8:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Brown, Marshall	34 min
Sep 19, 8:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Clark, Codington, Day, Spink	37 min
Sep 19, 9:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Clark, Codington, Day	36 min
Sep 19, 9:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ABR	Codington, Day, Grant, Roberts	15 min
Sep 19, 10:43 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	ABR	Codington	3 hr
Sep 19, 10:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Grant, Roberts	41 min
Sep 19, 11:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Grant, Roberts	19 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.