Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 481, NWS Albuquerque, NM

September 30, 2017Torrance County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 30, 2017, 7:44 PM MDT for Torrance County, New Mexico. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 30, 2017, 7:44 PM MDT (01:44 UTC)
Expired: Sep 30, 2017, 8:09 PM MDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Torrance County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 580 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

915 
WUUS55 KABQ 010144
SVRABQ
NMC057-010230-
/O.NEW.KABQ.SV.W.0481.171001T0144Z-171001T0230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
744 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  West central Torrance County in central New Mexico...

* Until 830 PM MDT.

* At 743 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Manzano, or
  21 miles west of Estancia, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Manzano Mountain State Park, Manzano and Torreon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Heavy rains from severe thunderstorms can produce sudden and
dangerous flows in arroyos, ditches and over low water
crossings. Do not attempt to drive through areas where water covers
the roadway.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 10645 3467 10644 3472 10621 3463 10616
      3453 10621
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 265DEG 20KT 3464 10640 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KJ

2 follow-up statements

876 
WWUS55 KABQ 010159
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

NMC057-010230-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0481.000000T0000Z-171001T0230Z/
Torrance-
759 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM MDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY...

At 759 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Manzano
Mountain State Park, or 18 miles southwest of Estancia, moving east
at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Manzano Mountain State Park and Manzano. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Heavy rains from severe thunderstorms can produce sudden and
dangerous flow in arroyos, ditches and over low water crossings. Do
not attempt to drive through areas where water covers the roadway.

&&

LAT...LON 3456 10641 3465 10641 3469 10623 3463 10616
      3453 10621
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 273DEG 23KT 3460 10632 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KJ

247 
WWUS55 KABQ 010209
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
809 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

NMC057-010219-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0481.000000T0000Z-171001T0230Z/
Torrance-
809 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3456 10641 3465 10641 3469 10623 3463 10616
      3453 10621
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 265DEG 20KT 3461 10625 

$$

KJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 30, 5:47 PM MDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 5:47 PM MDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
547 PM MDT Sat Sep 30 2017

.UPDATE...
Removed the FLash Flood Watch Headline from the appropriate zones.
There could still be isolated flash flooding this evening, but over
very small areas.

CHJ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...543 PM MDT Sat Sep 30 2017...
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Higher terrain obscured. Increaasing westerly flow aloft will
continue to push drier air into western and central NM through
01/18Z. Sct showers and tstms will begin to favor central and ern NM
by 03Z with brief MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys, hail and wind gusts to 50kt
with the stronger storms. IFR cigs/vsbys in br to return to areas
from the east slopes of the central mt chain across the ern plains by
02Z and persisting through 01/13Z when strengthening sw sfc winds
start to erode the low clouds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...155 PM MDT Sat Sep 30 2017...
.SYNOPSIS...
One more active weather afternoon and night before we get a break
Sunday into Monday. Storms should fire along a dry line Monday
evening on the eastern plains, and more widespread on Tuesday
afternoon and evening. A back door cold front will plunge south
Tuesday night into Wednesday with a fresh supply of moisture.
Wednesday through Thursday will be unsettled area wide before a
drying trend Friday into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Another busy afternoon underway with showers and thunderstorms firing
across northwest NM. A short wave trough over northern NM will keep
it active through the evening and into the night. Main weather threat
will be flash flooding as many areas are already saturated from rain
over the past week. Isolated severe weather is also possible.

Finally some drying Sunday in the wake of the short wave trough.
There will be much less storm coverage, while temperatures rise 5 to
10 degrees above today, mostly near normal.

Monday will be dry as well during the day, but a dry line may activate
on the far eastern plains Monday evening. This will spread moisture
west, making Tuesday afternoon and evening more active across much of
the east. A back door cold front will plunge south Tuesday night and
west Wednesday, increasing low level moisture over much of the state.
This means another round of widespread rain for Wednesday through
Thursday evening. Another drying trend for Friday and Saturday as a
trough swings through the state.

CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Wet conditions continue as showers and storms impact NM once again
today. Soil moisture values have improved even further across most
of northern and central NM, with the exception of some patchy areas
along the Arizona border. The next round of storms firing up near
the Cont Divide will shift east across NM and drop widespread
wetting rainfall again through this evening. More fog, low clouds,
and spotty showers overnight will taper off by sunrise Sunday.

Drier air over Arizona will move east across NM Sunday and trend
humidities 25 to 35% lower than today. Ventilation will improve to
excellent across the western half and good across the east. Temps
will trend nearly 10 degrees warmer with deeper mixing allowing for
some late day breezes. Overnight recoveries Monday morning will
still be very good all areas with wet soils in place.

The next upper level wave will approach the Great Basin Monday and
spread stronger winds over NM. Southwest winds of 25 to 35mph with
gusts as high as 50 mph are possible across western NM and over the
northeastern plains. Ventilation will be excellent all areas with
moderate to high haines and temps slightly above normal. Min RH will
range from 10 to 15% across the west to 20 to 30% across the east.

Low level moisture will begin surging northwest again across the
east Monday evening. Showers and storms are possible once again with
locally heavy rainfall. This moisture will continue advancing to the
northwest Tuesday and especially Wednesday as the upper level wave
deepens over Nevada. This will also help draw mid and upper level
moisture into the state and set the stage for at least scattered
showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall as far west as the
Cont Divide through Friday.

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

40

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 4:16 AM MDT, 15 hours 28 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
416 AM MDT Sat Sep 30 2017

NMZ501>540-011100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
416 AM MDT Sat Sep 30 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect into this evening for portions of
central and northern New Mexico.

A few strong to severe storms are possible later this afternoon,
mainly between the Continental Divide and the Rio Grande Valley.
Large hail is the primary threat, with potential for significant hail
accumulation on roadways.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A few severe storms are possible across the Eastern Plains Tuesday
afternoon and evening.

Locally heavy rainfall and potential flash flooding are possible by
the end of the work week across much of central and western New
Mexico.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

11

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 30, 6:25 PM MDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
625 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             2 SW RIO RANCHO         35.25N 106.69W
09/30/2017  M0.75 INCH       SANDOVAL           NM   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702213

TRM

Special weather statement, Sep 30, 6:35 PM MDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
635 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

NMZ528-529-010100-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-
635 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL AND
SOUTHEASTERN MORA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

At 635 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Valmora, or 18 miles southwest of Wagon Mound, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Watrous, Valmora, Maes and Shoemaker.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 365 and 377.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3568 10456 3569 10499 3587 10500 3594 10459
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 264DEG 26KT 3579 10490

40

Special weather statement, Sep 30, 6:43 PM MDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
643 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

NMZ523-533-010115-
Guadalupe County-Central Highlands-
643 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE AND
NORTHEASTERN TORRANCE COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

At 643 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles south of Anton Chico, or 26 miles north of Vaughn, moving east
at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Milagro.

This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 236 and 261.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3488 10535 3504 10536 3517 10502 3494 10489
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 261DEG 19KT 3499 10524

40

Special weather statement, Sep 30, 6:45 PM MDT, 59 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
645 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

NMZ528-531-010115-
Far Northeast Highlands-Harding County-
645 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HARDING AND SOUTHEASTERN
MORA COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

At 645 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wagon Mound, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wagon Mound.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 384 and 386.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3581 10473 3599 10476 3608 10438 3581 10433
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 261DEG 18KT 3591 10466

40

Local storm report, Sep 30, 6:51 PM MDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
651 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             GOLDEN                  35.27N 106.21W
09/30/2017  M0.88 INCH       SANTA FE           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702214

TRM

Local storm report, Sep 30, 7:17 PM MDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
717 PM MDT SAT SEP 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             RIO COMMUNITIES         34.64N 106.72W
09/30/2017  M1.50 INCH       VALENCIA           NM   PUBLIC

0655 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RIO COMMUNITIES         34.64N 106.72W
09/30/2017                   VALENCIA           NM   PUBLIC

0655 PM     TSTM WND GST     RIO COMMUNITIES         34.64N 106.72W
09/30/2017  E70 MPH          VALENCIA           NM   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702215
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702216
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1702217

TRM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 30, 6:07 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Colfax	23 min
Sep 30, 6:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval, Santa Fe	25 min
Sep 30, 6:11 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	64 min
Sep 30, 6:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Valencia	46 min
Sep 30, 6:18 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Colfax	117 min
Sep 30, 6:21 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Union	24 min
Sep 30, 6:29 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Bernalillo, Socorro, Valencia	2 hr
Sep 30, 6:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Santa Fe	32 min
Sep 30, 6:35 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	25 min
Sep 30, 6:43 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	32 min
Sep 30, 6:43 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Valencia	32 min
Sep 30, 6:45 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	30 min
Sep 30, 6:46 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	ABQ	Bernalillo, Valencia	119 min
Sep 30, 7:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance, Valencia	45 min
Sep 30, 7:09 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Sandoval	66 min
Sep 30, 7:17 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Torrance, Valencia	15 min
Sep 30, 7:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	30 min
Sep 30, 7:22 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Santa Fe	113 min
Sep 30, 7:32 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Guadalupe, Torrance	118 min
Sep 30, 8:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	53 min
Sep 30, 9:36 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	39 min
Sep 30, 11:14 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	46 min
Oct 1, 12:06 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	39 min
Oct 1, 1:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Harding	15 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.